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EDITORIALS Studying Mammographic Density: Implications for Understanding Breast Cancer Celia Byrne* Several epidemiologic studies (1-3) have reported the magnitude of the risk associated with increased mammographic density to be between fourfold and sixfold, exceeding that of most other predictors of breast cancer. In these studies, this increased breast cancer risk was not explained by other traditional breast cancer risk factors. Despite the level of evidence of an independent association with breast cancer and the large number of women who are having routine mammographic screening, mammographic density is perhaps the most undervalued and underutilized risk factor in studies investigating the causes of breast cancer. Many studies of breast cancer risk have not included measures of mammographic density either because of practical reasons, such as difficulty in obtaining mammographic images and in assessing features in a systematic manner, or because of misconceptions stemming from the interpretation of early studies of mammographic features. The fact that this strong predictor of risk has been overlooked in many studies of breast cancer seems particularly unfortunate because of the profound implications to both cancer screening and etiology that attention to these factors may have. Thus, to fully comprehend the causes of breast cancer, we need to understand the role of breast density in the disease process and to identify the determinants of mammographic density. To avoid some of the methodologic problems inherent in the early studies, investigators incorporating mammographic density in their research must pay close attention to the potential for bias inherent in their study design, in their assessment and quantification of mammographic features, and in their interpretation of findings (4-6). Since first reported by Wolfe (7) in 1976, interest in mammographic features as a predictor of breast cancer has fluctuated. In Wolfe’s early studies, mammographic features were assessed primarily from xeromammographic images and classified into four categories based on the visual interpretation of the relative amount of dense tissue and the characteristic appearance of the breast tissue. In response to Wolfe’s initial reports of very high breast cancer risk that was associated with the high breast density patterns, many others have also evaluated the associations between mammographic features and breast cancer risk (4,5). Since these other studies did not all confirm the initially reported association, many were willing to dismiss any possible association. Many of the nonconfirmatory studies, however, did not consider the potential bias from the use of lower contrast filmscreen images, not blinding the radiologist reading the mammogram to case status, use of diagnostic images for assessment, and Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 89, No. 8, April 16, 1997 inadequate training of the radiologist (6,8-10). The assessment of ‘‘parenchymal patterns,’’ even by trained radiologists, was highly variable in many of these studies, although the differences in assessment decreased after specific training in the recognition of mammographic features (9,10). The studies that were designed to minimize these potential sources for bias consistently reported the association between mammographic features and breast cancer risk (4,5). Subsequent studies (2,11) evaluating the components of the parenchymal patterns reported that visual estimation of the percentage of the breast with dense tissue into five or six categories predicted breast cancer risk. To improve upon the visual assessment, Wolfe et al. (12) first reported marking and measuring, with a manual planimeter, the area of the breast with dense appearance and the total breast area on the mammogram. From these measurements, one could calculate the percentage of the breast area with any mammographically dense tissue, a measure now known as ‘‘breast density’’ (12). This measurement technique minimized both the variation due to the subjective measure of mammographic features and the difficulty of visually assessing relative area from an irregularly shaped image. The percentage of breast density was thus measured reliably on a continuous scale. The measurement of breast density has been adapted in several subsequent studies, using either a computerized planimeter or an interactive software system, where the radiologist reading the mammogram determines the gray-scale threshold for a digitized image to identify dense tissue (2,3). These studies that measured mammographic breast density reported that women whose breast tissue is predominantly dense (>75% of total breast area) were at a greater than fourfold increased risk of developing breast cancer than women with little or no breast density (1-3). In this issue of the Journal, Pankow et al. (13) report their findings from a segregation analysis of cross-sectional, multigeneration information evaluating whether the transmission of a major gene influences mammographic density. Incorporating the assessment of mammographic features into this epidemiologic and genetic study of breast cancer families enabled these researchers to evaluate predictors of mammographic density at this time and to determine the role of mammographic density in the *Correspondence to: Celia Byrne, Ph.D., Channing Laboratory, Harvard Medical School, 181 Longwood Ave., Boston, MA 02115. See ‘‘Notes’’ following ‘‘References.’’ EDITORIALS 531 incidence of breast cancer among the participants in the future. The results of the segregation analyses presented by Pankow et al. demonstrated that the data collected in these families were consistent with a dominant, recessive, or codominant major gene. The authors based their choice of a mendelian dominant major gene on the slightly smaller Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) that is associated with this model (AIC of 10 889.88 versus 10 892.45 or 10 891.88 for the recessive and codominant models, respectively). With such minimal differences in these models, however, extreme caution must be observed in identifying one mode of inheritance over another. The possible associations with the mendelian models of genetic inheritance and the rejection of the non-mendelian models in the study by Pankow et al. occurred only when other measured breast cancer risk factors were considered simultaneously. Of greater interest is the finding that, even if the hypothesis of a dominant mendelian model of inheritance is correct, this model would explain less than 30% of the variance in breast density among participants in this study. While any nondifferential misclassification of breast density may be partially obscuring a stronger association, additional genetic and/or environmental factors, not measured in this study, are also likely to play a role in determining breast density. Data are limited regarding familial patterns in mammographic features (14,15). A previous study from a referral hospital (14) indicated that the mammographic features from mother–daughter and sister–sister pairs were more similar than those from unrelated pairs of women of comparable ages. Comparing the breast density in 65 mother–daughter pairs and 275 sister–sister pairs, Pankow et al. (13) reported statistically significant, although fairly modest, correlations in sister–sister pairs and lower nonsignificant correlations in mother–daughter pairs. Acknowledging the limitation that these correlations were adjusted only for two covariates simultaneously, the authors suggested that the smaller number of mother–daughter pairs and the absence of information from fathers may explain the difference in the magnitude of the correlations. In this regard, the authors failed to consider a possible limitation of their study design. Since the mammograms were all obtained within a few calendar years, the mammograms of mothers and daughters reflect the mammographic features of women of different generations. Breast density changes throughout a woman’s life. Adjustment for age (or age2) in this study design would not be adequate. Ideally, one would like to know whether the breast density assessed from a woman’s mammogram at a given age correlates with the breast density from her daughter’s mammogram when her daughter is the same age. Having mammographic information from only one point in time may have constrained the ability of Pankow et al. to assess the potential for genetic influence on breast density. While many known factors are associated with a woman’s breast density, Pankow et al. found that only about 30% of the variance in breast density can be explained by the traditional breast cancer risk factors. Despite knowing that a woman’s breast density changes during her lifetime, to date the published studies of breast density and breast cancer risk have all assessed breast density from one mammographic examination. Whether changes in breast density modify a woman’s breast cancer risk is unknown. While mammograms in premenopausal women have been found to predict postmenopausal breast cancer risk and 532 EDITORIALS breast density assessed on mammograms taken 10 or more years previously predicts breast cancer risk, if the true risk is only in the women whose breast density does not change, then the magnitude of the effect for those with dense breast patterns that do not change may be even greater than that previously reported (3). Our need to better understand the predictors of breast density and to evaluate the impact of change in breast density on breast cancer risk becomes more relevant when change in breast density is considered an intermediate end point that can be used to evaluate potential breast cancer prevention strategies, as has been proposed (16). In designing future studies that will assess breast density, all attempts should be made to minimize the potential misclassification of breast density. Rather than rely on an individual to visually estimate 20 categories of breast density, as was done in the study by Pankow et al. (13), methods to mark and measure the area of mammographic density that are easily performed should be considered. Individuals assessing breast density should demonstrate that they are identifying the features of breast density that are associated with breast cancer risk, either by comparison with others who have reported this measured risk or in a pilot assessment study. Many well-qualified individuals may be consistent in their assessment, but they may not be measuring the appropriate aspect of breast density. Previous studies (9,10) have reported that the gradient in breast cancer risk generally increased after training was given in assessment techniques. Although it is not possible to assess the impact of such misclassification in the study by Pankow et al., these two study aspects—training the reader and measuring the breast density—should be considered in future studies. A proposed epidemiologic study of the cause of breast cancer that did not intend to assess menopausal status, use of postmenopausal hormones, parity, or age at first birth would be considered incomplete even though each of these factors is associated with only a moderate change in breast cancer risk. However, increased breast density, which is associated with a much greater increase in risk, is typically overlooked. Pankow et al. (13) are to be credited for the inclusion of mammographic assessment in the baseline measures in their epidemiologic and genetic followup study of breast cancer families. Their analysis is consistent with a genetic component being one of the factors influencing mammographic density. Perhaps the most notable result of their analysis, however, is the implication that a large number of the factors that may influence mammographic density are unknown at this time. Since more than 46% of breast cancers in some studies are attributable to having any measurable breast density (3), a better understanding of what is measured by mammographic density, what factors predict mammographic density, and what happens to breast cancer risk if mammographic density changes are three areas particularly in need of further research. So as not to repeat past problems, studies of mammographic features must make an extensive effort to conduct a standardized assessment of measured breast density, which would include assessment of both the validity and the reliability of the measures used. References (1) Saftlas AF, Hoover RN, Brinton LA, Szklo M, Olson DR, Salane M, et al. Mammographic densities and risk of breast cancer. Cancer 1991;67:2833-8. Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 89, No. 8, April 16, 1997 (2) Boyd NF, Byng JW, Jong RA, Fishell EK, Little LE, Miller AB, et al. Quantitative classification of mammographic densities and breast cancer risk: results from the Canadian National Breast Screening Study. J Natl Cancer Inst 1995;87:670-5. (3) Byrne C, Schairer C, Wolfe J, Parekh N, Salane M, Brinton LA, et al. Mammographic features and breast cancer risk: effects with time, age, and menopause status. J Natl Cancer Inst 1995;87:1622-9. (4) Saftlas AF, Szklo M. Mammographic parenchymal patterns and breast cancer risk. Epidemiol Rev 1987;9:146-74. (5) Oza AM, Boyd NF. Mammographic parenchymal patterns: a marker of breast cancer risk. Epidemiol Rev 1993;15:196-208. (6) Boyd NF, O’Sullivan B, Fishell E, Simor I, Cooke G. Mammographic patterns and breast cancer risk: methodologic standards and contradictory results. J Natl Cancer Inst 1984;72:1253-9. (7) Wolfe JN. Breast parenchymal patterns and their changes with age. Radiology 1976;121(3 Pt. 1):545-52. (8) Whitehead J, Carlile T, Kopecky KJ, Thompson DJ, Gilbert FI Jr, Present AJ, et al. Wolfe mammographic parenchymal patterns. A study of the masking hypothesis of Egan and Mosteller. Cancer 1985;56:1280-6. (9) Grove JS, Goodman MJ, Gilbert FI Jr, Russell H. Wolfe’s mammographic classification and breast cancer risk: the effect of misclassification on apparent risk ratios. Br J Radiol 1985;58:15-9. (10) Carlile T, Thompson DJ, Kopecky KJ, Gilbert FI, Krook PM, Present AJ, et al. Reproducibility and consistency in classification of breast parenchymal patterns. AJR Am J Roentgenol 1983;140:1-7. (11) Brisson J, Merletti F, Sandowsky NL, Twaddle JA, Morrison AS, Cole P. Mammographic features of the breast and breast cancer risk. Am J Epidemiol 1982;115:428-37. (12) Wolfe JN, Saftlas AF, Salane M. Mammographic parenchymal patterns and quantitative evaluation of mammographic densities: a case-control study. AJR Am J Roentgenol 1987;148:1087-92. (13) Pankow JS, Vachon CM, Kuni CC, King RA, Arnett DK, Grabrick DM, et al. Genetic analysis of mammographic breast density in adult women: evidence of a gene effect. J Natl Cancer Inst 1997;89:549-56. (14) Wolfe JN, Albert S, Belle S, Salane M. Familial influences on breast parenchymal patterns. Cancer 1980;46:2433-7. (15) Kaprio J, Alanko A, Kivisaari L, Standertskjold-Nordenstam CG. Mammographic patterns in twin pairs discordant for breast cancer. Br J Radiol 1987;60:459-62. (16) Cuzick J, Berridge D, Whitehead J. Mammographic dysplasia as entry criterion for breast cancer prevention trials [letter]. Lancet 1991;337:1225. Notes Supported in part by a Massachusetts Department of Public Health Breast Cancer Research Grant (SC-DPH-3408519C017) and by Public Health Service grant CA464055 from the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services. I thank Drs. A. F. Saftlas, A. M. Goldstein, S. E. Hankinson, and G. A. Colditz for their discussions of these issues. Cell Transformation, Invasion, and Angiogenesis: a Regulatory Role for Ornithine Decarboxylase and Polyamines? Merja Auvinen* In this issue of the Journal, Kubota et al. (1) report that overexpression of ornithine decarboxylase (ODC) triggers mitogen-activated protein (MAP) kinase activity, which in turn implies a proportional increase in invasiveness. They demonstrate that transfection of mouse 10T1/2 fibroblasts with rat ODC complementary DNA (cDNA) elicited morphologic transformation; the ODC transformants formed colonies in monolayer tissue culture and proliferated in semisolid soft agar. Kubota et al. suggest that the ODC-induced cell transformation mechanism can be explained, at least in part, by activation of the MAP kinase pathway, since the ODC transformants that they studied displayed increased protein kinase activity against myelin basic protein used as an MAP kinase substrate in in-gel assays. In addition, they postulate that deregulated ODC activity may influence invasion of a cancer cell. This was evidenced by migration of ODC transformants through a reconstituted basement membrane-coated filter in Boyden chambers in vitro. Furthermore, Kubota et al. show increased secretion of matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-2, a 72-kd progelatinase considered to be one of the key players in extracellular matrix degradation. The results obtained by these investigators provide strong evidence that ODC activity and polyamines may affect a number of processes that have an impact on tumor development, including abnormal cell proliferation and invasion. Polyamines—putrescine, spermidine, and spermine—are Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 89, No. 8, April 16, 1997 small cationic organic molecules that are indispensable for cell proliferation and differentiation. All eukaryotic cells contain one or more of the polyamines. Their concentrations vary during the cell cycle, and one of the first events in proliferating cells is induction of polyamine synthesis, preceding both nucleic acid and protein syntheses. Beyond that, however, it is hard to elucidate the specific biologic functions of polyamines. The key enzyme in the polyamine biosynthetic pathway is ODC. In its active form, ODC is a dimer of two identical subunits of 51 kd. It is one of the most strictly regulated enzymes known. ODC has a turnover rate ranging from a few minutes to 1 hour. In contrast, the average life of mammalian enzymes is counted in days. This rapid turnover is essential for fast and dramatic changes in ODC levels in response to many kinds of growth stimuli that affect the rate of enzyme synthesis, making its induction pattern more ‘‘pulse-like.’’ The activity of ODC is regulated by many putative mechanisms. These mechanisms include transcriptional control of gene expression, suppression of translation, post-translational modifications, and proteolytic destruction. *Correspondence to: Merja Auvinen, Ph.D., Cellular Signaling Group, Division of Biochemistry, P.O. Box 56, Viikinkaari 5, FIN-00014 University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. See ‘‘Notes’’ following ‘‘References.’’ EDITORIALS 533