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02/03/16' Ecological Economics and Sustainability Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Origins'of'env.'thinking'in'economics' • Early'20th'century,'Pigou'and'the'pigouvian'tax.' – There'are'“third'parOes”'in'market'transacOons.' • 1960s:'Rise'of'modern'environmental'movement.' – Influenced'by'“cult'of'wilderness”'and'as'a'reacOon'to' toxic'persistent'polluOon.' • 1970s:'Resurgence'of'limits'thinking' – Herman'Daly’s'steady'state'economics' – Forrester'and'Meadows'et'al.'World'Dynamics'and' Limits'to'Growth.' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 1' 02/03/16' Early'Limits'Thinking' • Thomas'Malthus'and'his'Essay%on%Principles%of%Popula1on' (1798).' – PopulaOon'growth'is'is'expected'to'outgrow'the'means'of' subsistence,'i.e.'food'producOon'(geometric'versus'linear' growth'pa_erns)' • David'Ricardo’s'(1817)'“iron'law'of'wages”'and'“the'law'of' diminishing'returns”'se`ng'limits'on'the'growth'of'economic' output.' • J.S.Mill'(1848)'of'“the'staOonary'state”,'where'there'is' “constant'stock'of'human'capital”'and'a'“constant'stock'of' physical'capital”.' • Marx’s'(1867)'“social'limits'to'growth”'arising'from'social' conflict'emerging'from'income'distribuOon,'rather'then' “biophysical'limits'to'growth”.' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' profits + R4 B1 + ENTREPRENEURSHIP + savings R3 wage!bill + + UNEMPLOYED ! + + R2 R5 output + + TECHNOLOGY R1 + + investment + CAPITAL LABOR + B2 ! LAND + hiring Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 2' 02/03/16' Nonerenewable'resources' • Fossil'fuels'and'minerals'(all'abioOc)' • Hotelling'(1931)'–'basis'of'nonerenewable'resource' economics' • Factors'in'control'and'management' – ProducOon'in'any'given'period'is'not'independent'from' producOon'at'any'other'period'(accumulated'extracOon' and'amount'and'grade'of'remaining'reserves)'and'current' input'costs.' – Management'goal:'Maximize'total'profits'over'a'given' Ome'horizon'(i.e.'maximize'infinite'horizon'profits'or'“net' worth”).' – ExtracOon'cost'is'the'sum'of'its'extracOon'cost'and'the' user'cost'(i.e.'the'loss'from'possible'future'use).' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 3' 02/03/16' Renewable'resources' • Biomass'and'abioOc'resources'provided'through' geoebioechemical'cycles'(bioOc'and'abioOc)' • Gordon'(1954)'–'basis'of'renewable'resource' economics' • Factors'in'control'and'management' – In'case'of'biomass,'decision'on'how'much'to'harvest' and'when'to'harvest'are'interdependent,'because'the' growth'depends'on'the'biomass'stock.' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 4' 02/03/16' StockeFlow'and'FundeService' Resources' • Stockeflow'resource'is'materially'transformed' into'what'it'produces.'Stock'provides'the'flow' of'material,'and'the'stock'can'be'uOlized' almost'at'any'rate'desired.' • Fundeservice'resource'suffers'wear'and'tear' from'producOon'but'does'not'become'a'part' of'the'thing'being'produced.' Excludability'and'Rivalness' • Excludable'resource:'ownership'allows'the'owner'to' use'it'while'simultaneously'denying'others'the' privilege.' – Ex:'bicycle'is'excludable;'street'lamp'is'noneexcludable' • Rivalness:'consumpOon'or'use'by'one'person' reduces'the'amount'available'for'everyone'else.' – Ex:'bicycle s'use'is'rival;'the'street'lamp s'use'is'nonerival.' 5' 02/03/16' Main'tenet'of'environmental' economics' • Mistreatment'of'environment'occurs'because' we'do'not'recognize'the'posiOve'prices'for' nature’s'economic'funcOon,'as'there'are'no' market'prices'for'many'environmental'goods.' • Costs'to'the'environment'and'the'larger' society'should'be'internalized.' • Costebenefit'thinking'should'guide'policies.' • Therefore'valuaOon'of'environmental' resource'and'funcOons'are'important.' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Environmental'polluOon'as'an'external' cost' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 6' 02/03/16' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Costebenefit'thinking' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 7' 02/03/16' Main'tenet'of'ecological'economics' • I.'There'must'be'an'opOmal'scale'in' macroeconomic,'where'marginal'costs'of'producOon' equal'the'marginal'benefits'of'producOon.' – Microeconomics'default'rule:'stop'growing'when' marginal'cost'equals'marginal'benefits' – Macroeconomics'default'rule:'“grow'forever Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' • II.'Economy'is'not'a'perpetual'moOon' machine' money for factors of production factors of production FIRMS HOUSEHOLDS goods and services money for goods and services 8' 02/03/16' • But,'it'is'embedded'in'the'greater'environment,' as'the'economy'operates,'the'source'and'sink' funcOons'diminish'(mines,'wells,'soils,'fisheries,' forests,'atmosphere'etc.)' • Therefore,'EE'is'commi_ed'to'the'laws'of' thermodynamics:' – Neither'ma_er'nor'energy'can'be'either'created'or' destroyed.' – We'can'recycle'ma_er'but'not'with'100%'efficiency.' Because,'certain'amount'of'useful'energy'is'lost'at' each'transformaOon'process.' Fundamental'vision:'Spaceship'earth' The throughput: flow of energy and material from sources to the sinks Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 9' 02/03/16' • The scale of the throughput depends on: – The scale of the economic activity; – The resource efficiency of the economic activity; – The waste efficiency of the economic activity. Social Ecology, Lecture II, 2016 • The problem of decoupling: Is it possible for the economies to grow in GDP terms while they restrain the growth in throughput? – Relative decoupling: The growth in throughput is less than the growth in GDP. – Absolute decoupling: The growth in throughput is negative while the growth in GDP is positive. Social Ecology, Lecture II, 2016 10' 02/03/16' Back'to'sustainable'development' • Go'back'to'the'first'lecture:'The'Bruthland' definiOon'and'sustainability'as'intere generaOonal'equity.' • Transfer'of'capital'stocks' • Weak'and'strong'sustainability,'re.'idea'of' capital'subsOtutability.' • Revisit,'precauOonary'principle.' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' Sustainable'development'operaOonal' principles' • Herman'Daly'principles:' – For'renewable'resources,'harvesOng'rates'should'not' exceed'regeneraOon'rates' – For'renewable'sinks,'polluOon'rates'should'not'exceed' assimilaOon'rates' – For'nonerenewables'–'sufficient'fracOon'of'profits'form' extracOon'would'be'invested'in'renewable'subsOtutes' • Plus' – Market'failures'related'to'resource'pricing'and'property' rights'should'be'fixed.' – Progress'in'efficiency'increasing'technology'should' dominate'progress'throughput'increasing'technology' – Watch'overall'scale'and'follow'“precauOonary'principle”' Boğaziçi'University'2016:'Esc'59M'Lecture'II' 11'