Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Behavioral Ecology doi:10.1093/beheco/arq200 Advance Access publication 15 December 2010 Original Article When climate change affects where birds sing Anders Pape Møller Laboratoire d’Ecologie, Systématique et Evolution, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique UMR 8079, Université Paris-Sud, Bâtiment 362, F-91405 Orsay Cedex, France Recent changes in temperature and precipitation have implications for transmission and excess attenuation of sounds, with important consequences for the choice of vocal display sites by animals. Birds typically sing from within or at the top of the vegetation, and the relative height of such song posts varies consistently among species. I estimated relative height of positions in the vegetation used by singing birds in 1986–1989 and again in 2010 after spring and summer temperatures had increased by 20% and precipitation by 30%, predicting that these changes would increase the height of song post positions. Average song post height increased by 18% or 1.2 m during the study. Because the increase in song post height should depend on relative costs and benefits of such change, I predicted that sexually dichromatic species and species with increasing populations and hence intense intraspecific competition for mates should cause increases in song post height, whereas high predation risk by the sparrowhawk Accipiter nisus should prevent increases in song post height because sparrowhawks preferentially prey on birds high in the vegetation. That was indeed the case. These results suggest that display sites for singing birds can change rapidly, with potential consequences for optimal design of songs, variance in mating success, and predator–prey interactions. Key words: density dependence, predation risk, sexual selection, signaling, trade-offs. [Behav Ecol 22:212–217 (2011)] lthough current climate change has altered phenology, demography, abundance, and distribution of many organisms, there are relatively few studies of changes in behavior although behavior together with physiology constitutes the mechanisms underlying responses to climate change. The few studies published relate to mating behavior and its consequences (e. g., Møller 2004; Spottiswoode et al. 2006; Twiss et al. 2006). Surprisingly, there are so far no studies of climate change and vocalizations. Recent climate change has resulted in warmer but also more humid conditions in many places due to increasing precipitation (IPCC 2007). Such changes in climatic conditions affect sound transmission and hence vocal communication. Such change could come about in a number of potential ways: First, sound absorption increases with temperature for lower frequency sounds, such as those produced by human voices, whereas the reverse applies to higher frequency sounds, such as bird calls. However, the exact relationship between sound absorption and climate is not straightforward because it interacts with atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, temperature, and frequency (Harris 1966; Griffin 1971; Wiley and Richards 1978; Bass et al. 1984; Larom et al. 1997). Given the as yet relatively small changes in temperature (in the order of a couple of degrees), changes in sound absorption are expected to be small. Second, air temperature can have significant effects on turbulence that can affect high frequencies of birdcalls but also cause scatter (Wiley and Richards 1978). Third, not only temperature but also precipitation has increased considerably in recent years in some parts of the world, and this can affect sound propagation and therefore timing of singing (Lengagne and Slater 2002) but not sound absorption, which is mainly affected by humidity. Fourth, climate change may affect vocal communication through effects of climate on vegetation. For example, plant phenology has A Address correspondence to A.P. Møller. E-mail: anders.moller@ u-psud.fr. Received 25 August 2010; revised 2 November 2010; accepted 8 November 2010. The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] advanced significant in many parts of the temperate zone of Europe (e. g., Menzel et al. 2006) with important consequences for bird song. Such change in phenology will be particularly important for bird species that use tall vegetation like trees as song posts, whereas species singing in open habitat would be less affected. Indeed, timing of leafing will affect reverberation and sound transmission with important consequences for choice of song post. Finally, the phenology of birds has changed considerably (e. g., Rubolini et al. 2007, 2010; Lehikoinen and Sparks 2010), with residents and shortdistance migrants advancing their phenology much more than long-distance migrants (Rubolini et al. 2010). Such change in spring phenology of birds could cause mistiming between the optimal transmission of vocal signals and the physical environment with long-distance migratory birds experiencing impaired environmental conditions. Although the physical environment in which songs are transmitted may change in response to climate change, realized changes in positions used for vocal display may furthermore be affected by costs and benefits of such changes in circumstances of display. If competition for mates is more intense in certain species, this should result in greater changes in song post position than in species with little mate competition. For example, sexually dichromatic bird species have higher levels of extrapair paternity than monochromatic species (Møller and Birkhead 1994; Owens and Hartley 1998), implying that males of dichromatic species should compete more intensely and hence change their display sites more than monochromatic species. Likewise, individuals belonging to species with increasing population trends should experience more intense competition than species with stable or declining populations. Just as increasing benefits may spur greater changes in display site choice associated with changing climatic conditions, high costs may prevent such change. Sexual display occurs at the cost of predation and parasitism (Zuk and Kolluru 1998). Therefore, species displaying at exposed sites should suffer higher risks of predation than those displaying at concealed sites. Indeed, male chaffinches Fringilla coelebs sing at lower braches in the vegetation after having been exposed to a raptor model (Krams 2001), and bird Møller • Climate change and song posts species using high song posts and hence singing from exposed sites in the vegetation are more susceptible to sparrowhawk predation than birds singing from lower in the vegetation (Møller et al. 2008). The objectives of this study were, first, to test for temporal change in song post position in a community of birds during a period when climate change was rapid and hence altered the transmission and attenuation properties of the environment. Second, I tested to which extent differences in costs and benefits of vocal display high in the vegetation may account for interspecific differences in change in song post position. Third, I attempted to evaluate 4 different hypotheses that could explain temporal change in song post position: 1) air temperature and turbulence, 2) number of rainy days, 3) changes in vegetation, and 4) changes in migration phenology. This was done by analyzing extensive data on song post position for 34 species of birds studied in the same area during 2 periods separated by more than 20 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS Study site I studied the position of singing birds around the village of Kraghede (lat 5712#N, long 1000#E), Denmark during April to July 1986–1989 (Møller et al. 2008) and 2010. This farmland area mainly consists of open fields with scattered hedgerows, woodlots, shrub, and trees around farms and houses. The exact same areas were studied during the 2 periods. Song posts I systematically recorded all singing birds while walking through the 25 km2 study area, only ever recording a single individual in each site to avoid pseudoreplication. Because birds are highly sedentary within their breeding territories during the breeding season, this procedure should prevent recording of the same individual multiple times. The total number of recordings was 1614 in 1986–1989 and 1085 in 2010. I recorded the position of singing birds in the vegetation and the maximum height of the vegetation using my own height as a yardstick. Height of singing birds and maximum height of the herb, shrub, or tree were recorded in multiples of my own height. For 300 observations in 2010, I subsequently used a Nikon Forestry 550/Hypsometer based on laser technique that allows precise recording of the height of the vegetation. Estimates of song post position based on visual judgment and the hypsometer were strongly positively correlated (F ¼ 26 613.74, degrees of freedom [df] ¼ 1, 298, r2 ¼ 0.99, P , 0.0001). Relative song post height was defined as song post height divided by the maximum height of the vegetation (Scherrer 1972; Møller et al. 2008). Møller et al. (2008) have previously shown that song post estimates from Denmark are strongly positively correlated with estimates from France by Scherrer (1972). Hence, height recordings were reliable. Explanatory variables Habitat Song post height may depend on the height of the habitat (Scherrer 1972), and higher song posts may arise as a consequence of higher vegetation. Therefore, I scored the breeding habitat of all species on a 3-point scale, where 0 equals grassland, 1—bush and scrub, and 2—forest based on Cramp and Perrins (1977–1994), with species occurring in more than one category being assigned to the highest category. 213 Population trends Trends were estimated as the long-term trend for the period 1976–2005 based on the Danish breeding bird monitoring program that uses point counts, with a value of 0 reflecting a stable population, whereas negative values reflect declining populations and positive values increasing populations (Heldbjerg 2005). Susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation and abundance of raptors I estimated susceptibility to predation by sparrowhawks expressed as log-transformed observed number of prey minus log-transformed expected number of prey according to standardized point counts during the breeding season in Denmark (Grell 1998; Møller et al. 2010). Thus, a susceptibility index of 0 implies that prey are consumed according to expectation from their abundance, an index of 11 implies that a given prey species is consumed 10 times more often than expected, whereas an index of 21 implies that a given prey species is consumed 10 times less often than expected from its abundance. I have previously described these estimates and their reliability in detail elsewhere (e.g., Møller et al. 2008, 2010). I searched the few possible breeding sites for raptors in 1986–1989 and 2010 for active nests. Sexual dichromatism I scored all species as sexually dichromatic if males and females differed in coloration and monochromatic otherwise using Mullarney et al. (2000) as a source. Previous studies using this approach have shown biologically meaningful results that are compatible with results from models based on avian vision (Møller and Birkhead 1994; Seddon et al. 2010). Migration distance As an estimate of migration distance, I used the global northernmost and southernmost latitude of the breeding and the wintering distributions, respectively, to the nearest 10th of a degree based on information from maps in Cramp and Perrins (1977–1994). Migration distance was calculated as the mean of the 2 latitudes during breeding minus the mean of the 2 latitudes during winter. Body mass I recorded body mass from the breeding season using Cramp and Perrins (1977–1994) and preferably the estimate with the largest sample size if more than a single estimate was available. Summary statistics for all variables are reported in Supplementary Material 1. Climate Danish Meteorological Institute provided mean temperature and rainfall data for April to August 1971–2010 from Aalborg that is located 25 km south of the study area. Statistical analyses Migration distance and body mass were log10 transformed before analyses (the former by adding a constant of one to avoid problems of inclusion of resident species). I tested for change in song post height among species using a paired t-test. Subsequently, I tested how several different explanatory factors accounted for variation in change in song post height. Finally, I developed a statistical model that included all significant predictors from the bivariate analyses. To assess possible problems of collinearity, I calculated variance inflation factors that in all cases were less than 3, which is much less than the commonly accepted levels for significant collinearity of 5–10 (McClave and Sincich 2003). 214 Closely related species have similar song posts due to such species sharing song features, predators, and habitat preferences. I controlled for similarity in phenotype due to common ancestry by calculating standardized independent linear contrasts (Felsenstein 1985) using comparative analysis with independent contrasts (Purvis and Rambaut 1995). I tested the statistical and evolutionary assumptions of the continuous comparative procedure (Garland et al. 1992) by regressing absolute standardized contrasts against their standard deviations (SDs). In order to reduce the consequent problem of heterogeneity of variance, 1) outliers (contrasts with studentized residuals .3) were excluded from subsequent analyses (Jones and Purvis 1997), and 2) analyses were repeated with the independent variable expressed in ranks. In neither case did these new analyses change any of the conclusions. The composite phylogeny used in the analyses was based on Davis (2008) (Supplementary Material 2). Because information for the composite phylogeny came from different sources using different methods, consistent estimates of branch lengths were unavailable. Therefore, branch lengths were transformed assuming a gradual model of evolution with branch lengths being proportional to the number of species contained within a clade. Results based on these branch lengths were compared with those obtained using constant branch lengths (a punctuated model of evolution). Finally, I used a standard bird taxonomy (Howard and Moore 1991) to test for consistency in findings independent of phylogenetic hypothesis. Nowhere were results qualitatively different (results not shown). Regressions based on contrasts were forced through the origin because the comparative analyses assume that there has been no evolutionary change in a character when the predictor variable has not changed (Purvis and Rambaut 1995). I evaluated the magnitude of associations between song post height and predictor variables based on effect sizes according to Cohen’s (1988) criteria for small (Pearson r ¼ 0.10, explaining 1% of the variance), intermediate (9% of the variance), and large effects (25% of the variance). RESULTS Mean temperature during April to August 1971–2009 increased, with an accelerating trend since 1980 (Supplementary Material 3). The predicted increase amounted to more than 2 C or almost 20% between 1986–1989 and 2010. Likewise, precipitation increased significantly during 1971–2009 (Supplementary Material 3) from approximately 250 mm in 1986–1989 to 325 mm in 2010 or by approximately 30%. The number of rainy days in 1986–1989 was 61–78, whereas it was 75 in 2010. Song post height was highly repeatable among species with species accounting for 44% of the variance (F ¼ 21.32, degrees of freedom [df] ¼ 32, 2666, r2 ¼ 0.43, P , 0.0001). Song post height was 0.677 (standard error [SE] ¼ 0.042), N ¼ 34 species during 1986–1989, but increased to 0.802 (SE ¼ 0.032) in 2010 or an increase by 18%. Change in song post height was on average 0.125 (SE ¼ 0.025), range ¼ 20.200 to 0.406, N ¼ 34, differing significantly from zero (Figure 1; paired t-test, t ¼ 4.97, df ¼ 33, P , 0.0001). Effect size accounted for 43% of the variance, thus equaling a strong effect (sensu Cohen 1988). Because mean height of the vegetation used for singing was 9.7 m (SD ¼ 5.3), an increase by 0.125 implies an average increase by 1.2 m in song post height between 1986–1989 and 2010. The relationships between relative song post height in 2010 and the different variables are shown in Figure 2. Species with increasing population trend increased their song post height (Figure 3; species-specific data: F ¼ 3.94, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.11, Behavioral Ecology Figure 1 Song post position of different bird species in 2010 in relation to position in 1986–1989. The line is y ¼ x. P ¼ 0.056, slope [SE] ¼ 2.911 [1.466] and contrasts: F ¼ 10.88, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.25, P ¼ 0.0024, slope [SE] ¼ 2.737 [0.830]). Species singing in taller vegetation increased their song post height more than species singing in low vegetation (speciesspecific data: F ¼ 13.75, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.30, P ¼ 0.0008, slope [SE] ¼ 0.098 [0.027] and contrasts F ¼ 11.22, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.26, P ¼ 0.0021, slope [SE] ¼ 0.109 [0.033]). There was no significant relationship between change in song post height and time of day in an analysis of trends within species (quadratic effect of time of day: F ¼ 0.32, df ¼ 1, 2696, r2 ¼ 0.00, P ¼ 0.98). Change in song post position was not significantly related to migration distance (species-specific data: F ¼ 2.19, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.06, P ¼ 0.15 and contrasts: F ¼ 2.86, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.08, P ¼ 0.101). Sexually dichromatic species increased their song post height more than monochromatic species in the analysis of contrasts (species-specific data: F ¼ 0.11, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.00, P ¼ 0.74 and contrasts: F ¼ 11.31, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.26, P ¼ 0.0020, slope [SE] ¼ 0.161 [0.048]). Species that were particularly susceptible to sparrowhawk predation increased their song post height less than unsusceptible species (species-specific data: F ¼ 11.24, df ¼ 1,31, r2 ¼ 0.27, P ¼ 0.0021, slope [SE] ¼ 20.230 [0.069] and contrasts: F ¼ 5.28, df ¼ 1, 29, r2 ¼ 0.15, P ¼ 0.029, slope [SE] ¼ 20.166 [0.072]). There were 3 pairs of sparrowhawks and no other breeding raptors during the study years, so differences in the abundance of predators could not account for the change in song post height. Change in song post height was not significantly related to body mass (species-specific data: F ¼ 0.70, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.02, P ¼ 0.41 and contrasts: F ¼ 0.44, df ¼ 1, 32, r2 ¼ 0.01, P ¼ 0.51). A model that included the 4 significant predictors listed above accounted for 58% of the variance in the speciesspecific analysis and 32% of the variance in the analysis of contrasts (Table 1). Monochromatic species barely increased their song post height (least mean squares [SE] ¼ 0.067 [0.030]), whereas dichromatic species increased a lot (0.183 [0.029]). Species that were susceptible to sparrowhawk predation only marginally increased song post height compared with unsusceptible species (Table 1). Furthermore, species that have increased in abundance increased their song post height, whereas those that have declined in abundance did not change their song post position (Table 1). Finally, species Møller • Climate change and song posts 215 Figure 2 Relationship between song post height (SE) in 2010 and (A) Danish breeding population trend, (B) habitat (0—grassland, 1—shrub, and 2—trees), (C) sexual dichromatism (0—monochromatic and 1—dichromatic), (D) susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation, (E) migration distance, and (F) body mass (g). breeding in forests increased their song post height more than those using shrub or grassland (Table 1). These effects were confirmed in a comparative analysis (Table 1). DISCUSSION The main findings of this study were that height of the position in the vegetation used by singing birds increased considerably between 1986–1989 and 2010. Song post height changed more in species using trees than using shrub and grassland for singing. Higher song posts in the vegetation were modified by costs and benefits. Species with more intense compe- tition for mates such as sexually dichromatic birds and birds with increasing population trends increased their song post height more than sexually monochromatic species and species with stable or decreasing populations. Fitness costs also contributed to interspecific differences in response because bird species that were susceptible to sparrowhawk predation increased much less in song post height than species that only infrequently fell prey to sparrowhawks. Common birds have considerably increased the height from where they sing in the vegetation during a period of 20 years when temperatures and precipitation have increased. These changes with a large effect amounted to an average increase Behavioral Ecology 216 Figure 3 Increase in song post position between 1986–1989 and 2010 in relation to population trend of different species of birds. The line is the linear regression line. in height by 1.2 m or 12%. I hypothesized that 4 different mechanisms potentially could account for such change. I discarded the first hypothesis based on changes in sound absorption with changes in temperature and precipitation because the effects of such changes would be small at best given the observed changes in temperature and rainfall. Second, air temperature can have significant effects on air turbulence that can affect high frequencies of birdcalls (Wiley and Richards 1982). Although I have no direct measurements of turbulence, this hypothesis predicts stronger effects of turbulence around noon than during calm periods around dawn and dusk. However, relative song post height did not change with time of day during the study, thus not providing support consistent with the hypothesis. Third, increasing precipitation could affect sound propagation and therefore timing of singing (Lengagne and Slater 2002). However, there has been no significant increase in the number of rainy days, whereas the increase in precipitation is caused by heavier rainfall when it rains. Fourth, climate change may affect vocal communication through effects of climate on plant phenology that has advanced significantly in parts of the temperate zone of Europe (e.g., Menzel et al. 2006). Such change in phenology will be particularly important for bird species that use tall vegetation like trees as song posts, whereas species singing in open habitat would be less affected (Martens 1980). Timing of leafing will affect reverberation and sound transmission with important consequences for choice of song post. Song post position has particularly increased in species that use forest but less so in species in shrub and not at all in grassland species. This effect was not simply a consequence of grassland species only being able to sing from a limited range of song post positions because single trees and hedges were present throughout the study area. Finally, the breeding phenology of birds has advanced considerably for residents and migrants (e.g., Rubolini et al. 2007, 2010; Lehikoinen and Sparks 2010). Such change in spring phenology could cause mistiming between the optimal transmission of vocal signals and the phenological stage of the vegetation. In particular, long distance migratory birds that have advanced their phenology only little and hence are increasingly asynchronous with the phenology of the vegetation should experience impaired environmental conditions for vocal communication. However, change in song post position was not significantly related to migration distance. Although this assessment is qualitative rather than quantitative, the conclusion is that particularly species that sing in forests have changed their song post position, and the evidence suggests that this may be due to advancing phenology of the vegetation. Interspecific heterogeneity in increase in song post height should depend on differences in benefits and costs of such an increase. Sexually dichromatic birds compete intensely for mates as reflected by high levels of extrapair paternity (Møller and Birkhead 1994; Owens and Hartley 1998). Thus, males of sexually dichromatic species should compete more intensely for sexual display sites than those of monochromatic species. Indeed, species with sexually dichromatic plumage increased their song post height more than monochromatic species, with a large effect size accounting for 36% of the variance (sensu Cohen 1988). Likewise, males of bird species with increasing population trends should compete more intensely for mating opportunities (Møller and Ninni 1998) resulting in increasing song post heights. Again, effect size was large at 28%. The fact that not all species responded similarly to changing conditions for sound transmission and attenuation implies that responses are under the influence of the ecology of different species. Sparrowhawks are the most common predators on passerine birds in the western Palearctic (Newton 1986). Møller et al. (2008) have shown that birds that sing from positions high in the vegetation are particularly susceptible to sparrowhawk predation. Here, I extend these findings by showing that increases in song post height depend on susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation, with species less susceptible to predation showing the largest increases in song post height. Thus, Table 1 Change in song post position in relation to sexual dichromatism, susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation, and population trend Variables Species: Sexual dichromatism Susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation Population trend Habitat Error Contrasts Sexual dichromatism Susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation Population trend Habitat Error Sum of squares df 0.091 0.040 0.049 0.090 0.300 1 1 1 1 28 0.049 0.005 0.017 0.018 0.065 1 1 1 1 27 P Slope (SE) 8.52 3.72 4.62 8.40 0.0069 0.064 0.040 0.0072 0.057 20.069 1.549 0.074 (0.020) (0.036) (0.721) (0.025) 21.19 2.35 7.19 7.93 ,0.0001 0.136 0.012 0.008 0.163 20.070 1.736 0.076 (0.035) (0.046) (0.648) (0.027) F The models had the statistics F ¼ 9.49, df ¼ 4, 28, r2 ¼ 0.58, P , 0.0001 and F ¼ 13.23, df ¼ 4, 28, r2 ¼ 0.29, P , 0.0001. Møller • Climate change and song posts climate change through elevated song post positions may affect the relative susceptibility of different species to predation and thereby affect predator–prey interactions (Millon et al. 2009). Finally, are the hypothesized effects of climate change listed here restricted to vocal signals? Similar arguments could readily be made for visual signals. If tree leafing advances due to increasing temperatures or other climate effects, we should expect a change in the signaling environment, especially for migratory species that have not changed their phenology. A comparison of changes in color over time for residents versus migrants would constitute a particularly powerful test. In conclusion, birds now sing from positions much higher in the vegetation than just a couple of decades ago during a period when temperature and precipitation increased rapidly. Interspecific heterogeneity in increase in song post height was explained by differences in costs (susceptibility to sparrowhawk predation) and benefits of high song posts (species with more intense mating competition showing a stronger response), demonstrating that changes in behavior vary in consistent ways with the ecology of different species. Change in song post position was most pronounced in forest species and least in grassland, consistent with the hypothesis that changes in plant phenology may be the cause of the change in song post height. SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL Supplementary material can be found at http://www.beheco. oxfordjournals.org/. T. A. Mousseau kindly lent me his hypsometer. REFERENCES Bass HE, Sutherland LC, Piercy J, Evans L. 1984. Absorption of sound by the atmosphere. In: Physical acoustics. Orlando (FL): Academic Press. Vol. 17. p. 145–232. Cohen J. 1988. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. 2nd ed. Hillsdale (IN): Lawrence Erlbaum. Cramp S, Perrins CM, editors. 1977–1994. The birds of the Western Palearctic. Vols. 1–9. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Davis KE. 2008. Reweaving the tapestry: a supertree of birds [PhD thesis]. Glasgow (UK): University of Glasgow. Felsenstein J. 1985. Phylogenies and the comparative method. Am Nat. 125:1–15. Garland T Jr, Harvey PH, Ives AR. 1992. Procedures for the analysis of comparative data using phylogenetically independent contrasts. Syst Biol. 41:18–32. Grell MB. 1998. Fuglenes Danmark. Copenhagen (Denmark): Gad. Griffin DR. 1971. The importance of atmospheric attenuation for the echolocation of bats (Chiroptera). Anim Behav. 19:55–61. Harris CM. 1966. Absorption of sound in air versus humidity and temperature. J Acoust Soc Am. 40:148–159. Heldbjerg D. 2005. Population indices from point counts of birds [Danish, with English summary]. Dansk Orn Foren Tidsskr. 99:182–195. Howard R, Moore A. 1991. A complete checklist of the birds of the world. London: Academic Press. IPCC. 2007. Climate change 2007. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Jones KE, Purvis A. 1997. An optimum body size for mammals? Comparative evidence from bats. Funct Ecol. 11:751–756. Krams I. 2001. Perch selection by singing chaffinches: a better view of surroundings and the risk of predation. Behav Ecol. 12:295–300. 217 Larom D, Garstang N, Payne K, Raspet R, Lindeque M. 1997. The influence of surface atmospheric conditions on the range and area reached by animal vocalizations. J Exp Biol. 200:421–431. Lehikoinen E, Sparks TH. 2010. Changes in migration. In: Møller AP, Fiedler W, Berthold P, editors. Birds and climate change. Oxford: Oxford University Press. p. 89–112. Lengagne T, Slater PJB. 2002. The effects of rain on acoustic communication: tawny owls have good reason for calling less in wet weather. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 269:2121–2125. Martens MJM. 1980. Foliage as a low pass filter: experiments with model forests in an anechoic chamber. J Acoust Soc Am. 67:66–72. McClave JT, Sincich T. 2003. Statistics. Englewood Cliffs (NJ): Prentice Hall. Menzel A, Sparks TH, Estrella N, Koch E, Aasa A, Aha R, Alm-Kubler K, Bissolli P, Braslavska O, Briede A, et al. 2006. European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern. Glob Chang Biol. 12:1969–1976. Millon A, Nielsen JT, Bretagnolle V, Møller AP. 2009. Response of a generalist predator to changes in the avian prey community of a rural area. J Anim Ecol. 78:1086–1095. Møller AP. 2004. Rapid temporal change in frequency of infanticide in a passerine bird associated with change in population density and body condition. Behav Ecol. 15:462–468. Møller AP, Birkhead TR. 1994. The evolution of plumage brightness in birds is related to extra-pair paternity. Evolution. 48:1089–1100. Møller AP, Erritzøe J, Nielsen JT. 2010. Causes of interspecific variation in susceptibility to cat predation on birds. Chinese Birds. 1:97–111. Møller AP, Nielsen JT, Garamszegi LZ. 2008. Risk taking by singing males. Behav Ecol. 19:41–53. Møller AP, Ninni P. 1998. Sperm competition and sexual selection: a meta-analysis of paternity studies of birds. Behav Ecol Sociobiol. 43:345–358. Mullarney T, Svensson L, Zetterström D, Grant PJ. 2000. The complete guide to the birds of Europe. London: Harper Collins. Newton I. 1986. The sparrowhawk. Berkhamsted (UK): T. and A.D. Poyser. Owens IPF, Hartley IR. 1998. Sexual dimorphism in birds: why are there so many different forms of dimorphism? Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 265:397–407. Purvis A, Rambaut A. 1995. Comparative analysis by independent contrasts (CAIC). Comput Appl Biosci. 11:247–251. Rubolini D, Møller AP, Rainio K, Lehikoinen E. 2007. Intraspecific consistency and geographic variability in temporal trends of spring migration phenology among European bird species. Clim Res. 35: 135–146. Rubolini N, Saino N, Møller AP. 2010. Does migratory behaviour constrain the phenological response of birds to climate change? Clim Res. 42:45–55. Scherrer B. 1972. Etude sur le poste de chant. Jean-le-Blanc. 11:2–46. Seddon N, Tobias J, Eaton M, Odeen A. 2010. Human vision can provide a valid proxy for avian perception of sexual dichromatism. Auk. 127:283–292. Spottiswoode CN, Tøttrup AP, Coppack T. 2006. Sexual selection predicts advancement of avian spring migration in response to climate change. Proc R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 273:3023–3029. Twiss SD, Thomas C, Poland V, Graves JA, Pomeroy P. 2006. The impact of climatic variation on the opportunity for sexual selection. Biol Lett. 22:12–15. Wiley RH, Richards DG. 1978. Physical constraints on acoustic communication in the atmosphere: implications for the evolution of animal vocalizations. Behav Ecol Sociobiol. 3:69–94. Wiley RH, Richards DG. 1982. Adaptations for acoustic communication in birds: sound transmission and signal detection. In: Kroodsma DE, Miller EH, editors. Acoustic communication in birds. New York: Academic Press. Vol. 1. p. 131–181. Zuk M, Kolluru GR. 1998. Exploitation of sexual signals by predators and parasitoids. Q Rev Biol. 73:415–438.