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European Heart Journal Supplements (2005) 7 (Supplement F), F27–F33 doi:10.1093/eurheartj/sui040 The realities of dyslipidaemia: what do the studies tell us? John J.P. Kastelein* Department of Vascular Medicine, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef 9, Amsterdam 1105 AZ, The Netherlands KEYWORDS HDL-cholesterol; Atherosclerosis; Cardiovascular risk; Dyslipidaemia; Evidence-based medicine Well-designed studies have established the benefits of statins in populations with widely differing overall cardiovascular risk. Statins reduce LDL-cholesterol in all of these populations, in some cases to a level well below guideline targets. The effects of statins on cardiovascular outcomes are remarkably similar between studies, with the incidence of cardiovascular events reduced relative to placebo by not more than 40% in any study and usually by 10–30%. Addressing other cardiovascular risk factors will be necessary to generate additional benefits. Atherosclerosis is increasingly considered an inflammatory disease, and reducing markers of inflammation, such as C-reactive protein, may prove beneficial. However, intervention with agents that increase HDL-cholesterol is already supported by substantial clinical evidence. A number of well-designed evaluations of fibrates and nicotinic acid, which act mainly by raising levels of HDL-cholesterol, have demonstrated significant improvements in outcomes in populations at high risk of cardiovascular events. Combinations of nicotinic acid with a statin have been shown to halt or reverse the progression of atherosclerosis, in the HDL Atherosclerosis Treatment Study (HATS) and in the Investigation of the Treatment Effects of Reducing Cholesterol (ARBITER) 2 trial. Nicotinic acid–statin combination therapy has produced the largest improvements in clinical outcomes so far achieved, with a reduction in cardiovascular events of 60–90% relative to placebo in HATS. Nicotinic acidbased combinations are a rational and an evidence-based approach to improve cardiovascular outcomes to a greater extent than is currently possible with statins alone. Introduction We live in the era of evidence-based medicine, and our routine clinical practice must be firmly based on the lessons learnt from well-designed clinical trials. Fortunately, the preceding decade has seen an explosive increase in the breadth and depth of clinical information since the publication of the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S)1 in 1994 and the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study Group (WOSCOPS)2 with * Corresponding author. Tel: þ31 20 566 6612; fax: þ31 20 566 9343. E-mail address: [email protected] pravastatin in 1995. Indeed, a series of landmark studies have defined the potential of statin-based therapy using a variety of agents of this type in a range of distinct patient populations. We now know a great deal concerning the efficacy of statins on lipid profiles and clinical endpoints and also their limitations in reducing the risk of coronary disease. This is an opportune time to stand back for a moment and consider the results of these trials and their implications for the future of clinical research and cardiovascular care. This review sets out to evaluate the therapeutics of statins in comparison with other lipidmodifying interventions, in patients at elevated risk of premature coronary death. & The European Society of Cardiology 2005. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected] F28 J.J.P. Kastelein Lifestyle interventions and outcomes in dyslipidaemia Lifestyle-based interventions, such as dietary modifications, have been shown to exert beneficial effects on the lipid profile in some studies. For example, the Boeing Employees Fat Intervention Trial (beFIT)3,4 evaluated the effects of the ‘Step II’ diet, recommended by the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP). This diet sets an upper limit for a total fat of ,30% of caloric intake, and for saturated fat of 7% of total caloric intake, with the stated intention of reducing levels of LDL-cholesterol.5 The beFIT study had the advantages of being of adequate size (n ¼ 383), together with a randomized design and an intent-to-treat analysis. Patients were taught the NCEP diet in eight weekly classes, followed by continued support through quarterly counselling sessions. The mildly dyslipidaemic patients in beFIT were stratified on the basis of gender and their lipid profiles at baseline, defined as hypercholesterolaemic (elevated LDL-cholesterol) or combined hyperlipidaemic (elevated LDL-cholesterol and triglycerides) to produce four groups. LDL-cholesterol decreased by 8–9% (P , 0.01) in men or women with hypercholesterolaemia or combined hyperlipidaemia after 6 months of follow-up. HDL-cholesterol was also decreased at this time point to a greater extent in women (by 5–6% from baseline, P , 0.01) than in men (by 1–3% of baseline, P ¼ NS). After 1 year, these decreases in HDL-cholesterol were maintained in hypercholesterolaemic women (27.6%, P , 0.01) and men (21.3%, P ¼ NS), whereas modest decreases of 3–5% from baseline occurred in men and women with combined hyperlipidaemia. The beFIT trial was not an outcomes study. However, the Lyon Diet Heart Study provides an illustration of the benefits that may be available from dietary modification. Patients assigned to a Mediterranean-style diet, low in saturated fat and cholesterol for 5 years, benefited from a significant reduction in the risk of a range of cardiovascular endpoints, including myocardial infarction (Figure 1 ).6 Unfortunately, it is difficult to attribute these benefits to lipid modification, as classic lipid parameters differed little between the intervention and the control groups in this study. Intake of viscous fibre, e.g. guar gum, pectin, oat gum, or psyllium, in quantities of 2–10 g/day has also been shown to reduce LDL-cholesterol by 6–7%.7 Similarly, intake of plant stanols or sterols (1–3 g/day) may provide a reduction in LDL-cholesterol of 5%.7 Drinks,8 yoghurts,8,9 and spreads10 enriched in stanols or sterols are available and provide a convenient and effective means of delivering these dietary treatments. Overall, these interventions may be considered to be equivalent to losing 4–5 kg (10 lb) of body weight.7 In addition, other lifestyle-based interventions, such as smoking cessation and exercise, will also exert beneficial effects on HDLcholesterol, in particular.5 As such, these interventions provide a useful starting point for the design of lipid-modifying therapy and are thus strongly supported by guidelines as a first step in correcting dyslipidaemia.5,11 However, in many cases, the limited magnitude of these effects may require the addition of pharmacological therapy to Figure 1 Reduced incidence of non-fatal myocardial infarction in patients maintained on a Mediterranean diet in the Lyon Diet Heart Study.6 aDietary intervention with canola (rapeseed) oil-based margarine, fibre, low cholesterol, low saturated fat, fruits, and vegetables. Reproduced with permission from: de Lorgeril M et al. 6 the regimen, particularly as improvements in risk factors through lifestyle intervention are notoriously difficult to maintain over the long-term.12 Evidence from major statin trials Efficacy in overall patient populations A paucity of effective medications and limitations in the design of clinical trials and collection of endpoints limited the success of early evaluations of lipid-modifying therapy in the pre-statin era. An early review of available trials, published in 1992, concluded that ‘lowering serum cholesterol concentrations does not reduce mortality and is unlikely to prevent coronary artery disease’.13 Fortunately, some of the landmark trials that would later refute this hypothesis were already under way.14,15 Today, the results of large, well-designed evaluations of various statins are available to guide evidence-based therapy for patients with varying degrees of cardiovascular risk. For example, the Air Force/Texas Coronary Atherosclerosis Prevention Study (AFCAPS/TexCAPS)16 recruited a relatively low-risk patient population without a prior history of cardiovascular events, with average total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol (the purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of the statin in patients with isolated low HDL-cholesterol). At the other end of the scale, the 4S study was a secondary prevention study in a high-risk population of patients with established coronary heart disease and hypercholesterolaemia.1 A number of other trials have evaluated statins in patients with intermediate levels of overall cardiovascular risk.2,17–22 (Figure 2 ). The primary endpoints of these trials were typically composites of coronary death and vascular events, although total mortality was the primary endpoint in 4S. The effects of the statins on clinical outcomes (Figure 3 ) were remarkably similar, given the differences Realities of dyslipidaemia Figure 2 Spectrum of cardiovascular risk in patient populations from selected randomized evaluations of statins. aOr other cardiovascular risk factor and bCHD or CHD risk equivalent, e.g. diabetes. CHD, coronary heart disease. Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S),1 Long-Term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischaemic Disease (LIPID) Study,18 PROspective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER),19 Heart Protection Study (HPS),19 Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) study,17 Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial (ALLHAT-LLT),21 Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial–Lipid Lowering Arm (ASCOT-LLA),22 West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study Group (WOSCOPS),2 Air Force/Texas Coronary Atherosclerosis Prevention Study (AFCAPS/TexCAPS).16 Figure 3 Effectiveness of statins on the risk of the primary endpoint in randomized, controlled trials. See Figure 2 for full names and references for quoted clinical trials. in the absolute cardiovascular risk of these patient populations, on average. Overall, intervention with a statin reduced the incidence of cardiovascular events by 25–30% across all of the studies. A meta-analysis of five trials, based on a total of 30 817 patients, found that an average reduction in LDL-cholesterol of 28% was associated with a 31% reduction in major coronary events, consistent with these findings.23 Therefore, it appears that as many as 70% of the cardiovascular events were not prevented by statins in these clinical trials. Efficacy of statins according to age and lipids at baseline Age The Heart Protection Study (HPS) included a substantial proportion of subjects aged 70 (n ¼ 5806, 28% of the total study population).20 Intervention with simvastatin F29 in these individuals produced a reduction in the risk of a first major vascular event of 18%, relative to placebo, which did not differ significantly from the 23% relative risk reduction observed in 9839 patients aged ,65 years. The PROSPER study set out to recruit an elderly population, with a recruitment criterion of age 70–82 at screening and an average age of 75 years at baseline.19 These patients were also at high cardiovascular risk due to a history of coronary heart disease or risk factors signifying an increased global cardiovascular risk, although LDL-cholesterol was only mildly elevated at baseline [mean value 3.8 mmol/L (147 mg/dL)]. The protection afforded by the statin was within the range of that observed in other statin trials (Figure 3 ), with a 15% reduction in the risk of the combined primary endpoint coronary heart disease death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or any stroke, and a 19% reduction in the risk of death from coronary heart disease or non-fatal myocardial infarction. Clearly, statins are as effective in the elderly as in other populations. Extent of lipid lowering Subgroup analyses in the HPS also included stratification based on patients’ LDL-cholesterol at baseline. The effects of simvastatin on LDL-cholesterol were essentially identical across these subgroups, with average placebocorrected reductions of 0.9 mmol/L (35 mg/dL) for patients with LDL-cholesterol ,3.0 mmol/L (,116 mg/dL), and 1.0 mmol/L (40 mg/dL) in the groups with LDLcholesterol 3.0 mmol/L and ,3.5 mmol/L (,135 mg/dL) or 3.5 mmol/L. Mean final LDL-cholesterol was 1.8, 2.2, and 2.7 mmol/L, respectively, for the three subgroups. Little difference in the reduction in the risk of a first major cardiovascular event was apparent among these groups, despite different lipid levels achieved or in a fourth subgroup with LDL-cholesterol ,2.6 mmol/L (,100 mg/dL) at baseline (Figure 4 ). The Collaborative Atorvastatin Diabetes Study (CARDS) also evaluated the potential of achieving low levels of LDL-cholesterol on the incidence of cardiovascular events.24 Patients eligible for CARDS did not have markedly elevated LDL-cholesterol [4.14 mmol/L (160 mg/dL) at baseline] or a history of cardiovascular disease. However, the presence of type 2 diabetes and at least one risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes (retinopathy, albuminuria, smoking, or hypertension) signified a high global cardiovascular risk. The study was terminated after an average of 3.9 years of follow-up, 2 years earlier than planned as efficacy endpoints had been met. In patients randomized to atorvastatin, mean LDL-cholesterol declined from 3.0 mmol/L (117 mg/dL) at baseline to 2.1 mmol/L (82 mg/dL) at study end, a reduction from baseline of 40% (P , 0.0001), whereas HDL-cholesterol was essentially unchanged. This profound reduction in LDL-cholesterol was accompanied by a reduction in the risk of major cardiovascular events of 37% (P ¼ 0.001). Thus, CARDS demonstrated a reduction in cardiovascular endpoints comparable to that shown for hypercholesterolaemic patients in Figure 3 in a patient population who achieved, on average, LDL-cholesterol levels well below the target value of 2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) F30 Figure 4 Incidence of major vascular events according to patients’ levels of LDL-cholesterol at baseline in the HPS.20 Numbers above columns are relative risk reductions. recommended by current guidelines for the management of dyslipidaemia in diabetic patients.25 A further trial set out to test the hypothesis that the profound lowering of LDL-cholesterol with a statin should provide additional clinical benefits over usual care strategies with these agents. The Pravastatin or Atorvastatin Evaluation and Infection Therapy (PROVE-IT) trial compared the effects of intensive lipid-lowering therapy with atorvastatin 80 mg [target level 1.7 mmol/L (65 mg/dL)] with those of ‘standard’ lipid-lowering therapy with pravastatin 40 mg [target level 2.5 mmol/L (95 mg/dL)] in patients hospitalized for acute coronary syndromes (myocardial infarction or unstable angina).26,27 The LDL-cholesterol targets were achieved, with mean values of 1.6 mmol/L (62 mg/dL) in the intensive group and 2.5 mmol/L (95 mg/dL) in the ‘usual care’ group at study end. The incidence of a combined endpoint comprising all-cause mortality or major cardiovascular events was significantly lower in the intensive therapy group (16% risk reduction vs. the ‘usual care’ group, P ¼ 0.005). Beyond LDL-cholesterol lowering C-reactive protein The PROVE-IT investigators attributed the additional reduction in event rates on the atorvastatin regimen to the additional LDL-cholesterol lowering observed in this arm.27 However, the study design was complicated by the use of different statins, which may have different effects on parameters other than LDL-cholesterol. The reversal of atherosclerosis with aggressive lipid lowering (REVERSAL) trial also compared pravastatin 40 mg with atorvastatin 80 mg, with angiographic measurements of atheroma volume as the primary endpoint, in a total of 657 patients requiring angioplasty for coronary artery disease.28 Mean LDL-cholesterol declined significantly (P , 0.001) from 3.9 mmol/L (150 mg/dL) at baseline J.J.P. Kastelein Figure 5 Effects of intensive and moderate lipid lowering strategies on the progression of atherosclerosis and plasma C-reactive protein in the Reversal of Atherosclerosis with Aggressive Lipid Lowering (REVERSAL) trial.28 P , 0.001 vs. baseline (angiographic data only). Indices of atheroma progression are median values. in either treatment group to 2.8 mmol/L (110 mg/dL) in the pravastatin group and to 2.0 mmol/L (79 mg/dL) in the atorvastatin group. Atheroma burden progressed significantly in the pravastatin (moderate lipid-lowering) group, but did not change significantly in the atorvastatin (intensive lipid-lowering) group relative to baseline, with a significant difference between these treatments (Figure 5A and B ). The greater reduction in atheroma burden in the intensive lipid-lowering group in the REVERSAL trial is consistent with the further improvement in clinical outcomes, beyond that provided by moderate lipid lowering, with the intensive regimen in PROVE-IT. It is tempting to attribute this additional benefit to the lower levels of LDL-cholesterol achieved with the intensive regimen. However, other mechanisms may be involved. The REVERSAL investigators measured levels of plasma C-reactive protein, in addition to lipoproteins. To their surprise, atorvastatin was markedly and significantly more effective in reducing C-reactive protein than pravastatin (Figure 5C ). Inflammatory processes are increasingly being implicated in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis,29 and C-reactive protein is an acute phase protein that provides a marker of the presence of inflammation of any aetiology.30 Elevated C-reactive protein is a useful marker of increased cardiovascular risk, despite its lack of specificity as to the source of the inflammation and correlates with indices of atherogenic and thrombotic risk.31,32 Indeed, following 8 years of follow-up of 27 939 healthy women in the USA, the highest quintile of C-reactive protein was associated with a greater risk of a first cardiovascular event than the highest quintile of LDL-cholesterol (relative risks 2.3 vs. 1.5, respectively).33 HDL-cholesterol raising Correcting low HDL-cholesterol provides an alternative means of reducing cardiovascular risk,34–36 whether or not LDL-cholesterol is elevated.37 Interestingly, the Realities of dyslipidaemia phenomena of inflammation, low HDL-cholesterol, and increased cardiovascular risk may be connected. A 9-year study of 245 participants of the Physicians Health Study who went on to develop myocardial infarction (cases) and 372 subjects who remained free of cardiovascular disease (controls) focused on the prognostic importance of C-reactive protein and HDL-cholesterol.38 Cases had significantly (P ¼ 0.008) lower HDL-cholesterol [1.2 mmol/L (46 mg/dL)] than controls [1.3 mmol/L (49 mg/dL)] and significantly higher total-cholesterol: HDL-cholesterol ratios (5.3 vs. 4.5, P ¼ 0.001), as would be expected. Apparently healthy men in the highest tertile of total-cholesterol: HDL-cholesterol ratio (.5.01) and C-reactive protein (.1.69 mg/L) were at a 4.4-fold higher risk of a first myocardial infarction when compared with patients in the lowest tertiles for these parameters (,3.78 and ,0.72 mg/L, respectively). For comparison, the relative risks of a first myocardial infarction were 2.8 for high total cholesterol:LDL-cholesterol ratio (and low C-reactive protein) and 1.3 for high C-reactive protein (and low total cholesterol:LDL-cholesterol ratio). Interventions to correct low HDL-cholesterol have demonstrated statistically and clinically significant reductions in the incidence of cardiovascular events. The Veterans Affairs HDL intervention trial (VA-HIT) demonstrated a reduction of 24% vs. placebo (P ¼ 0.006) in the risk of a coronary event during 5.1 years of treatment with a fibrate (gemfibrozil) in a patient population with prior myocardial infarction and low HDL-cholesterol [1.0 mmol/L (40 mg/dL)] at baseline.39 Data from the VA-HIT population stratified for HDL-cholesterol after treatment show a clear association between low HDL-cholesterol and increased cardiovascular risk (Figure 6 ).39–41 A multivariate analysis (Cox proportional hazards model corrected for age, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, and body mass index) explored the relationships between levels of individual lipid components and the risk of a combined endpoint of death from coronary heart disease or non-fatal myocardial infarction in VA-HIT.40 This analysis revealed a significant association for HDL-cholesterol [relative risk 0.89 (95% CI Figure 6 Relationship between HDL-cholesterol and cardiovascular outcomes in the VA-HIT.39–42 Reprinted from Sacks FM. & 2002 with permission from Excerpta Medica Inc.41 F31 0.81–0.98), P ¼ 0.02], but no significant association for LDL-cholesterol [relative risk 1.09 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.21), P ¼ 0.13] or triglycerides [relative risk 1.03 (95% CI 0.95–1.11), P ¼ 0.48]. These data confirm the earlier finding from the Helsinki Heart Study in a population without low HDL-cholesterol at baseline that fibratebased therapy produces outcome benefits that are largely due to increases in HDL-cholesterol.42 Further studies have evaluated the effects on cardiovascular outcomes of nicotinic acid, which is the most effective agent currently available for raising HDLcholesterol.43 The Coronary Drug Project demonstrated significant improvements in cardiovascular endpoints, including a 14% decrease in the incidence of coronary death plus non-fatal myocardial infarction (P , 0.05), in a population of almost 4000 patients with a history of coronary heart disease randomized to nicotinic acid or placebo.44 A significant benefit for nicotinic acid in terms of reduced overall mortality (relative risk reduction 211%, P ¼ 0.0004) and coronary heart disease death (relative risk reduction 212%, P , 0.01) persisted for 9 years after the end of the study, i.e. 15 years after the initial randomization.45 The largest improvements in cardiovascular outcomes have been observed in patients receiving combinations of a nicotinic acid plus a statin. The HATS46 randomized patients with low HDL-cholesterol [men: 0.9 mmol/L (35 mg/dL); women: 1.0 mmol/L (40 mg/dL)] to double-blind treatment with nicotinic acid plus simvastatin, or placebo, with or without additional antioxidant vitamins. After 3 years of treatment, average changes from baseline in HDL-cholesterol of 29% and LDLcholesterol of 243% in the nicotinic acid group were associated with angiographic evidence of regression of coronary atherosclerosis and a 60–90% reduction in the incidence of major coronary events (P 0.03). Discussion The trials evaluating statin monotherapy have demonstrated highly reproducible and similar outcome benefits in widely varying patient populations. These agents are quite rightly now regarded as the mainstay of pharmacological treatment for correcting hyperlipidaemia. However, the maximum benefit of this approach in recent trials evaluating intensive LDL-cholesterol lowering seems to have reached a plateau at an approximate 20–40% reduction in the incidence of coronary events. Three more randomized outcome studies evaluating the effects on lipids and outcomes with intensive control of LDL-cholesterol (high-dose statins), in comparison with less intensive regimens (low-dose statins), are in progress and will report in the near future. These are the Study Evaluating Additional Reduction in Cholesterol and Homocysteine (SEARCH) trial, comparing simvastatin 20 mg with simvastatin 80 mg,47 the Treating to New Targets (TNT) trial,48 evaluating atorvastatin 10 mg and atorvastatin 80 mg, and the Incremental Decrease in End Points through Aggressive Lipid Lowering (IDEAL) F32 study49 which is evaluating atorvastatin 80 mg in comparison with simvastatin 20 mg. The intensive therapy aims of these trials are expected to achieve mean LDLcholesterol concentrations substantially ,2.6 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) and will verify, for example, whether a 50% reduction in this parameter can achieve a 50% reduction in cardiovascular events. Given the evidence currently available, however, it seems likely that lowering LDL-cholesterol alone may not be enough to markedly improve cardiovascular outcomes beyond these levels, and intervention on other factors little affected by these agents is required to break through to higher outcome benefits. Low HDL-cholesterol is common among patients with dyslipidaemia, and a wealth of evidence from epidemiological studies and clinical trials shows that increasing HDL-cholesterol markedly reduces the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Nicotinic acid is the most effective agent for increasing levels of HDL-cholesterol currently available for clinical use.50 The improvements in clinical outcomes observed in the HATS trial, obtained using a statin plus nicotinic acid, were clearly larger than those seen with statins alone in previous trials. Although these large improvements require confirmation in other studies, they are supported by the results of an openlabel follow-up of 176 patients previously enrolled in a double-blind, randomized evaluation of the effects of nicotinic acid þ a statin þ a bile acid sequestrant on the progression of coronary atherosclerosis.51,52 Among 75 patients who remained on the triple regimen, 1.3% died during 10 years of follow-up when compared with 19.8% of 101 patients returning to usual care under their own physician (P , 0.001). Similarly, the incidence of cardiovascular events was reduced in the triple therapy groups, relative to usual care group (5.3 vs. 18.8%, P , 0.05). Moreover, nicotinic acid-based regimens have been shown to slow the progression of atherosclerosis. The double-blind, randomized, Arterial Biology for the Investigation of the Treatment Effects of Reducing Cholesterol (ARBITER) 2 trial compared the effects of 12 months’ treatment with a prolonged release preparation of nicotinic acid (Niaspanw) at a dose of 1000 mg once-daily with those of placebo in 167 statintreated patients with a history of coronary disease, low HDL-cholesterol [,1.2 mmol/L (,45 mg/dL)], and reasonably well-controlled LDL-cholesterol [,3.4 mmol/L (,130 mg/dL)].53 There was no significant progression of atherosclerosis in the Niaspanw group, whereas atherosclerosis progressed significantly on placebo. Actual regression of atherosclerosis with a statin plus nicotinic acid was observed in subgroups of patients with the most severe coronary atherosclerosis at baseline in the HATS trial. Regression of atherosclerosis has not been observed with statin monotherapy; even the intensive statin regimen in the REVERSAL trial no more than halted its progression. Taken together, the current trial data suggest that the additive benefits available from simultaneous HDL-cholesterol raising and LDLcholesterol lowering hold the key to achieving the next breakthrough in improving clinical outcomes in patients with dyslipidaemia. J.J.P. Kastelein Conclusions Treatment with statins produces similar reductions in cardiovascular risk irrespective of patients’ age, lipid profile at baseline, or level overall cardiovascular risk. Even intensive lowering of LDL-cholesterol with these agents to levels well below current guideline targets has not reduced the risk of cardiovascular events by .20–40%, although trials in progress will ascertain whether 50% reductions in LDL-cholesterol translate to a similar proportional reduction in the frequency of cardiovascular events. 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