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BRIAN CHARLESWORTH SPECIATON Down the bottleneck? Experiments in which laboratory populations of fruitflies have been repeatedly passed through bottlenecks fail to support 'founder-effect' models of speciation. Most contemporary evolutionary biologists consider the acquisition of reproductive isolation between two formerly interbreeding populations to be the criterion for regarding them as having achieved the status of separate species; this is the basis of the 'biological species concept' [1,2]. Reproductive isolation may involve factors such as behavioural or ecological differences that prevent mating of individuals from the two populations (pre-zygotic isolation), or genetic differences that lead to sterility or inviability of hybrids (post-zygotic isolation) [1,2]. There is much less agreement about the causes of speciation, largely because data on the genetics and biogeography of species differences permit only indirect inferences about causation [3]. It seems clear, however, that a very important role in speciation has been played by the genetic divergence of two geographically isolated populations that were formerly part of the same breeding unit [1-3]. There are two possible ways in which such divergence may lead to reproductive isolation. One is by the independent substitution of new alleles at different loci in separate populations, such that each new allele is advantageous or selectively neutral on its current genetic background. But there is no selection pressure to ensure that the new alleles from a pair of isolated populations will function in harmony when they are brought together in an Fl hybrid. Incompatibilities between the mating behaviours or the genomes of the two populations may thus eventually arise (Fig. la), even though no selectively inferior genotypes have ever been produced within either population [1]. The alternative possibility is that one of the populations passes through an 'adaptive valley' of reduced fitness, as a result of random changes in genotype frequencies due to finite population size (genetic drift), which knock the population off an initial equilibrium under selection (Fig. Ib). A hybrid between the two populations will be likely to have a genotype that corresponds to the adaptive valley, and hence will suffer reduced fitness, giving rise to postzygotic isolation. Similarly, male and female mating behaviours might be displaced from their initial states, through the genetic drift of alleles controlling courtship behaviour, leading to the evolution of a new set of behaviours that produce pre-zygotic isolation from the ancestral state. This latter type of mechanism was first proposed by Sewall Wright [4], who envisaged that speciation-could be a byproduct of his general 'shifting-balance' process of evolutionary change, which depends on the above type of interaction between drift and selection. In particular, he suggested that a chromosomal rearrangement which causes a high degree of sterility when heterozygous, such as a reciprocal translocation, could become fixed as a result of drift in very small populations founded by a few colonizing individuals [4]. This theory was the precursor of more recent models of 'founder-effect' speciation [5,6]. Despite differences in detail, these models all require a new population to be founded by a small number of individuals, and then to grow rapidly to a large size. Genetic drift during the initial phase of small population size can propel the population towards a new equilibrium; once a large size has been attained, the population will remain there under the influence of selection. Advocates of founder-effect speciation have suggested that it can cause much more rapid speciation than processes that rely on changes taking place in large populations, Fig. 1. Two modes of speciation. (a) A population, initially fixed for alleles A, and B1 at two different loci, is split into two geographically isolated populations; one becomes fixed for new allele A2, the other for new allele B2. Fixation of a new allele can occur either because it has a selective advantage, or because it is selectively neutral and fixed by drift. In an F1 hybrid between the two populations, the two new alleles interact to produce a selectively inferior genotype. (b) Alleles A1 and B1 are initially present at high frequencies. As a result of genetic drift, one population becomes fixed for the low-frequency alleles A2 and B2, despite the reduced fitness of genotype A1/A2 B1/B2, which must have been present at a high frequency in the transitional stage before A2 and B2 became fixed. If the other population is unchanged, the F1 hybrid between the two populations will suffer reduced fitness. © Current Biology 1995, Vol 5 No 9 995 996 Current Biology 1995, Vol 5 No 9 because it overcomes conservative forces that supposedly prevent evolutionary change in large populations [5,6]. Founder-effect speciation is also consistent with the observation that new species often evolve in association with the colonization of new habitats [5,6]. Critics - myself included - have pointed out that population genetic theory and data do not support the notion that large populations are inherently incapable of evolutionary change [7]. Furthermore, theoretical models of founder events suggest that there is only a low probability that a transition which induces a high degree of reproductive isolation will occur in a single founder event, and plausible alternative explanations for associations between founder events and speciation exist [3,7]. While the results of genetic analyses of the basis of reproductive isolation strongly support the notion that it is due to the acquisition of different sets of interacting genes in separate populations [3], they cannot tell us the causes of such divergence, so that the question of the role of founder events in speciation is left unanswered by such analyses, valuable as they are in other respects. Experimental studies on the effects of bottlenecks of small population size seem to offer the best hope for resolving this question. There is evidence from studies of groups like the Hawaiian Drosophila fauna that successful founder events are frequently associated with speciation [8]. If this is due to the type of process outlined in Figure lb, it should be possible to bring about significant reproductive isolation by passing replicate laboratory populations through population bottlenecks, and testing them either for isolation among themselves, or from control populations that have not experienced bottlenecks. Several studies of this kind have been published over the last 15 years, using Drosophila or the house fly Musca domestica as material [9]. Only sporadic instances of relatively weak reproductive isolation have been detected in association with bottlenecks. A very large study of this kind has recently been published by Andres Moya and co-workers [10], again with largely negative results. The design of their study is as follows. Large numbers of D. pseudoobscura fruitflies from two natural populations, one in Utah and the other in Mexico, were used to found two laboratory populations. Each ancestral population was used to initiate a number of experimental populations, with one, three, five, seven or nine pairs of founders. These were allowed to grow exponentially for six generations, and then forced through a bottleneck of reduced numbers with crowding and competition for resources. A new cycle of founder-flush-crash events was then restarted with the same initial number of founders; 13 such cycles were carried out for each experimental population. Three types of control were maintained for each of the two ancestral populations: one in which they were not subject to any reduction in population size, one in which they were subject to inbreeding without flush-crash cycles, and one in which each flush-crash cycle consisted of a generation with a single-pair mating followed by two flush generations. Tests for behavioural isolation between pairs of populations were carried out by observing the numbers of different classes of mating when 12 males and 12 females from the two populations were placed in mating chambers. Out of a total of 486 tests of pairs of experimental populations, 49 showed significant (p < 0.05) evidence for positive assortative mating (indicating behavioural isolation), about twice as many as would be expected by chance; 10 out of 142 tests of isolation between experimental and control populations gave significant results. Only 1 out of 50 tests of isolation between controls was significant. Repeat tests were conducted on pairs of populations that showed significant isolation; there seemed to be little tendency for stable maintenance of isolation, and no evidence that isolation grew stronger as the experimental populations were passaged through successive founder-flush cycles. There was also no evidence that smaller bottlenecks of population size were associated with the acquisition of isolation, as might be expected under the founder-effect model of speciation. Even in those cases where isolation was highly statistically significant, the degree of isolation was modest, and certainly not comparable with that observed between good species. Overall, this and earlier studies seem to suggest that measurable degrees of pre- and post-zygotic isolation are sometimes associated with population bottlenecks, but that nothing approaching the level of isolation required for speciation has been observed [9,10]. These experimental tests of the effects of population bottlenecks on reproductive isolation do not seem to provide strong support for the notion that founder events often cause speciation. Changes in phenotypes associated with reproductive isolation, such as mating behaviour, do seem to be weakly associated with passages through founder-flush cycles, but this does not prove that the population genetic mechanisms postulated in theories of founder-effect speciation are responsible. Indeed, partial reproductive isolation between populations seems to be more frequently produced in the laboratory by processes akin to the model of divergence between populations [1,2], sketched in Figure la [9]. Empirical support for an important causal role for founder effects in speciation is still lacking. Given the theoretical objections to this model [3,7], scepticism towards it seems to be justified at present. References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Dobzhansky T: Genetics and the Origin of Species. New York: Columbia University Press; 1937. Mayr E: Systematics and the Origin of Species. New York: Columbia University Press; 1942. Otte D, Endler IA: Speciation and its Consequences. Sunderland, Massachusetts: Sinauer, 1989. Wright S: Breeding structure of populations in relation to speciation. Am Nat 1940, 74:232-248. Mayr E: Change of genetic environment and speciation. In Evolution as a Process. Edited by Huxley S, Hardy AC, Ford EB. London: Allen and Unwin; 1954:157-180. Carson HL, Templeton AR: Genetic revolutions in relation to speciation phenomena: the founding of new populations. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 1984, 15:97-131. Barton NH, Charlesworth B: Genetic revolutions, founder effects, and speciation. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 1984, 15:133-164. Carson HL, Kaneshiro KY: Drosophila of Hawaii: systematics and ecological genetics. Ann Rev Ecol Syst 1976, 7:311-346. Rice WR, Hostert EE: Laboratory experiments on speciation: what have we learned in 40 years? Evolution 1993, 47:1637-1653. Moya A, Galiana A, Ayala FJ: Founder-effect speciation theory: failure of experimental corroboration. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 1995, 92:3983-3986. Brian Charlesworth, Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637-1573, USA.