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Mendel’s Genetic Conclusions Chapter 3: Basic Principles of Heredity, Part 2 • Plants possess two genetic factors for a character. --alleles • The two genetic factors separate when a gamete is formed. --two alleles segregate from each other during meiosis. • Some factors are dominant over other factors. --The dominant and recessive phenotypes are in a ratio of 3:1 in the F2 generation. The genotypic ratio is 1:2:1. • Separate factors assort independently of each other. --Alleles at different loci assort independently of each other during meiosis. Laws of Probability Probability is defined as the likelihood of a particular event occuring Always between 0 and 1 0 means the event will never happen 1 means the event will always happen 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36 P = 0.95? P = 0.05? 1/6 + 1/6 = 2/6 = 1/3 1 Applying Probability to Genetic Crosses Tt x Tt 1 2 1 TT Tt tT tt (T gamete and T gamete (T gamete and t gamete (t gamete and T gamete (t gamete and t gamete ½x½=¼ ½x½=¼ ½x½=¼ ½x½=¼ tall tall tall short 3 1 Punnett Square: The long way to figure out probabilities of particular genotypes or phenotypes. 2 A branch diagram in a dihybrid cross: An easier way to predict phenotypic and genotypic ratios Break a dihybrid cross into two monohybrid crosses (Break a trihybrid cross into three monohybrid crosses!) A branch diagram in a testcross Using Probability directly in a Dihybrid Cross: my favorite way! Consider a cross of RrYy x RrYy What is the probability of getting an individual with round, green seeds? (= the Ry phenotype) R phenotype y phenotype ¾ ¼ = 3/16 What is the probability of getting an individual with the RrYy genotype? Rr Yy ½ ½ = 1/4 3 Using Probability in a Trihybrid Test Cross Using Probability in a Trihybrid F1 Cross Consider a cross of RrYyTt x RrYyTt What is the probability of getting an individual with the RRYytt genotype? RR Yy tt ¼ ½ ¼ = 1/32 1. Consider a cross of RrYyTt x RrYytt (Round, Yellow, Tall plant x Round, Yellow, short plant) What is the probability of getting an individual with the RYt phenotype? Round Yellow short R phenotype Y phenotype t phenotype ¾ ¾ ½ = 9/32 2. Consider a cross of RrYyTT x RrYytt (Round, Yellow, Tall plant x Round, Yellow, short plant. Same phenotypes as 1st problem) What is the probability of getting an individual with the Ryt phenotype? (Same phenotype as 1st problem) Round R phenotype ¾ Yellow Y phenotype ¾ short t phenotype 0 = 0 A way to determine whether observed data fit the expected ratios. What is the probability that the numbers seen were due to chance? Chi Square Test A measure of the deviation of observed values from expected values Coin flip example 4 white purple A larger chi-squareÆ greater deviation from the expected values Looks like a monohybrid cross? Expected ratio: 3:1 3/4:1/4 Do these observed numbers deviate significantly from the expected numbers? P<0.5 The probability is high that the deviation from expected is merely due to chance. Total: 150 Expect 3/4x150=112.5 1/4x150=37.5 If the flowers can only be purple, how many degrees of freedom are there? Thus we did not refute our hypothesis: It still may be a monohybrid cross, simple dominance. The most common cutoff for P is 0.05 P>0.05: Deviation of observed values from the expected values may be due to chance P<0.05: Deviation of observed from expected is probably not due to chance. There is something going on that does not fit our expectations (hypothesis). 5 Additional example in chapter 3: Domestic cats: Black is dominant over grey Bb x Bb Expect B kittens:b kittens = 3:1 Observe: 30 black 20 grey Chi-square = 6.0 Æ check chi-square chart P<0.025 = a less than 2.5% probability that the deviation from 3:1 is due to chance. What might be the reason? 6