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Orchestrating a National Translational Research Strategy John Bell O.S.C.H.R. UK Health Research Analysis • Published May 2006 • First ever comprehensive national analysis of health research funding • 11 largest Government and charity funders of health related research in the UK • Collected peer-reviewed research funded 2004/2005 – £950m/9500 awards • All types of research activity and all areas of health and disease O.S.C.H.R. UK Health Research Analysis O.S.C.H.R. UK Health Research Analysis O.S.C.H.R. Drivers for Change O.S.C.H.R. O.S.C.H.R. Key Findings UK Health research system has many strengths But: Risk of failing to meet full economic, health and social benefits of UK public investment; No overarching health research strategy; Key gaps in the translation of health research; Funding of health research from concept to practice could be more coherent; Cultural, institutional and financial barriers to translating research. O.S.C.H.R. O.S.C.H.R. A Single Health Research Strategy A new, sustainable, strategic framework for health research and cultural change Continued investment in basic biomedical science A ‘Health Research Ring-fence’ Commitment and engagement across all four UK Administrations New investment targeted in key strategic areas Government Investment in Health Research 1600 1400 Millions GBP 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2000 2004 2006 2009 OSCHR Partners developing a single UK Health Research Vision UK Health Research Vision Office for Strategic Coordination of Health Research OSCHR Translational Medicine Board E-Health Records Research Board Human Capital Infrastructure Office for Strategic Coordination of Health Research Public Health Board O.S.C.H.R. UK Health Research Priorities Survey of unmet medical need Evaluation of Scientific Opportunity Health economic impact England – Forecast Increase in Diabetes Prevalence by Local Authority District, 2001-2020 The Burden of Disease and Illness in the UK: S. Green, R Miles. April 2007 Source: Yorkshire & Humber Public Health Observatory 2007 The Burden of Disease and Illness in the UK: S. Green, R Miles. April 2007 England and Wales – Age-standardised rates for three major causes of death (per million population), 1971-2005 The Burden of Disease and Illness in the UK: S. Green, R Miles. April 2007 Source: Office for National Statistics 2007 England and Wales – Cancer Mortality Trends – Agestandardised Mortality rates per Million Population, 1991-2005 The Burden of Disease and Illness in the UK: S. Green, R Miles. April 2007 Source: Office for National Statistics 2007 Health Research Opportunities 2 • • • • • • • • • • Stratification of phenotype Regeneration and replacement Tracking response to intervention Measure, understand and modify environmental and inherited influences on health Exploitation of world leading position in hypothesisgenerating science to deliver improved health Early detection of the opportunity for effective intervention Primary prevention Behaviour modification Understanding the burden of illness Development of new interventions Office for Strategic Coordination of Health Research O.S.C.H.R. Rebuilding Basic Science Infrastructure National Institutes MedicalBiology, Research, Mill Hill MRC Laboratory for for Molecular Cambridge Translational Pipeline O.S.C.H.R. Translational Medicine • Experimental Medicine and Exploratory Development, including imaging, biomarkers: MRC • Methodology for large and small clinical trials: MRC • Large trials and evaluations of therapeutics, devices, diagnostics, and other interventions (overlapping with public health): NIHR • Clinical training: NIHR Charities The complex environment of translational medicine High throughput screening MRC NIHR, WORD, Scotland DA Training HTA BRCs Biomarkers BRUs Trial Methodology AHSCs Molecular pathology Cohorts Imaging Cyclotrons Preclinical models Biologics CRFs Stratification Regulation Enabling technology Biobank RNAi GMP facilities Genetics Technology transfer Stem cells Large trials Chemistry Translational Medicine: Enabling Technology • • • • • Imaging Biomarkers Drug Safety Experimental Medicine Genotype:Phenotype O.S.C.H.R. Developmental Pathway funding Scheme (MRC) Large Scale Evaluation Discovery Target identification L.I. L.O. Preclinical models Biologics P.o.C. Regulatory Support Safety and Toxicology Manufacturing and Formulation Phase II and III Trials Phase I HTS O.S.C.H.R. Biomedical Research Centres (NIHR) • 5 Centres selected in competition • £100 million p.a. support for infrastructure and personnel • Increase capacity in experimental medicine and exploratory development O.S.C.H.R. Well-characterised Small Cohorts (MRC & NIHR) • Common disease cohorts (e.g. COPD, osteoarthritis, heart failure, stroke, hepatitis C, HIV, Alzheimer’s disease) • Phenotyping using imaging, physiology, genetics and genomics • Disease progression monitoring • Maintained for experimental medicine and exploratory development Molecular Diagnostics: The new genetics in clinical practice Translational Genetics Bridging the Gap Translational Funding Research Labs Basic Science Diagnostic Labs Proof of Concept Clinical Trials Clinical Practice Next Generation Sequencing 454 Life Sciences SOLEXA / ILLUMINA Oxford Nanopore Sequencing Projects PROJECTS • Sudden Cardiac Death • Retinal Degeneration • Mental Retardation • Pathogens • HNPCC cancer • CHD • Type 2 diabetes • Renal cancer • Melanoma POTENTIAL TLN OUTCOMES • Improved test for 5-10 genes • New UK /European test • New UK /European test • Infection surveillance in hospitals • Improved test & novel application • New UK /European test • Identification common variants • Pharmacogenetics tests • Signal transduction pathways, Stratified medicine Sudden Cardiac Death Syndromes •Hypertrophic and dilated cardiomyopathies, long QT syndrome •Heterogeneous single gene conditions - autosomal dominant •Incidence 1:500-1:1000 •Condition treatable once diagnosed – lifestyle, beta blockers, defribillators •Oxford GKP programme •Up to 5 genes currently tested for HCM, DCM or LQT •Potential to increase referrals (cardiologists, coroners) & expand genes tested (10) •Technology upgrades required to support this •Once validated can be applied to other established NHS genetic tests (eg BRCA1/2) Retinal Degeneration •Inherited eye conditions •Defects in photoreceptors and retina leading to progressive visual loss •Genes known, but currently lack of comprehensive testing •25-30 genes known for autosomal recessive retinitis pigmentosa •200-300 genes for ARRP, ADRP, XLRP and other relevant eye disorders Pathogen Surveillance Clinical applications: Novo virus, MRSA, C difficile, TB At national level: identify new epidemic strains At local level: identify endemic outbreaks Individually: identify pathogen to inform clinical intervention Array CGH-NHS Potential • Develop as first line test for chromosomal anomalies • Multi-sample formats and high density • Cost implications and commissioning (>50% cost efficiency) • Extend Applications • Speech and language / autism • Congenital heart disease • Leukaemia • Pre-implantation genetic diagnosis • Cancer • Diagnosis, prognosis, treatment selection SLI037: ~456kb 3p26.3 loss, ~607kb Xp22.11 gain 3p26.3 Father Male Proband Xp22.11 Male sib (affected) Father Male Male sib proband (affected) Large Scale Evaluation • • • • Therapeutics Diagnostics Devices Other interventions O.S.C.H.R. E-Health • Contribute to developing Connecting for Health for research purposes (Research Capability Program) • Pilot studies with databases in UK (GPRD), Scotland and Wales • Federate databases across UK Benefits - Research • Epidemiology scale follow up of patient cohorts. • Content rich databases allowing integration of data • Evaluation of efficacy and toxicity of therapeutics in real populations • Rapid ascertainment for clinical trials • Novel cohort methodology for evaluations of all forms of interventions Integration of patient data Laboratory data Genomic data E-Health Record Imaging GP record Hospital admission E-Health Effective systems of record linkage in Scotland, Wales and parts of England (North west and Birmingham) but international competition is growing Research capability program is delivering tools for research purposes that will work in most systems CfH is unlikely to be the platform in its current form but multiple exisiting record systems will work together Governance of data could be limiting factor We have lost the international lead Why have we lacked in Public Health Research? Multiple disciplines (epidemiology, infectious disease, modelling, behavioural psychology) Much is outside the health system and Department (education, transport, workplace environment) Multiple disease areas (cardiovascular, cancer, infectious disease, mental health, diabetes) Inconsistent and sparse funding No career track for professionals Public Health Chronic Disease Infectious Disease Discovery Infectious Infectious Disease DISEASE Discovery Surveillance Evaluation Evaluation Going Global with Public Health Can we do better in Public Health? Multi-agency/multi-departmental funding Leadership in a few major areas (addictions and mental health, infections, obesity, ageing) Obtain national experiments from others (transport, education) Work with industry The Economy…. Maintaining a Competitive Commercial Health Sciences Sector • Pharma pipelines are poor and late stage failures are frequent • Efficacy is low in unstratified populations • Marketing exceeds innovation • Clinical Trials are too slow and expensive • Biotech business model is broken. Gestation is too long and Venture Capital is scarce • Not enough partnerships Patient Recruitment HPS-Thrive 7000 6000 • Too slow • One size fits all • Too many sites 5000 4000 Costs: 3000 2000 US 1.0 UK 0.6 China 0.3 1000 0 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 UK Apr-07 May-07 Scandanavia Jun-07 China Jul-07 Aug-07 Stratification Imperatives Rheumatoid Arthritis (Mkt $16 billion) Biologics Target Infliximab TNF 30-40% non response Remicade TNF 30-40% non response Humira TNF 30-40% non response Kineret IL-1 Limited efficacy Rituxan CD20 Orencia CTLA-4 Actemra IL6-R Limited efficacy 10% super responders Current development path PV & RM I II IIIa Review HTA Access IIIb FIM PoC Ph III entry Key characteristics of current model • Linear processes • Expensive-increasing data demands • Segmented input & decision making • Delayed access IV Submission P&R Launch External activities Sponsor activities www.abpi.org.uk Potential flexible blueprint Safety and PV Explore : R & D Review & design Confirmatory trials Confirm broad approval Access (& revenue) Effectiveness/ comparative studies Key characteristics of new model: Potential for flexibility, based on patient need •Multi-stakeholder input, and partnership, at an earlier stage, esp at ‘review and design stage’ above •More parallel processes •More measured , less binary, assessment of risk/benefit , potentially managed on a rolling basis •Early (conditional) access, when justified •Supports incr. productivity and decr. costs Timing of ‘blocks’ is movable, dependant on need Company activity Regulator/HTA activity Both www.abpi.org.uk Contribution of changes to blueprint Safety and PV Explore : R & D Review & design Confirmatory trials Confirm Broad approval Access (& revenue) Collaboration of Stakeholders, for example: -enabling technology (eg biomarkers) -cooperation on confirmatory trials between companies - partnering with healthcare provider Reduction in CT costs & time -challenge accumulation of new demands -move away from one size fits all -simplify/ rationalise GCP -increased targeted medicines Joint design , with innovator +regulators +regional HTA Effectiveness and potentially comparative studies Better b enefit/risk assessments - to include patient views, and be more internationally consistent More flexible options for design and analysis in confirmatory trials - eg adaptive study design and Bayesian methods Early access schemes , on condition of subsequent data collection Flexible pricing and reimbursement , to a) support multiple indications and b) reflect evolving evidence base O.S.C.H.R. Benefits for Industry: Translational Medicine • Creating new insights into pathways relevant to disease, providing new targets for industry for therapeutic intervention. • Validating targets and pathways using both small molecules and antibodies • Development of new and preclinical models that more appropriately mimic disease pathogenesis • Managing programmes that are surplus to requirements but informative to industry through exploratory development • Development of new diagnostics, therapeutics or devices up to and including exploratory development that could be further exploited by industry • Development of better tools for the evaluation of preclinical and clinical safety • Exploratory development programmes • Content-rich large-scale trials • Methodology innovation for trials OSCHR Future Challenges and Opportunites • Effective communication of the role of OSCHR and the entire UK funding landscape • Commercial Interactions • Public Health Research • E-Health Records Research • Capacity Building • The Economy! Office for Strategic Coordination of Health Research