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M Ramesh S OCIAL P OLICIES IN S INGAPORE Introduction “The Government will subsidise investments like education and infrastructure, it will not subsidize consumption expenditure. To do so is to undermine the traditional virtues of thrift, personal responsibility and the will to achieve, and to weaken our economy” (President Of Singapore, Address to the Parliament. Straits Times, 7 January 1992) Singapore has had a somewhat unique social policy strategy Assumes that economic development is the best (only?) way to promote social welfare Further assumes that families can and should fill social needs Emphasizes education and housing rather than health and, especially, social welfare Government committed to supporting “investment” rather than “consumption” Described as “capital investment state” (not welfare state) Ramesh #2 Origins of Social Policy in Singapore At the core of this somewhat unique welfare state lies a combination of British colonial legacy and PAP government’s policy outlook. The colonial government’s social policy was mainly for the colonial civil servants. Social policy for the general population followed a residual, charity-like approach No regular income support program Provident fund for the aged established in the final years of the colonial government A few public and charity hospitals existed for the destitute Church-run schools for the children of local elites No housing policy of any note Ramesh #3 Origins of Social Policy in Singapore Following independence in 1965, Lack of public assistance programs continued Provident fund retained and expanded Public hospital system expanded Public schools systems expanded Public housing system established and rapidly expanded Although not fully understood at the time, the expansion of public education and health programs contributed substantially to human development Public housing system contributed to enhanced savings and strengthening political support for the government The ill-effects of ignoring income support were negligible due to rapid economic growth and rising income (and low unemployment) and young population Ramesh #4 Human Development Index. 2013 Massive improvements in social indicators after the 1970s. This is reflected in Singapore’s rank in the Human Development Index It performs better on the economic than social indicators Govt has begun to gradually expand income support programs in response to political and demographic pressures. Norway Australia Switzerland Netherlands United States Germany New Zealand Canada Singapore Denmark Ireland Sweden Iceland United Kingdom Hong Kong Korea, South Japan HDI Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 15 17 Ramesh #5 Income and Poverty Singapore is the 3rd richest country in the world Income gini high: ranked 144th in the world Partly a result of lack of income support programs. Significant absolute poverty: 10 - 12% of all residents earn less than (US$1,000) and are “unable to meet basic needs”. [Lien Centre] High relative poverty: 20-22 % of the population have income below 50% of median monthly income Ramesh #6 Income and Poverty Government has begun to recognize problems of poverty and inequality and increased transfers to households: In 2014, resident households on average received S$ 3,370 per person from various Government schemes which was 25% higher than in 2009 Income, Gini Coeffient 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Before Transfers 0.460 0.470 0.474 0.472 0.478 0.464 After Transfers 0.419 0.418 0.424 0.425 0.432 0.412 Source: Singstat (2014). Key Household Income Trends, 2014 Ramesh #7 Income and Non-Income HDI, 2010 HDI Country rank 1 2 3 4 5 10 11 12 13 14 15 26 Norway Australia Netherlands United States New Zealand Sweden Switzerland Japan Hong Kong, Iceland Korea, South Singapore HDI 0.943 0.929 0.910 0.910 0.908 0.904 0.903 0.901 0.898 0.898 0.897 0.866 Gross national GNI per Non income (GNI) capita rank income per capita minus HDI HDI 47,557 34,431 36,402 43,017 23,737 35,837 39,924 32,295 44,805 29,354 28,230 52,569 6 16 9 6 30 4 0 11 –4 11 12 –22 0.975 0.979 0.944 0.931 0.978 0.936 0.926 0.940 0.910 0.943 0.945 0.851 Ramesh #8 Introductory Conclusions Key observations on social welfare programs in Singapore : Public assistance is the only stable income support for the poor. It is meagre and available only to destitutes with no family support. Other benefits for the poor are discretionary and piecemeal The aged have to save compulsorily for their retirement. Extensive state provision of hospital care but everyone except the very poor are expected to pay Government provides housing to bulk of the population, but everyone except the poor are expected to pay the full cost Education is largely provided and funded by the government. Ramesh #9 Introductory Conclusions Emphasis on education and under-emphasis on social welfare is consistent with and reflects the “liberal” belief in equality of opportunity rather than equality of outcome; Individual responsibility Foreign investment-driven and export-oriented economic development strategy Financial sectors’ pivotal position in the economy Lack of electoral competition But the traditional social policy strategy undermined by Demographic pressures Slower economic growth Enhanced electoral competition Ramesh #10 Income Maintenance Income Maintenance Underlying assumptions Individuals should fend for themselves Family should look after those who cannot State should be the last resort because public social welfare: Undermines individual work incentives Weakens public finances Undermines family and community The Minister for Community Development described the government’s strategy as one of “assistance, not welfare; mutual obligation, not entitlement” (Balakrishnan, 2005). Ramesh #12 Social Welfare: Means tested Public Assistance Public Assistance is for those in long-term need. Available only to: To those with “good” reason for being poor and no family support (children's’ household income <S41,700). To a minimal degree: not meant to cover all essential costs PA rate is S$450 a month for elderly individuals, S$1,180 for a family of 4, and S$1,330 for larger families. The PA benefit is around 10% of national per capita GDP, compared to OECD average of 25%. The aged and disabled are the largest group receiving public assistance Due to lack of adequate programs for them Ramesh #13 Social Welfare: Other programs Comcare established in 2005 to offer short-term benefits Offers temporary cash and food aid, help in securing work, and subsidies for childcare, kindergarten Eligibility: income below S$ 650 per household member Workfare established in 2007. Directed at those in low-wage employment (earning <$1,900). Benefits amount to S$ 933- 3,500 per year depending on age, income, assets, etc. 40% of the benefit is in cash and the rest in CPF deposit Poor also have access to Nearly free primary and secondary education Subsidized rental housing Subsidized utilities No program for the unemployed Ramesh #14 Social Welfare for Aged: Central Provident Fund (CPF) Established in 1955. Participation is compulsory for all employed persons, except for foreign workers and casual and part-time workers Contribution rates have ranged 5 – 50% of wages. Current combined contribution rate is 36% of wages. Employee contributes 20% and the employer 16%. Members’ accounts are divided into 3 sub-accounts,: 1. Ordinary: holds 33-63% of funds, depending on age. • Can be withdrawn for housing. Such withdrawals form >75% of all CPF withdrawals 2. Special: holds 5-26%. Share increases with age. • May only be withdrawn at the age of 55 years. 3. Medisave: holds 5-26%. Share increases with age. • Can only be used for approved medical expenses Ramesh #15 Social Welfare: Central Provident Fund (CPF) The average CPF balance per member was $61,500 in 2011. CPF is estimated to provide average replacement income of about 20% of the last pre-retirement income (http://thehearttruths.com/2013/11/04/shocking-facts-about-our-cpf-in-singapore-part-1/ 50% replacement is recommended More than half the aged do not have sufficient funds in their CPF account to meet the “minimum sum” requirement. Low replacement is due to Withdrawal of much of special account funds for housing Low returns: annual average real return of 1.3% for ordinary account and 3% for special account over 1999-2009. Lower in earlier period. Most importantly, there is no risk-pooling Ramesh #16 Health Ramesh #17 Health care in Singapore: achievements Impressive health care achievements Singapore’s health care system was ranked 6th overall among 192 countries in 2000 Infant mortality rate (IMR) of 2.1 per 1000 births in Singapore is less than half the OECD average Life expectancy of 80.6 years is higher than the OECD average Singapore spends little on healthcare Total health expenditures (THE) formed 4% of GDP, compared to OECD average of 9% Ramesh #18 Total Health Expenditures, % of GDP ,20 ,18 ,16 ,14 ,12 ,10 ,8 ,6 ,4 ,2 ,0 France Japan Singapore UK USA Ramesh #19 Current Healthcare System in Singapore Key features of the current healthcare system Provision: 81 % of all hospital beds are in the public sector 55% of all physicians in the public sector 20 % of primary healthcare service providers are public (in polyclinics patients generally pay 50% of the costs while the elderly and children pay 25%) Provider Payment Largely fixed payment for services at public hospitals (which is vast majority) Fee for Service (FSS) for outpatient care (mostly private) Financing Govt expenditure on health care forms 33% of THE Almost all of private expenditures is from non-insurance sources Ramesh #20 Health Care Financing Medisave A compulsory savings scheme introduced in 1984. Every employee contributes 7-9% (depending on age) of monthly salary to a personal Medisave account. Can only be used for personal or immediate family's hospitalization, day surgery and certain outpatient expenses. MediShield A low cost catastrophic illness insurance scheme introduced in 1990 It requires large co-payment and high deductible to reduce moral hazard Premium considerably lower than regular insurance Renamed MediShield Life in 2013. Higher claim limits and lower co-insurance payment for large bills. Age limit (90 years) removed Ramesh #21 Health Care Financing Medifund An endowment fund set in 1993 to help Singaporeans unable to afford medical expenses. Initial capital of S$200 million which rose to S$1.66 billion in 2008). Only the interest income is used for spending Massive expansion of the scheme in 2013 (https://www.moh.gov.sg/content/dam/moh_web/PressRoom/Press%20releases/FY13%20Medifund%20Annual%20Repo rt%20(with%20financial%20statements).pdf Government Subsidy for public hospitals. There are three classes of wards which offer different levels of comfort. Patients Class A wards pay the full cost whereas patients in other ward classes enjoy subsidies ranging from 20% of the cost for the 4-bedded rooms to 80% of the cost for the open dormitories. Ramesh #22 Share of Total Healthcare Expenditures Medisave 8% Medishield 2% Govt subsidies 25% Private Insurance 15% 2 3 4 5 6 Out of pocket 25% Employer Benefits 35% Health Policy Conclusion The health care system in Singapore works effectively due to Public ownership of hospitals Active govt management of hospitals using strict controls and some incentives Capped payments for hospital services But the large out of pocket payments (used to control costs and improve accountability) have severe equity impacts Medifund inadequate for the task Expanded insurance unavoidable. Already occurring as Medishield is being expanded Ramesh #24 Housing Housing Policy Housing for all has been a policy goal of the PAP govt since 1959 It is seen as a key to “nation building” Housing achievements are a major election platform for PAP Singapore has probably the most comprehensive housing policy in the world, covering and tied to: Land supply Land use and infrastructure planning Building Construction Housing Allocation Housing Financing Pension Community development and ethnic relations Stalin meets Friedman: and it works! Ramesh #26 Housing Policy: History 1st Five Year Building Programme (1960 - 1965) emphasised construction of one-room emergency flats for rent Housing Development Board (HDB) established in 1960 2nd 5 year plan (1966 – 1970) emphasized “Home Ownership for the People” Allowed withdrawal of CPF funds for purchase of housing After 1970, the emphasis was on neighbourhood planning and accelerated public housing programme The 1991 Revised Concept Plan called for “towards a tropical city of excellence. Shift from quantity to quality and balancing between public and private housing Ramesh #27 Housing Policy: Main Policy tools Land Policy The government owns more than 80% of total land, up from 40% in 1960. Much of the land was acquired at below market prices under Land Acquisition Act of 1966 which abolished eminent domain. Between 1973 and 1987, the government acquired land at 1973 rates rather than market rates Housing & Development Board (HDB) is the dominant property developer in Singapore HDB is a statutory board As a large developer, it has economy of scale and enjoys immense negotiating power It is also subject to market competition It plays a role in social engineering Ramesh #28 Housing Policy: Main Policy tools Complex system of housing finance to keep housing affordable Ramesh #29 Housing Finance Most people fund their housing purchase entirely from their CPF http://www.mnd.gov.sg/reflections_housing/images/article6-02-big.jpg Ramesh #30 Housing Policy: Main Policy tools Public Housing More than 82% of households in Singapore live in public housing Vast majority of public housing is privately owned Conditions for HDB flats Purchase 4-room or bigger flat . monthly household income under th $8,000. includes 3/4 of the population. 3-room flat . monthly household income under $3,000. For low income families. 2-room flat. monthly household income under $2,000. for poor families Rental flats. Total gross household income under $1,500. for very poor families Ramesh #31 Public housing Sale prices of 4+ room flats recover costs. Still cheaper than market price due to cheap land 90 % of households own their own housing in Singapore Even 87% of lowest income quintile own their own flats More than 87% is public Ramesh #32 Home Ownership Rate Ramesh #34 Home Ownership Rates by Household Incomes in Singapore Ramesh #35 Price to Income Ratio PIR (2010) Homeownership Rate 1 Hong Kong 22.72 52 % 2 Shanghai 20.68 80 % 3 Seoul 16.29 52 % 4 Bangkok 15.96 56 % 5 Singapore 14.35 89 % 6 Tokyo 11.64 45 % 7 Taipei 11.5 82 % 8 Kuala Lumpur 11.27 80 % Ramesh #36 Price to income Ratio (typical upscale housing unit of 100 sqm) http://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/singapore/price-gdp-per-cap/b Ramesh #37 Conclusions: Housing Policy Housing for most people in Singapore is affordable due to Government provision Financing from CPF Problems and Future Challenges CPF Withdrawal for housing reduces amount available for retirement Declining birth rate will reduce asset prices in future, unless offset by immigration. Ramesh #38 Education Education Policy Education is a major priority for the government One of the senior-most cabinet positions 2nd largest item in government budget The education system is patterned after the British system Pre-primary: 3 years Primary: 6 years Secondary: 4-5 years Junior College: 2 years Similar to reforms in many other countries, Increased autonomy for Schools Expansion of pre-primary education Unlike reform trends elsewhere, emphasis on national testing reduced, to promote creativity Ramesh #40 Ramesh #41 Education Policy: Salient Features Most primary and secondary schools and universities are entirely owned and operated by the government Private schools are mostly for foreigners Nursery and kindergardens are mostly private Small but increasing govt subsidy Government almost entirely funds education at all levels No tuition fees at government schools. Low fees at universities All instruction in English, with supplementary teaching of the students' "mother tongue“: Malay, Tamil, or Mandarin “streaming” in secondary schools whereby students with weak academic potential are diverted to vocational education Goal is to reduce drop-out rate while increasing skills level A small number of (best) schools have operational autonomy Ramesh #42 Education Policy: Salient Features Nearly universal enrolment at primary and secondary levels 94% of primary 1 cohorts goes on to post-secondary education Only 30% cohort go to university Teacher : student ratio(2009) Primary: 21.4 Secondary: 17.9 Education formed 21% of total government expenditures in 2012 Singaporean students are one of the best performers in international tests Ramesh #44 PRIVATE Enrolment by Level of Education, % http://www.quandl.com/education/singapore-all-education-indicators Year Pre-Primary 72.37% 1989 Primary 7.59% 2009 Secondary 6.37% 2009 Tertiary 65.31% 2012 45 Expenditure on Education, 2012 http://www.quandl.com/education/singapore-all-education-indicators Public expenditure on education as % of GDP 3.3% Public expenditure on education as % total Govt expenditure 23% Share of public educational expenditure, % Primary 19% Secondary 23% Tertiary 40% Total public educational expenditure per pupil as % of GDP per capita Primary 12% Secondary 19% Tertiary 27% 46 Recent Social Policy Trends in Singapore The govt began to weaken its anti-welfare stance in 2010. Expansion of welfare programs speeded following the 2011 election and particularly in 2015 as the election approaches Benefits for the Aged. “Pioneer Generation Package” lunched in 2013. Offers healthcare and income benefits to those above 65 In 2014, the government set wage floors for cleaners and security guards (the bulk of working poor) while remaining opposed to minimum wages In the 2015 budget speech, the government declared commitment to “building a fair and inclusive society” Announced a raft of health care, income maintenance, and social services benefits However, Government expenditure on social welfare programs would remain under 8% of GDP in 2015 (6.2% in 2009). OECD average of 20-25% (http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/opinion/singapore-budget-2015/moving- 47 Recent Social Policy Trends in Singapore The recent expansion does not represent fundamental depature from the past. Government remains committed to maintaining individual responsibility Most benefits are discretionary: no entitlement Compulsory savings remains the preferred policy tool Aversion to risk-pooling Benefits for the working poor through businesses rather than directly to individuals Marginalization of women in social programs: emphasis on families looking after their own is premised on unpaid work by women 48