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RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT OF NON-FERROUS METALS Realizing the Benefits and Controlling the Risks HAZARD IDENTIFICATION EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT DOSE-RESPONSE EVALUATION RISK CHARACTERIZATION RISK MANAGEMENT ICME RISK COMMUNICATION A Publication by the International Council on Metals and the Environment RISK ASSESSMENT AND RISK MANAGEMENT OF NON-FERROUS METALS Realizing the Benefits and Managing the Risks ICME A Publication by the International Council on Metals and the Environment Dedication T his document is dedicated to the memory of Marcel Valtat, the founder and head of Communications Économiques et Sociales with corporate headquarters in Paris, France. He brought ICME to the realization that this publication was an important initiative and led the way in proposing its purpose, scope and content. Marcel Valtat was born in Paris on March 6, 1923. He spent his childhood in the Morvan, a rugged and poor region in central France. In 1940, he suspended his studies to join the French Resistance alongside his parents. Imprisoned by the Nazis for a year, he eventually escaped in 1944. Following the liberation of France, Mr. Valtat became “chef de cabinet” for another Resistance fighter, Charles Tillon, while he was Minister of Air (1944-1945), Minister of Armaments (1945-1946) and later Minister of Reconstruction (1947). Mr. Valtat then took a job as a journalist, which he eventually abandoned for reasons of conscience. In 1957, Marcel Valtat founded the public relations department of the advertising agency Synergie. In 1964, he set out on his own, establishing the firm Communications Économiques et Sociales where he quickly put to work interactive methods of communication. Throughout his career, he was admired for his very personable style and demand for high quality, and for the scrupulousness with which he treated all matters entrusted to him. Marcel Valtat passed away in Paris on December 20, 1993. 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .v Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .vii Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ix CHAPTER 1. Introduction ......................................... 1 CHAPTER 2. Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes .5 Typology of Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 What are Metals? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 Types of Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Production of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Occurrence and Extraction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7 Processing and Manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Recycling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Use of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 History . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Current and Future Uses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10 Properties of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Physical Attributes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Important Properties for Risk Assessment and Risk Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17 CHAPTER 3. Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals The Risk Assessment Framework and Hazard Identification Data for Hazard Identification . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Epidemiology of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Toxicology of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ecotoxicity of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 CHAPTER 4. Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37 Dose-Response Evaluation . . . . Threshold Substances . . . . . . Non-Threshold Substances . . Ecotoxicology Dose-Response Exposure Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Table of Contents i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 .39 .44 .46 .48 Risk Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53 General Principles of Sound Risk Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61 CHAPTER 5. Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .63 Risks . . . . . . . . . . . . Life Cycle Analysis Acceptable Risk . . Benefits . . . . . . . . . . Costs . . . . . . . . . . . . Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64 .66 .69 .69 .71 .76 CHAPTER 6. Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . .77 Risk Management Framework . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .78 Risk Management Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .80 Health Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82 Joint Industry-Government Environmental Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .83 Pollution Control Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .84 Phase-Out of High-Risk Uses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 Voluntary Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .85 Worker Health and Safety Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 Risk Communication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .88 Pollution Monitoring and Remediation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .89 Recycling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90 Environmental Mangement Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91 Product Stewardship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .92 Technology Transfer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93 “Green Design” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .94 Future Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 Industry-Government Cooperation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .96 Setting Priorities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .97 Matching Risks with Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .97 Innovative New Approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .98 Reasonable “Stopping Points” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .99 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .101 CHAPTER 7. Acronyms and Abbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 CHAPTER 8. Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .105 CHAPTER 9. Further Reading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals ii 113 TABLES, FIGURES, AND BOXES Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Page 1. 2. 3. 4. Uses of Some Common Non-Ferrous Metals . . . Some Common Attributes of Non-Ferrous Metals IARC Carcinogen Classification Scheme . . . . . . . Standard Safety Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 .14 .31 .41 Figures 1. 2. 3. 4. A Coordinated Framework for Risk Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .x A Coordinated Framework for Risk Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20 Example of Dose-Response Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 Example of U-Shaped Dose-Response Curve for an Essential Metal . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 Boxes 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. The Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Use of the Term “Metal” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 The Numerous Compounds of a Non-Ferrous Metal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 The Future Supply of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 Environmentally Beneficial Uses of Non-Ferrous Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 Essential Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Hypothetical Example of Information Bias . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23 Example of Confounding . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Chromium Epidemiology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Metals Classified as Possible Carcinogens by NTP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 The Example of Copper Ecotoxicity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33 Alternative Dose-Response Approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42 Metal Toxicity and Deficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43 Genotoxic vs. Non-Genotoxic Carcinogens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45 The Canadian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47 Ecotoxicity Adjustment Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .48 Bioavailability and Metals Speciation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51 Importance of Site-Specific Factors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52 Principles of Sound Risk Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55 Bioaccumulation of Metals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .58 The Distributional Approach to Risk Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60 Example of Metal Toxicity from Industrial Source . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64 Example of Toxicity from a Metal Product . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .65 Natural Sources of Metals in the Atmosphere . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66 The Relationship Between Release and Risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67 Facility Decommissioning . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68 The Importance of Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71 Table of Contents iii 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. Cost Analysis — Three Basic Questions . . . . . . . . Risk-Risk Tradeoffs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Indirect Health Consequences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Recently Proposed Risk Management Frameworks Quantitative vs. Qualitative Weighing . . . . . . . . . . List of Risk Management Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . The Belgian Cadmibel Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Emissions Reduction Case Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . The Leaded Paint Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Product Labels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Industry-Sponsored Recycling Program . . . . . . . . . ICME and Product Stewardship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A Risk-Based Priority-Setting Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals iv . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72 .74 .75 .78 .80 .81 .82 .84 .86 .89 .91 .93 .97 Foreword T he public is confronted with increasingly numerous and complex messages regarding the risks they face in their daily lives. Individuals are left with the challenge of making decisions on whether the risks are worth the benefits. Information provided to the public is variable in quality, and the individual is usually illequipped to determine the validity of the case being communicated in the popular press. The International Council on Metals and the Environment (ICME) is an advocate of the use of sound science and analysis with respect to information on the safe production, use, recycling and disposal of metals. The methodologies used to determine the health and environmental risks posed by metals have been largely established as an adjunct to those developed for the assessment of synthetic organic chemicals, based on three primary criteria: toxicity, persistence and bioaccumulation. While these criteria have served well in defining organic chemicals which require close scrutiny in order to assess risks and provide appropriate risk management systems, the direct application of these criteria to metals fails to address the special characteristics of metals. The late Marcel Valtat of the Paris-based company Communications Économiques et Sociales encouraged ICME to advance the understanding and knowledge of risk assessment for metals through an easily readable publication. Subsequently, ICME commissioned recognized authorities in risk assessment and disciplines related to minerals and metals to prepare a book on risk assessment and risk management of non-ferrous metals. Dr. W. G. Jeffery has had a distinguished career in science, engineering and policy development in both industry and government. Dr. George Gray is Deputy Director of the Harvard Centre for Risk Analysis of the Harvard School of Public Health. Dr. Gary Marchant is a scientist and lawyer specializing in environmental matters with the firm of Kirkland & Ellis in Washington, DC. A “working draft” was first issued in September 1995 and entitled Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals: Realizing the Benefits and Controlling the Risks. It was sent out to nearly 500 individuals for review and comment. Many comments were received, notably from the research and academic communities, and were taken into account in preparing this book for final publication. As well, the editorial structure has been changed to provide the reader with a general overview and to select salient points throughout the book without having to study the book at length. Foreword v This book should give both the novice and the professional insights and guidance in undertaking risk assessment and risk management of metals. It introduces sources, production, properties and uses of metals as a basic introduction to their unique characteristics. The disciplines required in hazard identification, dose-response, exposure and risk analysis are described in sufficient detail for a good understanding of the process and its application to metals. The options for risk management are outlined and the role of proper risk communication is addressed. Hopefully, this publication will be seen as a substantial contribution to the better understanding and practice of risk assessment and risk management, particularly as they apply to metals. It should appeal to both those knowledgeable in the field and to those seeking further insights into risk assessment. It can also provide a valuable guide to those engaged in policy and decision making related to the control and regulation of non-ferrous metals. Readers are encouraged to read and use this book in addressing their own requirements in the field of risk assessment. They are also encouraged to review the text critically and comment directly to ICME. ICME would like to incorporate the views and ideas of the readership in a revised edition as required to achieve a level of quality that can serve the risk assessment/risk management community for years to come. Gary Nash Secretary General ICME Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals vi Acknowledgements T he expertise, professionalism and energy of the three principal authors — Dr. George M. Gray, Dr. William G. Jeffery and Dr. Gary E. Marchant — have been central to the completion of the process that has led to this publication. Their background is provided on the inside back cover of this book. ICME would like to extend particular thanks to Ms. Bette Meek, Health Canada; Dr. Richard Gaunt, RTZ Corporation (UK); Dr. Peter Chapman, EVS Environment Consultants (Canada); and, Dr. B.K. Davison, BKD Consultants (UK), who read and commented extensively on the draft text. Appreciation is also extended to a number of others who provided insightful comments on the “working draft” of this ICME publication, including Dr. Joel Barnhart, Harcross Chemical Group (USA); Ms. Marcia Blanchette, Natural Resources Canada; Dr. John H. Duffus, The Edinburgh Centre for Toxicology (UK); Dr. John K. Fawell, Water Research Centre (UK); Dr. W. F. Forbes, Statistics Canada; Dr. Herman Gibb, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USA); Dr. Janet D. Gough, Lincoln University (NZ); Dr. Bev Hale, University of Western Ontario (Canada); Dr. Michael S. Johnson, University of Liverpool (UK); Dr. S. M. McGill, University of Leeds (UK); Dr. Colin F. Mills, Rowett Research Institute (UK); Mr. Bob Riley, US Department of Commerce (USA); and Dr. John Shortreed, Institute for Risk Assessment, University of Waterloo (Canada). Special appreciation is expressed for the contribution of Dr. Stuart Dobson of the Institute for Terrestial Toxicology (UK) who strengthened aspects of environmental risk assessment in the light of discussions at the International Workshop on Risk Assessment of Metals and Their Inorganic Compounds in Angers, France, November 13 – 15, 1996. Acknowledgements vii Executive Summary L ike all materials, non-ferrous metals have the potential to present risks to public health and the environment. Those risks must be accurately assessed and properly managed. Much progress has already been achieved in reducing the risks from non-ferrous metals. Industry, governments, scientists and others are pursuing additional strategies for managing the remaining risks. All sectors of society now recognize that the production and use of metals, both for existing and new applications, must be environmentally acceptable. This publication presents an overview of the risk assessment and risk management of non-ferrous metals. Techniques and principles of risk assessment and risk management must take account of the special properties of non-ferrous metals. Risk assessment and risk management should apply an even-handed, scientifically sound approach to the variety of substances, products and activities that present risk in today’s society, while recognizing and accounting for unique properties. Non-ferrous metals have many special properties, summarized in Chapter 2. For example, non-ferrous metals in one form or another are ubiquitous in the environment, occurring naturally in soil, plants, water and the atmosphere. Each non-ferrous metal can exist in many different physical and chemical forms (or species) with very different bioavailable and toxic characteristics. Some non-ferrous metals are essential for life, and thus too little of such metals can be as hazardous as too much. Metals are elemental materials that are never created or destroyed by chemical means, but only transferred from one environmental compartment to another. Metals are also recyclable, which has a benefits-multiplier effect when the same unit of metal is used over and over again for different applications. Because of these and other special properties of non-ferrous metals, each application of a non-ferrous metal presents a unique risk and benefit profile. A key prerequisite to the effective risk management of non-ferrous metals is to accurately assess the risks from specific metal applications. A general paradigm for the risk assessment process has been provided by the National Research Council, the research arm of the US National Academy of Sciences. The European Union (EU) uses a similar framework. The four steps of risk assessment are: (1) hazard identification; (2) doseresponse evaluation; (3) exposure assessment; and, (4) risk characterization. Figure 1 shows these steps and their relation to risk management, the process that uses the output from risk assessment as an input for decision making, along with economic, equity and legal considerations. Figure 1 also indicates the need for feedback from the risk Executive Summary ix FIGURE 1. A Coordinated Framework for Risk Assessment manager to the risk assessor in order to provide some guidance on the level of complexity of analysis required. The first step in the risk assessment process is hazard identification, which uses sciences such as toxicology, epidemiology, occupational medicine and ecology to identify the adverse health and environmental effects associated with exposure to a substance. Chapter 3 reviews the hazard identification process, including factors that must be considered in applying the traditional hazard identification methods and assumptions to non-ferrous metals. Hazard identification of non-ferrous metals varies not only by metal, but also by the specific metal species and route of exposure involved. Hazard identification of non-ferrous metals must also consider that deficiencies of essential metals can be as hazardous to human health or the environment as excessive levels. Hazard identification is only the first step in risk assessment, and does not provide an estimate of risk under identified exposure scenarios. A usable risk assessment also requires dose-response evaluation, exposure assessment and risk characterization — which are reviewed in Chapter 4. Sound risk assessment requires at each step in the process the consideration and weighing of all relevant evidence, acknowledgement of the assumptions and uncertainties, and presentation of the results in a clear and usable format. Normally, the uncertainties will be such that a range of risks will be described. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals x Risks are only one side of the equation in the risk management of non-ferrous metals. Benefits must also be considered, as well as the costs of replacing or limiting specific uses. Chapter 5 summarizes the weighing of the risks, benefits and costs relevant to risk management of non-ferrous metals. A common theme in evaluating these parameters is that they are all highly context-specific and depend on the specific metal species and application at issue. Reasonable decision making requires the balancing of risks, benefits and costs associated with specific uses of non-ferrous metals. Risk management is the decision-making process which seeks to minimize risks and costs while maximizing the benefits associated with a substance. Chapter 6 begins by identifying a series of risk management approaches that have been applied to non-ferrous metals and which have cumulatively achieved major reductions in the risks presented by non-ferrous metals. These risk reductions have resulted from the combined effects of industry initiatives, government regulation, scientific and technological advances, and increased public expectations and corporate accountability. The second part of Chapter 6 addresses some principles to guide future risk management of non-ferrous metals in order to achieve additional risk reductions at acceptable cost to society. First, cooperative efforts between industry, governments and other interested parties, which utilize the resources and expertise of each, are generally more effective in achieving efficient risk reduction than unilateral or adversarial approaches. Second, every potential hazard cannot be addressed simultaneously, and therefore riskbased priorities for future action will need to be established and followed. Third, in choosing from the hierarchy of possible risk management approaches, it will be important to choose the option that best matches the problem that is being addressed. Fourth, creative and flexible newer approaches, such as product stewardship and green design, will be necessary to deal effectively with remaining risks from non-ferrous metals. Finally, there is need to balance costs, benefits and risks to define reasonable stopping points for risk management efforts. The wasteful pursuit of zero risk is futile and counterproductive, and no longer considered credible by experts in government, industry and academia. Rather, the record of the past quarter-century demonstrates that realistic and scientifically credible risk management goals are most effective in promoting public health and the environment, as well as the productivity and the general well-being of society. Executive Summary xi CHAPTER 1 Introduction P eople throughout the world use and benefit from a multitude of non-ferrous metals in their daily lives. Copper is used in electrical wiring, zinc is used to protect cars and other products against corrosion, and aluminum is used to make soft drink cans. Coins are commonly made of nickel, copper or zinc. Batteries for starting automobiles are made of lead, while nickel-cadmium batteries power tools, computers and communications devices. But perhaps even more important are the myriad “behindthe-scenes” roles that metals play in manufacturing, construction, communications, defence and transportation applications. Today, metals are being used extensively in the expanding spectrum of “high technology” fields, and more sophisticated uses are being developed for the future. These uses may not be obvious to most of the general public, but they are essential to the infrastructure and functioning of today’s society. Box 1: The Non-Ferrous Metals The most important non-ferrous metals in terms of production and value are aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Along with their extraction there is also substantial production of gold, silver, platinum, cobalt, selenium, cadmium, bismuth, and a number of other minor metals. The growing use of non-ferrous metals has been accompanied by an evolving understanding of the potential health and environment effects of metals. Like all materials, metals have the potential to pose risks to health and the environment. Those risks are highly context-specific, varying substantially depending on the metal, its particular form, and the circumstances of its use. Each metal application involves its own unique profile of risks and benefits. In common usage, the term “metals” refers to substances with a distinctive lustre, high specific gravity, good conductivity of heat and electricity, and which are often ductile and malleable under heat and pressure. It is these properties of metals that generally make them so commercially useful. But in assessing and managing the risks of non-ferrous metals, it is important to consider not only the metallic forms in which these materials Chapter 1 - Introduction 1 exist in commercial use, but also the various chemical compounds in which they usually exist in the environment and in living organisms. Box 2: Use of the Term “Metal” The term “metal” usually refers to the metallic form of an element such as aluminum, copper, lead, nickel or zinc. Most commercial and industrial applications of these elements involve the metallic form. In nature, however, few non-ferrous metals occur in their elemental form, and then only in very small amounts. Most metallic elements exist in nature as chemical compounds which do not exhibit metallic attributes as, for example, oxide and sulphide minerals. Most environmental exposures to non-ferrous elements involve exposures to metal compounds or ions rather than the elemental metal, and the various compounds of a given metal often differ significantly with respect to bioavailability and toxicity. Although for convenience the term “metal” is often used broadly to include a metal and all its compounds, including in this book, it is important to remember that each chemical substance involving a metal element in its composition, including the elemental form itself, must be considered individually because of its very different properties. Given the importance of context in the assessment and management of risks from nonferrous metals, it is critical to clearly differentiate the terms “risk” and “hazard.” Hazard is the intrinsic property of a substance to cause an adverse effect at some dose. Assessment of dose-response and exposure is necessary to characterize whether a risk is significant or not. Risk is the likelihood and magnitude of adverse effects under defined exposure conditions. Because the potential of a given non-ferrous metal application to cause harm varies greatly depending on the specific form and exposure conditions involved, it is necessary to base risk management decisions on real-world assessments of risk rather than more abstract hazard identifications. All sectors of society now recognize that the production and use of metals, both for existing and new applications, must be environmentally acceptable. Governments and industry have key roles in ensuring that metals are produced and used safely. Governments have accumulated substantial experience in environmental regulation, and industry has assumed greater accountability for the environmental performance of its facilities and products. But neither government nor industry can rely solely on regulatory compliance to ensure levels of risk that are acceptable to society. Rather, new approaches and strate- Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 2 gies are needed to supplement regulation and to ensure that metals are produced, used and disposed in environmentally sound ways. Much progress has been achieved in reducing the risks from non-ferrous metals. Many of the remaining environmental problems can only be solved at a cost acceptable to society if government, industry and other interested parties combine their respective resources and expertise in search of common solutions. There will continue to be legitimate differences on some issues, but there is growing consensus that effective environmental stewardship requires greater flexibility and cooperation by both government and industry. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals has been prepared by the International Council on Metals and the Environment (ICME) to further these goals. ICME represents the commitment of each of its members to operate their businesses in the non-ferrous metals industry in an environmentally responsible manner. This ICME publication has been prepared in order to advance the understanding of the special characteristics of metals, the information needs to support appropriate risk assessment and risk management of metals, and an understanding of the relevant scientific, regulatory and management processes. This publication may be of interest to executives, managers, scientists, engineers, regulators, medical professionals, economists, lawyers, regulators and the media. The intent is to offer a relatively concise overview of the principles, methodologies and applications of sound risk assessment and risk management as applied to non-ferrous metals. While some of the traditional tools and approaches of risk assessment and risk management apply to non-ferrous metals as they do to other materials, such application must reflect the special properties of non-ferrous metals. This publication focuses, where appropriate, on the aspects in which non-ferrous metals differ from other regulated materials such as organic chemicals. Because risk management and risk assessment involves a wide scope of disciplines and specialist input, the different chapters of this publication may be of varying interest and familiarity to a given reader depending on his or her own areas of expertise. The Executive Summary, together with the Acronyms and Glossary sections at the back of the book, may be most useful to the media and to busy managers. Chapter 2 is for those who are unfamiliar with the fundamentals of non-ferrous metal production, trade and uses. Chapters 3 to 6 are intended for management and professionals with an interest in nonferrous metals who seek an understanding of the steps to be considered in risk assessment and risk management. Hopefully, the publication as a whole contributes a balanced presentation of the “science and art” of environmental management of non-ferrous metals that will be of benefit to today’s global society. Chapter 1- Introduction 3 CHAPTER 2 Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes This chapter describes non-ferrous metals and their uses, attributes and special properties. Each non-ferrous metal offers a unique combination of useful attributes — such as strength, hardness, malleability, and electric and thermal conductivity. Past, present and future applications of non-ferrous metals are based on the attributes of each metal. In addition to these physical attributes, non-ferrous metals have special properties that distinguish them from many other regulated substances. These properties — including that non-ferrous metals are ubiquitous in nature, exist in many different forms or species, are highly recyclable, and are in many cases essential nutrients — must be taken into account in the risk assessment and risk management of non-ferrous metals. N on-ferrous metals are used by society in many different applications. To maximize the net benefits from those applications, non-ferrous metals must be produced, used and disposed safely through sound assessment and management of the potential risks associated with each application. Both the benefits and risks of nonferrous metals are, in large part, a function of their many special properties. This second chapter therefore describes non-ferrous metals and their production, uses and properties, and reviews those key aspects of such metals that are important for risk assessment and risk management. Typology of Metals What are Metals? Technically, the majority of the elements in the periodic table are classified as “metals” based on scientific criteria for their chemical properties. In everyday use, and in this book, the term “metal” is used to characterize a more limited class of substances all of which at room temperature, except mercury, are crystalline solids in their elemental Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 5 form. These materials are readily recognized by their distinctive lustre, high specific gravity, good conductivity of heat and electricity, and their general malleability under heat and pressure. A substance that exhibits these metallic properties in its elemental form is defined as a metal. As discussed in the Introduction, the term “metal” is often used broadly, including in this book, to include all chemical forms and compounds in which an element with metallic properties exists, with the important caveat that different physical forms of the same metal often present very different properties. Various metals can be combined with other elements to form alloys that have different properties than their individual constituents. For example, copper alloys with tin to form bronze, with zinc to make brass, with aluminum to form aluminum brasses and bronzes, and with silicon or nickel to form a variety of alloys. Modern alloys are carefully designed by varying the proportions of constituents to obtain a material with specifically desired physical properties. Thousands of alloys are currently available as industrial materials, most precisely defined according to international standards. Ongoing research and development efforts are continually identifying new alloys with improved characteristics. In addition to alloys, metals can react chemically with other substances to form an array of compounds that have vastly different physical and chemical properties. Many of these metal compounds are intentionally produced for important industrial uses. Furthermore, metals are also present in nature in various ionic chemical forms or species. As discussed in subsequent chapters, the different species in which a metal may exist can have important consequences for the metal’s bioavailability and toxicity. Box 3: The Numerous Compounds of a Non-Ferrous Metal Each non-ferrous metal can exist not only in the metallic form, but also as an ion in solution and in a number of different compounds. For example, cadmium exists in a number of distinct inorganic chemical compounds displaying different characteristics, including the following: • • • • • Cadmium Cadmium Cadmium Cadmium Cadmium oxide cyanide fluoride chloride sulphide • • • • Cadmium Cadmium Cadmium Cadmium formate fluorosilicate iodide sulphate Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 6 Types of Metals Metals are often classified into different categories, such as ferrous and non-ferrous metals. The term “ferrous” is derived from the Latin word “ferrum” for iron, which is the fourth most abundant element by weight in the Earth’s crust. Ferrous metals are those containing a major amount of iron, such as the many types of steel. Common usage applied to ferrous metals in industry also includes the metals chromium, nickel, manganese and molybdenum since their dominant use is in the manufacture of steel and steel alloys. However, they are often co-products of the extraction of non-ferrous metals, and do have other uses unrelated to steel production. Non-ferrous metals do not contain significant amounts of iron. The major industrial non-ferrous metals include aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Minor non-ferrous metals include bismuth, cadmium, titanium, selenium and many others. Another category of metals is the precious metals, which include gold, silver and the platinum group metals. Precious metals are extracted and processed for their own intrinsic value, but they are also recovered as by-products from many non-ferrous metal mining and metallurgical operations. Production of Non-Ferrous Metals Occurrence and Extraction All metals are extracted from the Earth’s crust, the thin outer shell that is accessible to mining and quarrying. Non-ferrous metals occur naturally, usually in the form of compounds with other substances, throughout the rocks of the Earth’s crust in very small quantities. For example, the metal content of igneous and sedimentary rocks can range from 2 to 200 parts per million (ppm) for copper, 1 to 150 ppm for lead, 2 to 3,600 ppm for nickel, and 2 to 1,500 ppm for zinc.1 A few metals are stable in their elemental form, the most well-known being copper and gold, but the elemental forms are generally rare occurrences in the natural environment. The bulk of the metallic elements exist within many different minerals that comprise chemical combinations with more abundant elements to form silicates, oxides, sulphides, sulphates and the like. Each mineral has its own crystalline form and specific chemical and physical characteristics. 1 Thornton, Iain. 1996. Metals in the Global Environment: Facts and Misconceptions. International Council on Metals and the Environment. Ottawa, Canada. Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 7 The normal process of weathering of rocks and the chemical breakdown of their minerals disperses metals into soils, waters and the air. Consequently, all metals are an inherent part of the natural environment, occurring in a great variety of forms or species. They are found in the geosphere (rocks, soils), the hydrosphere (surface and ground waters, oceans), the atmosphere (though volcanic eruptions, dust and fires), and the biosphere (which defines the environmental circumstances where metals come into contact with living organisms, including humans). Metals are therefore a fundamental and natural part of all life forms, and an inherent part of the food chain of all organisms. Indeed, many are, at certain levels of concentration, essential nutrients for healthy life forms. Apart from the natural occurrence of metals, society’s industrial and modern agricultural practices have led to the introduction of additional metals into the environment, and these are described as anthropogenic sources. The extraction of metals from the earth is economically feasible only from highly enriched occurrences of metals that are sufficiently large to make mining feasible. The degree of concentration of the metal in the rocks is termed the grade. Where the grade and the mass of the mineralization are such that extraction appears to be economically viable, the material is defined as ore, and the mine is developed on the basis of the ore body. Deposits of non-ferrous metals usually contain a combination of metals, called a poly-metallic mineral deposit. Some typical naturally occurring combinations of metals include lead with zinc, copper with zinc, and nickel with copper. The first step in metal extraction is mineral exploration, the process of discovering mineral deposits. Exploration is essential for maintaining an inventory of reserves, and therefore mining companies invest significant resources in exploring for new mineral deposits. The techniques involved are many and varied, but essentially include the study of rocks and crustal structures (geology), the detection of mineralization by searching for the physical characteristics such as magnetism or conductivity of the minerals or species (geophysical), and the identification of enrichments of naturally occurring metals in surface waters and plant life (geochemical). Once a promising deposit has been identified, the cost and feasibility of developing the deposit must be evaluated. Mine development is a capital-intensive undertaking that requires long-term, front-end investment. It usually takes two to six years to develop a mine before the first returns are available to the investors, with costs ranging from approximately $US100 million to over $US1,500 million. Because mines must be located where ore bodies are found, which often are in remote areas, substantial investments are required for the infrastructure needed to support a mine, such as roads, rail, airstrips, water supply, power supply, housing, and community facilities. Long-term planning is complicated by evolving technologies, new material standards, changing transportation modes, demographic trends, new government taxes and legislation, and fluctuations in the economy that affect costs, prices and demand. Concern for local, regional and global environmental and human Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 8 health impacts has also become an integral part of the planning process, and uncertainties about future regulatory requirements also increase the risks of mine development. Box 4: The Future Supply of Non-Ferrous Metals Over the centuries, known reserves of non-ferrous metals have continued to expand as a result of new exploration, improved exploration technologies (such as remote sensing and sophisticated geochemical and geophysical methods to detect ores), and new techniques to economically mine ore and extract metal from lower grade deposits. According to the US Bureau of Mines, known world reserves have increased over the past 40 years by 622 percent for copper, 387 percent for lead and 546 percent for zinc. The growth of estimated reserves has thus far outstripped the growth of primary metals production, and there have been no commercial shortages of non-ferrous metals — despite occasional predictions of impending mineral exhaustion, such as those by the Club of Rome. These predictions have consistently proven to be unfounded, and there is no reason to believe the future will be any different (Crowson 1992). While there appears to be no risk that the world will run out of metals in the foreseeable future, common sense dictates that full use should be made of reserves. One problem is that the imposition of excessive costs on a mining operation can lead to “high grading,” which results in leaving lower grades of ore in the ground. The imposition of such costs can therefore be contrary to conservation goals. Processing and Manufacturing After the ore is mined, it is crushed and milled, usually at or near the mine site. The milling process involves the grinding, separation and concentration of metal-bearing mineral from the waste rock to form concentrates. Whereas mined ore often has a metal concentration of less than one percent, concentrates usually have metal contents (in the form of metal sulphides or oxides) of over 10, and up to 70, percent. These metal sulphide or oxide concentrates are shipped to smelting facilities for further separation and purification of the metal using pyrometallurgical and electrolytic processes. Refined metals are produced to standard industrial specifications of purity. An extremely high degree of purity can be achieved at additional cost for certain small-volume specialty uses. The refined metal is provided to fabricators or specialty chemical manufacturers for production of alloys, intermediate shapes or industrial chemicals, or shipped directly to manufacturers for production of a variety of industrial and consumer products. Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 9 Recycling An important aspect of non-ferrous metals is their recyclability. As elements, metals can be salvaged and recycled repeatedly, especially from products in which the metal is not released to the environment in significant quantities during product use. The supply of metals thus involves two streams: (i) the production of primary metal from mining; and, (ii) the secondary production of refined metal and alloys through recycling of industrial and post-consumer scrap. To be recycled, scrap metal must be separated, sorted, compacted, remelted and/or re-refined and recast. These combined steps are generally more labour-intensive, but less energy- and capital-intensive, than the primary production of metals. Recycling significantly reduces the quantity of primary metal that must be mined and processed to meet demand. Use of Non-Ferrous Metals History The use of non-ferrous metals is prevalent throughout human history and around the world. Copper, lead and tin have been in circulation since antiquity. They were used by early societies to make better implements for hunting and warfare. As human civilization advanced, metals assumed an increasingly prominent role. Indeed, it was the discovery of an admixture of copper and tin to form the alloy bronze that helped bring about the advances in the era appropriately termed the “Bronze Age.” The Roman Empire further expanded the use and reliance on non-ferrous metals, including tin imported from England, copper from Cyprus and lead from Spain. From the dawn of the industrial age, non-ferrous metals have played a central role in activities that include manufacturing, transportation, defence, agriculture and construction. In addition to the traditional metals and alloys that have been used for many centuries, “new” metals such as nickel, aluminum and magnesium were “discovered” as a result of advances in the chemical separation of mineral compounds. The uses of nonferrous metals have continued to expand throughout the years, and today non-ferrous metals are used in tens of thousands of different applications. Current and Future Uses The versatility of non-ferrous metals is demonstrated by the continuing discovery of new applications. Aggregate use of non-ferrous metals has increased steadily for the last 100 years despite substitution by plastics and other materials in some individual applications. Non-ferrous metals have continued to be used in increasingly sophisticated applications in the traditional metal-using industries, and have provided many lasting aesthetic ben- Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 10 efits through their use in adornments, sculptures, memorials and other architectural features. In addition, many essential applications of non-ferrous metals have developed in rapidly emerging high-technology industries such as microelectronics, computers, medicine and telecommunications. TABLE 1. Uses of Some Common Non-Ferrous Metals Non-Ferrous Metal Major Applications Aluminum • • • • • • Transportation Building and Construction Containers and Packaging Electrical Consumer Durables Machinery and Equipment Copper • • • • • Electric/Electronic Equipment and Wiring Building Construction Industrial Machinery and Equipment Autos and Other Transportation Others - Pigments, Agriculture, Medicine, Preservatives, Water Purification Lead • • • Lead-Acid Batteries Protective Radiation Shielding Electronics Nickel • Stainless Steels used in Chemical, Petroleum and Transportation Industries Plating Foundries Batteries and Fuel Cells Catalysts Coinage • • • • • Zinc • • • • Galvanized Coatings used for Autos, Wire Ropes, etc. Assembly Line Die-Casts used in Engines, Auto Trim, Light Equipment and Tools Brass used in Heat Exchange Equipment, Plumbing and Hardware Others - Batteries, Chemical Catalysts, Agriculture, Cosmetics and Medicine Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 11 The uses and markets for non-ferrous metals are highly varied and depend on the specific metal. Nickel goes primarily to the steel industry for production of stainless steel and to manufacturers of consumer and industrial batteries. Some nickel is also used in chemical plating and jewellery, and by many other consuming industries. The major uses of zinc are in galvanizing steel and in die casting. Lead is sold primarily to battery manufacturers and to producers of ammunition, solder and fabricated lead products. Copper has a wide range of applications in capital goods, housing and consumer durables. Current uses of some common non-ferrous metals are summarized in Table1. Box 5: Environmentally Beneficial Uses of Non-Ferrous Metals The central risk management issue for most products, including those made with non-ferrous metals, is whether they present risks to the environment and public health that are acceptable to society. For some applications of non-ferrous metals, however, the very purpose of the product is to help protect human health and the environment. For example, non-ferrous metals are a major component of a new generation of high energy density batteries for electric vehicles which are expected to play a key role in achieving clean air and energy conservation goals. The leading candidate for first-generation electric vehicle batteries is the advanced lead-acid battery, while other emerging battery technologies rely on zinc, nickel and other metals. Other examples of new uses of non-ferrous metals for environmental and human health protection include the recent development of a sheet-lead radon barrier for use under buildings to protect against radon exposure, the use of aluminum foil for food preservation, and the use of nickel in advanced air pollution control equipment such as flue-gas scrubbers. The extensive use of chromium and nickel in stainless steel for household kitchens and in industrial food processing has decreased the possibility of bacterial infection due to improved cleaning properties. The uses of non-ferrous metals have evolved throughout history — and the many attributes of these materials suggest that they will continue to have important roles in the future. While some uses of metals have been phased out because of the availability of better substitutes, the consequences of changing technology or environmental concerns, an ever-expanding spectrum of new, environmentally sustainable uses of non-ferrous metals are appearing that take advantage of the physical and chemical attributes of these materials. For example, some new applications of non-ferrous metals will help to reduce Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 12 pollution and protect human health (see Box 5). Additional new uses of non-ferrous metals that may be increasingly important in the future include computer and video equipment microelectronics, superconductors, medical diagnostic technologies, improved corrosion protection, “smart” military technologies such as guidance and sensing systems, new metal alloys with applications in a variety of industrial and consumer products, lead-lined shields for nuclear waste disposal applications, and new power generation technologies using liquid metal magneto-hydrodynamics. Properties of Non-Ferrous Metals Physical Attributes The many uses of non-ferrous metals is a reflection of the many attributes that these materials provide. Each non-ferrous metal and alloy offers its own unique combination of properties and characteristics that make it well-suited for particular applications. For example, the high specific gravity and malleability of lead, as well as its electrochemical properties, make it useful for many applications in a variety of industries. Copper is valued for its superior electrical and thermal conductivity, great tensile strength and resistance to corrosion. Zinc has a low melting point and is very fluid, and is useful for its “galvanic” action that can protect iron and steel from corrosion in the presence of moisture. Nickel as a ferro-alloy provides toughness, strength and ductility over a wide range of temperatures. Aluminum provides a unique combination of strength with exceptional lightness. A list of some of the useful attributes of various nonferrous metals and alloys is provided in Table 2. Important Properties for Risk Assessment and Risk Management Non-ferrous metals have a number of special characteristics that must be considered in risk assessment and risk management, including the following: 1. Elemental Substances: Non-ferrous metals are usually marketed and used in their metallic (elemental) form with varying degrees of purity, unlike most regulated substances that are manufactured chemical compounds, polymers or composite materials. As elements, metals cannot be created or destroyed by chemical means. Metals are not added to or removed from the environment — they are only transformed from one form to another and transferred from one environmental compartment to another, which can dramatically affect the availability and thus potential risks from the metal. Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 13 TABLE 2. Some Common Attributes of Non-Ferrous Metals Attribute Description Example2 Appearance Castability Corrosion Resistance Electrical Conductivity Energy Efficiency Attractive colour and lustre Ability to take up the detail of a mould Resistance to corrosion from air/water Ability to conduct electricity Contribution to energy savings through material substitution Hardness Magnetic Properties Resistance to deformation Ability to generate magnetic field Malleability Strength Ability to undergo shaping or mechanical working without rupture Resistance to applied stress Brass Zinc Copper Copper Aluminum (e.g., lighter vehicles) Nickel Nickel alloys Lead Thermal Conductivity Ability to conduct heat Nickel alloys Copper 2. Ubiquitous: Non-ferrous metals are naturally occurring elements that are ubiquitous in soils, waters and the atmosphere, mostly in oxide and sulphate forms. Many nonferrous metals are present in significant quantities in the Earth’s crust.3 Aluminum is by far the most prevalent and accounts for 8 percent by weight of the Earth’s crust as a constituent of the silicate and oxide minerals that form various rock types. Through weathering and other natural processes, metals in one form or the other from the Earth’s crust are continually redistributed in soils, waters and the atmosphere. Humans and all other organisms have therefore always been, and will always be, exposed to metals through natural processes. Indeed, biogeochemical exploration techniques are used to measure minute metal concentrations in plants and surface waters in the search for potential ore bodies. 2 3 Although only a single metal example is given for each property, many of the properties are exhibited by several different metals. Wedephol, K.H. 1991. The composition of the upper Earth’s crust and the natural cycles of selected metals. Metals and Their Compounds in the Environment: Occurrence, Analysis, and Biological Relevance. E. Merian, ed. Weinheim, New York, NY. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 14 3. Speciation: Non-ferrous metals exist in many different chemical and physical forms. The bioavailability, solubility, environmental distribution and toxicity of metals depend very significantly on the type of metal species involved. Unlike organic chemicals, where the total amount of the substance in the environment is a relevant factor for determining risk, the total amount of a metal in the environment is much less relevant than the quantity of different metal species present and their bioavailability. For example, aluminum exists in different forms depending on the pH and other factors, with substantial differences in toxicity. While the significance of metal speciation has been recognized in the scientific community for many years, it has usually not been given adequate emphasis in risk assessment and risk management, often because of insufficient data on specific metal species. New research is helping to distinguish the different risks that are associated with different metal species, which should permit increased attention to metal speciation in regulatory decision making. 4. Essential Nutrients: Many non-ferrous metals are essential nutrients for humans and other organisms. As one recent review summarized, “all living species are absolutely dependent on the presence of metal salts in their food in order to maintain their life and reproductive capacity. The reason for this resides in the evolutionary development of the organisms. The first living cells probably developed in a ‘primeval soup’ which contained, in dissolved state, all elements present in the Earth’s crust at that period.”4 Because non-ferrous metals are abundant constituents of the Earth’s crust, it is not surprising that life forms have become dependent on many metals. Inadequate availability of essential metals can lead to serious health or environmental problems as much as can an over-abundance of the same metals. 5. Bioavailability: The bioavailability of a non-ferrous metal, which is the pathway from the environment to life forms, is greatly affected by the many different degrees of chemical stability, solubility and mobility of the myriad mineral and chemical forms in which a metal can occur. Metal species (particularly those in solution) are inherently labile, in that they have a tendency to change form in different environmental conditions. Metals are subject to a variety of physico-chemical processes, including complexation and disassociation, oxidation and reduction, precipitation and dissolution, and adsorption and desorption. In addition, some metals may undergo microbial transformations, such as oxidation/reduction or methylation/demethylation reactions. These transformations are reversible and can either increase or decrease the availability of metals, depending on local physico-chemical conditions. Unlike organic compounds which remain soluble in the environment, many metal species have a tendency to convert over 4 Kieffer, S. 1991. Metals as essential trace elements for plants, animals, and humans. Metals and Their Compounds in the Environment: Occurrence, Analysis, and Biological Relevance. E. Merian, ed. Weinheim, New York, NY. Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 15 time to less soluble and immobile forms that are not bioavailable. The bioavailability and hazard potential of a given metal can vary greatly between different types and species of metals. The bioavailability of a metal species, rather than the total quantity present in the environment, is therefore the critical factor determining exposure potential. Box 6: Essential Metals Non-ferrous metals essential for humans and other animals include: Cobalt Molybdenum Copper Selenium Manganese Zinc Non-ferrous metals essential for plants include: Copper Nickel Manganese Zinc Molybdenum 6. Recyclability: Metals can be recycled, and are one of the few materials that do not degrade or lose their chemical and physical properties in the recycling process. The market price for metals usually provides sufficient economic incentives for recycling, although some countries have chosen to subsidize recycling industries either by direct subsidy or by regulation that transfers to the consumer the cost and labour associated with collection and segregation of post-consumer scrap. Recyclability acts as a benefitmultiplier for purposes of risk management, because each unit of metal produced can be used over and over for a variety of applications. 7. Co-Production: Many non-ferrous metals are produced jointly as a by-product or co-product of other metals that are found together in poly-metallic mineralized deposits. For example, zinc and lead are often produced jointly from the same mines. The economic viability of operating a mine will often depend on obtaining adequate revenues from each of the metals produced by that mine. A market downturn or regulatory restriction for one metal may therefore make an entire mining operation uneconomical. Accordingly, regulatory proposals for metals should not only consider the reduced benefits that may result from directly or indirectly limiting a specific metal, but also the increased costs and reduced benefits that may result from less co-product production. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 16 8. Commodities: Non-ferrous metals are commodities rather than proprietary chemicals like many other regulated substances. In other words, there are in principle no characteristics to distinguish one unit of a pure metal (such as copper) from another unit, although in practice metal quality does vary to some degree, and the grades of metal produced by some producers may be preferred over others. As commodities, metals are primarily sold and brokered on international markets. The commodity nature of metals has several consequences. A competitor that does not have to comply with strict regulations for manufacture of metals or metal-containing products in its country of production can export its products into markets where domestic competitors must comply with stricter regulations governing the production process. Such disparities do not warrant less environmental protection in the nation with stricter regulations, but they demonstrate that industry and government in regulated nations have a common interest in ensuring that regulation achieves its protective goals as cost-effectively as possible to minimize the international competitive impact of regulation. The commodity nature of metals also makes it difficult to track and control the downstream use of metal produced by an individual metal producer. Accordingly, industry-wide action and coordination is necessary to best promote the safe use of a given metal. Conclusion Non-ferrous metals offer a variety of attributes and properties that make possible a multitude of applications. While the uses of non-ferrous metals have changed over time, non-ferrous metals continue to perform many vital applications now and in the future in both developing and developed nations. Each non-ferrous metal is unique, and the risks and benefits of each application of a particular metal must be evaluated separately to the extent permitted by available data. Nevertheless, non-ferrous metals share several important properties in common. For example, all non-ferrous metals are elemental substances found ubiquitously in nature in many different chemical and physical mineral forms or species. Other important properties of non-ferrous metals are that they are recyclable and in many cases are essential nutrients to all life forms. As discussed in subsequent chapters, several of these characteristics of non-ferrous metals differ from other regulated substances such as organic chemicals, and must be taken into account in the risk assessment and risk management processes. Chapter 2 - Non-Ferrous Metals: Uses, Properties and Attributes 17 CHAPTER 3 Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals Like all materials, non-ferrous metals can present risks to human health and the environment in specific contexts and applications. A key prerequisite to the effective management of the risks from non-ferrous metals is to identify and quantify those risks using sound science. The first step in this risk assessment process is hazard identification, which uses sciences such as toxicology, epidemiology, ecology and occupational medicine to identify the adverse health and environmental effects potentially associated with a substance. This chapter reviews the hazard identification of non-ferrous metals, including special characteristics of nonferrous metals that must be considered in applying traditional hazard identification methods and assumptions. Hazard identification of non-ferrous metals should focus on specific metal species, and must take into consideration that both excesses and deficiencies of essential metals can be hazardous. M etals are of keen interest in the world of science. Many non-ferrous metals are essential nutrients for humans, animals, plants and microorganisms — playing an important role in growth and development, the generation of energy from food, and protection from harmful substances and diseases. Metals can also cause adverse effects under certain circumstances, some of which have been recognized and studied for at least 2,000 years. Scientists have found that different metal compounds have different toxic potentials, that route of exposure is often important in determining adverse effects of metal exposure, and that metals have the potential for enhancing, or damaging, the functioning of natural ecosystems. The ways in which humans use and manage metals, in addition to natural sources of exposure, are key factors influencing potential health and environmental risks. The widespread use of metals and known examples of metals toxicity have stimulated efforts to assess the health and environmental risks of non-ferrous metals and to develop appropriate protective strategies. The large scientific database that now exists for Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 19 many metals, and the relative ease with which metals can be detected and measured, have resulted in intense scrutiny by scientists and regulators. The potential hazards of many metals in air, soil, drinking water, sewage discharge, the food chain, and plant and animal tissues have been widely studied. Despite this, the demand for assessing the risks of non-ferrous metals will probably only increase in the future, and additional data will be needed to support such assessments. In addition to adequate data, sound risk assessment of non-ferrous metals must be based on the scientifically based principles discussed in this chapter and the next. The Risk Assessment Framework and Hazard Identification Risk assessment is the scientific process by which risks are identified, estimated and evaluated. A general framework for risk assessment has been provided by the US National Research Council, a committee of the National Academy of Sciences.5 The European Union (EU) uses a similar framework.6 The four steps of risk assessment are: FIGURE 2. A Coordinated Framework for Risk Assessment 5 6 National Research Council. 1983. Risk Assessment in the Federal Government: Managing the Process. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. See, for example, Commission Regulation 1488/94, especially Article 3, §1 Laying Down the Principles for Assessment of Risks to Man and the Environment of Existing Substances in Accordance with Council Directive 67/548/EEC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 20 (1) hazard identification; (2) dose-response evaluation; (3) exposure assessment; and, (4) risk characterization. These four steps of risk assessment and their relation to risk management and risk communication are shown schematically in Figure 2. The dotted line denotes the need for feedback to the risk assessor for guidance as to the scope of analysis required for the risk management. This chapter addresses hazard identification of non-ferrous metals, the first step in risk assessment, while the next chapter reviews the subsequent steps of the risk assessment process. Hazard identification is defined by the US National Academy of Sciences as “the process of determining whether exposure to an agent can cause an increase in the incidence of a health condition (cancer, birth defect, etc). It involves characterizing the nature and the strength of the evidence of causation.”7 As the starting point for risk assessment, hazard identification is a key step in the evaluation of health and environmental risks. But because it is only the first step in risk assessment, and does not provide information on the existence and magnitude of either exposure or risk, hazard identification is an inappropriate basis for regulatory decisions. However, it may provide a useful screening tool to identify substances that should be further evaluated in the subsequent steps of risk assessment and is used as a basis on which to classify and establish precautionary information for those who might be exposed in the course of handling or using such substances. A risk assessment will only be as good as the hazard data that are available and used in the initial hazard identification step. It is therefore imperative that hazard identification utilize the highest standards of scientific rigour. The most difficult issue in hazard identification is how to compare and combine different types of data, including data from animal and human studies, studies with different routes of exposure, studies of different quality, and studies with conflicting results, including both those with positive and negative findings. To avoid excluding relevant evidence, hazard identification should be based on the overall weight of the evidence, with the greatest weight given to data that are most relevant to humans or the ecosystem being studied. The remaining part of this chapter reviews the major types of data relevant for hazard identification and their application to non-ferrous metals. Data for Hazard Identification Metals exert their effects on living organisms primarily through specific interaction with various cellular biochemical systems. Some of these interactions may be beneficial or even essential, while other interactions may be detrimental. For instance, some metal 7 National Research Council. 1983. Risk Assessment in the Federal Government: Managing the Process. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 21 ions can interact in a positive or negative way with important functional sites of enzymes. Others may compete with essential metals for uptake or incorporation into proteins. In this way, a metal may be toxic by causing a deficiency of another metal or, through incorporation, preventing the proper functioning of a protein. The mechanism of some effects of metals is not as well understood. Different species of the same metal often result in different interactions with biological systems, and therefore hazard identification should focus on specific metal species. The objective of hazard identification is to identify the existence, magnitude and, to the extent possible, the mechanism of effects associated with a specific metal species or compound, using the types of scientific data reviewed below. Epidemiology of Non-Ferrous Metals Epidemiology is the study of the distribution and determinants of diseases and injuries in human populations.8 The presence of disease is compared between people exposed and not exposed to the agent under study. Because epidemiology evaluates human rather than animal data, it has the potential to be particularly informative for human hazard identification.9 There is no need for extrapolation of effect or dose across species, and therefore concerns about anatomical, physiological, metabolic and genetic differences between the test species and humans do not arise. Notwithstanding the potential advantages of epidemiology, there are important limitations to the use of epidemiology for hazard identification and risk assessment. Ideally, epidemiology requires that exposure be accurately determined, and that the relationship between exposure and risk be reliably established at all exposure levels. In practice, this is rarely achievable because of the lack of precise data on historical exposures. Moreover, even a consistent finding of a relationship between a particular exposure and a disease in humans does not by itself establish a causal relationship. Causation can be established only if other possible explanations of the observed relationship can be discounted. Some of these additional issues that must be considered in evaluating epidemiology data — such as bias, confounding and exposure evaluation — are summarized below. Bias is a systematic error which tends to overestimate or underestimate the hazard. For example, selection bias occurs when the control population differs from the study population because people with exposures or the disease at issue are more likely to participate in the study. Information or classification bias exists when people who have been 8 9 While the term “epidemiology” usually refers to human data, and is used here with that meaning, the emerging field of environmental epidemiology uses studies on free-living organisms in the environment to make inferences about potential environmental hazards. Environmental toxicology is addressed later in this chapter. Other types of human data are also important for hazard identification, including data obtained from the fields of occupational medicine and industrial hygiene. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 22 exposed to the agent being studied are classified as non-exposed (or vice versa). This bias can also occur if people who really have the disease are classified as not having it (or again, vice versa). An example of an information bias would be if a study of workplace exposure to a specific metal ignored the fact that the general population, used as the control group, is also exposed to the metal. In this case, if the metal truly did cause the disease, the estimate of occupational risk would be biased because the disease rate in the general population is already increased due to exposure outside the workplace. Box 7: Hypothetical Example of Information Bias Information bias will occur if, for example, metal exposures are not considered in the general population used as the control population in an epidemiological study. Consider a hypothetical example in which the prevalence of a particular type of cancer is 5 percent in the general population and 10 percent in workers at a facility processing metal species X. Occupational exposure studies indicate that workers at the facility are exposed to metal species X at an average concentration of 10 parts per million (ppm). Assuming other sources of exposure and possible confounding factors are eliminated as possible explanations of the results, the researcher may conclude that the 10 ppm exposure to metal species X appeared to cause a 5 percent increase in cancer in the workers. This conclusion would be erroneous, however, if it did not consider background exposures to metal species X in the general population. If the background exposure was 5 ppm, the incremental increase in workplace exposures would only be 5 ppm (not 10 ppm), and thus the effect per unit of exposure of metal species X would be twice as large as previously estimated. Thus, in this hypothetical case, information bias would lead to a substantial underestimation of risk. Other types of information bias can cause an overestimation of risk. Confounding is a special type of bias in which another factor is associated with both the agent and the effect under study. For example, if factory workers who are the subject of an epidemiological study are more likely to smoke cigarettes than the control group (e.g., the general population), some or all of an observed increase in lung cancer in the workers is likely attributable to the confounding effect of smoking rather than occupational exposures. Without carefully controlling for such confounding, the effects attributable to the agent being studied can be erroneous, either significantly exaggerated or masked. An important limitation of epidemiology is that it may be impossible to know all potential confounders in advance of a study. Nevertheless, because significant con- Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 23 founding factors are known to exist for many metal exposures, it is important that epidemiological studies be examined with potential confounding in mind. Box 8: Example of Confounding Confounding factors are an important factor that must be taken into account in epidemiological studies of metal compounds. Studies that attempt to demonstrate and quantify the effects of lead exposure on childhood IQ provide an example where confounding factors are important. A recent review of lead-IQ studies found that “[i]n every study the unadjusted results indicated stronger evidence of an inverse association than did the more informative results after adjustment for confounders.” In several studies, adjustment for parental and social confounding factors only reduced the estimated impact of lead by less than 1.5 IQ points but, in other studies, the adjustment had a much larger effect. For example, in one study, adjusting for confounding reduced the estimated detrimental impact of increasing blood levels from 10 to 20 g/dl from 12.1 to only 1.1 IQ points, a 91 percent reduction in the measured effect after adjusting for confounding. The review authors suggest that the large confounding effect in that study was because half of the children in the study had alcoholic mothers. This example therefore demonstrates that confounding can significantly bias results if not taken into account, and that confounding varies from study to study based on the unique circumstances of each study group. Pocock, S.J., M. Smith and P. Baghurst. (1994). Environmental lead and children’s intelligence: A systematic review of the epidemiological evidence. British Medical Journal. 309: 1189–1197. Exposure evaluation problems can make accurate quantification of exposure levels difficult or impossible, which in turn can prevent reliable evaluation of a dose-response relationship that is important for establishing causation. An important exposure evaluation problem for metals is that the concentration of metals is often determined for the total amount of metal present, without regard for the different chemical or physical forms (speciation) of the metal, which can greatly affect bioavailability and toxicity. Another problem is that the long-term use of metals results in the availability of epidemiological data going back many years, but estimates of historic exposure levels are particularly imprecise and could therefore significantly bias the data. The fact that metals are naturally occurring elements and are used in a broad range of applications also makes analysis of exposure attributable to particular industrial or workplace processes more difficult, because of the variability of background exposures. For example, a study Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 24 of occupational exposures to cadmium may be complicated by the fact that heavy cigarette usage elevates blood cadmium values. In evaluating epidemiological data, it is essential that all available data be considered, allowing the weight of evidence from both positive and negative studies to influence a judgement of causality. Since statistically significant results can arise by chance and because some negative studies may have insufficient power to refute positive studies, it is important to evaluate the statistical bases of epidemiological studies in isolation and together. Several public and private entities have produced guidelines for good practices in interpreting epidemiological data.10 Important factors in making a causal inference from the complete set of available epidemiological data include the following: 1. Number of Studies: A large number of studies producing similar results provides greater confidence in drawing conclusions about the presence or absence of a causal relationship because it is less likely that the same confounders and biases affected each study. This is especially true if the studies involve different exposure settings, different types of epidemiological analyses, and different researchers to ensure the robustness of the findings. 2. Strength of Association: Epidemiological studies use well-defined statistical measures, such as relative risk or a standardized mortality ratio (SMR), to represent the strength of an observed association between an exposure and an effect. Higher relative risks or SMRs make epidemiologists more certain of cause and effect because it is less likely that the observed results were due to chance. Note: The power of the studies — which is a statistical measure of how sensitive the study is for detecting the disease — is another important consideration in interpreting epidemiological data. As a general rule, the larger the study group, the greater the power of the study. 3. Dose-Response Relationship: Evidence for a dose-response relationship is considered by toxicologists and epidemiologists to be important in establishing a causal link. Scientists expect the frequency or severity of effects to increase as dose (or exposure) level increases. Poor exposure information often means that dose-response is very difficult to evaluate within and across epidemiological studies, yet it is a crucial factor in hazard identification. 10 For example, the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) have published criteria for interpreting epidemiology studies. IARC. 1987. IARC Monographs on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans, Overall Evaluations of Carcinogenicity: An Updating of IARC Monographs Volumes 1 to 42 (Supplement 7); US EPA. 1996. Proposed Guidelines for Carcinogenic Risk Assessment, 61 Fed. Reg. 17960 (Apr. 23, 1996). The US Chemical Manufacturers Association (CMA) has also published epidemiology guidelines. CMA Epidemiology Task Group. 1991. Guidelines for good epidemiology practices for occupational and environmental epidemiologic research. Journal of Occupational Medicine 33: 1221-1229. Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 25 4. Biological Plausibility: Biological plausibility means that there is a logical scientific reason to think that an exposure and a disease could be related. This may be because a similar disease has been produced in animals by the same substance. Or it may be that scientific and medical theory can provide a logical explanation for a relationship between an exposure and disease. An observed relationship between exposure and effect that does not appear to be biologically plausible indicates that the results should be interpreted with caution until confirming data or a biological explanation are available. Box 9: Chromium Epidemiology The epidemiology of chromium demonstrates some key issues in metal epidemiology, including the difficulty of attributing effects to a specific metal in multi-exposure occupational settings, the importance of focusing on specific metal compounds and the importance of route of exposure. Most epidemiological studies of metals use occupational data because exposures tend to be higher, and it is easier to define a population of exposed individuals, in the workplace. Numerous epidemiological studies had shown excess risk for lung cancer in workers in the chromate production industry, but it was difficult to attribute this risk to any particular type of chromium because workers in this industry are exposed to a variety of forms of chromium, including chromium [VI] and [III] compounds. However, when these results are considered along with data from chromiumexposed workers in other industries, a clearer picture emerges. For example, workers in the chromium plating industry also have an excess of lung cancer, and exposures in this industry are primarily to inhalation of soluble chromium [VI] compounds. There are insufficient data to demonstrate a significant increase in lung cancer among ferro-chromium workers, who are primarily exposed to chromium [III] compounds and to metallic chromium. Based on these and other epidemiological data, IARC concluded that there is sufficient evidence in humans for the carcinogenicity of chromium [VI] compounds inhaled by workers in certain industries, but not for chromium [III] compounds or chromium metal. In contrast to the epidemiological evidence that the inhalation of certain chromium compounds can cause lung cancer at high exposures, evidence does not support a similar carcinogenic risk from other routes of exposure to chromium, such as ingestion. Chromium carcinogenicity therefore appears to be specific to both the type of chromium and the route of exposure involved. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 26 Despite the limitations and cautions associated with epidemiological data, epidemiology can provide the most direct evidence of an association between human exposure and a disease in appropriate circumstances where ample, reliable data are present. Epidemiology has played an important role in the understanding of the potential health effects of exposure to many non-ferrous metals. For example, the relationship between exposure to hexavalent chromium (but not trivalent chromium) and lung cancer was first identified by epidemiology. Epidemiology also documented the adverse kidney effects caused by high doses of cadmium. There has been a great deal of epidemiological study of metals because large populations of workers with long-term exposure potential are available to be studied. Of course, as with any epidemiological study, care must be taken in interpreting the available data because of the potential pitfalls identified above. Toxicology of Non-Ferrous Metals Given the limitations of epidemiology and the desire to identify hazards before a problem becomes manifest in human populations, experiments are conducted with animals to identify agents that are potential human toxins. Toxicology is the science of identifying potential hazards or other health effects, usually involving controlled studies in living organisms, isolated tissues, cells, or cellular components. The toxicology of metals and metal compounds is relatively well-developed because metals have been studied for many years. The natural origin and widespread distribution of metals in the environment, however, means that special care must be taken when using toxicological data in hazard identification and risk assessment. Moreover, the evaluation of the potential effects of metal exposure to humans and the environment must be approached on a compound by compound basis. This is primarily due to two key characteristics of metals and the various species in which they are found discussed earlier: special biochemical properties and differences in bioavailability. While a substantial database on metal toxicity has now been accumulated, the data needed to properly account in risk assessment for issues such as the speciation, bioavailability and essentiality of metals are in many cases inadequate or unavailable. Another problem is the scarcity of diagnostically specific pathological responses, or in other words observable health effects that can be unambiguously attributed to metal exposures. For example, mild neuropathological changes from lead exposures are difficult to detect, because individuals with such effects are not easily distinguishable from the general population. Another example is that a general malaise is frequently the characteristic response to an excess of many non-ferrous metals in domestic animals or human subjects, but such malaise can also be caused by many other factors, including a deficiency of some essential non-ferrous metals. Another area for which better information is needed is the effects of metal compounds in mixtures, as many exposures to Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 27 metals involve exposures to a mixture of specific metal compounds, each with their own unique properties. In at least some countries, the greatest emphasis in regulatory toxicology in recent years has been on carcinogenicity, with relatively less attention given to other types of potential toxicity such as reproductive and developmental toxicity, neurotoxicity, immunotoxicity, ecotoxicity and systemic effects. Some of these other types of toxicity are more difficult to study than carcinogenicity in rodents, because the symptoms and effects of such toxicity are not as easily detected and defined as tumours in cancer. For example, small but nevertheless important decrements in IQ are often difficult to detect and assign to specific causes, and variations in immunological function may be of unknown biological significance. For many non-ferrous metals, cancer is not a health effect of significant concern, but rather other types of potential toxicity such as ecotoxicity or neurotoxicity are more important. Nevertheless, because much of the attention and regulatory guidelines for hazard identification and the other steps in risk assessment have focused on carcinogenicity, the discussion below primarily uses carcinogenicity as an example to illustrate the types of issues encountered in toxicology and hazard identification of metals. Many of the same or similar issues apply to hazard identification for other types of toxicity that may be more relevant for many metal compounds. The most commonly used toxicological test for human carcinogen identification is the long-term rodent bioassay. This type of test is based on the assumption that a rodent carcinogen may also be a human carcinogen.11 Rodent tests also play a prominent role in identifying other health effects such as teratogenicity and reproductive toxicity. In addition, short-term laboratory tests of the biological properties of chemicals in isolated tissues, cells or subcellular components provide information which may help inform judgements concerning the potential for human hazard by identifying the mode of action. Several protocols for carcinogenesis bioassays have been published, including those by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the US National Toxicology Program (NTP). In a standard NTP animal carcinogenesis bioassay, 50 animals of each sex of two species, usually rats and mice, are exposed to each dose level of the suspected carcinogen for virtually their entire lives. Although this animal test is designed specifically to find tumours, the test is fairly insensitive. For example, if a dose of a carcinogen causes an increased lifetime cancer risk of one chance in 100, a test with only 50 animals is unlikely to detect a single tumour-bearing animal. For this reason, high-dose levels are chosen to compensate for the limited sample sizes that are 11 Huff, J., J. Haseman, and D. Rall. 1991. Scientific concepts, value, and significance of chemical carcinogenesis studies. Annual Review of Pharmacology and Toxicology. 31: 621-652. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 28 practical. The dose levels selected are the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and usually fractions thereof, such as MTD/2 and/or MTD/4. All other toxicological studies are conducted at much lower exposure levels. The goal of these tests is to identify exposure levels both below and above the experimental response threshold. High-dose studies, like the carcinogenesis bioassay, are only useful in cases in which one knows that there is no response threshold. Even in carcinogenesis the nothreshold assumption is contentious.12 Inherent in the use of rodent bioassays to predict human carcinogenicity are many critical assumptions, including that: (1) humans respond in a manner similar to rodents; (2) the results at high doses for the relatively short lifetimes of animals are functionally equivalent to low-dose exposures for the longer human lifetimes; and, (3) animal doses in the tests can be scaled appropriately to reflect human exposure.13 These assumptions are increasingly the subject of controversy within the scientific and regulatory communities because, for example, there are known cases of carcinogenic responses in rodents that are not relevant to humans.14 There is increasing recognition of the importance of obtaining and evaluating data on the mechanisms of tumour induction in animal studies in order to evaluate their relevance for humans. Moreover, there is controversy about whether results from rodent bioassays performed at or near the MTD are applicable to the much lower levels of exposure typically faced by humans.15 Many scientists believe that toxic effects which alter animal responses to the test chemical, or which induce cell proliferation, may induce tumours at high doses which have no relevance to lower exposures that may be more representative of human exposures.16 Several hundred chemicals, including some non-ferrous metal compounds, have been shown to have carcinogenic potential in animals, often with little or no information from studies in humans. This includes certain compounds of five non-ferrous metals classified by the US National Toxicological Program (NTP) as “reasonably anticipated to be carcinogens” (Box 10). Even within this group of animal carcinogens the evidence varies. Some substances have caused increased tumours in every animal group tested 12 Upton, A.C. 1988. Are there thresholds for carcinogens? The thorny problem of low-level exposure. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 534: 863-883. 13 Huff, J., J. Haseman, and D. Rall. 1991. Scientific concepts, value, and significance of chemical carcinogenesis studies. Annual Review of Pharmacology and Toxicology. 31: 621-652. 14 The best described situation in which chemicals cause increases in tumours in animals through a mode of action which does not occur in humans involves a number of hydrocarbons which bind to the male rat-specific protein a 2-globulin. See, for example, US EPA. 1991. Alpha 2-Globulin: Association with Chemically Induced Renal Toxicity and Neoplasia in the Male Rat (EPA/625/3-91/019F). 15 National Research Council. 1993. Issues in Risk Assessment. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. 16 Carr, C.J., and A.C. Kolbye Jr. 1991. A critique of the use of the maximum tolerated dose in bioassays to assess cancer risk from chemicals. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 14: 78-87; Gold, L.S. 1993. The importance of data on mechanism of carcinogenesis in efforts to predict low-dose human risk. Risk Analysis. 13: 399402. Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 29 (e.g., male and female mice and rats), while others cause tumours only in one or some groups. Some substances cause many different tumour types, some cause tumours in sites which rarely get cancer in control animals, and others increase the number of only one type of tumour which may be very common in control animals. Some compounds are genotoxic and some are not. Genotoxic substances interact with and alter deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA), which is thought to be an important first step in cancer formation. Most metals of concern for carcinogenicity have little evidence of genotoxicity in standard short-term tests. Box 10: Metals Classified as Possible Carcinogens by NTP The US National Toxicology Program classifies substances as “known” carcinogens and substances “reasonably anticipated” to be carcinogens. The only nonferrous metals classified as “known” carcinogens are “chromium and certain chromium compounds” and thorium dioxide. Certain compounds of five non-ferrous metals are classified as “reasonably anticipated” carcinogens, including: beryllium and certain beryllium compounds; cadmium and certain cadmium compounds; lead acetate and lead phosphate; nickel and certain nickel compounds; and, selenium sulphide. National Toxicology Program. 1994. Seventh Annual Report on Carcinogens. US Department of Health and Human Services. Many governmental and international bodies have established carcinogen classification schemes which identify compounds suspected of being carcinogenic and rate the degree of evidence. For example, IARC (see Table 3), the US EPA, the EU, the US NTP, the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH), and the national bodies of countries such as Canada, Norway and Germany have each developed their own carcinogen classification schemes. Several of these carcinogen classification agencies, including IARC, the US NTP and the US EPA have recently begun to give greater weight to data that evaluate the human relevance of the mechanism and mode of action of cancer causation in animal studies. Under the auspices of the Intergovernmental Forum on Chemical Safety (IFCS), initiatives have been undertaken to harmonize classification on a common and coherent basis for hazard identification and risk assessment for metals and metal compounds. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 30 An important consideration in evaluating carcinogenic potential of metals is the route of exposure in experimental animals and in humans. Some metal species cause tumours only through a single route of exposure that may not be relevant to humans. For example, many positive findings for metals in animal bioassays are the result of experiments in which the metal is injected into the muscles or lung cavity of animals. The utility of these experiments for normal metal exposure routes is questionable both on toxicological grounds17 and because these methods of administration are not normally associated with environmental or occupational exposure. Consideration of the human relevance of the mechanism and route of exposure that results in cancer in experimental animals is therefore an important step in identifying potential human carcinogens. Even with consideration of mechanistic data, the various classification schemes represent only hazard identification, the first step of risk assessment, because they do not consider the exposure and dose-response inputs that are necessary for evaluating risk. As TABLE 3. IARC Carcinogen Classification Scheme Category Description Criteria Group 1 The agent is carcinogenic to humans. Sufficient evidence of carcinogenicity in humans. Group 2A The agent is probably carcinogenic to humans. Limited evidence of carcinogenicity in humans and sufficient evidence in animals. Group 2B The agent is possibly carcinogenic to humans. Limited evidence of carcinogenicity in humans and inadequate evidence in animals. Group 3 The agent is not classifiable as to its carcinogenicity. When an agent does not fall into any other group. Group 4 The agent is probably not carcinogenic to humans. Evidence suggesting lack of carcinogenicity in humans and animals. 17 Theiss, J.C. 1982. Utility of injection site tumorigenicity in assessing the carcinogenic risk of chemicals to man. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 2: 213-222. Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 31 such, cancer classifications are not intended to form the direct basis for regulatory programs, but rather are intended to identify potential cancer hazards for further evaluation and risk assessment by regulatory agencies. For example, the IARC carcinogen classification monographs expressly state that the classification scheme “represents the first step in risk assessment” which “may assist national and international authorities in making risk assessments and in formulating decisions concerning any necessary preventive measures.”18 Similarly, the US NTP’s Annual Report on Carcinogens (now the Biennial Report) expressly cautions that “[t]he listing of a substance in the Annual Report ... does not establish that such substance presents a risk to persons in their daily lives.”19 In addition to carcinogenicity bioassays, many other types of subchronic and chronic toxicity testing are frequently undertaken and may be more relevant for most metal compounds. Other types of testing include tests for genotoxicity, reproductive toxicity, developmental toxicity, neurotoxicity and systemic toxicity. There are also limitations and potential problems in extrapolating the animal test results for these types of toxicity to humans, just as there are for extrapolating animal carcinogenicity findings. For example, potential neurotoxicity is an issue of research and regulatory concern for some non- ferrous metals and many other industrial substances.20 Neurotoxicity focuses on the effects of substances on the central nervous systems, resulting in behavioural effects such as aggression, irritability, depression, passivity and impairment of learning, thinking, memory and motor activity. Many fundamental issues in understanding and applying neurotoxicity remain unresolved, such as how to define and measure an “adverse” neurological effect, and how to design and extrapolate to humans the results of animal tests for neurotoxic effects. Ecotoxicity of Non-Ferrous Metals The hazard identification process is also concerned with potential adverse ecological effects on organisms other than humans. There is a fundamental difference between hazard identification for human health and for the environment. Human health hazard identifiation is concerned with effects at the level of individual humans, while ecological hazard identification addresses effects at the level of populations and community structure. 18 IARC. 1987. IARC Monographs on the Evaluation of Carcinogenic Risks to Humans, Overall Evaluations of Carcinogenicity: An Updating of IARC Monographs Volumes 1 to 42 (Supplement 7). 19 National Toxicology Program. 1994. Seventh Annual Report on Carcinogens. US Department of Health and Human Services. 20 International Council on Metals and the Environment. 1994. A Guide to Neurotoxicity: International Regulation and Testing Strategies. Ottawa, ON; US Office of Technology Assessment. 1990. Neurotoxicity: New Developments in Neuroscience. Washington, DC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 32 For environmental hazard identification, test populations of organisms, usually of standard species, are evaluated and the no-observed-effect concentrations (NOEC) are established. Then for risk assessment, the NOEC for the test population is translated into a NOEC for populations in the wild. Furthermore, for metals, natural background and essentiality of some metals need to be considered. This is taken into account by the application of uncertainty factors which consider the limited number of tests, the limited range of organisms and the extrapolation from acute to chronic effects. Box 11: The Example of Copper Ecotoxicity Copper is an example of a metal with low mammalian toxicity but considerable toxicity to some aquatic species. For copper to be toxic to aquatic organisms, however, it must be soluble and bioavailable. It has been found that even very high levels of copper in sediments may have little adverse effects on the aquatic environment, presumably because the copper is not bioavailable. Another important factor influencing toxicity is the solubility of different oxidation states and chemical complexes of the copper ion. These are often a function of other properties of the water such as hardness or CO3 content. By far the greatest biological hazard related to copper is the occurrence of copper deficiency adversely affecting ruminant animals in agricultural systems. Here again the issue is one of copper availability in which metabolic interactions with molybdenum (from either natural or anthropogenic sources) modify the form of copper presented to the digestive tract in a way that reduces the animal’s intake of copper. This problem does not arise in other animals such as humans, pigs or rodents. These effects of concern include toxicity to aquatic vertebrate and invertebrate species, terrestrial vertebrate and invertebrate species, plant species and microorganisms. For instance, the European Commission (EC), in its Risk Assessment of Existing Substances; Environmental Risk Assessment of Existing Substances Technical Guidance Document, identifies which ecotoxicity studies must be included in the “base set” for a substance: acute toxicity to fish, acute toxicity to Daphnia, growth inhibition tests on algae, and bacterial inhibition tests if the compound may influence biodegradation. Further tests on the terrestrial environment, including plants, earthworms and other species, may be required. Under various national and international schemes, toxicity to birds, plants, terrestrial vertebrates and invertebrates, and other species may also be required. This does highlight one important feature of ecotoxicology, that studies are frequently conducted Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 33 on the species of interest or closely related species. A critical question in ecotoxicology tests is how to present the test organism with forms of the element which reflect, both physically and chemically, those found in the natural environment. For some metal species, ecotoxicity may be a major factor in a risk assessment because low levels of the metal may be a greater potential hazard to a sensitive ecosystem than to human health. Given the enormous number of organisms in the environment, it is not surprising that some organisms can be very sensitive to certain metals. In evaluating these potential effects, it is imperative that hazard identification focus on the physical and chemical form of the metal which will be encountered in the environment. The solubility, particle size and bioavailability of different metal species should be evaluated in hazard identification when relevant data are available. Another important factor for metal ecotoxicity analysis is the type of organism used for toxicity testing. Tests involving organisms that are not indigenous to the environment of interest have the potential to produce inappropriate results, such as recommended levels that are below natural levels in a particular environment. This is particularly a problem for essential metals, if strict limits on metal concentrations to ensure no toxicity to a non-indigenous test organism result in a deficiency of an essential metal for indigenous species. To overcome this problem, the choice of test organism is crucial. Both the species and the sources of test population will affect the conclusions drawn from laboratory tests. Many different populations exist in the wild, each having a different history of prior exposure to metals and, therefore, different sensitivity. The combination of geochemical maps, including definition of soil type, may give an indication of the bioavailable concentration of metals which, combined with distribution maps for organisms using geographical information systems, offers one method by which test organisms might be chosen. Conclusion Scientific information provides the basis for hazard identification. Epidemiological studies and toxicological studies of potential health and environmental hazards must be used in hazard identification with an understanding of their scientific strengths and weaknesses. In the case of metals, several important factors are crucial. First, metals are found in a wide range of chemical and physical forms with different toxicological properties. It is critical that different metal compounds are not combined or otherwise confused, and that the necessary data be generated and considered to permit hazard identification of metals on a compound-by-compound basis. Data generation requires the involvement and commitment of industry, governments and research groups in order to ensure data availability for risk assessment. Second, the toxicology of many metals, Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 34 like many other substances, may be route-specific. For example, a metal compound may be dangerous by inhalation but pose no threat when ingested. Finally, metals are elements and as such have been part of the natural environment for all time. Biological systems use metals in many biochemical processes and many have evolved methods to balance and control the level of many metals. In fact, for some metals a deficit of exposure may be as harmful as too great an exposure. These unique characteristics and properties of non-ferrous metals are critical for sound hazard identification, as well as the subsequent steps of risk assessment discussed in the next chapter. Chapter 3 - Hazard Identification of Non-Ferrous Metals 35 CHAPTER 4 Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals Hazard identification, addressed in the previous chapter, is only the first step in risk assessment, and does not provide an estimate of risk under identified exposure scenarios. A usable risk assessment also requires dose-response evaluation, exposure assessment and risk characterization — which are reviewed in this chapter as applied to non-ferrous metals. Sound risk assessment requires each of these risk assessment steps to consider and weigh all relevant evidence, acknowledge the assumptions and uncertainties inherent in risk assessment, and present the results in a clear and usable format. A n essential prerequisite to effective risk management of non-ferrous metals is the accurate identification and evaluation of the potential health and environmental risks from specific metal applications. While scientific risk assessment by itself will not resolve many of the controversies relating to risk management, it is surely the case that risks that are unknown or inadequately characterized will be managed poorly, inefficiently or not at all. The first step of risk assessment is hazard identification, which was addressed in the previous chapter. The output of hazard identification should be a portrait of the adverse effects that a specific substance is capable of causing. Hazard identification is, however, only the initial step in the risk assessment process, not an end in itself. Simply stating that a substance is a reproductive toxin or a carcinogen, with no discussion of dose-response or exposure, is misleading and scientifically incomplete. Other important factors such as exposure, dose-response and potency must be combined with hazard identification to provide a meaningful evaluation of the magnitude and distribution of risk, and indeed whether any significant risk exists at all. It is a well-established scientific axiom that “the dose makes the poison,”21 and therefore information showing that a substance is capable of causing some adverse effect under certain circumstances is only part of the story. To truly understand the risk, it is impor21 Ottoboni, Alice M. 1991. The Dose Makes the Poison. Second Edition. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, NY. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 37 tant to also consider the dose at which the adverse effect occurs, the likelihood and magnitude of any such effect under real-world exposure conditions, and information on the mechanism by which such an effect occurs. Regulatory and personal decisions on risk avoidance should therefore be based on an assessment of risk, rather than simply on hazard identification. The remaining steps of the risk assessment process — which include dose-response evaluation, exposure assessment and risk characterization — are the subject of this chapter. An important caveat to the following discussion of risk assessment issues is that while several pitfalls and suggestions for improvements in risk assessment are identified, the recommendations that follow will not necessarily resolve all problems. In some cases, data limitations preclude a reliable assessment of risks. In other cases, methodological and theoretical issues need to be resolved to reduce major uncertainties in risk assessment. While further work in these areas should continue, the knowledge and data that are available today do permit useful estimates of risk to be derived for many applications of non-ferrous metals. This information can provide the basis for rational risk management based on scientifically sound risk assessment. Dose-Response Evaluation Dose-response is a fundamental tenet of toxicology, exemplified by the oft-quoted phrase from Paracelsus that: “All substances are poisons: there is none which is not a poison. The right dose differentiates a poison and a remedy.” So important is this principle that many scientists consider the presence of a dose-response relationship to be critical in establishing a causal relationship between an exposure and disease.22 The process of dose-response evaluation evaluates the hazard associated with exposure to different amounts of a substance. Dose-response evaluation for human risk assessment often distinguishes between non-threshold and threshold substances. Non-threshold substances are believed to be capable of causing adverse health effects (such as genotoxic carcinogenicity and mutations) at any exposure level, and therefore there is no threshold for adverse health effects. A threshold substance, in contrast, is believed to have a concentration below which no adverse effect occurs. The presence of this threshold is commonly believed for most substances. For many substances, the available data do not definitely demonstrate that a substance does or does not exhibit a 22 Hill, A.B. 1965. The environment and disease: association or causation? Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine. 58: 295-300. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 38 threshold for a particular health effect. In the absence of such data, substances are identified as a threshold or non-threshold substance based primarily on assumptions and theoretical considerations, which have been the subject of much debate. In addition to reviewing dose-response evaluation for threshold and non-threshold substances, the following section also evaluates dose-response methodology for ecotoxicology, which is particularly relevant for many non-ferrous metals. Threshold Substances Determination of what dose of a chemical is non-hazardous and what is harmful has been the practice of toxicologists for many years. The data from these dose-response relationships have been used in occupational health, environmental protection, nutrition and medicine to protect people against the toxic effects of chemicals. Central to this science of poisonous compounds is the concept of a response threshold. A threshold is the dose of the toxicant below which it is believed that there will be no adverse effect on nearly all exposed individuals. Above the threshold, some portion of the population will exhibit adverse effects. The dose-response relationship for a chemical is usually determined by evaluating the effects observed at a variety of doses of the compound. The lowest dose producing an adverse effect is called the lowest observed adverse effect level (LOAEL), and the next tested dose below the LOAEL is the no observed adverse effect level (NOAEL). The terms “lowest observed effect level” (LOEL) and “no observed effect level” (NOEL) were used in the past, but most toxicologists now recognize that “adverse” effects are more appropriate for defining a threshold. The threshold FIGURE 3. Example of Dose-Response Curve Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 39 dose is somewhere between the LOAEL and the NOAEL and is often estimated as the geometric mean of the NOAEL and the LOAEL, although its exact value is unknown. This relationship is shown graphically in Figure 3. In the case of metals essential for life and health, the dose-response curve is actually Ushaped because both very low and very high doses are associated with adverse health effects (Figure 4). At both ends of the curve, there exists 100 percent mortality or morbidity. The optimum for intake and exposure includes a range of doses in the trough of the curve. Because doses that are too high or too low will result in adverse effects, great care must be taken in assessing the risks of essential metals, such as zinc, selenium, copper and iron. It is not enough to ensure “safe” levels of uptake of such metals, but rather the objective should be “safe and sufficient” uptake levels. The traditional approach for evaluating the dose-response of non-carcinogens that are assumed to have a threshold is called the safety factor method. Under this methodology, the NOAEL (or the LOAEL in the absence of a NOAEL) is modified by safety factors 23 to account for potential differences in response between humans and animals, to protect potentially sensitive portions of the human population, and to account for lack of knowledge of human response when there are little or no human data. The goal is to estimate the human population threshold for adverse effects. Factors of 10 are often used as stan- FIGURE 4. Example of U-Shaped Dose-Response Curve for an Essential Metal 23 Safety factors are also sometimes called application factors, adjustment factors or uncertainty factors. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 40 TABLE 4. Standard Safety Factors Extrapolation Safety Factor Animal to Human (H) 10 Average to Sensitive Human (S) 10 Sub-Chronic to Chronic Study (C) 10 LOAEL to NOAEL (L) 10 Data Quality (MF) 1 - 10 dard safety factors for each area of uncertainty, although these values are generally based on convention, rather than objective data.24 For example, the NOAEL from a chronic animal test is generally divided by 100 — a combination of a factor of 10 to account for potential differences between humans and the tested animal, and a factor of 10 to protect potentially sensitive human groups. Factors of 10 are thought to be conservative, minimizing the chance of setting an acceptable dose above the human population threshold. In recent years, there has been increasing recognition of the need for greater flexibility in the application of safety factors to take account of the specific characteristics of the substance being evaluated. For example, lower safety factors have been used in the case of essential elements, which include some non-ferrous metals. Likewise, the International Programme on Chemical Safety (IPCS) has endorsed an approach in which safety factors can be subdivided and partially replaced by appropriate data on toxicodynamics and toxicokinetics where such data exist.25 The safety factor approach is used in setting a number of numerical standards to protect human health, including the World Health Organization’s (WHO) tolerable intakes (TIs), the US EPA’s reference doses (RfDs) and reference concentrations (RfCs), and the US Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) acceptable daily intakes (ADIs) for pesticides. These standards based on the safety factor approach are assumed to be an estimate of a safe dose. For example, an RfD is defined as “an estimate (spanning perhaps an order 24 Dourson, M.L., and J.F. Stara. 1983. Regulatory history and experimental support of uncertainty (safety) factors. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 3: 224-238. 25 IPCS. 1994. Assessing Human Health Risks of Chemicals: Derivation of Guidance Values for Health-Based Exposure Limits. WHO, Environmental Health Criteria 170. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 41 of magnitude) of a daily exposure to the human population (including sensitive subgroups) that is likely to be without an appreciable risk of deleterious effects during a lifetime.”26 Box 12: Alternative Dose-Response Approaches New approaches for evaluating the dose-response of threshold substances are currently being considered. One such approach is the benchmark dose method. This approach uses statistical models to estimate the dose that produces a specified percentage increase in the adverse effect of interest above the control level. The goal is to use all of the experimental data to more precisely define the starting point for extrapolation. The major advantage of the benchmark dose method is that it uses data from the entire experimentally tested exposure range, rather than simply from the NOAEL or LOAEL. Additionally, this method takes into account the number of animals in study groups and the variability in the data. Another new approach, under active study, is probabilistic modelling of the human threshold dose, which attempts to estimate a probability that the substance will cause an adverse effect at a given dose or exposure level. Crump, K. 1984. A new method for determining allowable daily intakes. Fundamental and Applied Toxicology 4: 854-871; US EPA. 1995. The Use of the Benchmark Dose Approach in Health Risk Assessment (EPA/630/R-94/007); S.J.S., Baird, J.T., Cohen, J.D., Graham, A.I., Shlyakhter, and J.S., Evans.1996. Noncancer risk assessment: A probabilistic alternative to current practice. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 2:79-102. Several important issues arise in dose-response evaluation of non-ferrous metals for threshold (i.e., non-cancer) effects. One of the most prominent is the essentiality of several metals for proper nutrition. For example, zinc is an essential component of more than 200 enzymes in the human body. The FDA has established recommended dietary allowances (RDAs) for zinc. Standard procedures for establishing an RfD for zinc results in a value close to, or below, the RDA.27 Thus, with essential metals such as zinc, the concept of zero exposure, or indeed an RfD using the standard safety factors, could be just as harmful to human health as exposures that are too high.28 This illustrates the prob26 Barnes, D.G., and M.L. Dourson. 1988. Reference dose (rfd): Description and use in health risk assessment. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 8: 471-486. 27 Abernathy, C.O., R. Cantilli, J.T. Du, and O.A. Levander. 1992. Essentiality versus toxicity: some considerations in the risk assessment of trace elements. Hazard Assessment of Chemicals, Volume 8, J. Saxena, ed. Hemisphere Publishing, New York, NY. 28 International Life Sciences Institute. 1994. Risk Assessment of Essential Elements. W. Mertz, C. Abernathy & S. Olin, eds. ILSI Press, Washington, DC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 42 lem with using a regimented approach to all substances and not utilizing all scientific information in characterizing the risk. To make more credible risk assessment of metals, lower bounds on “safe doses” should be established based on background levels in the environment and minimal nutritional requirements. The establishment of such safe dose lower bounds has been hampered in many cases by inadequate data on minimal nutritional requirements. Box 13: Metal Toxicity and Deficiency The importance of ensuring that exposures to essential metals are both not too high and not too low is demonstrated by a recent report of zinc ecotoxicity in the Netherlands. The report concluded that “[t]he risks associated with the current concentrations of zinc in the environment appear to be negligible for man, and limited and localized for animals and plants.” The report nevertheless recommended lower “desirable levels” for zinc based on a finding that zinc presented a serious threat to the aquatic environment in the Netherlands. The recommended zinc levels were so low, however, that a number of aquatic organisms would suffer from zinc deficiency at such concentrations. Natural levels of zinc in many waters appear to be higher than the recommended “desirable level”* *Van Tilborg, W.J.M. and F. van Assche. Integrated Criteria Document. Zinc. Industry Addendum. Report for ‘Projectgroep Zink’ of BMRO-VNO. Another problem, although not unique to non-ferrous metals, is the definition and differentiation of a toxic effect. The toxic effects of metals have been widely studied for many years. This means that there is a very large database from which to draw in risk assessment. It is known that non-ferrous metals often have toxicological effects by mimicking or replacing other necessary minerals in the body. Therefore, exposures which result in systemic or organ toxicity are frequently preceded by a number of minor and reversible enzymatic or biochemical changes which may be of questionable clinical significance. Some of these biomarkers may provide a useful early warning of more serious deleterious effects that could occur at higher exposures. The problem is that the biomarker, rather than the more significant toxic effect that occurs at higher doses, may end up serving as the critical effect for risk assessment using the safety factor approach. These minor, reversible effects are then placed on the same footing as those derived for other compounds for more serious toxic effects. Even if the biomarker is a good predictor of more serious health effects at higher exposures, it is inappropriate to apply the same safety factor to a minor, reversible effect that is applied to a more serious or nonreversible endpoint. Human health benchmarks such as an ADI, TI or RfD that are cal- Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 43 culated using the safety factor approach must therefore give appropriate weight to the severity of the critical effect upon which the benchmark is based. Another relevant issue is the influence of nutritional state and nutritional adequacy on the tolerable limits of exposure to non-ferrous metals. Individuals with adequate and well-balanced nutrition have much higher tolerable limits of exposure than individuals with inadequate diets. Observation of pathological effects in socially deprived populations with exposures to non-ferrous metals and other potentially toxic materials may therefore reflect in large part the nutritional state of exposed individuals. These relationships between metal toxicity and nutritional status raise difficult issues about how they should be factored into dose-response and risk assessment estimates, as well as the relative effectiveness and priorities of reducing exposures versus improving the nutritional status of under-nourished populations. Non-Threshold Substances For non-threshold substances such as genotoxic carcinogens, dose-response evaluation seeks to estimate the increased probability of an adverse effect rather than attempting to estimate a safe exposure level. Much of carcinogen dose-response evaluation, especially as practised in the USA, relies on probabilistic risk assessment. The linear no-threshold model, which is prominently used in probabilistic cancer risk assessment, postulates that cancer can arise from a single change to the DNA of a single cell in the body. In other words, it is assumed that a single molecule of a carcinogen has a non-zero probability of causing cancer. In addition, environmental and occupational carcinogens are seen as adding to a background process of cancer formation which, theoretically, means that no threshold should be expected.29 For this reason, it is assumed in cancer risk assessment that any dose of a carcinogen, however small, increases the probability of tumour formation.30 The non-threshold assumption is a rather controversial theory for at least some (particularly non-genotoxic) carcinogens.31 The logical implications of this theory for metals, which have natural background levels in the environment and in foods, is that some proportion of any cancer risk from metals must be attributed to natural sources. This theory also does not take account of the likelihood that living organisms have developed defence mechanisms to the low levels of natural exposure to non-ferrous metals that have existed since the beginning of life on the planet. Various mechanisms and process- 29 Crump, K.S., D.G. Hoel, C.H. Langley, and R. Peto. 1976. Fundamental carcinogenic processes and their implications for low dose risk assessment. Cancer Research. 36: 2973-2979. 30 Anderson, E., et al. 1983. Quantitative approaches in use to assess cancer risk. Risk Analysis. 3: 277-295. 31 The US EPA has recently proposed new guidelines for carcinogen risk assessment that would allow use of nonlinear or threshold models for some carcinogens. 61 Fed. Reg. 17960-18011 (April 23, 1996). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 44 es in the body, such as biotransformation, sequestration and DNA repair, suggest that organisms may be able to accommodate some level of exposure to most substances without serious adverse effects. Box 14: Genotoxic vs. Non-Genotoxic Carcinogens Many non-US agencies, including the European Union (EU), the United Kingdom (UK) Department of Health and the Health Council of the Netherlands, divide potential carcinogens into genotoxic and non-genotoxic categories. Doseresponse evaluation for non-genotoxic carcinogens utilizes the NOAEL and safety factor approach, based on the assumption that a threshold exists for such carcinogens. For genotoxic carcinogens, the EU and UK are in the process of developing methods for estimating dose-response, while the Netherlands relies on a probabilistic risk assessment methodology known as the TD50 approach, which calculates the chronic dose rate that results in tumours in half of the animals at the end of lifetime study. Mathematical models are used in probabilistic risk assessment to derive a dose-response relationship and extrapolate the animal data to low doses. Often, several models will fit the experimental animal data quite well and have at least some plausible basis in biology. The models nonetheless may yield low-dose risk estimates that vary enormously (by factors of hundreds or thousands) for the same substance using the same data set.32 Judgement calls are necessary to complete a probabilistic dose-response evaluation on a particular substance that is found to cause adverse effects in animal studies. Important judgements include: (1) which set of animal data to use in the modelling process; (2) which adverse effects in the animal to count (e.g., benign and/or malignant tumours); (3) how to extrapolate the findings in animal studies (or occupational epidemiology) at high doses to the low doses commonly encountered by humans in daily life; and, (4) how to scale the doses between species, adjust for different routes of exposure (e.g., ingestion in animals versus inhalation in humans), and account for variable durations or patterns of exposure. None of these judgements can currently be resolved solely on the basis of science. In the USA, quasi-policy judgements are made in the face of uncertainty pur- 32 Sielken, R.L., Jr. 1987. The capabilities, sensitivity, pitfalls, and future of quantitative risk assessment. Environmental Health Risks: Assessment and Management. R. S. McColl, ed. University of Waterloo Press, Waterloo, ON. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 45 suant to published guidelines,33 while other countries, the United Kingdom for example, rely on the judgement of expert scientists.34 Various efforts are being taken to address the limitations of traditional probabilistic risk assessment models. Concern that common models for low-dose extrapolation do not adequately account for biological factors, including DNA repair and physiological adaptation, has spurred efforts to develop biologically based models for risk assessment. This includes physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models and biologically based models of dose-response.35 Use of these models, especially for metals for which organisms have known adaptive mechanisms, will be helpful in producing more realistic risk estimates when sufficient data are available. Other new approaches, such as the margin of exposure approach utilized by Health Canada (see Box 15), reduce reliance on the most controversial and conservative assumptions in probabilistic risk assessment. Ecotoxicology Dose-Response The goal of dose-response evaluation for ecotoxic effects is to identify the predicted noeffect concentration (PNEC) for a substance in a particular environmental medium, often water. The PNEC is based on the response threshold concept. Under various schemes and depending on available data, adjustment factors are used to account for uncertainty in extrapolating from acute to chronic tests, from a few indicator species to an ecosystem, across taxonomic groups, and when data are sparse. Factors are applied to either a no observed effect concentration (NOEC) from the sensitive species or to the concentration of the substance lethal to 50 percent of the test organisms (LC50). As would be expected, larger adjustment factors are used with LC50 data than with NOEC data. For example, in the Draft Technical Guidance on Environmental Risk Assessment of Existing Substances,36 the European Commission (EC) draws distinctions between substances with data from long-term studies and those without, and those from more trophic levels rather than fewer (see Box 16). Other schemes use similar protocols, decreasing the size of assessment factors as the quantity and relevance of the available toxicity data increase. 33 See, for example, US EPA. 1996. Proposed Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment, 61 Fed. Reg. 17960(April 23, 1996). 34 Committee on Carcinogenicity of Chemicals in Food, Consumer Products, and the Environment. 1991.Guidance for the Evaluation of Chemicals for Carcinogenicity. UK Department of Health, London. 35 See, for example, Andersen, M.E., H.J. Clewell III, M.L. Gargas, F.A. Smith, and R.H. Reitz. 1987. Physiologically-based pharmacokinetics and the risk assessment process for methylene chloride. Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology. 87: 185-205; Conolly, R.B., and M.E. Andersen. 1991. Biologically-based pharmacodynamic models: tools for toxicological research and risk assessment. Annual Review of Pharmacology and Toxicology. 31: 503-523. 36 EC, Draft Technical Guidance on Environmental Risk Assessment of Existing Substances in the Context of Commission Regulation 1488/94 in accordance with Council Regulation (EEC) No. 793/93 on the Evaluation and Control of Existing Substances. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 46 Box 15: The Canadian Approach The approach developed by Health Canada to quantify carcinogen risk is an example of a relatively new approach that may help to produce more reliable and useful risk estimates. This approach first calculates the carcinogenic potency of a substance expressed as the concentration or dose that induces a 5 percent increase in tumours considered to be associated with exposure. This potency value is calculated directly from the dose-response curve rather than from an upper confidence limit, given the stability of the data in the experimental range and the desirability of avoiding unduly conservative assumptions. The potency estimates are generally limited to epidemiological or bioassay results in which there has been observed a statistically significant increase in incidence and a dose-response relationship. The quantitative estimate of carcinogenic potency for a substance is then compared to the estimated daily intake in the general population or to concentrations in specific relevant environmental media. Among other benefits, such as reduced reliance on contentious and conservative assumptions, this approach has the advantage for metal risk assessment of taking into account background levels of metals in the environment due to natural and other causes. Meek, M.E., R. Newhook, R.G. Liteplo, & V.C. Armstrong. 1994. Approach to assessment of risk to human health for priority substances under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act. Environ. Carcino. & Ecotox. Revs. C12(2): 105-134; Health Canada. 1994. Human Health Risk Assessment for Priority Substances. Ottawa, ON. When extensive data are available, an additional method has been proposed for setting permissible environmental exposure levels. This method sets the protection level to protect 95 percent of the species in the ecosystem. Effects on endangered or essential species are considered separately. However, rarely are sufficient data available to use this method. With essential metals, the predicted no effect concentration (PNEC) value may fall below the concentration required in the environment to supply the essential trace elements needed for normal functioning of enzyme systems or particular physiological functions, such as moulting in birds which requires zinc. Estimates of NOEC and the concentration required for essentiality will vary between species and between ecosystems. Site specific-risk assessment may, therefore, be necessary to guide appropriate risk management. Examples of attempts to quantify both toxic and essential concentrations for cop- Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 47 per and zinc, and to derive guidance values for environmental protection, can be found in recent WHO Environmental Health Criteria documents37,38. Exposure Assessment The next step in risk assessment is exposure assessment, which quantifies the exposure to the agent of interest by humans or the environment. Exposure assessment is in many cases the most difficult and uncertain step in risk assessment, particularly for ecotoxicity risk assessment. Exposure of humans or other organisms to metals can occur through different routes, including inhalation, dermal absorption and ingestion in food or water.39 In some situations, a source of metal contaminants will result in exposure through more than one exposure pathway, although multiple pathways are not always considered in risk assessments. The EC not only requests exposure assessments for direct exposure of workers and consumers, but also for reasonably foreseeable indirect pathways.40 Environmental exposure to metals can occur through accidental release as well as emissions during manufacture, use or disposal of metals and metal-containing products, in addition to natural sources of a metal in the environment. Box 16: Ecotoxicity Adjustment Factors The EC’s Draft Technical Guidance on Environmental Risk Assessment of Existing Substances recommends the following assessment factors in calculating a PNEC depending on the types of ecotoxicity data available: • • • • • 1,000 applied to the lowest acute LC50 from fish, Daphnia, or algae; 100 if using a long-term NOEC from fish or Daphnia; 50 applied to the lower NOEC if both fish and Daphnia have been tested; 10 applied to the lowest NOEC when fish, Daphnia, and algae have been tested; or 1 applied to field studies (evaluated on a case-by-case basis). 37 WHO. 1997 (in press) Environmental Health Criteria for Copper. Geneva, Switzerland. 38 WHO. 1997 (in press) Environmental Health Criteria for Zinc. Geneva, Switzerland. 39 McKone, T.E. 1991. Human exposure to chemicals from multiple media and through multiple pathways: research overview and comments. Risk Analysis. 11: 5-11. 40 Commission Regulation 1488/94 Annex I, Part B. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 48 Regional or local exposure assessment is often performed to support two different types of risk estimates: population risk (or incidence) and maximum individual risk. Population risk is the traditional public health measure that estimates the number of cases of disease in the exposed population attributable to a specific source or contaminant. The person at maximum individual risk (MIR) is the individual who suffers the largest incremental risk due to a particular source or contaminant. Since little is known about which people (or organisms in ecological risk assessment) are the most sensitive to particular hazards, risk assessments usually assume that the person at MIR is the maximally exposed individual (MEI). The MEI is the person, whether hypothetical or real, predicted to receive the greatest lifetime exposure from a particular source. For example, the MEI may be the resident living closest to a factory which emits a pollutant or, in the case of ground water contamination, the resident whose well for drinking water is next to a waste disposal site which may be leaking one or more toxic substances. Human and environmental exposures are usually calculated on the basis of predictive models and assumptions, rather than direct measurements. For example, in estimating exposures to a population surrounding a manufacturing facility, a mathematical dispersion model might estimate the air concentration of a pollutant 200 metres from the source, considered to be the fence line of the factory and assumed to be the residence of the MEI. In addition, in some risk assessments it is assumed that the MEI is outdoors breathing air at this predicted concentration 24 hours a day for 70 years, even though no one spends his or her entire life standing at the fence line of a factory.41 In cases involving clean-up of contaminated soils, the MEI is often assumed to be a child that eats the contaminated soil on almost a daily basis for many years, when in many cases no children even play at or near the contaminated site.42 While the MEI calculation is designed to be a worst-case estimate of true lifetime exposure, it often includes so many conservative assumptions that it is not representative of the exposures to any real-life person. The population risk estimate, though arguably the most relevant to sound public policy, is more difficult to calculate than the MIR because the assessor needs to know how many people are exposed to the contaminant, at what levels, and for what periods of time. Another complication is that not all people are equally susceptible to a particular toxic substance, and therefore the level of exposure of susceptible sub-populations will often 41 Hawkins, N.C. 1991. Conservatism in maximally exposed individual (mei) predictive exposure assessments: A first-cut analysis. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology. 14: 107-116 42 For an example, see Breyer, S. 1993. Breaking the Vicious Circle: Toward Effective Risk Regulation. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 49 be of interest. This type of data is often not available, although in recent years greater attention has been given to identifying and evaluating exposures to susceptible sub-populations, such as children. Detailed measurements of a pollutant are often preferred to modelled estimates, but monitoring is expensive and cumbersome. Exposure assessment for metals has an advantage over organic chemicals in this respect in that better methods are available to measure the levels of metals in the environment as well as in plant and animal tissues. Since direct measurements generally are considered more reliable than the output of predictive models, monitoring data should be preferred for exposure assessment. It is critical, however, that the measurements be specific to the species of the metal under consideration when species-specific data are available. Because measurements of total metals are misleading, the generation and use of exposure data for the particular metal compounds or species that may present a risk should be encouraged. A promising development for ecological exposure assessment of metals is the development and validation of models to predict metal concentrations in aquatic species based on measurements of free metal ions.43 This research illustrates clearly the utility of free ion measurements over measures of total metal concentration. In the absence of hard data, the exposure assessment process proceeds with common “default” assumptions. For example, if a pollutant is found in drinking water, the US EPA recommends that risk assessors assume that people consume two litres of water per day; another frequent assumption is that everyone breathes 20 m3/day of air.44 In the absence of pharmacokinetic data, exposure assessment frequently assumes 100 percent absorption of a substance ingested in food or water. Additional assumptions sometimes used include that it is appropriate to average intermittent exposures over a lifetime, and that current levels of a contaminant in the environment will remain unchanged for 70 years. Food intake is generally derived from market basket surveys or national consumption surveys which gauge the amount of all types of groceries purchased or consumed. Exposure assessment must also make assumptions about the heterogeneity of the population, including differences between the sexes, adults, children and the elderly, different ethnic and socioeconomic groups, and different levels of activity. Exposure assessment for ecological effects focuses on estimating the predicted environmental concentration (PEC). For example, estimation of the PEC for water requires understanding of point source and non-point source releases of the substance, biodegradation of the material in the aquatic environment, and physical-chemical properties of the material and the effect they have on the ultimate concentration of the substance in 43 Hare, L., and A. Tessier. 1996. Predicting animal cadmium concentrations in lakes. Nature. 380: 430-432. 44 US EPA. 1989. Exposure Factors Handbook (EPA/600/8-89/043). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 50 water.45 For many substances, especially metals, reliable and high quality monitoring data often are available and should be used in preference to estimation. Further, the metal species should be identified to aid in dose-response evaluation of the appropriate substance and because often only a fraction of the metal present is bioavailable due to deactivating reactions with complexing agents. Non-ferrous metals provide several unique challenges for exposure assessment. One key factor is the dynamic nature of metal speciation. The form of a metal may depend on the environmental matrix of concern. This means that site-specific factors may strongly influence the bioavailability of the metal compound. Bioavailability refers to the availability of a contaminant in some medium to be absorbed into biological systems. Many factors affect the bioavailability of a metal, including dose, route of exposure, oxidation state, chemical and physical form, dietary matrix, interaction with other trace elements, and the nutritional and physiological state of the exposed individual. Box 17: Bioavailability and Metals Speciation Total metal concentration in an environmental medium is an unreliable guide to hazard identification, as different species of a given metal can have substantially different bioavailability. For example, metals usually exist in different forms in soil with dramatically different bioavailability. A standard exposure assessment assumes that the total content of a metal is bioavailable and able to be absorbed. Evidence indicates, however, that most of the metals in soil are in a highly insoluble form and are not absorbed upon ingestion of soil.* A scientifically complete exposure assessment should take into account any available data on differences in bioavailability of different forms of metals. *Thornton, Iain. 1996. Metals in the Global Environment: Facts and Misconceptions. International Council on Metals and the Environment. Ottawa, Canada. Local conditions, such as soil pH and the activity of bioconcentrating organisms, can also significantly affect bioavailability and exposure potential. Thus, it is not just the identity of the metal species that is important, but also the environmental conditions in which the metal species are present. Clearly, exposure assessment for non-ferrous metals presents some complex issues which challenge standard default assumptions and emphasize the need for site-specific information. 45 Risk Assessment of Existing Substances. 1993. Guidance Produced by a UK Government/Industry Working Group, Chemical Industries Association, London. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 51 Box 18: Importance of Site-Specific Factors Bioavailability and exposure to metals depend not only on the chemical and physical form in which the metal is present, but also on site-specific factors in the local environment. For example, soil acidity is an important determining factor in the bioavailability of metals in soil. The bioavailability of ions for metals such as zinc, lead and cadmium is greatest under acidic conditions, while increasing pH reduces bioavailability. The organisms present in soils also affect metal solubility, transport and bioavailability. Soil type, such as clay and sand content, affects the migration of metals through soils, and therefore also the potential for exposure through groundwater and other pathways. The dispersion of metals in surface waters depends on the properties of the water body, such as flow rate. Exposure to metals in the atmosphere is also affected by local conditions such as precipitation and wind. These site-specific factors emphasize the importance of context in metal risk assessment. Exposure assessment is yet another potential source of uncertainty in the risk assessment process, sometimes leading to large overestimates of exposure, as in the MEI, or underestimates, as in the case of unevaluated exposure pathways. Bioavailability and speciation are critical issues in metal exposure analysis, as exposure estimates based on total metal levels in the environment will generally be misleading. Good exposure assessment should explicitly quantify population variability in exposure. In addition, assumptions should be clearly stated to permit informed evaluation of the findings. Additionally, risk assessments for essential metals also require the determination of whether organisms are living under deficiency conditions, and whether the particular trace metal is rate limiting to growth. Such an assessment will be highly site-specific. There is little published information in this difficult area and further fundamental research will be needed to resolve outstanding questions. In natural environmental communities, concentrations of metals are derived from the underlying soil or surrounding water (the “background” level or the geochemical baseline). In some areas, human activity either ancient or modern, has led to an “ambient” level which is higher than background. Biological communities have frequently adapted to ambient concentrations. Exposure and effects assessment must, therefore, discriminate between natural and anthropogenic metal concentrations and take into account historical exposure of biological communities. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 52 Risk Characterization Risk characterization is the final stage of risk assessment which summarizes the information from hazard identification, dose-response evaluation and exposure assessment into an overall conclusion on risk that is in a form useful for decision makers, legislators, the media and members of the public.46 The result of a risk characterization is a qualitative or quantitative description of the potential hazards due to a particular exposure. As such, risk characterization applies the available data on the inherent toxic properties of an agent to local exposure conditions to present an overall conclusion on risk. Because risk characterization is based in significant part on a specific exposure scenario or scenarios, risk characterization is highly context-specific and cannot be automatically applied from one context or location to another.47 In environmental risk characterization, factors such as speciation, bioavailability, community structure, physical conditions (soil type, rainfall, seasonal weather, agricultural practice) and biological variability affect both the exposure of organisms and the toxic effects of metals. In addition, a sufficient concentration of essential metals is required in the environment to avoid deficiency in organisms. This means that a generalized risk estimate may not be appropriate to direct risk management. Currently, habitat-specific approaches to environmental risk assessment need to consider information such as background concentrations and biological community type. This offers scope for more detailed and realistic estimation of risk factors for individual organisms and communities. Quantitative risk characterization conveys a numerical estimate of the magnitude of the risk that a substance poses to humans or the environment. This risk may be expressed as individual risk (i.e., the probability that the substance will cause an adverse health effect in any given organism) or population risk (i.e., an estimate of the number of organisms in a population which may be expected to be affected). Qualitative risk characterization describes in narrative form the adverse effect or effects associated with exposure to an agent along with some measure of the evidence for the association. The quantification of risk differs depending on whether, for example, the safety factor approach or probabilistic risk assessment is used. The results of a probabilistic risk assessment are estimates of the increased risk of mortality or disease, above background rates, from a specific exposure. Any single risk estimate is dependent on many choices, 46 Gray, G.M., and J.D. Graham. 1991. Risk assessment and clean air policy. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 10: 286-295. 47 This point was recently recognized by the Intergovernmental Forum on Chemical Safety, which in evaluating the internationalization of national risk assessments observed that “Risk characterization, by definition, is a quantitative process related to local exposure; national risk characterizations are not universally applicable.” Intergovernmental Forum on Chemical Safety, Programme Area A: Expanding and Accelerating International Assessment of Chemical Risks at 3 (ISG/95.3). Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 53 assumptions and judgements that are made in the calculation. Risk characterization for the safety factor approach often relies on construction of a hazard ratio. This is the ratio of the predicted exposure to the estimate of a safe dose, for example the RfD or TI. For ecological risk assessment, the predicted environmental concentration/predicted noeffect concentration (PEC/PNEC) ratio is constructed in the same way. When these ratios are well below one, it is generally assumed that the exposure is safe. Ratios near one are often of concern and those well above one are considered a problem. Interpretation of ratios near one is fraught with uncertainty because the safety factor approach does not generate a best estimate of the population threshold but instead an estimate from a consistent method. For this reason it is not clear at what dose adverse effects might be expected. It is primarily the way in which numerical estimates of risk are characterized and communicated that has led to much emphasis on improving the risk characterization process. Although many risk characterization guidelines stress the need to address uncertainty and ranges in risk estimates and to emphasize the conservative nature of standard risk estimates, this guidance is not always fully implemented in practice. Instead, procedures designed to generate upper bounds on the risk are often treated as generating best estimates, and the uncertainty in risk assessment is frequently inadequately acknowledged.48 Risk estimates have often been presented as a single-point estimate rather than more appropriately expressed as a range, although many regulatory agencies now give increased emphasis to presenting a range rather than a point estimate of risk. Another problem is that the important roles of choice of data and extrapolation model are sometimes not made clear, even though other plausible data or model choices may yield very different risk estimates. Complete characterization of risk is very important to good risk management and risk communication. Full characterization can help distinguish between exposures that are likely to be associated with hazardous effects and those that are not. This could be important information to make risk comparisons or to set priorities for resource allocation. In addition, characterizing risk more fully will help educate policy makers, legislators, the media and the public about what is known, and what is not known, about health and environmental hazards. General Principles of Sound Risk Assessment Because all materials and activities have the potential to create risk in some contexts, it is important to use risk assessment to distinguish the truly dangerous situations from those which pose little risk. It is scientific information — on potential human health 48 Gray, G.M., and J.D. Graham. 1991. Risk assessment and clean air policy. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 10: 286-295. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 54 effects, potential environmental damage, and sources and types of exposure — that allows risks to be distinguished. The following characteristics typify a sound and useful risk assessment. Box 19: Principles of Sound Risk Assessment The seven principles of sound risk assessment reviewed in the following text are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Evaluation of all relevant scientific information, including both positive and negative studies. Use of a weight-of-the-evidence approach. Explicit identification of assumptions and uncertainties. Evaluation of alternative assumptions. Presentation of risk as a range rather than a point estimate. Use of an iterative risk assessment process that progresses from bounding or screening analyses to numerical distributions of risk. Summarize results in a concise yet accurate report. 1. Evaluation of All Relevant Scientific Information, Including Both Positive and Negative Studies. Risk assessment utilizes information from epidemiology, toxicology, occupational medicine, industrial hygiene, exposure assessment, ecotoxicology and many other disciplines to characterize the potential dangers of exposure to hazardous materials. In order to characterize risk fully, it is necessary that all scientific information be evaluated and that the results of the risk assessment be measured against relevant criteria such as good laboratory practice standards. For metals, it is particularly important that the data used be relevant to the specific metal species or compound being assessed, which can happen only if such data are both available and considered. Assembling all relevant scientific information is a prerequisite to good risk assessment. This may include model estimates, the results of a literature search, and toxicological, epidemiological, industrial hygiene, and environmental monitoring data. A risk assessment will be incomplete and prone to misleading results if it only considers some of the available relevant data. The most useful risk assessments are therefore not limited to positive studies showing an adverse effect from the substance in question, but also give appropriate weight to negative studies that show no association between the substance and adverse health effects. In such assessments, the entire data set for the substance is Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 55 considered to permit an informed and scientifically credible judgement of the weight-ofevidence for a harmful effect and to aid in understanding of the dose-response relationship. The data may be compared, for instance, to evaluate whether animal-based risk estimates are consistent with epidemiological findings, or whether specific species in an ecosystem may be particularly sensitive to an agent. Evaluation of the quality of available studies is also key. Of course, well-designed studies are preferred over those of questionable relevance. Many older experiments were conducted before the standards of good laboratory practice (GLP) were established and may not be as reliable as more recent studies. Established guidelines for good epidemiological practice should also be consulted to evaluate the quality of epidemiological data. Even studies that comply with GLP can differ greatly in the quality of the study design and implementation. For risk assessment to be based on a sound scientific foundation, it must use the most relevant and best scientific information in a straightforward, unbiased manner. 2. Use of a Weight-of-the-Evidence Approach. Once all the relevant data have been collected, including both positive and negative studies, the data are best reviewed and considered using a weight-of-the-evidence approach. A weight-of-the-evidence approach considers both animal and human data, the number and consistency of studies that produce a positive or negative result, the quality of the studies, the relevance of particular disease mechanisms and routes of exposure in animal studies for humans, the uncertainties and limitations of particular studies, and any other data that may provide relevant information on whether a particular agent is likely to be a human or environmental hazard and the magnitude of any such hazard. There are no clear and simple rules for applying a weight-of-the-evidence approach, but rather the analysis for any given agent must be based on sound scientific judgement that considers all relevant data. Some risk assessments give undue emphasis to positive results and give much less consideration to mechanistic data and negative test results, and hence are not truly based on the weight of the evidence. In weighing the available data, the absolute number of positive versus negative studies will rarely be a reliable indicator of hazard. The quality of the data must be considered as well. Evaluation of the relevance of a particular laboratory study or technique to the real-world situation under consideration is also necessary. This approach relies on the judgement of scientists, medical experts, industrial hygienists and engineers to synthesize current information and new information as it becomes available. 3. Explicit Identification of Assumptions and Uncertainties. Rarely are data available to allow a complete assessment of risk. Instead, default assumptions are used when data are lacking or theory is ambiguous. For example, in the absence of evidence to the contrary, current carcinogen hazard identification practices assume that an animal car- Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 56 cinogen also has the potential to be a human carcinogen.49 It is usually assumed that a compound which is carcinogenic at high doses, in either occupational studies or in animal tests, will also be carcinogenic at low doses. Some exposure assessments assume that the MEI for an industrial facility spends his or her entire 70-year life span outdoors at the fence line of the factory. Some of the assumptions used in risk assessment are generally accepted while others are matters of a great deal of contention.50 The most useful risk assessments explicitly identify and discuss the assumptions used as well as their degree of scientific plausibility. Ideally, the rationale for a particular assumption (as well as the degree of scientific consensus about its appropriateness) is discussed. If there is no scientific agreement, credible alternative theories and assumptions are evaluated and presented. It is also helpful when pending or potential research which could help refine or clarify the risk assessment is identified. In addition to identifying the assumptions used, a meaningful risk assessment also attempts to estimate and make explicit the uncertainties in the risk assessment. Because of the unavoidable use of assumptions and models in risk assessment, risk estimates are usually highly uncertain. Moreover, the exact relevance of animal tests to human risk and the predictive value of epidemiology from high workplace exposure levels to environmental exposures raise additional uncertainties. The real-world representativeness of uncertainty factors or mathematical models for high- to low-dose extrapolation in dose-response evaluation is necessarily uncertain. Additionally, the quality of available data may be limited. Methods of exposure assessment, especially when exposure may be from many pathways, are generally rudimentary. All of these factors contribute to the great uncertainty in estimates of risk. In the past, uncertainty in risk assessment has led to the principle of conservatism. In the face of uncertainty about the best estimate of an input to risk assessment, an “upper bound” value was often used. More and more, however, it is recognized that conservative risk assessment distorts decision making because it does not provide the decision maker with an accurate representation of the range of plausible risk estimates for a given activity or substance. It is critical that uncertainty be acknowledged, characterized and described quantitatively both to provide meaningful information to the decision maker and to guide scientific research. Current and future scientific research will help reduce the uncertainties in many aspects of risk assessment, but substantial uncertain- 49 Risk Assessment Forum, US EPA. 1991. Alpha2-Globulin: Association with Chemically Induced Renal Toxicity and Neoplasia in the Male Rat, EPA/625/3-91/019F discusses a situation in which chemically induced tumours in animals are not believed to indicate human risk. 50 Rosenthal, A., G.M. Gray, and J.D. Graham. 1992. Legislating acceptable risk from exposure to toxic chemicals. Ecology Law Quarterly. 19: 269-362. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 57 ties will remain in risk assessment for the foreseeable future.51 Explicit identification of these uncertainties in a risk assessment helps to ensure that the analysis is properly understood and used. Box 20: Bioaccumulation of Metals Animals and plants actively regulate the uptake of metals from their environment. For essential metals, biochemical and behavioural mechanisms combine to facilitate uptake when the metal is needed. Organisms may also take up non-essential metals and store them away from sensitive cellular processes to reduce their toxicity. An extreme example is for cadmium and zinc in isopods where levels of up to 5000 mg/kg can be accumulated in the gut. Resistant plants may also hold metals externally in nodules in root or cell walls and algae commonly adsorb metals to their external surface*. For organic substances, accumulation potential can be estimated either from simple accumulation tests or from physico-chemical properties, principally octanol-water partition coefficients, which correlate with accumulation in tissues (for example see the European Union Risk Assessment of Existing Substances: Technical Guidance Manual). However, for the reasons outlined above, this general approach cannot be applied to inorganic forms of metals, though it may apply to organometallic complexes. The wide variety of mechanisms by which organisms handle essential and non-essential metals means that bioaccumulation has to be assessed individually for both the metal involved and the type of organism exposed. *WHO. 1992. Environmental Health Criteria No.135 Cadmium - Environmental Aspects. Geneva, Switzerland. *WHO. 1989. Environmental Health Criteria No. 85 Lead - Environmental Aspects. Geneva, Switzerland. 4. Evaluation of Alternative Assumptions. As discussed above, the choice of assumptions and analytic inferences have appreciable influence on estimates of risk. The most useful risk assessments evaluate and report the effect of alternative assumptions and inferences on estimates of risk. Some of these assumptions are made according to “science policy” guidelines derived by some agency, others fall into the realm of judgement when risk assessors make one choice from many plausible alternatives. Examples of the assumptions and choices in risk assessment include the choice of the animal data set for modelling human risk, the choice of a dose-response model from many plausible alter- 51 See Rosenthal, A., G.M. Gray, and J.D. Graham. 1992. Legislating acceptable risk from exposure to toxic chemicals. Ecology Law Quarterly 19: 269-362 for a discussion of many of the sources of uncertainty in current risk assessment. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 58 natives, the choice of endpoint on which to base an RfD, the choice of which adjustment factors to apply in deriving a PNEC, and the choice of the particular model parameter for risk estimation. All of these choices have some effect on the final estimate of risk. Alternatives for some assumptions might substantially change the estimate of risk, while plausible options for others would have little effect. Thorough risk characterization involves justification of the assumptions and choices made in an assessment and discussion of the impact of alternative inferences on the estimate of risk. It is helpful when other plausible estimates of risk, developed using alternative assumptions, models or data, are presented. If possible, identification of the risk estimate or estimates with the greatest scientific support also provides useful information. This fosters better understanding of a risk assessment by all users of a risk assessment, and more scientifically defensible decisions. 5. Presentation of Risk as a Range Rather Than as a Point Estimate. A potential problem with risk assessment is that many decision makers and other users of risk assessments may give too much credence to a single point estimate of risk and underappreciate the uncertainties that accompany the point estimate.52 It is desirable instead to present the range of possible risk values, especially when there is no solid basis for concluding that any one point estimate in the range is more likely than any other. One way to address this problem is to present a central tendency of risk accompanied by upper and lower bound risk estimates.53 Also, statistical methods are available and are increasingly being used to provide a range of risk estimates. For example, a method known as Monte Carlo analysis uses a range of data rather than a point estimate as inputs for each parameter in the risk assessment and then uses a large number of iterations to generate a probability distribution for the risk estimate. Other approaches are also being evaluated (Box 21). 6. Use of an Iterative Risk Assessment Process That Progresses from Bounding or Screening Analyses to Numerical Distributions of Risk. A key characteristic of useful risk assessments is that the analysis fits the intended use. Analysis can be costly and time consuming. The risk assessment process, therefore, is most effective as an iterative undertaking that progresses from quick and simple bounding calculations to more complex numerical distributions of risk only as the needs (and the stakes) of the decisions increase. 52 Gray, G.M., and J.D. Graham. 1991. Risk assessment and clean air policy. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 10: 286-295. 53 US EPA. 1986. Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment. (51 Fed. Reg. 33992); Gray, G.M., and J.D. Graham. 1991. Risk assessment and clean air policy. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management. 10: 286-295. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 59 The use of a risk assessment should influence the conduct of the analysis. In the risk assessment framework described in Chapter 3 (Figure 2), the dashed line connecting risk management and risk characterization is intended to highlight the fact that the level of complexity of risk characterization should depend on the needs of the risk manager. Frequently, bounding or default risk assessment procedures may be used to confirm that a particular exposure situation is not a problem. However, if these screening calculations indicate a potential problem or the societal stakes in a decision are large, more complete risk characterization will be necessary.54 Many current risk assessment methodologies for ecotoxic effects also explicitly utilize this iterative approach.55 7. Results Summaries in a Concise Yet Accurate Report. Risk assessment is a complex process that relies on scientific information, mathematical models and expert judgement. It is therefore important that the results of this process be reported in a way that is concise and useful yet accurately portrays the uncertainties, assumptions and scientific knowledge that underlie the assessment. Box 21: The Distributional Approach to Risk Analysis One proposed method for more complete risk characterization is the distributional approach, which uses subjective expert judgement to assess the likelihood of alternative estimates of risk. This method can capture the range of scientific evidence and opinion on the key biological uncertainties. The distributional approach uses explicit expert judgement to analyse and quantify the plausibility of alternative models and interpretations of available data. The result is a distribution of risk estimates, each weighted by the expert-assessed probability of the plausibility of the estimate. This distribution can be contrasted with the single estimate of risk developed through default procedures. Gray, G.M., J.T. Cohen and J.D. Graham. 1993. The challenge of risk characterization: Current practice and future directions. Environmental Health Perspectives Supplements 101: 203-208.; Evans, J.S., J.D. Graham, G.M. Gray, and R.L. Sielken Jr. 1994. A distributional approach to characterizing low-dose cancer risk. Risk Analysis 14: 25-34. 54 National Research Council. 1994. Science and Judgement in Risk Assessment. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. 55 For example, see Commission Regulation 1488/94 Laying Down the Principles for Assessment of Risks to Man and the Environment of Existing Substances in Accordance with Council Directive 67/548/EEC; Zeeman, M., and J. Gilford. 1993. Ecological Hazard Evaluation and Risk Assessment Under EPA’s Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA): An Introduction in Environmental Toxicology and Risk Assessment. W.G. Landis, J.S. Hughes, and M.S. Lewis, eds. American Society for Testing and Materials, Philadelphia, PA. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 60 Risk assessments are used in many ways. They are used to assist in risk management decisions such as how much a hazardous waste site should be cleaned up or what precautions are necessary to handle a dangerous material safely. The results of risk assessments are also communicated to legislators, policy makers, the media and the general public. Because risk management is itself a process which requires input from many different disciplines (i.e., economics, engineering, political science, epidemiology, toxicology, occupational medicine, industrial hygiene) and requires judgement, more complete characterization of risk is necessary. Factors such as scientific uncertainty, assumptions used in exposure assessment, or level of population risk may be very important to a decision maker who relies on a risk assessment. It is therefore crucial that the results of a risk assessment be communicated in a way that is clear, accurate and scientifically defensible. Conclusion Risk assessment provides a method for organizing scientific information to aid in understanding potential human and environmental hazards. It is helpful when risk assessment can be quantitative, allowing understanding of the potential magnitude of risk or the exposure levels which may lead to harm. However, it is important to emphasize that risk assessment should not simply be an algorithm for producing regulatory numbers, but rather should be a flexible process for providing insight into potential health and environmental effects. Flexibility means that the level of sophistication of an analysis should be tied to the needs of a risk management decision. It means that the risk assessment process should not be regimented but instead consider evidence and information on a substance-by-substance basis. It means that the process must be able to respond to new scientific information. It means that risk assessment must effectively organize and communicate essential information to decision makers and to the public. Risk assessment of non-ferrous metals presents many special challenges. Metals must be assessed according to the species or compound under consideration to the extent that available data permit. The essentiality of many metals for life puts logical lower bounds on safe intake levels and reminds us that some dose of these metals is desirable. Metals have also been found to have different effects through different routes of exposure in different biological species. Risk assessment should give the greatest weight to data for relevant routes of exposure. Exposure assessment of metals should also be specific for each physico-chemical form when the necessary data are available. Differences in bioavailability — due to solubility, the formation of complexes, or adsorption to soils or sediments — must be considered. Local differences in the environment, such as soil pH and the activity of bioconcentrating organisms, can also significantly affect metal risks. Finally, the natural background levels of these elements must be kept in mind when estimating risk. Chapter 4 - Towards Sound Risk Assessment of Non-Ferrous Metals 61 It is clear that effective risk characterization must adequately address uncertainties, assumptions, alternative choices of analysis and the full range of plausible risk estimates. Risk managers, public policy decision makers and, insofar as possible, the public, must be made aware of the strengths and limitations of a risk assessment to allow informed evaluation and use of a risk assessment. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 62 CHAPTER 5 Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals Risks are only one side of the equation in evaluating non-ferrous metals. The benefits of non-ferrous metals must also be considered, as well as the costs of replacing or limiting specific uses of metals. This chapter summarizes key issues that must be evaluated in weighing the risks, benefits and costs associated with non-ferrous metals. A common factor in evaluating these three parameters is that they are all highly context-specific and depend on the specific metal type and application at issue. Reasonable decision making therefore requires the balancing of the risks, benefits and costs associated with specific uses of non-ferrous metals. T he identification and assessment of risks, as discussed in the previous two chapters, provide necessary but insufficient information for making sound risk management decisions for non-ferrous metals. Also critical to the policy-making process are the benefits of the various applications of non-ferrous metals and the societal costs of reducing the risks from non-ferrous metals. Individuals and organizations generally make decisions by balancing the actual or potential risks, benefits and costs of alternative courses of action. Benjamin Franklin referred to this weighing of pros and cons as the “moral or prudential algebra” of decision making.56 In the same way, industry, governments and society as a whole must balance risks, benefits and costs in developing sound, responsible policies for the safe and productive use of non-ferrous metals. This balancing of risks, benefits and costs cannot be done in the abstract or for metals in general, but must look at the specific context of each metal application, and the particular risks, benefits and costs associated with each application and its alternatives. The risks of a metal application, as discussed in the previous two chapters, are the potential created by a specific metal use to cause harm to public health or the environment. The benefits of a specific metal application are the economic, social and aesthetic value provided to society by that use of metal. Finally, costs refer to what 56 Quoted in E.M. Gramlich. 1981. Benefit-Cost Analysis of Government Programs. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ. Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 63 society has to give up to reduce the risks of a particular metal application. The goal of society should be to maximize benefits while minimizing risks and costs, including the transaction costs of the regulatory or risk management apparatus through which the goal is sought. Because this goal involves many tradeoffs and choices, it necessarily involves the balancing of risks, benefits and costs. Only by fully exploring the benefits, risks and costs of particular metal applications in the specific contexts in which they occur can the optimal balance for the various potential uses of non-ferrous metals be identified. Box 22: Example of Metal Toxicity from Industrial Source An example of acute metal toxicity from an industrial source of metals is the occurrence of numerous cases of itai-itai (ouch-ouch) disease in the Toyama prefecture in Japan after World War II. This outbreak of itai-itai disease, which adversely affects bones, kidneys and other organs, was found to be primarily associated with excessive ingestion of cadmium in food and drinking water, possibly modified by other factors such as living conditions, exposure to sun and nutrition. The risk was identified, remedial and preventive measures were taken, and consequently this painful disease is now very rare. Tsuchiya, K. 1992. Health effects of cadmium with special reference to studies in Japan, in Cadmium in the Human Environment: Toxicity and Carcinogenicity, Nordberg, G.F., et al., eds. IARC Scientific Publication No. 118. Risks The application of hazard identification and risk assessment to non-ferrous metals was discussed in the two previous chapters. The key point emphasized here is that the potential risks from real-world applications of non-ferrous metals are highly contextspecific. Risk depends on factors such as the type and species of the metal, the intended use of the metal, the potential for exposure, the dose that is actually delivered, and the potency and toxicity of the specific metal substance in question to the human or environmental receptor of concern. Both in nature and as used by humans, most metals (with certain exceptions) are not in a form that can be easily dispersed, and thus do not result in significant environmental or human exposure, a critical determinant of risk. Nevertheless, in some contexts, environmental releases of non-ferrous metals can occur from natural causes such as weathering of rock and soil, or from human activity such as the combustion of metal-containing fossil fuels (i.e., coal and oil), a variety of industrial Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 64 processes including the production and processing of non-ferrous metals, and the use or disposal of metal-containing products. In some cases, those natural, industrial or consumer sources of released metals can result in a significant or unreasonable risk to human health or the environment. Toxicity from industrial production of non-ferrous metals is often perceived as a primary source of human exposure. Such exposures are dramatized by high-profile incidents involving acute exposures with clearly manifested health or environmental impacts. An example is the outbreak of itai-itai disease in Japan after World War II caused by high cadmium exposures (Box 22). Most metal exposures of concern from industrial processes, however, involve lower, chronic exposures that are usually more difficult to evaluate for their impact on public health and the environment. Toxicity can also result from the use of specific metal products. Such toxicity usually, but not always, results from products that are dispersed into the environment. Such dispersion can result from processes such as flaking, disintegration from wear and tear, leaching, combustion or other processes that cause the metal to be dispersed into the air, water or other media. An example is the flaking and peeling of lead-based paint, resulting in lead dust particles that can result in human exposure through ingestion and inhalation (Box 23). Box 23: Example of Toxicity from a Metal Product An example of a metal-containing product that has resulted in unacceptable societal risks is lead-based interior paints. Although intact lead-based paint does not result in significant human exposure, flaking and peeling paint creates the potential for childhood lead poisoning. Children are particularly susceptible to exposure through the ingestion of paint chips and inhalation of lead-containing dust particles resulting from deteriorated lead paint. In many industrialized countries, deteriorated lead-based paint is now believed to be the most significant source of lead exposure for children. High exposures to lead have been associated with impaired neurobehavioural functioning and other health effects. Because of the potential for such exposure, the use of lead in interior paints has been banned or restricted in most industrialized countries. Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 65 Finally, exposure to non-ferrous metals can result from natural sources of the metals, which are ubiquitous in the Earth’s crust, soils, air and waters. Major uncertainties exist about the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic sources of metals in the environment. For example, while airborne metals are often assumed to result from human activities, naturally occurring metals are present and are transported in the atmosphere as a result of windblown dust, sea spray, volcanic activity, forest fires and other processes. Significant data gaps and uncertainties remain about the relative contribution of natural and anthropogenic sources of non-ferrous metals in various environmental media. Box 24: Natural Sources of Metals in the Atmosphere There is substantial uncertainty about the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic sources of metals found in the atmosphere and deposited on land and in water. A recent review found large variations in the published literature about the contribution of natural sources to atmospheric mercury levels. Five published studies differed by almost three orders of magnitude in estimating natural sources of mercury to the atmosphere. The review concluded that “ample evidence exists in the literature to indicate that geological sources and pathways of Hg [mercury] are significant in any remote landscape and should not be assumed to be negligible.” Rasmussen, P.E. 1994. Current methods of estimating atmospheric mercury fluxes in remote areas. Environmental Science and Technology. 28: 2233-2241. Life Cycle Analysis Examples of unreasonable risk such as those noted above are the exception rather than the norm for metal uses today, and are typified by substantial acute or chronic exposures to bioavailable forms of metal. The potential for these types of exposure is a critical factor in determining risks from non-ferrous metals. Life cycle analysis is the process of evaluating the potential environmental impacts associated with a product from “cradle to grave” and evaluating opportunities to reduce those impacts. For non-ferrous metals that are recycled, life cycle analysis could be described as “cradle-to-cradle” management. There are several stages in the life cycle of a typical use of metals that have the potential for human or environmental exposures, and therefore are most relevant for risk management consideration. The first stage of the product life cycle of relevance to risk management is the production process, including both the primary production of the raw metal and the fabrication of Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 66 the finished metal product. Such production involves the potential for environmental release and human exposure to metals via air emissions, dust and fugitive emissions, wastewater discharges, solid and hazardous waste production, and occupational exposures. These potential exposures could affect workers in the facility and the surrounding communities and environment. Exposures from production processes have been dramatically reduced over the past 25 years through the use of new process equipment such as closed system processing units, better work practices, improved industrial hygiene, “end-of-pipe” controls on discharges, and more strictly controlled waste-handling procedures. Nevertheless, because the production process often involves the potential for the highest exposures, this step of the metal’s life cycle remains a major focus of risk management activities for non-ferrous metals. The second stage of potential exposure is during product use. Most metal products used by consumers are stable and intact, with little or no metal dispersion or exposure. The potential for risk from the use of metal products arises from specific uses or types of metal-containing products that have the potential for significant human or environmental exposure to metals in a bioavailable form. For example, the use of lead solder in contact with certain foods or waters has been found to result in leaching of the metal into food or water, creating the potential for human exposure. In contrast, nonferrous metals contained in many consumer products are immobile or embedded in an insoluble matrix that minimizes the potential for significant leaching or consumer exposure. The potential risks from each metal-containing product therefore depend on the specific use, composition and form of the individual product, as well as the potential for environmental dispersion of the metal in the product. Box 25: The Relationship Between Release and Risk While the potential for environmental release of non-ferrous metals is one critical factor for determining the existence and magnitude of health risks from metal-containing products, it should be emphasized that not all releases of metals into the environment are necessarily dangerous. Many releases are too small to present or contribute to a significant risk to human health or the environment, and some “releases” into the environment are beneficial, such as the use of zinc fertilizers in gardens. Conversely, a few uses of metals in products can also present risks without environmental release, such as the contact dermatitis that may result in sensitized individuals from skin contact with some products containing metals such as cobalt or nickel. Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 67 The third relevant stage of the product life cycle for risk management is disposal. Like the other stages of the product life cycle, the potential for risk at the disposal stage depends largely on the extent to which the metal will be released into the environment and results in significant adverse exposure to receptor organisms. Recycling reduces the amount of metal-containing waste that needs to be disposed, thereby reducing the potential for exposure at the disposal stage. For metal that is disposed, more stringent regulatory requirements for industrial and municipal waste disposal in recent years have substantially reduced the potential for runoff and leaching of metals from disposal sites. Moreover, most elemental metals and metal compounds are stable, and therefore do not present a significant risk of environmental release when properly disposed. Thus, compliance with appropriate disposal methods is key for minimizing risks at the disposal stage of the product life cycle. The incineration of wastes has the potential to emit metals contained in the waste stream, but proper emission control technology will capture almost all such metal emissions. The captured metals must again be properly managed to avoid damaging releases to the environment. Box 26: Facility Decommissioning In addition to proper disposal of metal-containing products and wastes, sound environmental practices also require appropriate closing and decommissioning of facilities that are no longer in use. Many years ago, the common practice in industry may have been to simply abandon closed facilities, which may have presented risks to nearby residents and future users of the property. Today, increasingly sophisticated practices have been developed for environmentally responsible closing and decommissioning of facilities, including restoration actions and due diligence audits to assess any remaining environmental risks at the facility. Facilities that do not follow such practices, however, can produce residual risks to surrounding areas following shut-down. In summary, the risks associated with the use of metal products are context-specific, and should be evaluated for each individual use of metal throughout the product life cycle. The potential for environmental dispersion is important in understanding the potential for risks to human health or the environment, but is not, in itself, determinative. Most properly managed uses of metals proceed through their product life cycle without damaging release of metals into the environment. Where there is the potential for such release of metals into the environment, the environmental and health risks from those particular metal uses should be evaluated to determine whether such risks are acceptable. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 68 Acceptable Risk The acceptability of any particular risk cannot be determined by any simple parameter -6 or rule. Individual lifetime risks of one in one million (1 x 10 ) or smaller are often described as de minimis and are usually considered to be acceptable. An individual -3 lifetime risk of one in one thousand (1 x 10 ) or higher is usually considered to be unacceptable. But the acceptability of a risk between these two poles will usually depend on a number of other factors. Research on public perception of risk indicates that acceptability will often depend on factors such as whether or not the risk is voluntary, 57 controllable, inequitable or dreaded. The number of people at risk, and therefore the expected incidence of the health effect in the population, is also an important factor in 58 determining the acceptability of levels of individual risk. Finally, the benefits associated with a particular risk, and the costs of reducing that risk, 59 are often a critical factor in determining the acceptability of the risk. For example, even though automobile accidents are one of the largest causes of death and injury in industrial societies, most people find such risks acceptable (as evidenced by their continued use of automobiles) because of the benefits they obtain from automobile use. Of course, even if a risk is acceptable, additional risk reduction should be pursued if it can be achieved at reasonable cost and without sacrificing the benefits of the activity. Thus, the initial acceptability of a risk, and the reasonableness of further risk reductions, will often depend on the costs and lost benefits associated with a potential risk reduction option. Benefits and costs are discussed in the next two sections. Benefits The other side of the ledger to risks is the benefits of non-ferrous metals. If non-ferrous metals did not produce any societal benefits, the simplest risk management strategy might be to simply restrict all uses of non-ferrous metals that present non-negligible health risks. Of course, non-ferrous metals do provide important benefits to society, as demonstrated by the multitude of diverse applications of these materials. A more balanced approach, that considers both the risks and benefits of particular uses of nonferrous metals, is therefore necessary. The benefits of non-ferrous metals are largely demonstrated by the multitude of uses of these materials, summarized in Chapter 2. These many applications provide social benefits through the direct use of metals to fulfil human needs and aspirations, such as shelter, warmth, food supply, communication, transportation, security, leisure, aesthetic 57 Slovic, P. 1987. Perception of risk. Science. 236: 280-285. 58 Travers, C.C., et al. 1987. Cancer risk management. Environmental Science and Technology. 21: 415-420. 59 Alhakami, A.S. and P. Slovic. 1994. A psychological study of the inverse relationship between perceived risk and perceived benefit. Risk Analysis. 14: 1085-1096. Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 69 appreciation, information supply and many others. Indeed, it is difficult to envision a human need or activity that in some way does not involve non-ferrous metals. In addition to these direct benefits of metals, non-ferrous metals contribute additional benefits to society as a critical component of the manufacturing, telecommunications, computer and transportation infrastructure that is used to provide many other goods and services to the public. It is not coincidental that the richest, healthiest countries in the world also consume the most metals. Capital investment — not just in machinery and transport, but also in schools and hospitals — is a driver of future growth and material well-being, and is a highly metals-intensive undertaking. An important consideration in evaluating the benefits of any particular use of metals is the relative availability of suitable substitute materials. There are some uses of metals that are being phased out because of the availability of cheaper, less toxic, or better performing substitutes. For example, optic fibres are now replacing copper for many uses in electrical signal transmission because of lower cost and other desirable properties. Similarly, high octane gasoline components have replaced lead in gasoline in many areas of the world for anti-knock protection because of health and environmental concerns from the use of leaded gasoline (it might be noted, however, that the removal of tetraethyl lead from gasoline did increase risks associated with increase in the aromatics content of gasoline). On the other hand, there are many uses of non-ferrous metals that are indispensable and for which no suitable substitutes exist. There are still more uses where the many desirable attributes of metals provide important advantages over available substitutes. In addition, new technologies, products and processes are continually being developed which — after consideration of all relevant performance, cost and environmental factors — incorporate metals as the most suitable material for the new applications. The competitive advantage, and therefore benefits, of any particular use of non-ferrous metals is in dynamic flux, changing and evolving over time. Certain uses of metals that provided major social benefits in past years may have their benefits diminished as new substitutes become available, and therefore will be gradually phased out. As both modern history and future projections confirm, however, new uses of metals arise to take their place. The end result of these dynamic processes has been a continuous increase in the overall use of non-ferrous metals, with a corresponding increase in societal benefits. In considering the benefits of any particular use of non-ferrous metals, the specific context and circumstances of that use are critical for determining net benefits to society. As demonstrated by the example in Box 27, the reasonableness or acceptability of risks depends on the nature and context of the risk-creating activity, and the benefits associated with the activity. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 70 Box 27: The Importance of Context The importance of context in considering risks and benefits is illustrated by an example involving two uses of mercury that present similar risks but very different benefits. A recall was recently announced in the USA for necklaces containing small glass vials of mercury, because of the risk that the vials would break and result in human exposure to mercury.* Even though the risks involved may be very small, the minimal societal benefits of using mercury vials in jewellery were judged not to justify those risks. In contrast, the use of mercury in thermometers may present similar risks (i.e., the potential for some mercury exposure as a result of infrequent breakage), but there has been no recall of mercury-containing thermometers given the important medical and other benefits provided by this use of mercury. Product Safety & Liability Reporter (BNA) (Dec. 9, 1994) “Product Recalls: Necklaces Poses Health Risk”. • Costs The third major input to sound risk management decisions, which unlike risks and benefits has not been discussed in previous chapters, is the cost of reducing risks. Attempts to reduce risks usually impose direct and indirect costs on the affected industry, consumers and society in general. These costs accordingly can potentially be evaluated from many different perspectives — including that of the regulated industry, consumers or society at large. While overall societal costs are usually the appropriate metric to evaluate the costs of regulation, the distribution of those costs within different sectors of society may also be a relevant factor to consider. It also bears emphasizing that the evaluation of regulatory costs, like the assessment of health and environmental risks, often involves incomplete information and uncertainties that must be addressed by assumptions and models. As with risk assessment assumptions and models, these economic assumptions and models can be controversial and subject to differing views. Sensitivity analysis is often a useful tool to evaluate how critical a specific assumption is to the final result. The most important societal costs are those that result in the unavailability of certain materials or increase in cost or quality of goods to consumers. These costs are generally the mirror image of the benefits discussed in the previous section, and therefore risk management will be most successful when it controls risks while to the maximum extent possible retaining the benefits of metal uses and thus avoiding the societal costs Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 71 associated with reducing those benefits. In addition to the costs of lost benefits, other relevant cost considerations for evaluating risk management options include the costs of promulgating and complying with regulations, the adverse effects on an industrial sector’s competitiveness, potential structural changes in economies and markets resulting in job transfers or even unemployment, and increased use of substitutes for the regulated products which may themselves present other risks. In many cases, the costs of reducing risks will be justified by the resulting improvements in environmental quality, worker health and public health. In other cases, the costs imposed on society may be disproportional to the health and environmental benefits achieved by a particular control option. Finally, there may be other ways to achieve equivalent risk reductions at a much lower overall cost. Under any of these scenarios, the estimation and consideration of the cost impacts of a particular course of action is essential to ensure prudent decision making. Box 28: Cost Analysis — Three Basic Questions The evaluation of the costs of possible risk reduction measures involves a series of questions, including: 1. 2. 3. What is the cost of implementing and administering the regulations? What is the implied cost of substitution? What are the macroeconomic costs involved? The appropriateness of the proposed measures will depend significantly on the evaluation of these three questions. 1. What Is the Cost of Implementing and Administering the Regulations? The implementation of any regulation involves two types of direct costs: administrative costs and compliance costs. Administrative costs are the costs for a government agency or other authority to collect relevant data, draft a proposed regulation, provide for public and expert comment, promulgate a final regulation, and monitor and enforce the regulation. These costs are mostly borne by the government agency promulgating the regulation, and ultimately taxpayers. Although these administrative costs are substantial, they represent a relatively small percentage of the total costs of most risk reduction regulations. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 72 Regulated entities incur compliance costs in order to undertake the actions necessary to participate in the rule-making process and to comply with the regulations. These compliance costs can take many different forms, including the costs of pollution control equipment, the modification of production or distribution processes, changes in plant architecture and layout, the substitution of more costly alternatives, increased occupational exposure monitoring and controls, and the training, research, monitoring, testing and reporting necessary to meet the ancillary requirements of many regulations. Because these compliance costs are mostly incurred by private businesses, they are not part of governmental budgets. These costs are therefore not always apparent to the public, even though the costs are ultimately paid for by consumers in the form of increased prices and reduced availability of consumer products. In recent years, the public has nevertheless made clear with actions and words that it is prepared to incur significant costs that are necessary to ensure safe jobs and products, and a clean environment. There are limits to how much the public is willing to pay, however, and therefore the costs of proposed actions need to be carefully calculated and considered. 2. What is the Implied Cost of Substitution? Regulations that directly or indirectly limit the production, distribution or use of a substance or product can lead to substitution by other products to fulfil the same function or consumer need. Substitution is a wellknown phenomenon for economists, who generally evaluate the substitutability of two products based on their relative prices. Like relative pricing, regulation can also trigger substitution, either by banning or phasing out a substance (which automatically results in transfer to substitutes), or by increasing the costs associated with one substance through increased regulatory burdens, which adversely affects the product’s competitiveness relative to less regulated substitutes. The potential of regulation to promote substitution can impose two types of costs on society. First, from a strictly economic standpoint, recourse to substitution raises the costs of the function fulfilled by the initial product. If a product occupies a particular segment of an open market prior to regulation, it very likely offers certain price and performance advantages that make it the best value compared with its competitors. The transfer to the substitute forced by regulation will therefore lead, in the short term at least, to lower performance, higher cost, or both, compared with the market’s previous balance. For some metal uses, it may be difficult to find a suitable substitute material because of the unique properties of metals. When no suitable substitute is available, the costs of restricting or increasing the cost of a metal use will result in greater societal costs as some product uses will be foregone completely. The second potential cost of regulation-induced substitution is that the substitute product may impose its own risks on society, which may reduce or even outweigh the Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 73 60 risk reduction benefits from the regulation. Many substances that are later determined to be unreasonably dangerous were initially justified for their capability to reduce other risks. For example, asbestos was at one point required by regulations aimed at minimizing fire hazard, PCBs replaced other substances more prone to fire in electrical transformers, and CFCs replaced dangerous ammonia in refrigeration. In retrospect, we now know that these products presented their own risks that may have been greater than the products that they were intended to replace. Box 29: Risk-Risk Tradeoffs Risk-risk tradeoffs are common to many regulatory programs, although the importance of such tradeoffs has generally been underappreciated until recently. An example is the occupational and transportation risks associated with hazardous waste site remediation. A case study of a Superfund cleanup site at a copper smelter in the USA found that the increased fatalities and injuries incurred by workers involved in cleaning up and transporting the hazardous wastes at the site would approach, and in some scenarios surpass, the predicted health benefits of cleaning up the site. The more stringent the clean-up, the greater the risks to workers involved in the clean-up. This type of indirect risk demonstrates the importance of considering risk-risk tradeoffs in regulatory programs, which can significantly alter the risk-benefit balance for many proposed options. Mar, T., F. Frost and K. Tollestrup. 1993. Physical injury risk versus risk from hazardous waste remediation: A case history. Regulatory Toxicology & Pharmacology, 17 130-135; Hoskin, A.F., J.P. Leigh and T.W. Planek. 1994. Estimated risk of occupational facilities associated with hazardous waste site remediation. Risk Analysis, 14: 1011-1017. Before a risk management approach is adopted, therefore, it is important to look at the net risk of the proposed action, including the risk reductions from the regulated material and the increased risks from greater use of substitute materials. These increased risks from substitutes are frequently given inadequate consideration in regulatory proceedings, resulting in an unexamined cost being imposed on society. 3. What Are the Macroeconomic Costs Involved? In addition to the impacts on specific products, regulation can have macroeconomic impacts, including effects on a country’s productivity, unemployment and international competitiveness. While the 60 Graham, J.D. and J.B. Wiener. 1995. Risk vs. Risk: Tradeoffs in Protecting Health and the Environment. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 74 magnitude and long-term consequences of these impacts have been debated for many years, there is no question that regulation has the potential to create at least short-term 61 economic disruption and dislocation. Markets do not immediately adjust to major industry changes, investments in plants and machines are not interchangeable, and workers with many years of experience in one industry cannot be absorbed into other industries overnight. Box 30: Indirect Health Consequences Large regulatory costs can have negative indirect health impacts due to factors such as the negative income effect and the pathologies associated with unemployment. These indirect impacts are generally difficult to calculate, and may not be significant for regulatory programs that achieve significant direct health benefits at reasonable cost. For more expensive regulatory programs that achieve minimal direct health benefits, however, the indirect negative health impacts of the expenditures may result in net health benefits that are negligible or even negative. For example, one recent analysis estimated that, under one set of assumptions, each $7.5 million spent on regulatory programs results in one additional fatality due to the negative income effect. Another study estimated that for every 1 percent increase in the national unemployment rate in the USA, the following increases occur: • • • • • • • 36,887 deaths 20,240 cardiovascular failures 495 deaths from cirrhosis of the liver related to alcoholism 920 suicides 648 additional homicides 4,227 additional admissions to mental hospitals 3,340 additional admissions to state prisons Keeney, R.L. 1990. Mortality risks induced by economic expenditures. Risk Analysis, 10: 147-159; M. Tabor. 1982. The stress of job loss. Occupational Health & Safety, June: 20-26. 61 Stewart, R.B. 1993. Environmental regulation and international competitiveness. Yale Law Journal. 102: 20392106. Chapter 5 - Balancing the Risks, Benefits and Costs of Non-Ferrous Metals 75 The macroeconomic impact of these disruptions can adversely affect both the economy and public health. Unemployment, for example, is associated with huge social, health and financial costs, not to mention its psychological and morale costs (Box 30). The increased cost of certain products caused by regulatory requirements also leads to what economists call a negative income effect for the consumer. As family or community income decreases, so too do health and life expectancy. When national income falls, there is often a significant increase in morbidity and even in the mortality rate. Less money means less investment in public health, highways, education and other valuable infrastructure. The health benefits of economic growth and investment, which usually involve use of metals, therefore provides a further reason for carefully considering the benefits of specific metal uses in risk management decisions. The non-ferrous metals industry is a major industrial sector and source of employment and income in many nations. For a country such as France, for example, the non-ferrous metals sector consists of 200 companies of various sizes, employing 32,000 people and worth 22,200 million francs (US$4,000 million) in exports to the country. It has been estimated that every job in a basic industry generates on average approximately three additional jobs in downstream industries. Incurring unnecessary or excessive costs in the risk management of non-ferrous metals therefore has the potential to cause large adverse economic and public health impacts. In addition, such costs can reduce the competitiveness of a domestic industry in the international marketplace, resulting in a loss of international competitiveness and jobs. As commodity products, non-ferrous metals are particularly sensitive to this type of effect. Conclusion Like all materials, non-ferrous metals can present risks to public health and the environment. The existence and severity of those risks depend on the specific substance and circumstances of use. Each metal application presents a unique profile of risks, benefits and costs that must be weighed in the context of the individual application. Some potential uses of metals may result in risks that most would agree are unreasonable or unacceptable, while other uses of metals present no significant risks. Still other uses present some risks that may or may not be acceptable depending on the associated benefits and costs and varying perceptions of acceptable risk. A coherent and non-arbitrary risk management strategy must be based on an accurate understanding of the real-world risks, benefits and costs of the substance or activity under consideration. The identification and characterization of the risks, benefits and costs associated with the various uses of non-ferrous metals, and the contexts in which such risks and benefits may arise, is thus a prerequisite to effective and rational risk management of nonferrous metals. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 76 CHAPTER 6 Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals Risk management seeks to minimize risks and costs while maximizing the benefits associated with a substance. This chapter begins by describing a framework for risk management, and then identifying a series of risk management approaches that have been undertaken in the past and which have cumulatively achieved major reductions in the risks presented by non-ferrous metals. These risk management strategies have resulted from a combination of industry initiatives, government regulation, scientific and technological advances, and increased public expectations and corporate accountability. The final part of the chapter addresses some principles to guide risk management in the future in order to achieve additional risk reduction at acceptable cost to society. Risk management in the future will require a more flexible and cooperative approach between governments, industry and other interested parties that effectively utilizes the expertise and resources of each. T he decision-making process by which risks are controlled or regulated is called risk management. While the term “risk management” refers only to risk, it actually involves the management of risks, costs and benefits, as described in the previous chapter. Risks and benefits often go hand-in-hand, and it is not possible to manage one effectively without considering and managing the other. A hierarchy of increasingly restrictive options is usually available to control risks, but the key to effective risk management is to choose the strategy that best reduces “unacceptable” or “unreasonable” risks at the least cost, including minimizing the loss of benefits. Environmental risk management, which focuses on risks to health and the environment, is performed by governments in establishing regulatory requirements, by businesses in establishing corporate environmental policies and practices, and by consumers in making personal choices about products and activities. In each case, the objective is to achieve the optimal trade-off between maximizing benefits and minimizing risks and costs. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 77 This chapter addresses the strategies, challenges and opportunities for risk management of non-ferrous metals. The chapter begins by discussing a framework for risk management decisions. It then reviews a series of past and current risk management practices for non-ferrous metals, including those mandated by government regulation and those undertaken voluntarily by industry. This section not only describes the progress that has been made to date in risk management of non-ferrous metals, but also identifies possible risk management approaches that can be used to achieve even greater progress in the future. The final section of the chapter presents some key principles that can guide sound risk management of non-ferrous metals in the future, including: (i) the increasing importance of, and opportunities for, industry-government cooperation; (ii) the need to set priorities; (iii) the importance of matching appropriate solutions to particular risks; (iv) the value of innovative new approaches; and, (v) the need to agree on reasonable stopping points for risk management. Risk Management Framework As discussed in Chapter 3, a four-step coordinated framework for risk assessment — consisting of hazard identification, dose-response evaluation, exposure assessment and risk characterization — is widely used to structure risk assessment decision making. No similar, broadly accepted framework for risk management exists, although several governmental and non-governmental bodies have focused on developing such a framework in recent years (Box 31). Box 31: Recently Proposed Risk Management Frameworks For example, the US Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management, established by the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments, has recently proposed an integrated risk management framework consisting of six steps: (i) identify the problem and its context; (ii) assess risks; (iii) identify options; (iv) decide control measures; (v) implement selected actions; and, (vi) evaluate outcomes. A similar approach has been recommended in a guidance document prepared by a UK government/industry working group on risk-benefit analysis of existing substances. Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management, Risk Assessment and Risk Management in Regulatory Decision-Making (June 13, 1996) (Draft Report); Risk-Benefit Analysis of Existing Substances, Guidance produced by a UK Government/Industry Working Group (Feb. 1995). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 78 Despite the lack of any formal risk management framework, there is a general consensus on the broad steps that are essential for rational risk management. A critical first step in risk management is information gathering, as the quality of the risk management output will often depend on the quality of the information input. Assessment of risks is obviously a central input for risk management. Before quantitative risk assessment is possible, it is first necessary to identify the specific products or materials that need to be evaluated. Next, the potential hazards of the product must be identified, followed by an analysis of the likelihood, magnitude and distribution of the risks that may be presented in specific real-world contexts. In each of these risk assessment steps, described in greater detail in Chapters 3 and 4, it is important to identify the uncertainties and assumptions involved. A final step in characterizing risks is to identify the specific stages in the manufacture, storage, distribution, use or disposal of the product that produce the risks which may need to be managed. This life cycle risk analysis of products was discussed in Chapter 5. As also discussed in Chapter 5, risk information is not the only information that is required for risk management decisions. It is also important to identify the benefits of the product or material to users, producers and society as a whole. This should include an assessment of any risks, drawbacks and advantages that would result from the increased use of substitute products or materials. Such an analysis will provide the information needed to evaluate the net advantages and drawbacks of any proposed risk reduction strategy. Once the risks and benefits of the product have been identified, the next step is to identify potential risk reduction options. In so doing, it is appropriate to take account of any existing risk reduction measures. It is also relevant to consider the administrative, legal and other methods by which any proposed risk reduction strategy could be implemented. A list of some risk reduction strategies that have been used in the past, many of which are also applicable for the future, is presented in the next section of this chapter. Finally, once the risks and benefits have been characterized and the potential risk reduction strategies identified, the most appropriate risk reduction strategy can be selected. This is done by evaluating the list of potential risk reduction strategies and their implementation methods against their effectiveness, practicality, costs, monitorability, and costs and other impacts. Such decision making inevitably involves weighing the relevant risks, benefits and costs that are affected by any potential risk reduction strategy. As discussed in Box 32, this weighing of risks, costs and benefits can be qualitative or quantitative, depending on the available information, the applicable legal authority and the stakes involved. Some principles to guide this final step in risk management are provided in the final section of this chapter. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 79 Box 32: Quantitative vs. Qualitative Weighing The identification and weighing of the risks, costs and benefits associated with specific risk reduction options can be carried out with varying levels of detail and precision, ranging from the completely qualitative to the fully quantitative. The extent of quantification will depend on factors such as the quality and amount of information available, the anticipated balance between risks and benefits, the applicable legal authority, and the importance of the final decision. Three general types of risk-benefit weighing can be distinguished, although there are a range of variants of the three basic approaches described below: • Qualitative Risk-Benefit Analysis - Appropriate where available data are very limited, and/or the risk is obviously acceptable or unacceptable. Involves a descriptive but systematic listing of risks and benefits to ensure that the proposed action will do more good than harm. • Semi-Quantitative Risk-Benefit Analysis - Appropriate where some of the costs and benefits can be quantified, but some inputs are unable to be quantified or quantitatively compared. Involves systematic listing and comparison of quantified and non-quantified costs and benefits of the proposed action. • Cost-Benefit Analysis - Appropriate where both risk and benefits can be quantified and valued in a comparable metric. This involves quantitative assessment of risks as probabilities of harm that can be costed by application of the appropriate value of life estimates, and quantification of the cost of reduced consumer and producer benefits. Because of time and effort of such a complete analysis, this approach will usually be necessary where decision is not obvious and/or the outcome is of significant importance. Risk Management Strategies Risk management of non-ferrous metals has continuously improved over time through the combined effect of several factors. One of the most important driving forces for better risk management has been governmental regulation. Although such regulation has not always been as cost-effective and efficient as it could and should be, it has been a primary driving force for major reductions in exposures and risks from non-ferrous metals. Not all progress can be attributed to governmental regulation, however. Greater Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 80 scientific understanding of the health effects of non-ferrous metals, and improvements in pollution control technology, have also made important contributions to risk reduction. Industry initiatives have also played a key role in past and present risk management of non-ferrous metals. Various influences have created the incentives and will for industry to take a number of important voluntary actions to reduce risks. Some of those nonregulatory forces for risk reduction include pressures from the public, consumers and downstream customers, insurance requirements, tax incentives, workers’ compensation and product liability prevention. Major changes in corporate culture have also been influential. Industry has responded to the increased environmental expectations of employees, customers and surrounding communities by internalizing the need for greater environmental stewardship and accountability. Sound environmental practices are now viewed as good business as well as good policy. Some of the specific strategies that have been used for the risk management of non-ferrous metals are listed in Box 33 and reviewed in the following sections. Box 33: List of Risk Management Strategies The risk management strategies that have been applied to non-ferrous metals and are discussed in the following text include the following: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. health research joint industry-government environmental projects pollution control technologies phase-out of high-risk uses voluntary programs worker health and safety programs risk communication pollution monitoring and remediation recycling environmental management systems product stewardship technology transfer “green design” Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 81 Health Research It is obviously not possible to manage effectively risks whose existence is unknown, and thus the identification and characterization of health risks from non-ferrous metals is an essential prerequisite to effective risk management. One of the most important contributions to risk management has been the substantial progress over the past few decades in the scientific understanding of the potential health risks associated with nonferrous metals. This progress has resulted from extensive research sponsored or conducted by industry, government, universities and independent research institutes. Box 34: The Belgian Cadmibel Study A prominent example of industry-government cooperation is the Belgian “Cadmibel” study, co- sponsored by industry and the Belgian government, which investigated the potential health effects of population exposure to environmental pollutants such as cadmium. This study, undertaken in the late 1980s, involved detailed evaluations of heavy metal exposure and associated health effects in a cross-section of the Belgian population. The study found that historical emissions from smelters had resulted in elevated cadmium exposures in some parts of the general population, although such exposures had declined substantially over time. The increased cadmium exposures in subgroups of the general population appeared to be associated with subtle alterations in kidney physiology of uncertain medical significance. This finding triggered joint industry-government followup studies and remediation efforts. The “PheeCad” study was initiated in 1991 to conduct follow-up evaluations of a select sub-cohort of the Cadmibel study to determine whether the observed slight changes in renal function have medical significance and to further document the evolution in heavy metal exposure levels. The substantial contribution of the non-ferrous metals industry to scientific research on potential health effects associated with metals exposure is coordinated largely through several commodity-based research organizations established to fund and sponsor research. Examples include the International Lead Zinc Research Organization (ILZRO) for lead and zinc, the Nickel Producers Environmental Research Association (NiPERA) for nickel, and the International Copper Association (ICA) for copper. The scientific studies sponsored by such institutes are generally undertaken by independent, qualified scientists and published in peer-reviewed scientific journals. With increasing frequency, industry has collaborated with other stakeholders — such as governments, labour unions and academics — to establish research priorities and evaluate findings. For example, Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 82 many companies have established joint management-labour occupational health committees, or other mechanisms to solicit labour input, identify research priorities and oversee research programs. In addition to studies on the potential health effects of metal exposure to workers and the general population, research has also led to new methods and biomarkers to monitor exposure and effects, and more effective regulation and other measures to ensure the safe use of non-ferrous metals. For example, in the mid-1980s considerable concern arose about the use of cobalt in the hard metal industry, which had been linked in scientific papers with interstitial lung fibrosis, the so-called “hard metal disease.” Scientific research sponsored by industry demonstrated that there was a clear difference between the toxicological properties of pure cobalt powder and the alloy of this powder with the other components of the hard metal. This finding made it possible for governments and industry to take appropriate regulatory and protective measures for workers and users. Joint Industry-Government Environmental Projects In addition to the joint industry- government health research studies such as the Belgian Cadmibel study, a variety of other industry-government cooperative projects has played an increasingly important role in the management of risks from non-ferrous metals. An example is the Canadian Mine Environment Neutral Drainage (MEND) program, a cooperative research program sponsored, financed and administered by a partnership of the Canadian mining industry, the Canadian federal government and the governments of several Canadian provinces. The objectives of the MEND program include establishing techniques “that will enable the operation and closure of acid-generating tailings and waste rock disposal areas in a predictable, timely, affordable, and environmentally acceptable manner.” The program was intended to spend approximately Cdn$18 million over seven years on research and technology development directed towards improved environmental practices in the mining industry. Another recent industry-government undertaking is the Environmental Protection Working Group on Mining and Metallurgy established by the International Council on Metals and the Environment (ICME) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). The purpose of the UNEP/ICME working group is to “collect and disseminate information on economic and environmentally appropriate technologies and environmental management systems relevant to mining and metallurgy.” The Working Group’s action plan includes: (i) publishing case studies that reflect environmental improvements made by industry; (ii) identifying training materials which encourage and enhance employee involvement in environmental management; and, (iii) establishing an extended network of experts within industry and academic institutions who are available to support UNEP and ICME technology transfer workshops and seminars. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 83 Pollution Control Technologies Discharges and emissions into the environment, as well as worker exposures within plants, have been dramatically reduced in recent years through the implementation of state-of-the-art process changes and pollution control equipment in primary and secondary non-ferrous metal facilities and in metal-using industries. For example, lead emissions from US primary and secondary smelters were reduced by 91 percent from 62 1970 to 1993. Data collected under the Canadian ARET (Accelerated Reduction Elimination of Toxics) program by Environment Canada from 13 Canadian mining and metallurgical companies, representing over 80 percent of base metal production in Canada, indicate that total releases to the air and water will decrease in the period from 1988 to 2000 by 85 percent for cadmium, 70 percent for lead, 85 percent for zinc and 60 percent for nickel. Emission levels in 1988 were, in turn, substantially lower than 20 years earlier. Box 35: Emissions Reduction Case Studies While new facilities have been designed from the ground up to minimize pollution and waste, the upgrading of existing facilities has resulted in some of the most dramatic progress in reducing pollution. A good case study is a zinc refinery on the Derwent River in Tasmania, Australia, which, over 70 years of operation, had contaminated the local river resulting in zinc and cadmium levels in fish that exceeded applicable health standards. Beginning in 1972, environmental improvement projects at this facility have reduced metal discharges by 99 percent. These improvements have brought water quality in the river into compliance with drinking water standards, and fish from the river are now edible. The Inco smelter in Sudbury, Canada is another example. Once the largest source of sulphur dioxide emissions in North America, the facility has undergone extensive modifications. The $530 million project enabled the capture of an additional 60 percent of remaining sulphur dioxide emissions, resulting in overall 90 percent emissions containment. In addition to reducing sulphur dioxide emissions, the process changes reduced other emissions and reduced energy consumption by two-thirds. A final example is cadmium production in Belgium, where cadmium is now produced with nearly zero emissions to air and water. Through changes in production processes, consolidation of all cadmium production processes at one site, and development of improved engineering designs, total emissions have been reduced by a factor of more than 10,000 over the past 40 years. 62 US EPA. 1994. National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report, 1993 (EPA 454/R-94-026). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 84 The major reductions in pollution have resulted primarily from installation of new emission control equipment such as scrubbers, fabric filters and electrostatic precipitators, the use of closed continuous process units that virtually eliminate release of gases and contaminants, the recovery of metals from waste streams, and the recycling of wastewater. Systems for fugitive dust control have been installed at many facilities to reduce metal releases during the storage, processing or transport of metal concentrate. Production facilities have also implemented new processing equipment that has reduced waste generation by processing raw materials more efficiently and by recycling waste streams back into the production process. Phase-Out of High-Risk Uses Certain historical uses of non-ferrous metals have been responsible for a disproportionately high percentage of total human exposure, whereas other uses of nonferrous metals have resulted in little or no human exposure. High-exposure, high-risk uses of non-ferrous metals have in many instances been phased out in many countries. The list includes lead solder in food cans and lead-based residential paint. In some countries, current non-occupational metal exposures appear to be due almost entirely to residual contamination from past uses and activities rather than from existing metal applications. While government regulation has played a central role in the phase-out of some highrisk uses of non-ferrous metals, metal producers have actively supported restrictions on specific product applications that were found to present unacceptable risks. For example, the US lead industry supported the phase-out of leaded paint (Box 36). Similarly, the nickel industry has cooperated with European regulators to eliminate nickel from certain applications in jewellery to avoid nickel-related dermatitis. Nonferrous metal producers and their trade associations continue to support appropriate legislation for abating and restricting the uses of non-ferrous metals that result in unreasonable health risks. In some cases, high-risk uses of non-ferrous metals have been voluntarily phased out without the need for regulation, such as the use in the USA of lead solder in food cans. Voluntary Programs Voluntary standards established by non-governmental organizations have also contributed to risk management of non-ferrous metals by supplementing governmental regulations. For example, voluntary performance-based standards for the leaching of lead from ceramics and brass have been established by standard-setting organizations such as the International Standards Organization (ISO) and the American National Standards Institute (ANSI). Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 85 Box 36: The Leaded Paint Example The Lead Industries Association in the USA actively supported the Lead Based Paint Poisoning Act of 1971, which restricted the use of lead-based paint. Senator Edward Kennedy, who was at that time Chairman of the Senate Subcommittee that sponsored the legislation, recognized the industry’s cooperation and responsibility with the following statement: “The Lead Industries Association deserves great credit for the help it has provided to Congress in this area. Many times, industry associations have not been as cooperative in matters affecting their own industry, have not been nearly as positive or constructive as your industry has been; and I appreciate it.” Lead Based Paint Poisoning Amendments of 1972, Hearings before the Senate Subcomm. on Health, Comm. on Labor and Public Welfare, 92nd Cong., 2d Sess. 102 (1972). Other types of voluntary programs include cooperative industry-government efforts such as the Canadian ARET program. ARET is a consensus-oriented group, composed of representatives of industry, health and academic associations, and the federal and provincial governments of Canada. Its goal is the accelerated reduction or elimination of selected toxic substance emissions. The premise of the ARET program is that voluntary action on the part of industry will result in reductions of toxic substances more quickly and effectively than traditional regulatory approaches. ARET has established science-based criteria to identify candidate substances for voluntary reductions of 50 to 90 percent of emissions, and has developed a prioritized list of candidate toxic substances for action based on the work of a multi-stakeholder technical subcommittee. Non-ferrous metal producers are active participants in the ARET program, and through such participation, are achieving significant voluntary reductions in discharges of nonferrous metals. Non-ferrous metal producers and their customers participate in similar voluntary programs in other countries, such as the “33/50 Project” in the USA, which was initiated by the US EPA in 1990 in connection with its Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) program. The goal of the 33/50 Project was to encourage industry to voluntarily achieve a 33 percent reduction in releases and transfers of 17 TRI chemicals (including non-ferrous metals such as cadmium, chromium, lead, nickel and their compounds) by 1992 and a 50 percent reduction by 1995. The percentage reductions are measured against the 1988 Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 86 baseline. By the 1993 reporting year, a 46 percent reduction in releases and transfers of these 17 chemicals had already been achieved by TRI reporting companies, and the 50 percent target was expected to be reached a year ahead of schedule. Moreover, the companies participating in the 33/50 Project (including non-ferrous metals producers 63 and users) had already achieved a 57 percent reduction by 1993. An example that has been less successful is the “North Sea Emission Reduction Programme” in Europe. Unlike the Canadian and US programs, the objectives and approaches of the European program were unilaterally declared by the participating governments without any consultation with industry. This may have contributed to the limited results of the European program, which achieved less efficient and lower pollution reductions than the more cooperative US and Canadian programs. Worker Health and Safety Programs At the same time that major reductions have been made in environmental releases from non-ferrous metal production facilities, major progress has also been made in reducing occupational exposures to workers at those same facilities. These reductions in occupational exposures are likewise attributable to a combination of factors, including voluntary initiatives undertaken by industry, occupational health and safety regulation by government, increased awareness by workers and employers of potential workplace hazards through right to know and similar programs, changes in corporate citizenship and community expectations and awareness, and increased priority given to health and safety issues in collective bargaining agreements between labour and management. The methods that have been used to reduce occupational exposures include engineering controls, process equipment changes, such as the increased use of closed systems, better administrative controls, industrial hygiene improvements and, where appropriate, personal protective equipment. Medical surveillance programs instituted at non-ferrous metal production facilities play a key role in ensuring that worker exposures remain at acceptable levels. Medical removal programs in use in some countries provide a safeguard for workers who may experience unusually high exposures, although the need to resort to such measures has greatly diminished in recent years as a result of the overall reduction in occupational exposure levels. Worker training has also had an instrumental role in controlling occupational exposures by increasing worker awareness and involvement, and promoting safe and healthful work practices and risk avoidance measures by workers. Other types of industrial hygiene programs have also been important. For example, research has shown that the families of workers can be at risk as a result of contaminants 63 See US EPA, 1993 Toxics Release Inventory Public Data Release 262 (1995). Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 87 carried home on work clothes. To protect against such exposure, workers in some facilities are provided with, and required to use, locker and shower facilities, and to leave work clothes to be laundered at the workplace. As a further inducement for protective work practices, some companies have made health and safety part of a worker’s performance assessment. At many facilities, workers play a major role in designing and overseeing worker health and safety programs through joint labourmanagement health and safety committees or other mechanisms for labourmanagement consultation on health and safety issues. Risk Communication Risk communication can be a remarkably effective addition to risk management programs. Current concepts of risk communication are based on scientific principles 64 established over the past 20 years by a number of academically based researchers. The goal of risk communication is to provide the public and workers with information they need to use products safely, adopt risk avoidance strategies and make informed risk decisions. For example, risk communication programs required by governments include the Emergency Planning and Community Right to Know Act in the USA and the “Seveso Directive” in the European Union, which both require industrial facilities to 65 provide information on releases of hazardous substances to surrounding communities. Risk communication will be effective only to the extent that it takes account of public perceptions of risks. For many people, risk is a function of the hazard of a substance plus 66 the level of outrage that it engenders. In other words, it is an issue of acceptability. This is different from the purely scientific definition of risk as a function of exposure and toxicity. These disparate perspectives of risk lead to confusion when the different approaches are not taken into account in communicating risk within the workplace and to the general public. All too often, a classical scientific approach is used, which consists of disclosure of exposure and toxicity data and measures of risk such as “one in a million.” This often results in increased outrage and greater risk concerns among those to whom the communication is addressed. Risk communication science suggests, instead, that the communications acknowledge concerns and work to address them, as well as providing appropriate data on the hazard and opportunities for purposeful exchanges of information between the respective parties. One of the essential factors that influence the outcome is credibility. Credibility components include: acknowledgement, caring, empathy, honesty, openness, 64 National Research Council. 1989. Improving Risk Communication. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. 65 See Baram, M.S., and D.G. Partan. 1990. Corporate Disclosure of Environmental Risks: US and European Law. Butterworth, Salem, NH. 66 Slovic, P. 1987. Perception of risk. Science. 236: 280-285; Sandman, P.M. 1986. Explaining Environmental Risk: Some Notes on Environmental Risk Communication. US EPA, Washington, DC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 88 competence and commitment. This approach to risk communication is a learned skill; it is essential to the effective communication of risk to concerned parties. Risk communication, therefore, is best approached in two ways: from the traditional scientific perspective of communicating risks in terms of exposure and toxicity; and, from the social science perspective of dealing with real and/or perceived risk. The former is generally addressed through the traditional risk communication tools discussed above of product labels, material safety data sheets, audio-visual materials and pamphlets. The latter is accomplished through the effective interchange of information using credible sources and instruments such as community panels, and public education and information exchange opportunities. In both cases, training of the persons responsible for the preparation and delivery of the risk communication program and process is essential. While these different types of risk communication are not intended to supplant direct risk reduction efforts, they do have an important role in the safe management of risks from non-ferrous metals and their compounds. Box 37: Product Labels Product labels, when used appropriately, can be a very effective risk communication tool. Labels can warn workers and consumers of potential risks, and provide safe use instructions. When hazard warning labels are overused, however, they can result in reduced effectiveness for all such labels, including those for products with serious potential risks. Research indicates that when there are too many warning labels, people experience “information overload” and begin ignoring warnings. It is therefore important to reserve the use of product warning labels for products that present real potential health and safety risks. In both the USA and Europe, labelling requirements are based on hazard identification rather than risk assessment based on real-life uses. This results in overlabelling of some materials that likely present negligible risks in most or all anticipated uses. Pollution Monitoring and Remediation The effectiveness of pollution control efforts directed at non-ferrous metal production facilities can be evaluated through monitoring programs that assess exposures to the surrounding population and environment. For example, US primary and secondary lead smelters commonly obtain and report blood lead levels of children living near the smelters in accordance with protocols established jointly with the US EPA and the Centers for Disease Control. In addition to ensuring that exposures from current production of metals are properly controlled, the industry has participated in monitoring and remediating exposures from past uses of non-ferrous metals. In Belgium, for Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 89 example, a variety of government-industry supported actions have been implemented to reduce the potential exposure of the general population due to historical soil contamination with metals. In addition to neighbourhood screening programs, these cooperative actions have included hook-up of residences to public water utilities, general informational campaigns and revegetation programs. Remediation efforts to clean up contamination from past uses of non-ferrous metals that present a significant risk to human health or the environment are also under way in other countries. While legitimate concerns have been raised about the substantive and procedural requirements and costs of some governmental remediation programs such as the US Superfund program, remediation of past contamination can be a necessary risk management strategy in appropriate circumstances. Prevention is, however, more effective than remediation. The major progress that has been, and continues to be, made in controlling current pollution and wastes will therefore ensure that similar remediation efforts will not be necessary in the future. Recycling Another important element of risk management of non-ferrous metals is recycling. Recycling reduces the quantity of metal-containing waste, while also reducing the need to extract new metal, both of which result in reduced potential for exposure and therefore risk. On the benefit side of the risk-benefit balance, recycling vastly increases the benefits associated with a given unit of metal that is reused repeatedly in a variety of uses. Because of their intrinsic value, non-ferrous metals — especially copper, lead and their alloys — have traditionally been recycled as a result of competitive market forces. It has generally not been necessary for governments to take special measures to create markets for these materials. It is also true, however, that various industry and government actions have helped to increase recycling rates. Because recycling of some metal products depends on widespread citizen participation, incentives that encourage recycling are more effective than largely unenforceable regulations that mandate recycling. Examples of the types of programs that have been used to encourage recycling include manufacturer “take back” programs in which manufacturers and suppliers take back used metal-containing products, deposit-refund schemes that require consumers to pay a deposit that is refunded when they return the metalcontaining product at the end of its use, and promotional campaigns to encourage consumers to recycle. Perhaps the greatest success in encouraging recycling has been with lead-acid batteries, where recycling rates are well over 90 percent in several countries. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 90 Box 38: Industry-Sponsored Recycling Program An example of an effective industry-sponsored recycling program is the battery recycling program organized by the Portable Rechargeable Battery Association in the USA. Under this program, arrangements have been made to give commercial entities and consumers a readily available means to collect and send used nickel-cadmium batteries to a pyrometallurgical facility for the recovery of nickel and cadmium. By making recycling more convenient for both sellers and buyers of these batteries, this program helps to increase battery recycling without imposing unduly costly mandatory requirements. While recycling is an important risk management strategy for non-ferrous metals, regulatory requirements sometimes have the unintended effect of creating obstacles to recycling. This has been true, for example, of certain elements of the hazardous waste regulatory program in the USA. Recent amendments to the Basel Convention on the Control of Transboundary Movements of Hazardous Wastes and Their Disposal may have a similar effect internationally. Thus, in designing regulatory programs, care should be taken to avoid creating obstacles to recycling that may be environmentally counterproductive as well as economically harmful. Conversely, a soundly conceived regulatory program may facilitate the recycling of non-ferrous metals. An example in the case of nickel-cadmium batteries is the so-called “Universe Waste Rule” promulgated by the US EPA in 1995, which includes incentives for recycling in the form of reduced regulatory burdens without jeopardizing health and environmental protection. Environmental Management Systems Many companies have now integrated growing corporate awareness and accountability on environmental issues into comprehensive environmental management systems. These systems ensure that environmental concerns are considered and addressed at every level of corporate planning and operations. While each company’s environmental program is tailored to its own operations, needs and management structure, some of the elements that are often included in environmental management systems are: an environmental management staff, corporate-wide environmental policies and standards, employee training programs, increased environmental reporting to the public, and environmental auditing. Most corporations have assigned a high-ranking executive, often at the corporate vice-president level, to be responsible for the company’s environmental affairs. In addition to improving the monitoring, prevention and management of environmental and health risks in the day-to-day operations of the company, a comprehensive Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 91 environmental management system helps to instill an increased environmental awareness and ethic throughout the company. The existence of such programs sends a clear message from management that sound environmental performance and a strong commitment to continuous environmental improvement is important to the long-term reputation and success of the company and should not be sacrificed for short-term gains. The development of voluntary international standards for corporate environmental management programs, such as the ISO 14000 series of standards, will further encourage the implementation of environmental management programs. Governmental actions — such as appropriate enforcement actions, recognition of a self-audit or selfevaluative privilege, or other means — can provide additional incentives for corporate risk management programs by providing assurance to companies that they will not be penalized as a result of voluntary steps they take to improve their environmental performance. Product Stewardship One of the more recent additions to the risk management toolbox is “cradle-to-grave” product stewardship, which has received growing emphasis in the non-ferrous metals industry in recent years. Metal producers have instituted product stewardship programs to advise and assist downstream users and consumers on the safe use, disposal and recycling of non-ferrous metals. Publications on safe use of products have been produced and distributed to customers and their employees. Labour unions and trade associations are often helpful in these efforts. Another aspect of product stewardship is insisting that contractors follow best environmental practices. Because non-ferrous metals are commodities that are sold and brokered on international markets, it is impossible for an individual producer to track the use of all the metal it produces. In addition, some product manufacturers that purchase metals for fabrication purposes are reluctant to disclose to the metal producer the intended use of the metal because of fears that the producer will pass on the information to other customers to increase sales. Because of these limitations on company-specific product stewardship efforts, the industry has put increasing emphasis on product stewardship campaigns coordinated through commodity-based and industry-wide trade associations. For example, the Nickel Development Institute (NiDI) and the Nickel Producers Environmental Research Association (NiPERA) have published and distributed to nickel producers and users a comprehensive Health Guide entitled Safe Use of Nickel in the Workplace. NiDI and NiPERA also have sponsored Nickel Users Environmental Conferences in Europe and the USA. These product stewardship efforts by non-ferrous metal producers have been complemented by product stewardship efforts of specific user groups such as the Battery Council International, the Portable Rechargeable Battery Association, the European Federation of Capsule Manufacturers, and others. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 92 Box 39: ICME and Product Stewardship To further enhance its product stewardship activities, the non-ferrous metals industry has formed the industry-wide International Council on Metals and the Environment to promote sound environmental policies and practices for non-ferrous metals. ICME, representing 29 primary metal-producing companies from 15 different countries, adopted the following product stewardship principles: • Develop or promote metal products, systems and technologies that minimize the risk of accidental or harmful discharges into the environment. • Advance the understanding of the properties of metals and their effects on human health and the environment. • Inform employees, customers and other relevant parties concerning metalrelated health or environmental hazards and recommend risk management measures. • Conduct or support research and promote the application of new technologies to further the safe use of metals. • Encourage product design and uses that promote the recyclability and the recycling of metal products. • Work with government agencies, downstream users and others in the development of sound, scientifically based legislation, regulations and product standards that protect and benefit employees, the community and product standards that protect and benefit employees, the community and the environment. Technology Transfer One of the distinguishing features of the non-ferrous metals industry is the openness by which environmental management technologies and ideas are shared. Because nonferrous metals are commodity products that often cannot be identified by brand name or distinguishing characteristics, environmental mismanagement or improper use of a metal by one company has the potential to tarnish the reputation and economic wellbeing of the entire industry. It is perhaps for this reason that the industry has been so willing to share environmental expertise between producers and with downstream Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 93 customers. One of the most important mechanisms for this technology transfer is the numerous industry-sponsored workshops and seminars in which technical information on best environmental practices is shared. For example, ICME has sponsored seminars in various countries on environmental practices in the industry in which companies share information on the development and operation of environmental management systems with other companies and other interested stakeholders. In August 1994, for instance, ICME co-sponsored with the Kazakh government a seminar in Kazakhstan on environmental management of non-ferrous metals that featured speakers from industry 67 and government organizations from both developed and developing nations. Similarly, one of the principal purposes of the recently established UNEP/ICME Environmental Working Group on Mining and Metallurgy is to sponsor technology transfer workshops and seminars. Technology transfer of environmental expertise has not only played an important role within industrialized countries, but has also been instrumental in the transfer of sound environmental practices from industrial countries to less developed nations. Multinational mining companies have applied corporate-wide environmental policies and best environmental practices to their operations worldwide, even in countries that have not yet developed their own environmental regulations. This voluntary industry self-regulation has permitted the transfer of environmental programs to domestic companies in developing countries, and has laid the groundwork for the establishment 68 of governmental regulations that apply to all companies operating in those countries. “Green Design” Many new applications of non-ferrous metals are being developed based on their numerous unique properties and characteristics. In developing such products, the industry has recognized the need for risk analyses of new products to ensure that they are environmentally sustainable. The term “green design” has been coined to describe efforts to design new products with good environmental performance and to improve the 69 environmental performance of existing products. The non-ferrous metals industry has devoted considerable resources to the development of environmentally sustainable products in recent years, through the combined efforts of internal company product development teams, commodity-based research organizations, trade association product development committees, and industry-government cooperative undertakings such as the UNEP/ICME Environmental Protection Working Group on Mining and Metallurgy. 67 ICME. 1994. Seminar on Environmental Management for the Non-Ferrous Metal Mining and Metallurgical Industries. Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan. 68 See, for example, O’Brien, J. 1994. Undoing a Myth: Chile’s Debt to Copper and Mining. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. 69 US Office of Technology Assessment. 1992. Green Products by Design. Washington, DC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 94 These green design efforts are paying off in commercially promising products that are safe for the environment. A key example for non-ferrous metals is the design of products to facilitate recycling. Products can be designed and manufactured in ways that make it 70 easier to recover and isolate their metal constituents. Another example of green design is the development of a coating that would permit the safe use of corrosion-proof lead roofs while achieving effectively zero metal runoff. Future Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals The risk management of non-ferrous metals — through the combination of voluntary industry initiatives, government regulation, and scientific and technology progress — has made enormous strides in reducing exposures and risks from non-ferrous metals. Considerable progress has been made in phasing out or controlling the metal uses which present the most obvious and severe risks to human health and the environment, and implementation of the most obvious pollution control strategies is, for the most part, now complete. Indeed, one consequence of the improvement in risk management practices is that, in many cases, it is existing contamination from past uses, rather than present uses of metals, that presents risks to human health or the environment. The remaining risks in industrialized countries will be much more difficult and expensive to eliminate, given the law of diminishing returns in which each successive unit of risk reduction typically becomes progressively more difficult and expensive to achieve. The trade-offs inherent in risk management will become much more apparent and pressing, while competing demands for scarce societal resources will become more intense as the remaining risks become smaller, more diffuse and less manageable. The relationship between wealth and health will come to the forefront as industry and government confront smaller and smaller risks, with increasing recognition that excessive risk reduction not only harms the economy, but also undermines human health because of the positive association between health and wealth, employment and 71 other indicators of economic prosperity. As risks become smaller and more diffuse, the importance of risk-risk tradeoffs and the risks of substitute products also become more significant. In addition, the focus of risk management in the future will increasingly be on a broader range of human and environmental effects, including more subtle low-dose effects that will often be difficult to identify and control. Issues such as causation and the definition of an “adverse effect” will have to be resolved in attempting to manage such low-dose exposures. 70 Henstock, M.E. 1988. Design for Recyclability. Institute of Metals, London, UK. 71 Wildavsky, A. 1991. Searching for Safety; Keeney, R.L. 1990. Mortality risks induced by economic expenditures. Risk Analysis. 10: 147-158. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 95 Despite these challenges, valuable lessons have been learned from past efforts at risk management that can help guide future programs. Identification of risk management approaches that have worked or not worked, as well as how things could have been done more efficiently or quickly, can now be evaluated from real-life examples. Drawing from this past experience, and considering the challenges that lie ahead, it is possible to identify some principles that will be important for effective risk management in the future: Industry-Government Cooperation One of the clearest lessons from the past is that cooperation and consultation between industry, governments and other stakeholders is much more effective than confrontation. While industry, governments and non-governmental organizations will continue to have different views and interests on many environmental issues, a cooperative approach that attempts to find common ground is likely to produce a better outcome, both procedurally and substantively, than an adversarial approach in which conflicting positions become hardened and fragmented. Examples such as the Canadian ARET program and the US 33/50 program demonstrate that cooperative efforts can result in greater risk reductions at less cost and in less time — an outcome that all sides can support and to which they can be committed. Cooperative processes can also break down the misunderstanding, mistrust and stereotypes that have developed on environmental matters. Industry has much that it can bring to the table, including important information that government needs for effective regulation. Industry has the first-hand knowledge to accurately identify both the opportunities and costs of reducing risks. Industry has the expertise and knowledge to achieve given risk reduction goals in the most efficient and cost-effective manner possible. Industry also has the resources and the wherewithal to collect data on exposures and health effects in their facilities that are essential for informed risk management. There are many different ways that industry, government and other stakeholders can cooperate. One of the most important, and easiest, types of cooperation is to identify and agree jointly on research priorities. The use of multi-stakeholder advisory groups, while often time consuming, has proven to be effective in reaching consensus on many issues. Other types of consultation between industry and government scientists, risk managers and decision makers are also worth pursuing. The most important prerequisite to the success of such cooperative efforts is a commitment to mutual respect. Although some retain the outdated stereotype of industry as uncaring on environmental matters, industry has proven with both words and deeds that it is prepared to be a positive and responsible participant in sound risk management. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 96 Setting Priorities When the modern environmental era began 25 to 30 years ago, the popular conception of environmental problems was very different than it is today. Back then, environmental problems were seen as a function of a few bad substances that needed to be eliminated, whereas all other substances were safe. Today, we know that this view is overly simplistic — that both safety and risk are relative rather than absolute concepts, and that all substances can be toxic in some contexts and at some dose. The goal of risk management should therefore be to identify and control the greatest risks that can be reduced at the least cost and disruption to society. The US EPA has recently adopted a risk-based approach to identify priorities for risk reduction and risk management (Box 40). A similar recognition of the need to establish priorities is exemplified by an extensive EC program called the “Existing Substances Programme,” which seeks to establish priorities for action based on risk, although the protocols for this program require further refinement. Box 40: A Risk-Based Priority-Setting Approach The US EPA has adopted a risk-based priority-setting approach based on the following recommendation from its Science Advisory Board: “The nation cannot do everything at once. In national efforts to protect the environment, the most obvious steps have been taken to reduce the most obvious risks. Now environmental priorities must be set. ... EPA programs should be shaped and guided by the principle of relative risk reduction, and all available risk data and the most advanced risk assessment and comparison methodologies should be incorporated explicitly into the Agency’s decision-making process.” US EPA. 1990. Reducing Risk: Setting Priorities and Strategies for Environmental Protection (SAB-EC-90021) (emphasis in original). Matching Risks with Solutions Effective risk management involves a trade-off between maximizing risk reduction and minimizing associated costs and benefit reductions. Once the presence of a significant risk has been identified, a hierarchy of responses is available. One extreme is to take no action, which leaves the risks and benefits unchanged and imposes no new costs. The other extreme is an outright ban on the risk-creating product or activity. This eliminates the risks associated with production or use of the product. But it may also create “substitution risks,” force society to forfeit many of the benefits associated with use of the product, and impose large costs on producers and consumers. Except in rare Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 97 circumstances, neither of these extreme responses represents a sound approach to risk management. An example of the risk management hierarchy of responses is provided by the US Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA). TSCA expressly provides for a hierarchy of risk management responses that the EPA can take to regulate substances that present an “unreasonable risk.” These range from labelling as the least stringent option to a total ban on the most dangerous substances. EPA is instructed to adopt the least burdensome option for achieving an acceptable level of risk. While the simplicity of a product ban may have a superficial appeal to some, bans almost inevitably do more harm than good. As regulation gets progressively more stringent, the marginal costs of an additional unit of risk reduction increase at an exponential rate. At some point, usually long before absolute prohibition, the costs of further risk reduction begin to outweigh significantly the health benefits. At that point, resources would be more effectively utilized addressing other sources of risk. Even in the rare cases where an absolute prohibition may be justified, it is preferable to impose a performance standard that may as a practical matter prohibit a current use, but which leaves the door open to future product improvements that may be able to meet acceptable standards. Product bans should therefore be a last resort for the most severe risks, and even then the ban should be as narrowly focused as possible. Innovative New Approaches Innovative new approaches to environmental risk management will be needed to meet the environmental challenges of the future. Many of the historical approaches to risk management, while they may have sufficed to deal with the gross insults of the past, are too crude and inefficient to deal with remaining risks. A prime example is command and control regulation involving the establishment of end-of-pipe limits on emissions or discharges that industry must meet. While this approach has helped achieve dramatic reductions in pollution discharges, its effectiveness for achieving further reductions is limited. Government usually does not have the expertise and knowledge to mandate the most cost-effective controls on discharges. Command-and-control standards also fail to take account of substantial variations in the costs and benefits of reducing discharges, and fail to provide an incentive for companies to innovate and go beyond regulatory standards. Command-and-control regulation establishes an adversarial relationship between industry and government, often resulting in confrontation, litigation and disincentives to cooperate through the sharing of information and ideas. There is broad consensus that the command-and-control regulation of the past has achieved important environmental benefits, but at a cost that could have been much lower. As two prominent US commentators summarized the situation, “[t]he present regulatory system Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 98 wastes tens of billions of dollars every year, misdirects resources, stifles innovation, and 72 spawns massive and often counterproductive litigation.” A more flexible approach that has proven effective for some types of environmental problems is the use of economic instruments such as tradeable emission discharge permits, emission taxes, or creation of other forms of property rights, such as development rights. So far, these approaches have found no applicability to risks presented by metals, in part because they treat each unit of the substance as equivalent, without regard to differences in environmental release, human exposure and uptake potential from various uses which typically are present with metals. To date, market incentives have been found to be most appropriate for problems such as chlorofluorocarbons, sulphur dioxide and greenhouse gases associated with global warming that have a global or regional effect and where localized concentrations are not particularly important. Pollution taxes or marketable permits, however, seem to make little sense for substances like non-ferrous metals where the risks, if any, from present 73 uses are presented primarily by localized pollutant concentrations. More innovative and custom-tailored approaches will be necessary to manage effectively the risks from current and future uses of non-ferrous metals. Government regulators are increasingly recognizing the importance of setting regulatory goals supported by appropriate risk assessments, leaving industry as much flexibility as possible to find the most cost-effective ways to meet those goals. In addition, the increased application of non-regulatory risk management tools such as product stewardship and green design should be pursued as part of an industry-government cooperative approach to risk management. Reasonable “Stopping Points” The pursuit of zero risk is wasteful, counter-productive and futile. As regulators from the US Department of Health and Human Services stated at a recent workshop on risk assessment of essential metals, it is “important to stress that all risks are relative — there 74 is no such thing as zero risk.” A goal of zero risk would be particularly inappropriate for non-ferrous metals, which are naturally occurring and in many cases are essential nutrients, and have unquestioned broad utility in the modern world. Spending scarce resources trying to root out the last residues of risk from one or another substance 72 Ackerman, B.A. and R.B. Stewart. 1985. Reforming environmental law. Stanford Law Review. 37: 1333-1365. 73 See for example, Stewart, R. 1988. Controlling environmental risks through economic incentives. Columbia Journal of Environmental Law 13: 153; Stavins, R. 1990. Innovative Policies for Sustainable Development in the 1990’s: Economic Incentives for Environmental Protection. Resources for the Future Discussion Paper QE 9011. 74 Johnson, B.L. and A. Ademoyero. 1994. A public health perspective on risk assessment of essential elements. Risk Assessment of Essential Elements. Mertz, W., C.O. Abernathy, and S.S. Olin, eds. International Life Sciences Institute Press, Washington, DC. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 99 necessarily takes resources away from other risks and problems that are insufficiently controlled. In this sense, over-regulation of some risks results in under-regulation of 75 many other risks, in what has been called “the dilemma of toxic substance regulation.” Moreover, since every substance presents risks in some contexts, it is impossible to eliminate all risk, and any substitute product will present its own risks. Because of these factors, the wasteful pursuit of zero risk fails to meet the first principle of sound risk 76 management of doing “more good than harm.” Much of the controversy that exists today on environmental issues can be traced to the lack of a consensus on the levels of risk that are acceptable to society. It is ultimately government’s role to decide acceptable risk, with input from the public and stakeholders. Without agreement on a consistent and systematic approach that can be applied evenhandedly, environmental regulation is often arbitrary and capricious, with specific risks singled out for unfair treatment. The failure to apply consistent standards is demonstrated by recent surveys of US regulations showing that the values that regulatory agencies explicitly or implicitly assign to saving a statistical life range wildly 77 from under $100,000 to over $5 trillion. Such grossly disparate treatment of health and safety risks is not rational, efficient or fair. As the US EPA’s Science Advisory Board has pointed out, sound risk management requires consistent standards that are based on realistic assessments of the risks and benefits associated with specific uses: “One system that can help foster the evolution of an integrated and targeted national environmental policy is the concept of environmental risk. Each environmental problem poses some possibility of harm to human health, the ecology, the economic system, or the quality of human life. That is, each problem poses some environmental risk.... The concept of environmental risk, together with its related terminology and analytical methodologies, helps people discuss disparate environmental problems with a common language. It allows many environmental problems to be measured and compared in common terms, and it allows different risk reduction options to be evaluated from a common basis. Thus the concept of environmental risk can help the nation develop environmental policies in a consistent and systematic way.”78 75 Mendeloff, J.H. 1988. The Dilemma of Toxic Substance Regulation. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. 76 Warren, E.W. and G.E. Marchant. 1993. “More good than harm”: A first principle for environmental agencies and reviewing courts. Ecology Law Quarterly. 20: 379-439. 77 US Office of Management and Budget. 1992. Regulatory Program of the United States Government. Washington, DC. 78 US EPA. 1990. Reducing risk: Setting priorities and strategies for environmental protection (SAB- EC-90-021). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 100 Conclusion Significant progress has been achieved in managing the risks from non-ferrous metals, but further progress will require more innovative and effective approaches that reduce significant risks without unduly sacrificing the important societal benefits provided by non-ferrous metals. An essential prerequisite to sound risk management is scientifically credible risk assessment, which in turn requires reliable scientific research and data. Risk information must then be combined with cost and benefits assessments to establish reasonable goals and effective means to achieve those goals. The extensive historical record that is now available of risk assessment and risk management approaches for non-ferrous metals provides useful guidance on the types of approaches that will and will not work in the future. A more cooperative and flexible approach that combines the expertise and capabilities of governments, industry and other interested parties is likely to be much more successful than the adversarial, “zero sum” strategies that have been relied on too often in the past. Perhaps the most important lesson that can be learned from the past is that risk assessment and risk management of non-ferrous metals must take account of the special properties of non-ferrous metals as a group, and the unique risk and benefit profile presented by each specific species and application of non-ferrous metals. Chapter 6 - Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 101 CHAPTER 7 Acronyms and Abbreviations ACGIH ADI ANSI ARET DNA EC EU FDA GLP GRAS IARC ICA ICME ILZRO ISO kg LC50 LO(A)EL MEI mg MIR MTD NiPERA NO(A)EL NOEC NTP OECD PBPK PEC PNEC redox RDA RfD SMR TI American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists Acceptable Daily Intake American National Standards Institute Accelerated Reduction/Elimination of Toxics Deoxyribonucleic Acid European Commission European Union Food and Drug Administration Good Laboratory Practice Generally Recognized As Safe International Agency for Research on Cancer International Copper Association International Council on Metals and the Environment International Lead Zinc Research Organization International Standards Organization Kilogram Lethal Concentration for 50 Percent of Subjects Lowest Observed (Adverse) Effect Level Maximally Exposed Individual Milligram Maximum Individual Risk Maximum Tolerated Dose Nickel Producers Environmental Research Association No Observed (Adverse) Effect Level No Observed Effect Concentration National Toxicology Program Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetic Predicted Environmental Concentration Predicted No Effect Concentration Oxidation/Reduction Recommended Daily Allowance Reference Dose Standardized Mortality Ratio Tolerable Intake Chapter 7 - Acronyms and Abreviations 103 UCL UNEP US EPA WHO Upper Confidence Limit United Nations Environment Programme US Environmental Protection Agency World Health Organization Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 104 CHAPTER 8 Glossary Absorption - The process of active or passive transport of a substance across a biological barrier into an organism: in the case of mammal or human beings, this is usually through the lungs, gastrointestinal tract or skin. Adsorption - Enrichment of one or more components on a surface of a solid or in an interfacial layer. Acceptable Daily Intake - The maximum dose of a substance that can be consumed daily without causing adverse effects over a lifetime. Acute - Severe, often dangerous, condition in which relatively rapid changes are occurring. Alloy - A metallic material consisting of two or more elements, homogeneous to outward appearance, and so combined that they cannot be readily separated by physical means, and having different properties than its individual components. Anthropogenic - Resulting from human activities. Benign Tumour - A tumour confined to the location in which it arose (i.e., nonmalignant). Benchmark Dose - A statistical estimate of the dose producing a predetermined level of altered response above the control level. Bias - A systematic error in an epidemiological or other type of study which tends to overestimate, or underestimate, the hazard. Bioassay - A study that uses animals to measure an effect (e.g., toxicity) or a phenomenon (e.g., bioaccumulation). Bioavailability - The extent to which a substance can be absorbed by an organism and the rate at which this occurs. Chapter 8 - Glossary 105 Biomarker - Indicator signalling an event or condition in a biological system or sample and giving a measure of exposure, effect or susceptability. Carcinogenic - Capable of causing cancer. Chronic - Having a persistent, recurring or long-term nature. Compound - A chemical substance of two or more elements chemically united in fixed proportions. Concentrate - The product of the treatment of ore by which differences in physical and surface properties of the components are used to separate valuable minerals (as a concentrate) from unwanted minerals (gangue). Confounding Factor - The distortion of the apparent effect of an exposure on risk brought about by the association of other factors which can influence the outcome. De minimis - A level of risk below which there is no reason for concern or attention. Dermatitis - Inflammation of the skin from any cause. Desorption - The release of an adsorbed component from a surface. Dose - Total amount of a substance administered to, taken or absorbed by an organism. Dose-Response - A quantitative relationship between the dose of an agent and the incidence of a defined biological effect in an exposed population. Ecosystem - Grouping of organisms (micro-organisms, plants and animals) interacting together, with and through their chemical environments, to form a functional entity. Ecotoxicity - The toxic effects of chemical and physical agents on populations and communities of organisms within a defined ecosystem. Element - Matter that cannot be further decomposed into simpler substances by chemical means. Emissions - Releases of a substance from a source, including discharges into the wider environment. Enzyme - A protein acting as a catalyst in a specific biochemical reaction. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 106 Epidemiology - The study of the distribution and determinants of diseases and injuries in human populations. Exposure Assessment - Process of measuring or estimating concentration (or intensity), duration and frequency of exposures to an agent present in the environment. Extrapolation - The process of using observed values in estimating unknown values outside the range of observation. Ferrous Metal - A metal or alloy containing a significant amount of iron. Genotoxic - The property of a substance to interact with and alter the genetic material of a cell. Grade - A measure of the concentration of a metal in a mixture such as an ore or concentrate. Hazard - Set of inherent properties of a substance that makes it capable of causing adverse effects to organisms or the environment. Hazard Identification - Identification of the adverse effects which a substance has an inherent capacity to cause. Ion - An atom or molecule that has acquired an electrical charge by the gain or loss of one or more electrons. Labile - Unstable; liable to displacement or change especially if an atom or group is easily replaced by other atoms or groups. LC50 - The concentration that is lethal to 50 percent of the organisms to which it is administered within a specified period; specific to a species. Leach - The movement of liquid through or the dissolution of a substance from soil or other media. Life Cycle Analysis - A process to evaluate the environmental burdens associated with a product, process or activity by identifying and quantifying energy and materials used and wastes released to the environment from extraction and processing of raw materials; through manufacturing, transportation, distribution, use, re-use and maintenance, to recycling and final disposal. Chapter 8 - Glossary 107 Lowest Observed (Adverse) Effect Level (LO[A]EL) - The lowest dose at which a statistically or biologically significant (adverse) effect is detected in a population. Malignant Tumour - A tumour that is capable of spreading to other tissues. Malleability - The ability of a material to undergo shaping or mechanical working without rupture. Maximum Tolerated Dose - The maximum dose in a study that does not produce mortality or effect that would be expected to shorten the organism’s natural life span. Methylation - The introduction of a methyl group (CH3) into a molecule or compound. Milling - The process in which mined ore is crushed and ground for the separation from the waste rock and concentration of the valuable minerals. Mineral Exploration - The process of searching for mineral deposits that are potentially suitable for mining. Morbidity - Any departure, subjective or objective, from the state of well-being: in this sense, sickness, illness and morbid condition are similarly defined and synonymous. Mortality Rate - The relative incidence of death in a population. Neurotoxicity - An adverse change in the structure or function of the nervous system after exposure to a chemical agent. No Observed (Adverse) Effect Level (NO[A]EL) - The highest dose at which no statistically or biologically significant (adverse) effect is detected in a population. Non-Ferrous Metal - A metal or alloy that does not contain a significant amount of iron. Ore - Naturally occurring rock with a metal content that could be profitably extracted. Ore Body - A deposit of ore. Organism - Any living organism (e.g., animal, plant, bacterium, including humans). Organometallic Compound - A compound that contains one or more metal atoms combined with one or more carbon atoms. Pathological - Abnormal or diseased. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 108 pH - A logarithm of the reciprocal of the hydrogen ion concentration in a solution giving a measure of the acidity or alkalinity of a solution. Pharmacokinetic - The process whereby substances are taken up by the body, the biotransformations they undergo, the distribution of these and their metabolites in the tissues and their elimination from the body. Physiologically - Based Pharmacokinetic Model - Dose-response model based on the biological mechanism by which an agent causes an adverse effect. Pollutant - Any undesirable matter in an environmental medium. Poly-Metallic Mineralized Deposits - Naturally occurring concentrations of a combination of metal-bearing minerals (e.g., sphalerite [zinc mineral], galena [lead mineral] and chalcopyrite [copper mineral]). Precious Metals - A category of metals that includes gold, silver and platinum that are extracted and used for their own intrinsic value. Primary Metal - Metal recovered through the process of mining and extraction from ores, rather than via recycling of scrap materials. Product Stewardship - The process that an organization undertakes to ensure that its products are produced, consumed, recycled and disposed of with due care for human health and the environment. Protein - Any of a group of organic compounds composed of one or more chains of amino acids and forming an essential part of all living organisms. Reference Dose (RfD) - For human populations (including sensitive subgroups), an estimate (spanning perhaps an order of magnitude) of a daily exposure that is likely to be without an appreciable risk of deleterious effects during a lifetime. Reproductive Toxin - A substance or preparation that produces harmful effects and/or impairment of the male and female reproductive function or capacity. Risk - The probability that a harmful event, arising from exposure to a chemical or physical agent, may occur under specific conditions. Risk Assessment - The determination of the relationship between the predicted exposure/concentration and adverse effects in four major steps: hazard identification, dose-response assessment, exposure assessment and risk characterization. Chapter 8 - Glossary 109 Risk Characterization - The estimation of the incidence and severity of the adverse effects likely to occur in an environmental compartment due to an actual or predicted exposure to a substance (i.e., integration of hazard identification, dose-response evaluation and exposure assessment). Risk Management - The decision-making process involving considerations of political, social, economic and engineering factors combined with risk assessment information to develop, analyse and compare options and to select between them. Safety Factor - A number used to account for uncertainties in estimating a safe level of exposure. Secondary Metal - Metal produced from recycled scrap metals and related materials. Smelting - A set of chemical processes (sometimes including sintering, roasting and converting) whereby high temperatures are employed to achieve molten phases of metal, sulphides and/or oxides, and unwanted elements are preferentially distributed into the oxide phase. Speciation - The process by which the different chemical forms or species of an element is determined. Species - A specific form of a chemical. Standardized Mortality Ratio - Ratio of the number of events observed in the study group or population to the number of deaths expected if the study population had the same mortality rates as the standard population. Systemic - Referring to the whole body; affecting all body systems and organs; not localized to one spot or area. Teratogenic - Capable of causing structural malformations or defects in offspring. Threshold - The dose of a toxicant below which no adverse effect is expected. Trophic Level - A segment of the food chain in which all organisms obtain food and energy in the same manner, e.g., photosynthesis. Tolerable Intake (TI) - Regulatory value of the acceptable intake of a substance per unit of time (eg. daily). Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 110 Toxicology - The scientific discipline that identifies poisonous or toxic properties of a substance using controlled studies in organisms, isolated tissues, cells or cellular components. Weight-of-the-Evidence - Extent to which the available data support the hypothesis that a substance causes a defined effect. Chapter 8 - Glossary 111 CHAPTER 9 Further Reading Breyer, S. 1993. Breaking the Vicious Circle: Toward Effective Risk Regulation. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA. Chapman, P.M. 1996. Hazard Identification, Hazard Classification and Risk Assessment for Metals and Metal Compounds in the Aquatic Environment. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Crowson, P. 1992. The Infinitely Finite. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Fairbrother, A. 1997. Hazard Classification of Elements and Derivative Inorganic Substances in Terrestrial Systems with Special Emphasis on Metals and Metalloids. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Glickman, T.G., and M. Gough. 1990. Washington, DC. Readings in Risk. Resources for the Future, Henstock, Michael E. 1996. The Recycling of Non-Ferrous Metals. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. International Council on Metals and the Environment. 1997. Report of the International Workshop on Risk Assessment of Metals and their Inorganic Compounds, Angers, France, November 13-15, 1996. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. International Council on Metals and the Environment. 1994. A Guide to Neurotoxicity: International Regulation and Testing Strategies. Ottawa, ON. Institute for Life Sciences International. 1994. Risk Assessment of Essential Elements (1994). W. Mertz, C. Abernathy and S. Olin, eds. ILSI Press, Washington, DC. Landis, W.G., J.S. Hughes, and M.S. Lewis, eds. 1993. Environmental Toxicology and Risk Assessment. American Society for Testing and Materials, Philadelphia, PA. Chapter 9 - Further Reading 113 McDivitt, J.F., and G. Manners. 1974. Minerals and Men. John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, MD. Merian, E. ( ed). 1991. Metals and Their Compounds in the Environment: Occurrence, Analysis, and Biological Relevance. Weinheim, New York, NY. National Research Council. 1994. Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. National Research Council. 1989. Improving Risk Communication. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. National Research Council. 1983. Risk Assessment in the Federal Government: Managing the Process. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. O’Brien, J. 1994. Undoing a Myth: Chile’s Debt to Copper and Mining. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Ottoboni, M. Alice. 1991. The Dose Makes the Poison. Second Edition. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, NY. Parametrix, Inc. 1995. Persistence, Bioaccumulation and Toxicity of Metals and Metal Compounds. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Rasmussen, P.E. 1996. Heavy Metals in the Environment: A Geoscience Perspective. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. Rosenthal, A., G.M. Gray, and J.D. Graham. 1992. Legislating acceptable risk from exposure to toxic chemicals. Ecology Law Quarterly. 19: 269-362. Rothman, K.J. 1986. Modern Epidemiology. Little, Brown & Co., Boston, MA. Strauss, S.D. 1986. Trouble in the Third Kingdom. Mining Journal Books, London, UK. Thornton, I. 1995. Metals in the Global Environment: Facts and Misconceptions. International Council on Metals and the Environment, Ottawa, ON. US Department of the Interior. 1985. Mineral Facts and Problems. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC. Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Non-Ferrous Metals 114