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A MaxEnt model of L2 Zapotec learners’ overgeneralization of glottal stop coda Like infant learners, second language learners often overgeneralize forms or rules to contexts where they do not apply in the target language (Ortega, 2009). Research on this topic has most often dealt with the regularization of irregular verbal morphology, though there is some evidence that learners overgeneralize phonological patterns as well (e.g., Face, 2006). What is not clear is what drives this overgeneralization. Ortega (2009) states that overgeneralization in second language acquisition “can apparently be random” (p. 117). In this paper, I argue that overgeneralization of glottal stop codas by child second language learners of Zapotec can be predicted by the probabilistic characteristics of the input they receive. This is modeled using Hayes’ (2009) MaxEnt Grammar Tool. Data for this study come from 10 hours of audio and video recordings of an after-school language revitalization program with native Spanish-speaking children who were learning Zapotec as a second language for the first time. Data were transcribed with the aid of a native speaker of Zapotec to create a mini-corpus of instructor and learner data. Preliminary qualitative analyses revealed that many students inserted glottal stop codas into words that do not contain a glottal stop coda in targetlike speech. In the Zapotec variety examined for this study (Sierra Juarez Zapotec) the glottal stop consonant is restricted to coda position but allowable in all possible coda positions (Foreman, 2006), cf. ettseʔe ‘fill’, iyuʔni ‘wrinkle’, gattaʔ ‘lie down’. According to the Dictionary of Sierra Juarez Zapotec (Nellis & Nellis, 1983), approximately 37% of words in the lexicon exhibit a glottal stop coda. Token frequency scores based on the instructor speech in the video data were entered into the model along with the set of relevant markedness and faithfulness constraints given in (1). (1) MAX: Retain all input segments in the output DEP: Retain only input segments in the output NOCODA: Codas are prohibited *#ʔ: No onset glottal stop *ʔ.C: No glottal stop before a following consonant *ʔ.V: No glottal stop before a following vowel *ʔ#C: No word-final glottal stop before a following consonant *ʔ#V: No word-final glottal stop before a following vowel *ʔ##: No utterance-final glottal stop Two models were run using the MaxEnt Grammar Tool. The first model aimed to create a targetlike ranking of the constraints in (1) and therefore constraint violations were entered based on the instructor’s production data. The second model aimed to show the learners’ constraint ranking, and therefore constraint violations were entered based on the learners’ production data. The results indicated that overgeneralization of glottal stop codas was predictable from learners’ input. The results also showed that unlike the target grammar, the learner grammar weighted *ʔ## lower than all other markedness constraints, suggesting perhaps that the glottal stop is more salient to learners utterance-finally than in other coda positions. Interestingly, learners did not violate the *#ʔ constraint, which is undominated in the target grammar. Overall, these results suggest that modeling overgeneralization using probabilistic learning frameworks can provide evidence that overgeneralization is not random but driven by probabilistic distributions in the input. This finding also provides general support for probabilistic approaches to second language phonology acquisition. References Face, T. (2009). Intervocalic rhotic pronunciation by adult learners of Spanish as a second language. Selected Proceedings of the 7th Conference on the Acquisition of Spanish and Portuguese as First and Second Languages, Carol A. Klee and Timothy L. Face (Eds.), 47-58. Somerville, MA: Cascadilla Proceedings Project. Foreman, J. (2006). The morphosyntax of subjects in Macuilitianguis Zapotec. University of California Los Angeles, Ph.D. Dissertation. Hayes, B. (2009). MaxEnt Grammar Tool. Retrieved from http://www.linguistics.ucla.edu/people/hayes/MaxentGrammarTool/ on October 15, 2014. Nellis, N., and Nellis, J.G. (1983). Diccionario Zapoteco de Juarez. Mexico City: SIL. Ortega, L. (2014). Understanding second language acquisition. London: Hodder Education.