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Medical Economics or “What makes me mad about Health Care reimbursement” Lance Wilson, M.D. Senior Medical Director ABQ Health Partners ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. Agenda • About me • Where is your head on this? • Objectives • “Outside Hospital” Video • U.S. Health Care Spend Figures • Behavioral Impact on Spend • FFS vs. Value • Medicare Advantage Primer • Small Group Discussions • Questions ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 2 About Me ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 3 Questions • Where does Health Care happen most of the time? • Where should it happen? • What type of practice do you want to be in and why? -Health System Owned -Integrated System -Health Plan Owned -Independent • What do you want to focus on in your practice? ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 4 Objectives • Describe the factors that contribute to the Health Care spend in the US, including the categories and the sources of funding. • Understand the impact of behaviors on the burden of cost. • Contrast volume (FFS) based care and value based care models. • Understand the basic funding mechanism for Medicare Advantage plans • Understand the different practice models so as to make an informed decision about what type of practice you want to end up in. • Develop an internal prioritization plan for how you will truly impact the health of your patients in your practice. ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 5 “Outside Hospital” https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature= player_embedded&v=xskFo75Wdhs Can’t get this video embedded, if you will have internet access, will you please have it ready to go? ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 6 Consumer Price Index (CPI) vs. Health Care CPI ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 7 Spend as % GDP Developed Countries ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 8 2014 US Spend by Category in Billions Other Supplies, DME, $46 $57 Rx, $298 Home Health, $83 Nursing Home, $156 Hospitals, $972 Other Services, $150 Dentists, $114 Physicians, $604 Other Providers, $84 Total spend ~ $3 trillion ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 9 2014 US Spend by Funding Source in Billions $991 $619 $480 $330 $162 Medicare Medicaid Private Insurance ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. Out of Pocket VA DRAFT 10 Where are the Profits in Health Care? ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 11 Pharma Profits • Percapita drug spend in US is 40% higher than in Canada, 75% higher than in Japan and three times higher than in Denmark • Largest drug companies made $76B in profits in 2006 -BTW the first year of Medicare’s drug benefit plan • Slow down is happening -Top 15 Pharma companies had revenue increases from $515B to $527B 2013 to 2014 (only 2.4% increase) -Almost all of that was due to Sovaldi as Gilead revenue increased from $11B to $24B 2013 to 2014 ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 12 Not For Profit Hospitals have the highest profits • 15 For-Profit Hospitals had Revenue > $2.5B in 2014 • 40 Not-For-Profit Hospitals had revenue > $4B in 2014 • Non-Profit means -No income tax -Policy on how to help patients in financial need -Commuity needs assesment • Does not mean -No profit-profits are used to buy equipment, update facilities, buy land, pay massive salaries, buy other systems ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 13 Health Plans are doing OK too! • United HealthGroup, Wellpoint, Humana, Aetna and Cigna all large enough in revenue to be in Fortune 100 • Aetna 2014 -$58B in revenue -$2B in profit ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 14 Life Expectancy vs. Spend ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 15 Spend at end of life • 25%-30% of Medicare dollars each year are spent on the 5% of beneficiaries who die. • 1/3 of those dollars are spent in the last MONTH of life • More than ½ of adults say they would prefer to die at home. • >75% die in hospitals or nursing homes ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 16 Behavioral Burden on Health • Cigarettes • Obesity -Diet -Exercise • Alcohol Consumption • Sexual Practices • Disease Screening ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 17 Cigarette Smoking • >400,000 deaths each year due to smoking related disease • Estimated that 5%-10% of all health care dollars are spent on smoking related disease -$150-$300 Billion in 2014 • Quitting before age 50 = 50% reduction in chance of dying before age 65 • Smoking cessation remains among the most cost-effective healthcare interventions. -ROI 5:1 (at least) • Few interventions in fact have a lower cost per Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALY) saved ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 18 Obesity • Second leading factor contributing to mortality in US. • Medical costs estimated to be $147B in 2008 • Not clear if it is increased body fat or lack of physical activity • Increased risk of: -DM, HTN, CAD, GB disease, osteoarthritis, OSA, respiratory diseases and some types of cancer ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 19 Other Behaviors that Affect Health • Disease Screening Practices -U.S. Preventative Services Task Force -Primary vs. Secondary Prevention • Alcohol Consumption • Prescription and Illicit Drug use • Sexual Practices ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 20 Volume vs. Value Based Care Volume Value • More visits in clinic • More Meds • More procedures • More tests • Hard to pay for other services- • More virtual visits • Get patients off meds • Appropriate procedures • Appropriate testing • Easier to pay for other services • Focus on quality • Can get paid in advance of care CDE, Case Mgr, transportation • Focus on quantity • Get paid after services rendered ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 21 “Managed Care” Specialist “Risk” “Population Health Management” Pharmacy PCP Care Manager $ $ “Medicare Advantage” “Value Based Care” $ $ $ $ Social Worker Facilities (SNFs, Hospitals, etc.) ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. Hospitalist DRAFT 2222 Traditional Payment for Medicare Advantage (MA) $ PCP $ $ Specialist Hospitalist ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. $ Facilities (SNFs, Hospitals, etc.) $ Pharmacy DRAFT 2323 Risk Bearing Medical Group Medicare Advantage “MA” $ $ PCP $ Non Affiliate Providers Specialist Hospitalist Hospitals, Facilities (SNFs, Dialysis, etc.) Care Manager $ Affiliate Providers Social Worker Pharmacy Pharmacist ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. Home Visit Team DRAFT 2424 How do MA plans get funded? • Star rating of the plan -HEDIS -Surveys • Risk adjustment factor for each member -Based on Hierarchical Condition Categories (HCC) ICD-10 codes that are weighted 80 categories, 3000 codes risk adjust ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 25 Illustrative member example: codes chosen 90 y/o M with depression, spinal stenosis with cord compression. Previously alcoholic, sober for 20 years: Scenario X General Depression NOS Cervical Spinal Stenosis History alcohol abuse HCC Total Score ICD9 311 723.0 V11.3 RAF .000 .000 .000 .000 General ICD9 RAF Major Depression 296.20 .330 Cervical Spinal Stenosis 723.0 .000 Cord Compression NOS 336.9 .509 Alcohol dependence in remission 303.93 .420 Scenario Y HCC Total Score ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. CMS pays based on these Risk Adjustment Factors, which has substantial revenue implications 1.259 DRAFT 26 Illustrative member example: HCCs (revenue) 90 y/o M with depression, spinal stenosis with cord compression. Previously alcoholic, sober for 20 years: Scenario X PMPM amount from CMS to Health Plan based only on patient demographics (age and gender). Scenario Y PMPM amount from CMS over baseline = ̴ $50 x 12 = $600 PMPY amount = ̴ $7200 It is imperative that we code appropriately to ensure that we have the maximum financial resources available next year to care for our patients ©2016 DaVita DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All Inc. rightsAll reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For confidential. internal use only. ©2014 HealthCare Partners rights reserved. Proprietary and For internal use only. DRAFT 2727 Vastly Different Costs Across Levels of Care Scenario X – Sub-optimally Managed CHF exacerbation CHF exacerbation Admitted to IP for CHF exacerbation, SOB, 3 days $5,000 SNF Stay: Weakness, 15 days because caretaker not arriving until that time $6,000 Development of C. Diff @ SNF Admitted to IP for C. diff colitis, 10 days $8,000 SNF Stay: 10 days $4,500 UTI Patient develops fever, dysuria, calls ambulance + ER visit + IP admission due to sepsis Total Scenario Y – Well Managed Care $4,500 $28,000 ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. Hospitalist sees patient in ED with borderline exacerbation, 1 dose IV lasix in ER and d/c home $3,500 Hospitalist confirms with CM home visit team following discharge, and d/c on oral diuretics 5 visits by CM home visit providers, to $1,500 check weight, medication review, care coordination Clinic Based Care Team (CM, RN, PCC, MA) work with PCP to ensure patient gets appropriate f/up UTI Patient calls Care Manager as soon as symptoms develop, PCC gets patient scheduled w/PCP and tx with abx for mild UTI $400 $200 $5,600 DRAFT 28 Small Group Discussions • Where does Health Care happen most of the time? • Where should it happen? • What type of practice do you want to be in and why? -Independent -Health System Owned -Integrated System -Health Plan Owned • What do you want to focus on in your practice? • How has you thinking about this changed in the past 30 minutes? ©2016 DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc. All rights reserved. Proprietary and confidential. For internal use only. DRAFT 29