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Transcript
Chapter 6 The Business-Investment Sector McGraw-Hill/Irwin ©2009 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Learning Objectives In this chapter you’ll learn: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. The three types of business firms. How investment is carried out. The difference between gross investment and net investment. How capital is accumulated. The determinants of the level of investment. The graphing of the C + I line. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-2 Proprietorships, Partnerships, and Corporations Proprietorship • • Proprietorships are owned by individuals. Proprietorships are almost always small businesses. • • • Grocery stores, barbershops, restaurants, family farms, gas stations, etc. Some advantages of a proprietorship: • You can be your own boss. • Your income is taxed only once. A major disadvantage of a proprietorship: • The largest is unlimited liability ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-3 Proprietorships, Partnerships, and Corporations Partnership • Partnerships are owned by two or more people. • • • Some law and accounting firms have hundreds of partners. Some advantages of a partnership: • It is easier to raise more capital. • The work and responsibility can be divided. Some disadvantages of a partnership: • Partnerships must be dissolved when one partner dies or wants to leave. • Unlimited liability ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-4 Proprietorships, Partnerships, and Corporations Corporation • • • • • Some advantages of a corporation: • • • A corporation is a legal entity like a person. Most corporations are small firms. Corporations are owned by the stockholders. It is easier to raise money by selling stock. Most corporations are not publicly held. Limited liability Corporations have potential perpetual life. Corporations may pay lower federal taxes. Some disadvantages of a corporation: • • • You need a lawyer and have to pay a charter fee. You have to pay federal (perhaps state) corporate income tax. Double taxation ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-5 Proprietorships, Partnerships, and Corporations The New Hybrid Varieties Limited Partnerships, S corporations, and Limited Liability companies • • • Do not pay corporate income taxes Taxes assessed solely on the individual level profits Minimize legal risks to their investors So far on a small minority of businesses have taken advantage of these legal loopholes to enjoy the security of limited liability without paying corporate income tax. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-6 The Top Ten in U.S. Sales, 2006 Source: www.Fortune.com ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-7 The Top Ten in World Sales, 2006 Source: www.Fortune.com ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-8 Why Incorporation Came Late to Islamic Middle Eastern Nations Western Inheritance Laws • • • • Enabled the accumulation of large fortunes. Incorporation became the dominant form of business by the second half of the 19th century. Became the engine of economic growth. Was the facilitator of the economy of mass production and mass consumption. Islamic Inheritance Laws • • • • Encouraged economic equality. Discouraged the accumulation of capital. Discouraged the formation of large business enterprises. Prevented the advent of corporations well into the 20th century. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-9 Stocks and Bonds Stockholders are the OWNERS of a corporation • Common stock • • Voting rights Preferred stock • Receive a stipulated dividend • No voting rights Bondholders are CREDITORS rather than owners • • Must be paid a stipulated percent of the face value of the bond whether or not the company makes a profit. If a company goes bankrupt bondholders are paid off before stockholders. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-10 Capitalization and Control A corporation’s total capital (capitalization) • • Consists of the total value of its stocks and bonds Example • • • • 1,000,000,000 in bonds 500,000,000 in preferred stock 2,500,000,000 in common stock 4,000,000,000 capitalization (capitalized) ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-11 Capitalization and Control Theoretically, you would need 50% plus one share to control a corporation. Practically speaking, holding 5% of the common stock would probably give you control. • • Most economist believe that you need 10% of the common stock to be assured of control. Many stockholders don’t bother to vote or give their proxies to others. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-12 The Business Population and Shares of Total Sales, 2006 Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2008 ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-13 Questions for Thought and Discussion What are the advantages of different firm structures? How does the corporation facilitate business? (Hint: Consider the case study of the Middle East.) ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-14 Investment “Investment” is the thing that really makes our economy go and grow! Investment is any NEW plant and equipment. Investment is additional inventory. Investment is any NEW residential housing. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-15 Inventory Investment Includes only net change Date Level of Inventory Jan. 1, 2003 $120 million July 1, 2003 145 million Dec. 31, 2003 130 million Started the year with $120 million Ended the year with $130 million Net change is a $10 million (+) ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-16 Inventory Investment, 1960–2005 (in billions of 1987 dollars) This is the most volatile sector of investment. Note that investment was actually negative during recessions in 1975, 1980, 1982, 1991, and 2001. Notice how pronounced the drop was in 2001. Source: Economic Report of the President, 2008; Economic Indicators, Feb 2008 ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-17 Investment in Plant and Equipment Investment in plant and equipment is more stable than inventory. • Even in bad years companies will still invest a substantial amount in new plant and equipment. • This is mainly because old and obsolete factories, office buildings, and machinery must be replaced. • This is the depreciation part of investment. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-18 Residential Construction Involves replacing old housing as well as adding to it. Fluctuates considerably from year to year. Mortgage interest rates play a dominant role. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-19 Investment Investment is the most volatile sector in our economy. GDP = C + I + G + Xn Fluctuations in GDP are largely fluctuations in investment. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-20 Graphing Investment = C + I Assume 100 billion dollar investment added to the consumption function Planned aggregate expenditures (trillions of $) C+I C This is 100 billion dollars at all 10.3 levels of consumption so it shifts the function up by 100 billion 10.0 dollars This 100 billion has a multiplier effect on the economy of 300 billion dollars (we will talk about multipliers later, but this is a heads up). 100 billion dollars worth of Investment 45º ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Output 10.0 10.3 (Disposable Income -trillions $) 6-21 Investment Recessions are touched off by declines in investment. Recoveries are brought about by rising investment. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-22 How Does Savings Get Invested? Money saved is put into stocks and bonds. Banks loan money based on their demand deposits and reserve requirements. Businesses take this money and buy new plant, equipment, and add to their inventory. Corporations also use “retained earnings” and “depreciation allowances.” ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-23 Gross Investment vs. Net Investment In the equation GDP = C + I + G + Xn • The “I” represent gross investment. Gross investment – depreciation = net investment • Depreciation is taking into account the fact that plant & equipment wear out and houses deteriorate. Gross Investment – Depreciation = Net Investment • • • • • • Depreciation is taking into account the fact that plant & equipment wear out and houses deteriorate. Start the year with 10 machines Bought 6 machines (gross investment) Worn out/obsolete – 4 machines (depreciation) End the year with 12 machines Actual gain of 2 machines (net investment) ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-24 Questions for Thought and Discussion Calculate Gross Investment and Net Investment given: Date Jan 1 level of inventory $60 billion July 1 $55 billion Dec 31 $70 billion Expenditures on new plant & equipment $120 billion Expenditures on new residential housing $ 90 billion Depreciation on plant & equipment and residential housing $30 billion ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-25 Solution Inventories up $10 billion Expenditures on plant and equipment = $120 billion Expenditures on New Residential Housing = $90 billion Gross Investment = $220 billion Depreciation of plant and equipment and residential housing = $30 billion Net Investment = $190 billion ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-26 Building Capital Investment involves sacrifice (on someone’s part) To invest • • We must work more. We must consume less (save). ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-27 Marx “Capital is created by labor but stolen by capitalist” Assume it takes $3 to keep a person alive for 24 hours. Assume that one person can use a machine to produce $3 worth of cloth in 6 hours. The capitalist owns the machine and pays $3 for 12 hours work. 12 hours of work produces $6 worth of cloth. Capitalist pays ------------> $3 wages creates a surplus of ------->$ 3 ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-28 Determinants of the Level of Investment Sales outlook Capacity utilization rate Interest rate Expected rate of profit (ERP) ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-29 The Sales Outlook You won’t invest if the sales outlook is bad. • • If sales are expected to be strong the next few months the business is probably willing to add inventory. If sales outlook is good for the next few years, firms will probably purchase new plant and equipment. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-30 Capacity Utilization Rate This is the percent of plant and equipment that is actually being used at any given time. You won’t invest if you have a lot of unused capacity. • During recessions, why build more when you are not using all of what you have? Other factors • Manufacturing is a shrinking part of U.S. economy due to imports and increasing investment overseas by U.S. companies. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-31 Capacity Utilization Rate in Manufacturing, 1965–2007 Since the mid-1980s, our capacity utilization rate has been below 85. Note that it fell during each recession, which is indicated by a shaded area. Source: Survey of Current Business, March 2008; Business Cycle Indicators, January 2008. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-32 The Interest Rate You won’t invest if interest rates are too high. Interest rate = the interest paid / the amount borrowed Assume you borrow $1000 for one year at 12% , how much interest do you pay? Interest Paid .12 = $1000 Interest Paid = $120 ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-33 Expected Rate of Profit (ERP) Expected Profits ERP = Money Invested How much is the ERP on a $10,000 investment if you expect to make a profit of $1,650? ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-34 How much is the ERP on a $10,000 investment if you expect to make a profit of $1,650? Expected Profits ERP = Money Invested $1,650 ERP = $10,000 ERP = .165 = 16.5 % ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-35 You Won’t Invest If Interest Rates Are Higher than ERP In general, the lower the interest rate, the more business firms will borrow. To know how much they will borrow and whether they will borrow, you need to compare the interest rate with the expected rate of profit. Even if they are investing their own money they need to make this comparison. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-36 What Accounts for our Low Rate of Investment? The short time horizon of corporate America The quality of management in America The quality of labor in America The low savings rate in America • • The less we save, the less we can invest. The less we invest, the slower our rate of economic growth. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-37 Gross Investment, 2007 (Numbers don’t add up because of rounding.) Source: Economic Report of the President, 2008, www.bea.gov. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-38 Gross Investment and Its Components, 1995-2007, in 2000 Dollars Source: Economic Indicators, February 2008. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-39 Questions for Thought and Discussion To whom are corporate leaders loyal? • To their employees • To their customers • To their owners ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-40 Solution Answer: their owners • One thing should be perfectly clear: If a corporation does not maximize its profits, it is disloyal to its owners. • If shifting production and jobs abroad will maximize profits, then almost every firm will do it. ©2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6-41