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BALANCING REALITY AND HOPE AS WE MOVE TOWARDS THE 2ND WORLD CONFERENCE ON DISASTER RESILIENCE (06/08/2014 Draft) Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS CONVENED SHORTLY AFTER THE DECEMER 26, 2004 BANDE ACHE, INDONESIA EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DISASTER, WHICH LEFT OVER 200,000 DEAD THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS, BY EXTENSION, A PRODUCT OF THE INTERNATIONAL DECADE FOR NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION (IDNDR), WHICH WAS ADOPTED UNANOMOUSLY BY THE UNITED NATIONS ON DECEMBER 31, 1089 THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS A PRODUCT OF THE FIRST FIVE YEARS OF LEADERSHIP OF THE INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTIONDR) (ISDR) THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE • WAS CONVENED IN KOBE, JAPAN IN JANUARY 2005, AND LED TO THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION GOAL: A GLOBAL CULTURE OF DISASTER RESILIECE IN OUR GENERATION THE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY • DISASTERS RESILIENCE! • …EVEN THOUGH NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES, DROUGHTS) ARE INEVITABLE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY. REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW? • THE ANSWER IS “PROBABLY NOT!” • - - - IN SPITE OF 25 YEARS OF CUMMULATIVE HIGH-QUALITY LEADERSHIP BY THE UNITED NATIONS DURING THE DECADE OF THE 1990’S UNDER THE IDNDR AND DURING THE PAST 1 ½ DECADES UNDER THE ISDR. WE KNOW WHAT TO DO, HOW TO DO IT, WHY TO DO IT, WHEN TO DO IT, and WHERE TO DO IT RISK ASSESSMENT •HAZARD MAPS •INVENTORY •VULNERABILITY •LOCATION ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK ANTICIPATORY DECISIONS DATA BASES AND INFORMATION COMMUNITY RISK MANAGEMENT HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS •EDUCATIONAL SURGES •MITIGATION •PREPAREDNESS •EMERGENCY RESPONSE •RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION HAZARDS EXPOSURE RISK VULNERABILITY LOCATION WHERE ARE THE COMMUNITIES THAT NEED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY CARIBBEAN BASIN NORTH AMERICA SUB-SAHARA AFRICA EUROPE 200 NATIONS AND 7+ MEDITERRANEAN BILLION PEOPLE SOUTH AMERICA ISLAND NATIONS ASIA IT’S TIME FOR A CRITICAL EVALUATION, SO - - TEN YEARS LATER IN 2015 THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY OF NATIONS IS PLANNING A 2ND WORLD CONFERENCE SO, IF IT IS NOT LEADERSHIP AND NOT KNOWLEDGE, WHAT IS KEEPING US FROM MEETING THE GOALS OF THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION ON A GLOBAL SCALE? WE HATE TO ADMIT IT, BUT WE HAVE TO CHANGE OUR WAY OF THINKING BEFORE WE CAN CHANGE OUR WAY OF ACTING SOCIAL ELEMENTS THAT PREVENT US FROM MEETING OUR GLOBAL GOALS UNWISE DECISIONS APATHY RISK NARROWMINDEDNESS IGNORANCE THE STRATEGY • Engage a new generation of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . .others as stakeholders in a concerted effort to make every global community disaster resilient. GIVE THEM A TITLE AND THE 2015 CHALLENGE Engage the new corps of “Ambassadors for Global Disaster Resilience” (i.e., those who are willing to commit to the goal of building global capacity for disaster resilience). DISASTER RESILIENCE REQUIRES A “24/7” EFFORT • A 24/7 EFFORT IS NEEDED TO BUILD THE CAPACITY NEEDED TO IMPLEMENT THE PILLARS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE. NEXT: CAPACITIZING AND PARTNERNING • Build capacity and partnerships simultaneously in the community of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . . others and work together in a concerted global effort. HOW TO FAIL GUARANTEED! NO CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE HIGH DISASTER RISK EDUCATION THAT DOES NOT BUILD CAPACITY FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY HOW TO SUCCEED STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY PHYSICAL SCIENCES POLITICAL PROCECESES ENGINEERING SCIENCES SUCCESS: INCREASING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY COMMUNITY WORKING TOGETHER FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING CHANNELS ORGANIZATION NETWORKING CHANNELS GOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCE COMMUNITY CAPACITY COMMUNITY INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS STAKEHOLDERS ACADEMIA Stratec Consulting A RENEWED GLOBAL SURGE OF HOPE AND ENTHUSIASM A HISTORIC EFFORT THAT WILL BENEFIT EVERY NATION 2015 IS A GOOD TIME FOR A GLOBAL SURGE IN EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING TO MAKE ALL COMMUNITIES OF THE WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT WE HAVE COMMON ASSETS SO, LET’S USE THEM SURGE VISION: INFUSION OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE BY 1,000,000+ NEW “AMBASSADORS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE” IN AN ONGOING, CONCERTED EFFORT TO CREATE TURNING POINTS FOR DISASTER-RISK RESILIENCE IN EVERY NATION THE KEY IS BEING STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL •START NOW WHERE YOU LIVE! •START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS AND ADD NEW PARTNERS! •START WITH YOUR HOME! •START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS! •START WITH YOUR COMMUNITY! THE BIG FOUR IN THE COMMUNITY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE • EDUCATORS • CITIZENS • STAKE- HOLDERS (PRACTITIONERS) • POWER STRUCTURE (POLICY MAKERS) FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK • MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR • MAKE THE GOAL AND ITS BENEFITS AND BARRIERS EASY TO VISUALIZE • MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR • MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY UNDERSTAND OUR COMMON BARRIERS TO SUCCESS BARRIERS TO A GLOBAL SURGE • “MYTH” • A GENERAL SOLUTION WILL WORK FOR EVERY COMMUNITY • “REALITY” • EACH COMMUNITY NEEDS SITESPECIFIC INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES BARRIERS IN A GLOBAL SURGE • “MYTH” • “REALITY” • PROFESSIONAL • EVERY DISASTER PRACTICE IS A NEW ALWAYS KEEPS LEARNING PACE WITH EXPERIENCE FOR KNOWLEDGE EVERY COMMUNITY BARRIERS FACED BY CHAMPIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY • “MYTH” • • PROFESSIONAL• EDUCATION IS A SHORT PROCESS “REALITY” PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION IS A LONG PROCESS THAT MUST BE NURTURED AND SUSTAINED SURGE ATTRIBUTES SURGE TARGETS PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION LEADERSHIP CODES & STANDARDS INNOVATION COMMUNITY PLANNING PARTNERSHIPS FOCUS IDENTIFY/ FIX VULNERABILITIES COMMUNITY READINESS PUBLIC AWARENESS