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Transcript
Analysis of Financial Statements Timothy R. Mayes, Ph.D. FIN 3300: Chapter 3 1 Common-size Income Statements A common-size income statement restates all expenses as a percentage of sales This allows the analyst to quickly and easily see which expenses have increased or decreased relative to sales Elvis Products International Common-size Income Statement For the Year Ended Dec. 31, 1997 ($ 000's) Sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Selling and G&A Expenses Fixed Expenses Depreciation Expense EBIT Interest Expense Earnings Before Taxes Taxes @ 40% Net Income 1997% 100.00% 83.33% 16.67% 8.47% 2.56% 0.51% 5.12% 1.95% 3.17% 1.27% 1.90% 1997 3900.00 3250.00 650.00 330.30 100.00 20.00 199.70 76.00 123.70 49.48 74.22 1996% 100.00% 81.83% 18.17% 6.86% 2.86% 0.54% 7.92% 1.79% 6.13% 2.45% 3.68% 1996 3500.00 2864.00 636.00 240.00 100.00 18.90 277.10 62.50 214.60 85.84 128.76 2 Common-size Balance Sheets A common-size balance sheet restates all assets and liabilities as a percentage of total assets This allows the analyst to quickly and easily see which accounts have increased or decreased relative to total assets Elvis Products International Common-size Balance Sheet As of Dec. 31, 1997 ($ 000's) Assets Cash and Equivalents Accounts Receivable Inventory Total Current Assets Plant & Equipment Accumulated Depreciation Net Fixed Assets Total Assets 1997% 1997 1996% 1996 3.03% 50.00 3.92% 57.60 24.35% 402.00 23.91% 351.20 50.76% 838.00 48.69% 715.20 78.14% 1290.00 76.53% 1124.00 31.92% 527.00 33.43% 491.00 10.07% 166.20 9.95% 146.20 21.86% 360.80 23.47% 344.80 100.00% 1650.80 100.00% 1468.80 Liabilities and Owner's Equity Accounts Payable 10.61% 175.20 Short-term Notes Payable 13.63% 225.00 Other Current Liabilities 8.48% 140.00 Total Current Liabilities 32.72% 540.20 Long-term Debt 25.72% 424.61 Total Liabilities 58.45% 964.81 Common Stock 27.87% 460.00 Retained Earnings 13.69% 225.99 Total Shareholder's Equity 41.55% 685.99 Total Liabilities and Owner's Equity 100.00% 1650.80 9.91% 145.60 13.62% 200.00 9.26% 136.00 32.79% 481.60 22.02% 323.43 54.81% 805.03 31.32% 460.00 13.87% 203.77 45.19% 663.77 100.00% 1468.80 3 Financial Ratios Financial ratios are the analyst’s microscope; they allow us to get a better view of the firm’s financial health than just looking at the raw financial statements Ratios are used by both internal and external analysts • Internal uses planning evaluation of management • External uses credit granting performance monitoring investment decisions 4 Categories of Financial Ratios Financial ratios are often divided into categories based on the information that they provide: • • • • • • Liquidity Efficiency Leverage Coverage Profitability Market valuation 5 Liquidity Ratios ‘Liquidity’ refers to the speed with which an asset can be converted to cash Liquidity ratios describe the ability of a firm to meet its current obligations There are three common liquidity ratios: • The Current Ratio • The Quick Ratio • The Cash Ratio 6 The Current Ratio Current Assets CR Current Liabilities For EPI the current ratio in 1997 is: 1290 CR 2.39 540.20 7 The Quick Ratio Current Assets Inventories QR Current Liabilities For EPI the quick ratio in 1997 is: 1290 838 QR 0.84 540.20 8 The Cash Ratio Cash Cash Ratio Current Liabilities For EPI the cash ratio in 1997 is: 50 Cash Ratio 0.09256 540.20 9 Efficiency Ratios The efficiency ratios (A.K.A. assets utilization ratios) describe how well a firm is using its investment in various asset classes: • • • • • Inventory Turnover Ratio Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Average Collection Period Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio Total Asset Turnover Ratio 10 The Inventory Turnover Ratio Cost of Goods Sold Inventory Turnover Inventory For EPI the inventory turnover ratio in 1997 is: 3250 Inventory Turnover 388 . 838 11 The A/R Turnover Ratio Annual Credit Sales A / R Turnover Accounts Re ceivable For EPI the accounts receivable turnover ratio in 1997 is: 3900 A / R Turnover 9.70 402 12 The Average Collection Period Accounts Re ceivable Average Collection Period Annual Credit Sales 360 For EPI the average collection period in 1997 is: 402 Average Collection Period 37.11 3900 360 13 The Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio Sales Fixed Asset Turnover Net Fixed Assets For EPI the fixed asset turnover ratio in 1997 is: 3900 Fixed Asset Turnover 10.81 360.80 14 The Total Asset Turnover Ratio Sales Total Asset Turnover Total Assets For EPI the total asset turnover ratio in 1997 is: 3900 Total Asset Turnover 2.36 1650.80 15 Leverage Ratios Leverage ratios describe the amount of debt that the firm has used to finance its investments in assets: • • • • Total Debt Ratio Long-term Debt Ratio Debt to Equity Long-term Debt to Equity 16 The Total Debt Ratio Total Liabilities Total Debt Ratio Total Assets For EPI the total debt ratio in 1997 is: 964.81 Total Debt Ratio 58.45% 1650.80 17 The Long-term Debt Ratio Long termDebt Long termDebt Ratio Total Assets For EPI the long-term debt ratio in 1997 is: 424.61 Long termDebt Ratio 25.72% 1650.80 18 The Debt to Equity Ratio Total Liabilities Debt to Equity Total Equity For EPI the debt to equity ratio in 1997 is: 964.81 Debt to Equity 141 . 685.99 19 The Long-term Debt to Equity Ratio Long term Debt LTD to Equity Total Equity For EPI the long-term debt to equity ratio in 1997 is: 424.61 LTD to Equity 6190% . 685.99 20 Coverage Ratios Coverage ratios indicate the firm’s ability to pay certain expenses: • Times Interest Earned Ratio • Cash Coverage Ratio 21 The Times Interest Earned Ratio EBIT TIE Interest Expense For EPI the times interest earned ratio in 1997 is: 199.70 TIE 2.63 76 22 The Cash Coverage Ratio EBIT Non cash Expenses Cash Coverage Ratio Interest Expense For EPI the cash coverage ratio in 1997 is: 199.70 20 Cash Coverage Ratio 2.89 76 23 The Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio EBIT + Lease Payments Fixed Ch arg e Coverage = SF Payments Int. Exp.+LeasePayments + (1- t ) Note: SF Payments are Sinking Fund payments which are not tax deductible. Therefore, we must divide them by (1-t) to find out how much we need before taxes to meet this after-tax expense. Also, you must include preferred dividends in this number. 24 Profitability Ratios Profitability ratios provide a measure of the returns that a firm is generating: • • • • • • Gross Profit Margin Operating Profit Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Total Assets Return on Equity Return on Common Equity 25 The Gross Profit Margin Gross Profit GPM Sales For EPI the gross profit margin in 1997 is: 650 GPM 16.67% 3900 26 The Operating Profit Margin Net Operating Income OPM Sales For EPI the operating profit margin in 1997 is: 199.70 OPM 512% . 3900 27 The Net Profit Margin Net Income NPM Sales For EPI the net profit margin in 1997 is: 74.22 NPM 190% . 3900 28 The Return on Total Assets Net Income ROA Total Assets For EPI the return on total assets in 1997 is: 74.22 ROA 4.50% 1650.80 29 The Return on Equity Net Income ROE Total Equity For EPI the return on equity in 1997 is: 74.22 ROE 10.82% 685.99 30 The Return on Common Equity Net Income ROCE Total Common Equity For EPI the return on common equity in 1997 is: 74.22 ROCE 10.82% 685.99 31 Market Valuation Ratios The market valuation ratios provide an indication of the relative under- or overpricing of a firm’s stock: • Price/Earnings Ratio • Price/Book Ratio 32 The Price/Earnings Ratio Stock Pr ice P/E Earnings per Share 33 The Price/Book Ratio Stock Price P/B Book Value per Share 34 Rules for Memorizing Ratios There can be an infinite number of financial ratios, but knowing a few basic rules will help you to memorize the formulas: The basic rule is that the name tells you how to calculate the ratio. • Any ‘margin’ ratio is something divided by sales • Any ‘turnover’ ratio is sales (or a variation of sales) divided by something • Any ‘return on’ ratio is net income (or a variation of net income) divided by something 35 Using Financial Ratios Calculating ratios is pointless unless you know how to use them The most basic rule is: a single ratio provides very little information and may be misleading With that in mind, there are at least 4 uses of ratios: • • • • Trend analysis (internal and external) Comparison to industry averages (internal and external) Setting and evaluating company goals (internal) Restrictive debt covenants (external) 36 Trend Analysis of Ratios Trend analysis involves the examination of ratios over time The analyst tries to determine if the ratio is changing in a favorable, or unfavorable, direction The chart shows EPI’s current ratio for two years (we really need more data) EPI Current Ratio Trend Curre nt Ratio 2.40 2.39 2.38 2.37 2.36 2.35 2.34 2.33 2.32 2.31 2.30 x x x x x x x x x x x 1996 1997 Ye ar 37 Comparing to Industry Averages Ratio Industry average ratios provide a benchmark for comparison We assume that if a ratio is too far from the average something is wrong Industry ratios are available from Robert Morris Associates and Standard & Poor’s Industry 1997 Liquidity Ratios Current 2.70 x Quick 1.00 x Efficiency Ratios Inventory Turnover 7.00 x A/R Turnover 10.70 x Average Collection Period 33.64 Fixed Asset Turnover 11.20 x Total Asset Turnover 2.60 x Leverage Ratios Total Debt Ratio 50.00% Long-term Debt Ratio 20.00% LTD to Total Capitalization 28.57% Debt to Equity 1.00 x LTD to Equity 40.00% Coverage Ratios Times Interest Earned 2.50 x Profitabilty Ratios Gross Profit Margin 17.50% Operating Profit Margin 6.25% Net Profit Margin 3.50% Return on Total Assets 9.10% Return on Equity 18.20% Other Ratios Payout Ratio Plowback (Retention) Ratio Internal Growth Rate Sustainable Growth Rate Capital Intensity Ratio 38.46% 1997 1996 2.39 x 0.84 x 2.33 x 0.85 x 3.88 x 9.70 x 37.11 10.81 x 2.36 x 4.00 x 9.97 x 36.12 10.15 x 2.38 x 58.45% 25.72% 38.23% 1.41 x 61.90% 54.81% 22.02% 32.76% 1.21 x 48.73% 2.63 x 4.43 x 16.67% 5.12% 1.90% 4.50% 10.82% 18.17% 7.92% 3.68% 8.77% 19.40% 70.06% 29.94% 1.36% 3.35% 42.33% 41.97% 38 Company Goals and Debt Covenants Company goals are often stated in terms of financial ratios • For example, it is common for management to set goals regarding the firm’s ROE Debt covenants often contain restrictions on certain ratios • For example, a borrower might be required to maintain a debt to equity ratio of less than 1.0 and a current ratio greater than 2.0 39