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Ch 9 Describe the four key macroeconomic markets Examine the relationship between the general price level and the amount of goods and services demanded. Examine the relationship between the general price level and the amount of goods and services supplied in the short-run and longrun. Read before class Bring PowerPoints to class Take notes Find a study buddy Visit office hours Circular flow diagram Four key markets ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Goods and services Resources Loanable funds Foreign exchange Four new supply and demand markets ◦ what’s measured on each axis ◦ why curves have their slope (Not yet thinking about shifts this chapter) Fiscal Policy ◦ Changing taxes or government spending with the purpose of achieving macroeconomic goals ◦ Conducted by Congress and the President Monetary Policy ◦ Changing the money supply with the purpose of achieving macroeconomic goals ◦ Conducted by the Federal Reserve System (The Fed) Market Demand Supply Price (Final) Goods and Services Households Businesses Price Level Resources Businesses Households Wage Loanable Funds Borrowers Savers Interest Rate Foreign Exchange Americans Foreigners Exchange Rate Flow of all domestically produced final-user goods and services Market encompassing the flow of all final-user goods and services produced within a country during a specific time period, usually a year Hey, that’s the definition of GDP! Demand (expenditures) Supply •Households •Businesses •Governments •Foreigners (net exports) Price Quantity Businesses Price Level Real GDP Aggregate Demand Curve – shows the relationship between the price level and the quantity of domestically produced goods and services that all households, businesses, governments, and foreigners are willing to purchase Increase in price level will decrease the quantity of goods and services demanded. Price Level P2 P1 AD Output (real GDP) Y2 Y1 1. A higher price level will decrease the purchasing power of money Example: Imagine you have $500 for the month’s expenses and prices suddenly are 2X as high 2. A higher price level will increase the demand for money and raise the real interest rate, which will reduce additional purchases People take money out of their interestbearing assets to pay for everyday spending; Borrowing becomes more expensive 3. A higher price level will make domestically produced goods more expensive, ceteris paribus Imports will increase (foreign goods cheaper); Exports will fall; overall decrease in NX Aggregate Supply Curve – shows the relationship between the price level and the quantity of domestically produced goods and services that businesses are willing to sell Short-run: upward sloping Long-run: vertical Increase in price level will increase quantity supplied in the short run Price Level SRAS P2 P1 Output Y1 Y2 SRAS – in the short run, an unanticipated increase in the price level will increase the profitability of businesses ***This is because resource prices are fixed in the short run!! The SRAS curve assumes that resource (input) prices are “sticky” and slow to adjust. But final goods sell for more No change in input prices Increase in price level will have no impact on quantity supplied in the long run Price Level LRAS P2 P1 Output (real GDP) YF The LRAS curve is vertical because once people have enough time to adjust contracts, the price level will not impact output. The price of coffee doesn’t actually impact our ability to produce more or less of it in the long run Price Level Buyers are willing to purchase all the units that sellers are willing to supply at the current price level SRAS Pe AD Output (real GDP) Ye Price Level 1. Buyers are willing to purchase all the units that sellers are willing to supply at LRAS the current price level SRAS100 P100 AD100 Output (real GDP) YF Price Level LRAS SRAS100 P100 AD100 2. The economy is at full employment Output (real GDP) YF 3. The anticipated price level is the actual price level Full employment ◦ No cyclical unemployment ◦ Actual unemployment rate = natural rate of unemployment ◦ Actual output = potential output No boom! No bust! Happens when predictions about price level are incorrect Leads to Booms/Busts Output can be higher or lower than potential Employment can be higher or lower than full Actual price level is higher than predicted Short run: ◦ resource costs are low, output prices are high ◦ producers earn higher than normal profits Long run: ◦ contracts are renegotiated, resource prices rise ◦ profits return to normal levels Actual price level is lower than predicted Short run: ◦ resource costs are high, output prices are low ◦ producers earn lower than normal profits Long run: ◦ contracts are renegotiated, resource prices fall ◦ profits return to normal levels Resource prices (wages, inputs) fixed in the short run Measured on x-axis ◦ Output, real GDP ◦ This moves inversely with unemployment Flow of “ingredients” like labor services, raw materials, machines, and other factors of production Demand Supply Price Quantity Businesses Households Wage Employment Labor makes up 70% of production costs in U.S. Real Resource Price (Wage) S Households supply labor and other resources Pr D Q Businesses demand labor and other resources Employment Supply: positively sloped ◦ Higher resources prices (wage) give households greater incentive to work for firms Demand: negatively sloped ◦ Higher resource prices (wage) increase the cost of production and make it less profitable The flow of borrowing and lending Market Demand Loanable Funds Borrowing by Domestic Saving (Lending) by Interest •Businesses •Domestic Households Rate •Government •Net Capital Inflow Supply Price Net capital inflow (of foreign capital); ◦ Saving (lending) by foreigners in U.S. institutions Net capital outflow (of foreign capital); ◦ Borrowing by foreigners from U.S. institutions Real Interest Rate Lenders (savers) supply loanable S funds r1 D Q1 Borrowers demand loanable funds Loanable Funds Supply: positively sloped ◦ Higher interest rates give an incentive to save (lend) money Demand: negatively sloped ◦ Higher interest rates reduce the quantity of loanable funds demanded (borrowing) Money interest rate – percentage of the amount borrowed that must be paid to the lender in addition to the repayment of the principle; nominal interest rate Real interest rate – the interest rate adjusted for expected inflation, indicates change in purchasing power Inflationary premium – the expected rate of inflation Real interest rate Money interest rate - inflationa ry premium Flow of foreign currency Market Demand Supply Price Foreign Exchange Americans Foreigners Exchange Rate Americans (use their dollars to) demand foreign currencies Foreigners supply foreign currencies (to be exchanged into dollars) Dollar Price of Foreign Currency S (Exports + Capital inflows) P1 D (Imports + Capital outflows) Q1 Quantity Foreign Currency Supply: positively sloped Demand: negatively sloped ◦ As the dollar price of foreign currency rises, foreign currency becomes more valuable ◦ Foreigners want to supply more of their currency to be used to buy U.S. goods which have become cheaper ◦ U.S. exports rise ◦ As the dollar price of foreign currency rises, the dollar becomes less valuable ◦ Domestic residents demand a smaller quantity of foreign currency to buy foreign goods which have become more expensive ◦ U.S. imports fall Appreciation – an increase in the value of a currency relative to foreign currencies, increases the purchasing power (move down the vertical axis when dollar appreciates) Depreciation – a decrease in the value of a currency relative to foreign currencies, decreases the purchasing power (move up the vertical axis when dollar depreciates) Imports Capital Outflow Exports Capital Inflow Imports - Exports Capital Inflow - capital outflow Trade Deficit ◦ Imports > Exports ◦ Net Capital Inflow Trade Surplus ◦ Exports > Imports ◦ Net Capital Outflow Not necessarily “bad” Causes ◦ High interest rates Federal government budget deficits Good investment opportunities domestically ◦ Currency manipulation?? Foreign country’s gov’t increases supply of foreign currency by purchasing U.S. financial assets Causes U.S. currency to appreciate Describe the four key macroeconomic markets Examine the relationship between the general price level and the amount of goods and services demanded. Examine the relationship between the general price level and the amount of goods and services supplied in the short-run and longrun.