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Second FES-SWP North-South Dialogue Global Governance Challenges Fighting Global Warming: a new North-South Rift? Berlin February 18-19, 2002 THE FES-SWP NORTH-SOUTH DIALOGUE The FES-SWP dialogue invites scholars from think tanks in industrialized and developing countries to discuss key global governance issues. The first dialogue was held in April 2000 with a discussion on regional and global security arrangements. CLIMATE CHANGE: A NORTH-SOUTH ISSUE The second dialogue focuses on climate change--a topic that doubtlessly calls for a global response. After a long debate on whether or not climate change is a real threat, there is now broad consensus both in industrialized and developing countries that the risks of global warming are too high to be ignored. Thus the Climate Convention which was ratified by 180 countries calls for a reduction of CO 2 emissions to a more sustainable level. The debate on the Kyoto protocol shows however that disagreement starts when vague definitions of sustainability serve as a foundation for precise targets and binding international arrangements. The North-South conflict is at the heart of the debate. The perspective in the South is: industrialized countries— today contributing more than 70% to global CO2 emissions--are responsible for the problem and thus have to find a solution. The perspective in some countries of the North is: as long as developing countries are not part of the agreement, reductions in the industrialized world are pointless. Because 80% of global emission growth is expected to come from developing countries, reductions in the North will be more than over-compensated by the South. TOPICS FOR DISCUSSION FOR THE DIALOGUE Against this background, the FES-SWP dialogue will cover three themes: Firstly, what has made it so difficult to implement the Climate Convention and the Kyoto protocol? Secondly, can conflict diverging interests between countries in the North and the South be turned into win-win situations? And thirdly, what are the lessons we can learn for other fields of global governance? AGENDA Sunday February 17 Arrival of Participants 20:00 Welcome Dinner Monday February 18 09:00 Welcome and Introduction to the North-South Dialogue Winrich Kühne, SWP Jürgen Stetten, FES 09:30 Session I chair: Friedemann Müller The Process of the Climate Convention: Failed Global Governance? Lead speeches The negotiation process designed by the Climate Convention (Karsten Sach, Federal Environment Ministry, Germany) International Climate Change Negotiations: Towards Global Participation (Zhong Xiang Zhang, East-West Center, Honolulu) Topics for discussion: The pace of the Conferences of Parties (COP) in relation to environmental destruction: has global management failed? Who is responsible, who is the victim of a failure? The logic of commitment distributions in the Kyoto protocol: excluding the South Who is leading the process? Public attention and the media – does the negotiation process take them into account? 10:45 Coffee break 11:15 Continuation of discussion 13:00 Lunch break 2 Monday February 18 (cont.) 14:00 Session II chair: Edmundo De Alba Future Conflict Dimensions and Approaches for Solutions in the North-South Context Lead speeches Fixing great emission disparities between North and South ("grandfathering principle") – major obstacle for a global solution? (Sujata Gupta, Asian Development Bank, India) Alternatives to CDM and Global Emission Trading (Hermann Scheer, Member of Parliament, Germany) Topics for discussion: Global property – to whom belongs the atmosphere, who is liable for damage? Regional distribution of the expected damage, unequal preventive measures Monitoring of emissions and enforcing an agreement – a problem for the sovereignty of states? How to improve the COP mechanism Emission trading: can countries with bad governance correctly absorb incomes from emission trading, which rules are to be observed? 15:30 Coffee break 16:00 Continuation of discussion 18:30 Panel Discussion (see attached programme) 20:30 Dinner Reception Tuesday February 19 09:00 Session III chair: Ambassador Richard E. Benedick Challenging Global Governance Lead Speeches Alternative forms of commitments on greenhouse gas emissions for all countries (Cédric Philibert, International Energy Agency) The adequacy of regime building for the solution of global problems (Frank Biermann, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) 3 Topics for discussion Alternatives to conventional institutions (UN) and procedures (unanimous voting) Disparity between consensus on the goal and disagreement on the instruments The management problem of committing 200 states on a set of obligatory measures Does global governance require leadership and what kind of leadership? 10:45 Coffee break 11:15 Continuation of discussion and conclusions 12:30 Lunch 13:30 Departure of conference participants / excursion For further information on the organizers kindly visit www.fes.de www.swp-berlin.org 4 Panel Discussion Climate Policy: prepared for Johannesburg? Jan Pronk (keynote speaker) Minister for Housing, Spatial Planning, and the Environment Netherlands Ernst Ulrich von Weizsäcker Member of Parliament Emad El Sharkawy Vice Chairman World Energy Council Reinhard Loske Member of Parliament Peter Knoedel Vice President of BP Germany Sujata Gupta Renewable Energy Advisor of Asian Development Bank Christoph Bertram (facilitator) Director of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik The panel will take place on February 18th 2002, 18h30 at the premises of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, Hiroshimastrasse 17, 10785 Berlin 5