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1 UNDERSTANDING THE STATE OF SOCIETY – SPRING 2011 WAR ANNIVERSARY SPEECH March 18, 2011 Jeoffry Gordon, MD, MPH [email protected] OUR country is at the edge of a precarious cliff that presents the biggest danger to the survival of our democracy than anything since the Civil War…….Or like Wiley Coyote in the Road Runner cartoons - we may have run off the precipice already – but it just has not yet sunk in. The problem is one of domestic social justice and economics. THE PROBLEM IS THE STRANGULATION AND DEATH OF MIDDLE CLASS AMERICA. You need to understand that this revolution –this silent coup d’etat, this CLASS WARFARE – happened before your very eyes over the past decades. As Robert Reich recently wrote, “It is a not a complicated story…Today’s typical 30 year old male (if he has a job) is earning the same as a 30 year old man did three decades ago…The bottom 90 per cent of Americans now earn, on average, only about $280 more per year than they did thirty years ago…. But wait, the American economy is more than twice as large as it was thirty years ago. So where did the money go? TO THE TOP. The richest 1 percent’s share of national wealth has doubled – from around 9 percent in 1977 to over 20 percent now. The (wealth of the) richest one-tenth of one percent has tripled. The 150,000 households that comprise the top one-tenth of one percent now earn as much as the bottom 120 million (households) put together.” Let me make this very concrete: In one generation from 1979 to 2009 – 30 years – family income for the bottom fifth of Americans FELL by 7.4%, while income for the top fifth rose 49% - and that of the top 5 percent (those earning over $200,000 per year) rose 73%! In 2008 the average family in the bottom 90 percent of the population got by with $31,244 a year while the average family in the top one-tenth of 1 2 percent made over $5.5 million dollars. It has not always been this way! As a matter of fact between 1960 and 1979 Our political system worked so that income for the bottom 90 percent of US families rose significantly faster than that of the top 1 percent. Let us look at the specific causes of this disastrous change: First, it is the result of our domestic politics. The dynamic started in 1980 with the inauguration of Ronald Reagan as President. He began what the political scientist Jacob Hacker has called the era of WINNER TAKE ALL POLITICS. The end of the rainbow for these political operatives was the evisceration of government by marked lowering of income taxes, estate taxes, and capital gains taxes for the wealthy and larger loop holes for corporate taxpayers. This was achieved by George W. Bush. Relative to the size of the economy, federal revenues are currently at their lowest level in 60 years. In both 2009 and 2010, revenues equaled 14.9 percent of GDP. By comparison, they averaged about 18 percent of GDP between 1971 and 2010. We don't have a spending problem; we have a revenue problem! The lies and fables of Republican public policy and economics, that is, the overwhelming so called “debt crisis” and the so called damage done by government wherever it impacts our country, which are now accepted as conventional wisdom. The hatred of taxes and government has put the fire in the belly of Tea Party Republicans at both the national and state level. They have a destructive conception of how to build and maintain a successful society and are well financed by the corporate plutocracy to further destroy our country. BUT WAIT! The Democrats clearly are no better. The deregulatory fervor and pandering to financial institutions was completed under President Clinton (and his buddies Robert Rubin and Larry Summers) These policies were the direct cause of the 2008 depression, resulting in the on-going loss of family homes by foreclosure and continued unemployment of millions of Americans. This economic turmoil put the stake in the heart of the middle class and the torture continues. Democrats put forward only a meek and failed 3 oppositional fight to the policies of George W. Bush, both domestic and foreign. Under Barack Obama they have continued the Bush wars, continued the Bush tax cuts and bailed out Wall Street and left Main Street out in the cold. The major banks are now consolidated and clearly even more too big to fail. In fact, our six largest bank holding companies currently have assets valued at just over 63 percent of GDP as of end of 2010. This is up from around 55% of GDP in 2006 before the crisis and no more than 17% of GDP in 1995. With assets ranging from around $800 billion to nearly $2.5 trillion, these bank holding companies are clearly even more than ever too big to fail. Their profits are privatized and their losses will continue to be socialized and the middle class taxpayers will continue to be enslaved by them. No major players in the financial sector responsible for mortgage or financial fraud have gone to jail. Clearly the President has not provided the leadership necessary to thwart the capture of our government by the right wing, corporatist libertarians. On the contrary his policies show he is controlled by them. He was elected because he was a maverick who opposed the Iraq war, now he is the leader of the mercenary incursion into a hopelessly corrupt Afghanistan. We haven’t seen President Obama call out the failed employment or international diplomacy policies of George W. Bush nor has he articulated the abject failure of the Milton Friedman mirage economics of deregulating finance capital. Our democratic President has abandoned the quest for a national job creation program. There are still over 13 million unemployed Americans and many millions more who are under-employed or stopped looking for work. Obama has failed to rein in the wildly illegal home foreclosure process. Since 2008 a total of 4,731,000 American families have lost their home security to foreclosure. We haven’t seen President Obama standing in front of a home to prevent a bank foreclosure like our Congressman Bob Filner did. We haven’t seen President Obama marching on the streets of Madison Wisconsin defending union workers – the only vestiges of an organized middle class - as he promised he would during 4 his campaign. Mainstream politics - both Republicans and Democrats has fully accepted Reagan’s folly that government is the problem and any taxation is an inappropriate taking. The second contribution to the end of the American dream comes from the business sector: Before the year 2000 generally wages of both high school and college graduates rose along with productivity. Since the year 2000 productivity in the US has risen about 15 percent, but with the decline of unions and traditional manufacturing the median wages of all workers has been flat. The difference has filled the coffers of corporations and Wall Street. The Koch brothers’ political conspiracy is both a cause and a self-serving result of this transformation. The United States needs both unions and a forward looking industrial policy. Thus in 2011 we have a hugely distorted income distribution in the United States, a tilt which has not been seen since 1929 on the very eve of the Great Depression. Organizations such as the United Nations, the CIA, and the CDC use an index called the GINI coefficient to measure income inequality. (If everyone in a population had the same income the coefficient would be zero, if one person had it all, it would be 1.) Currently the most admirable country is Sweden with a coefficient of .25. The United States has a GINI of .45, nowhere near that of Canada - .32 or Great Britain - .34, but close to that of Russia at .42, and much worse than Egypt even before its revolution - .34, and approximating that of Argentina at .46, Costa Rica - .48, Equador - .48 and Mexico - .48. In fact, the CIA considers a Gini above .40 as a predictor of civic unrest. Folks, while you have been watching, our country has become a Banana Republic. We are totally in thrall to the caudillos. Beware: we are on the cusp of the rise of fascism, that is, a subjectivist, nationalistic, authoritarian form of government based on violence powered by and for the benefit of a ruling business class. I 5 hope the turmoil in Wisconsin politics and the turn out on the streets there represents the start of the reawakening of the American public to the false premises of the destructive Mid-west and Southern Republicans. So what are the implications of all this? First a tidal wave of money has been flowing in the direction of the oligarchy that rules our country. THIS IS THE COALITION OF THE KILLING, THE DRILLING AND THE BILLING! With it they have bought our Congress and a succession of Presidents; “Citizens United” represents their purchase of the Supreme Court; in health care reform they bought a federal subsidy and resurrection of for profit insurance companies - leaving 53 million Americans uninsured now and 23 million uninsured after all the reforms are done; in Iraq and Afghanistan they are reaping profits from unnecessary privatized mercenary war; and they have buried climate change as an important issue. They throw us drunken and stoned Hollywood celebrities, the Super Bowl and March Madness in the media as diversionary substitutes for attention to meaningful issues. Reality and responsibility are no longer important to the Republican oligarchy – grabbing power and money is all that counts. Unfortunately these days the forces of progressive, liberal, humanitarian politics in America are disorganized and have no fire in their belly. Secondly, (and this will blow your mind) recent studies by English public health epidemiologists, and now confirmed by the CDC, have shown that among wealthy countries and among the our individual states many parameters of social and civic morbidity such as life expectancy, literacy, math skills, infant mortality, homicides, imprisonment, teenage births, obesity, mental illness, and trust INCREASE with increasing income inequality. (BUT NOT with increasing average income!) As a country we are now 50th in the world in life expectancy and 50th in the world in maternal mortality as well, yet we spend twice as much on health care per capita as the next closest country. In 2011 in the United States SOCIAL JUSTICE is no 6 longer a public policy for the poor and ethnic minorities, it must be a banner for us all because we are witnessing the destruction of the middle class and the dissolution of the public programs that support a healthy civic society – the courts, clean air and water, health care, and educational system and dependable police and firemen. In 2011 we will spend $171 billion on our Iraq and Afghan wars while we are choosing not to maintain our domestic education systems. Obama’s so called health reform legislation is premised on moving about 20 million uninsured Americans into the state based Medicaid system which is falling apart and accepting as a given that everyone who can afford to buy health insurance will continue to devote a minimum of 20 percent of their family income to that purpose. Finally I want to close with the parable of the Girl Scout cookies: Five people are sitting around a table: the CEO of a large bank, a Republican Senator, a Democratic Congressman, a school teacher from Wisconsin, and a Tea Party Republican. God comes into the room with 12 boxes of chocolate mint Girl Scout cookies which she places on the table. Everybody smiles and recognizes that they are truly blessed. The CEO leans over and whispers something into the ear of the Senator. The Senator stands up and spouts forth a loud and rambling pro-life, antihomosexual speech. The Congressman, seemingly bored, puts his head down on the table and goes to sleep. The CEO quietly leans over, scoops up 11 boxes and hides them under the table. He then turns to the Tea Party Republican and says “Hey that union gal wants to take all your cookies!” This is the state of our democracy today. We need to start now, starting today to understand the tragic circumstances of American politics and fire up a movement to restore social justice and civic pride in our country and with the pledge that we will take all our cookies back.