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BUSINESSDAY ECONOMIC SURVEY JANUARY 2016 QUESTIONS PLEASE RETURN BY FRIDAY JANUARY 8 NAME AND FIRM: ____________________________ A. ECONOMIC GROWTH 1. Australia real GDP growth, through the year to December 2016 (Clickable links: latest figure 2.3%) 2. ______ China real GDP growth, year to December 2016: (latest 6.9%) ______ 3. US real GDP growth, year to December 2016: (latest 2.17%) ______ World real GDP growth, year to December 2016: (IMF forecast: 3.1%) ______ 5. Forecast year to December 2016 growth in: a) Real household consumption (latest +2.7%) ______ b) Real business investment mining (latest minus 28.8%) ______ c) Real business investment non-mining (latest minus 5.1%) ______ d) Real dwelling investment (latest +10.3%) ______ e) Nominal GDP (latest +2.2%) ______ BusinessDay Economic Survey January 2016 Page 1 B. 6. PRICES AND WAGES Home price index, CoreLogic measure a) Sydney, year to December 2016 (latest year to 12.8%) b) Melbourne, year to December 2016 (latest year to11.8%) 7. ______ ______ Consumer Price and Wage Index, year to December 2016 a) Headline CPI (latest 1.5%) ______ b) Underlying CPI (latest 2.15%) ______ c) Wage price index, seasonally adjusted (latest 2.3%) ______ C. JOBS 8. Unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted (latest 5.8%) a) December 2016 D. BUDGET 9. Underlying cash deficit ______ a) 2015-16 (MYEFO forecast $37.4b) ______ b) 2016-17 (MYEFO forecast $33.7b) ______ E. INTEREST RATES 10. Reserve Bank cash rate (currently 2.0%) a) June 30, 2016 ______ b) December 31, 2016 ______ 10 year government bonds (currently 2.88%) a) December 31, 2016 BusinessDay Economic Survey January 2016 Page 2 ______ F. CURRENCY 11. G. a) USD/AUD June 30, 2016 ______ b) USD/AUD December 31, 2016 ______ SHARE MARKET 12. S&P/ASX 200 (latest 5028) H. a) June 30, 2016 ______ b) December 31, 2016 ______ TRADE 13. Spot iron ore price (currently $US39 a tonne) a) December 31, 2016 ______ 14. Terms of trade, national accounts measure % change, year to Dec 31, 2016 (latest minus 10.5%) ______ 15. Current account deficit, $ billion Total for calendar year 2016 (latest $63.9b) *****SUPPLEMENTARY QUESTIONS OVER THE PAGE ***** BusinessDay Economic Survey January 2016 Page 3 ______ *****SUPPLEMENTARY QUESTIONS***** We would like to canvass your thoughts on a number of issues. (Answers on a separate sheet please) 1. Will the Fed lift interest rates again in 2016 and why? How will it affect us? 2. Is the rout in commodities prices going to deepen or recover in the coming year and why? 3. What will be the worst-performing commodity? One word: 4. What’s going to happen to home prices over 2016 and 2017 and what impact will it have on the economy? 5. In this election year, will the budget purse strings be loosened or tightened, and why? BusinessDay Economic Survey January 2016 Page 4