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EUROPEAN COMMISSION PUBLIC CONSULTATION ON THE EUROPE 2020 STRATEGY Name: Giuseppe Astarita Contact details: Address: Federchimica Via G. da Procida 11 20149 Milano Italy Phone number: +39 02 34565357 E-mail: [email protected] Country of residence: Italy Language of your contribution: English Type of organisation: Member State Public authority X Registered organisation Registered company Individual citizen Non-registered organisation/company Other, please specify: Main area(s) covered by your contribution: Economic and financial affairs X Competitiveness X Industry Single market Employment Research, development and innovation 1 Digital economy Climate, energy and resource efficiency Education Poverty/social exclusion Other, please specify: Register ID number (if you/your organisation is registered in the Transparency register): 9931891670-73 Your reply: X can be published with your personal information can be published in an anonymous way cannot be published A) Background for the public consultation: The Europe 2020 strategy was launched in March 2010 as the EU's strategy for promoting smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. It aims to achieve a knowledge-based, competitive European economy while preserving the EU's social market economy model and improving resource efficiency. It was thus conceived as a partnership between the EU and its Member States driven by the promotion of growth and jobs. The Europe 2020 strategy is built around five headline targets in the areas of employment, research and development, climate and energy1, education and the fight against poverty and social exclusion. The strategy also set out a series of action programmes, called "flagship initiatives", in seven fields considered to be key drivers for growth, namely innovation, the digital economy, employment and youth, industrial policy, poverty and resource efficiency. The objectives of the strategy are also supported by action at EU level in areas such as the single market, the EU budget and the EU external agenda. The Europe 2020 strategy is implemented and monitored in the context of the European Semester, the yearly cycle of coordination of economic and budgetary policies at EU level. The European Semester involves discussion among EU institutions on broad priorities, annual commitments by the Member States and country-specific recommendations prepared by the Commission and endorsed at the highest level by leaders in the European Council. 1 In January 2014 the Commission launched a framework for energy and climate policies up to 2030. A reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 40% below the 1990 level, an EU-wide binding target for renewable energy of at least 27% and renewed ambitions for energy efficiency policies are among the main objectives of the new framework. 2 These recommendations should then be taken on board in the Member States' policies and budgets. As such, together with the EU budget, the country-specific recommendations are key instruments for the implementation of the Europe 2020 strategy. After four years, the Commission has proposed, and the European Council of 20-21 March 2014 has agreed, to initiate a review of the Europe 2020 strategy. On 5 March 2014, the Commission adopted a Communication "Taking stock of the Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth" (Communication and Annexes ). drawing preliminary lessons on the first years of implementation of the strategy. Building on these first outcomes and in a context of a gradual recovery of the European economies, it is time to reflect on the design of the strategy for the coming years. Through these questions, we are seeking your views on the lessons learned from the early years of the Europe 2020 strategy and on the elements to be taken into account in its further development, in order to build the post-crisis growth strategy of the EU. B) Questions: 1) Taking stock: the Europe 2020 strategy over 2010-2014 Content and implementation For you, what does the Europe 2020 strategy mean? What are the main elements that you associate with the strategy? If we are to take the Europe 2020 strategy at face value, and the Commission at its word, then, “Europe 2020 is the EU's growth strategy for the coming decade”. José Manuel Barroso (President of the European Commission) However, it does not set a clear growth target: and it does not set growth as a priority. It talks of smart growth, sustainable growth and inclusive growth. The above quotation from President Barroso continues, “In a changing world, we want the EU to become a smart, sustainable and inclusive economy. These three mutually reinforcing priorities should help the EU and the Member States deliver high levels of employment, productivity and social cohesion”. This passage serves to highlight the fact that the Europe 2020 priorities concern the adjectives (smart, sustainable and inclusive) and not the noun (growth). There is, at best, an assumption that this strategy will generate growth: and nothing to prevent measures taken under this strategy from inhibiting or undermining growth. The Europe 2020 strategy started as a rather theoretical plan for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth which was intended to result in EU's economic growth, competitiveness, while maintaining its social market economy model and improving its resource efficiency. Net results obtained till now, especially in terms of EU GDP growth and other growthoriented goals do not meet the initial expectations and aims of the Strategy. 3 Overall, do you think that the Europe 2020 strategy has made a difference? Please explain. The short-term priority of stabilising the economy after the financial crisis has been met, after some time and with a severe social impact, especially in the field of employment. The long term priority of delivering real growth and competitiveness for the EU economy has not been achieved. Overall, Europe 2020 strategy has yet to make a real difference in terms of growth! Furthermore, it is difficult to see as this difference can be made, until EU approach is based on the artificial increase of energy and carbon price, “to generate the resources for innovation and low carbon economy”. After the relative level of energy price has been acknowledged as a problem for EU competitiveness, no authoritative Commission member has dared to defend this principle explicitly, but nevertheless the strategy has not been changed. As we have already said, many of the current targets are not directed towards growth and in some cases they are being addressed through measures that actually inhibit growth. Thus the unilateral, unconditional 20:20:20 climate target, has led to costly inefficiencies and policy overlaps. More to the point, it has resulted in measures that (i) guarantee a high price for renewable energy (feed in tariffs) and (ii) measures such as the ETS that are designed to increase the price of fossil energy until it is even higher. The end result can only be high energy prices, which can only serve to inhibit industrial growth. Whether these targets have actually led to a reduction in global carbon emissions is debatable: but it is clear that economic growth will require policies that seek to achieve such reductions through innovating down the cost of renewable energy rather than pushing up the price of energy to support uncompetitive technologies. Has the knowledge of what other EU countries are doing in Europe 2020 areas impacted on the approach followed in your country? Please give examples. The European policy has pushed strong incentivation of (electricity) renewable sources (see Italy and Germany) with big cost increases, low attention to cost effectiveness and uneven costs distribution among consumers (German industry essentially exempted, Italian industry only partially exempted), with consequent distortion effects on intra-EU competitiveness Has there been sufficient involvement of stakeholders in the Europe 2020 strategy? Are you involved in the Europe 2020 strategy? Would you like to be more involved? If yes, how? The involvement of stakeholders in the Europe 2020 strategy needs to be substantially strengthened. Real economic growth will require substantial investment by the private sector in wealth generating, job creating businesses. The views of potential investors on how to make the EU a more attractive place in which to invest should be a key determinant of the strategy. Therefore the views of industry 4 stakeholders should be systematically taken into account, especially throughout the procedures of the impact assessment analysis at the earliest possible stage. Tools Do the current targets for 2020 respond to the strategy's objectives of fostering growth and jobs? [Targets: to have at least 75% of people aged 20-64 in employment; to invest 3% of GDP in research and development; to cut greenhouse gas emissions by at least 20%, increase the share of renewables to 20% and improve energy efficiency by 20%; to reduce school drop-out rates to below 10% and increase the share of young people with a third-level degree or diploma to at least 40%; to ensure at least 20 million fewer people are at risk of poverty or social exclusion]. Targets are not tools. Moreover, the targets do not measure growth. At best, some of these targets may be proxy measurements of economic growth. Others may be inimical to growth. Thus: Climate objectives that are to be met by measures that increase the overall cost of energy will reduce aggregate output in the economy. For example, the ETS constrains growth and gives perverse incentives to relocate manufacturing to outside Europe. Increasing the proportion of people aged 20-64 in employment from 68.4% (2013) to 75% would obviously require and result in more jobs: but that says nothing about the way in which this might be done. Equally, reducing the number of people exposed to poverty and social exclusion is a desirable objective and may result from economic growth: but it does not, in and of itself, produce economic growth. Similarly, reducing school drop-out rates and increasing the share of young people with a third level degree may be “good things”: but they do not in themselves create jobs (other than in educational establishments). Without an increase the availability of gainful employment the targets would result in better educated unemployment queues. These targets put the cart before the horse. They imply measures to increase employment or reduce poverty as a means of generating growth – rather than focusing on measures that lead to growth as a means of increasing employment and reducing poverty. Therefore, the selected targets do not directly respond to the strategy´s objectives of fostering growth and jobs and they lack the dimension of competitiveness, especially for the manufacturing base of Europe. Among current targets, do you consider that some are more important than others? Please explain. Looking at current performance, those targets that are the best proxies for economic growth and have a tangible social effect (increasing the proportion of the population in 5 work and reducing social exclusion) are not being met. Also, the target of 3% of GDP in research and development has not been met putting the innovation capacity of Europe in question. In contrast, we are being more successful in increasing the number of people in education and so reducing the number of people in employment or unemployed: and at meeting climate change objectives. These latter are important, but meeting them in the wrong way is likely to stifle rather than to promote growth and jobs. Do you find it useful that EU-level targets are broken down into national targets? If so, what is, in your view, the best way to set national targets? So far, have the national targets been set appropriately/too ambitiously/not ambitiously enough? We believe that EU targets should not be automatically translated in (binding) national targets. Policies could be implemented that take in proper account national specificities, and cost effectiveness. Targets too often reflect political aspirations without having any regard to practical feasibility. They are only as useful as the measures taken to achieve them. Insofar as important areas of policy (industrial policy, and energy policy) remain national competences the targets should be at national level and should take full account of the national specificities and the general principle of subsidiarity of European Union Law. However, if the purpose is to promote growth and jobs, the current targets are inappropriate (regardless of the level of ambition). To promote growth an energy policy should look to provide competitively priced energy not push up the price of energy to reduce carbon emissions: to promote investment an industrial policy should look to reduce policy costs and enhance speed to market. What has been the added value of the seven action programmes for growth? Do you have concrete examples of the impact of such programmes? ["Flagship initiatives": "Digital agenda for Europe", "Innovation Union", "Youth on the move", "Resource efficient Europe", "An industrial policy for the globalisation era", "Agenda for new skills and jobs", "European platform against poverty"]. Among the seven action programmes for growth the two flagships namely “Innovation Union” and the “An industrial policy for the globalization era” showed the potential benefits that a strong research and industrial base in Europe can have in terms of growth and job creation. This was demonstrated in practice by the fact that the Members States with the more innovative and competitive industries had were better able to cope with the financial crisis. Horizon 2020 (the financial instrument implementing the Innovation Union) and Key Enabling Technologies (KETs) in these two flagships are examples with high added value in terms of innovation and competitiveness capacity. That having been said, the impact of some action programmes in the real World has been well below expectations. Those with a chance of really promoting growth need to engage the active participation of economic actors so they can be scaled up to the point where they become economically significant. 2) Adapting the Europe 2020 strategy: the growth strategy for a post-crisis Europe 6 Content and implementation Does the EU need a comprehensive and overarching medium-term strategy for growth and jobs for the coming years? Since the Europe 2020 strategy is not fully delivering its initial targets, especially in terms of job creation and employment, research and development expenditures and poverty reduction, the EU definitely needs a renewed strategy for growth and jobs as soon as possible. What are the most important and relevant areas to be addressed in order to achieve smart, sustainable and inclusive growth? In order to achieve smart, sustainable and inclusive growth the most important and relevant areas to be addressed are: • The creation of a business friendly environment in Europe that reduces bureaucracy and unnecessary regulation, minimizes costs, attracts new investments, offers job positions, attracts highly skilled young people and promotes innovation. • The existing innovation gap between EU and its main competitors and the obstacles to the development of EU research into new marketable products and services. • The lack of well-educated, high quality workforce with appropriate skills, especially in the academic disciplines of science, technology, engineering, and mathematics. Such skills remain a key challenge to speed up the delivery of solutions to societal challenges and ensure its future competitiveness. • The decline of the share of manufacturing in GDP which has fallen from 15.4 % to 15.1 % in 2013 and the deterioration of the EU’s productivity performance in comparison to that of our competitors. • The risk of investment leakage and “carbon” leakage in which manufacturing activities are relocated outside Europe. Overall, the ultimate target should be clear and straightforward: Growth. This strategy should focus on the noun rather than the adjectives. What new challenges should be taken into account in the future? Europe is becoming a less productive economy – purchasing more and more of the goods it consumes from third countries. This model has been sustained by consumer borrowing against inflating asset (house) prices – that created in the past the illusion of economic growth. This model is unsustainable. The real challenge now is to innovate, to be competitive and create new wealth. Other emerging challenges which should be taken into account are: • Geopolitical changes and regional competitiveness and sustainable growth. • instabilities affecting European Societal changes and migration side-effects. 7 • Access to (renewable) raw materials and energy sources at affordable and competitive prices. How could the strategy best be linked to other EU policies? The renewed EU2020 strategy should be the primary focus of EU policy and all other EU policies should mainstream within this general framework. Mainstreaming should involve the EU Institutions and the Member States, within the framework of a new flexible structure: such that the European Semester in the Council, the existing “Parliamentary weeks” and the “economic dialogues” in the European Parliament, and the Commission’s Annual Growth Survey, are all geared to delivering on this overarching policy objective. A key element of this approach should be to ensure that all policy measures are delivered at the lowest possible compliance costs. To achieve this, the strategy should adopt a target of meeting agreed policy objectives while, at the same time, reducing compliance costs by, say, 20%: and impact assessments should be geared to identifying measures that meet this target. What would improve stakeholder involvement in a post-crisis growth strategy for Europe? What could be done to increase awareness, support and better implementation of this strategy in your country? Stakeholders should be encouraged to participate in consultation procedures concerning both the preparation and the implementation stages of the post crisis growth strategy, at the earliest possible stage. Stakeholders’ opinions should be taken into account according to their size and their real effect to the economy and the society. Tools What type of instruments do you think would be more appropriate to use to achieve smart, sustainable and inclusive growth? Economically sustainable growth can only result from increased investment in wealth generating activities. The private sector invests when it sees a reasonable prospect of a return on that investment: and, therefore, policy instruments should be directed towards increasing the likelihood of such a return. To do this they should focus on creating a business friendly regulatory environment, reducing industry’s costs, and enabling the innovation process while building public confidence in and acceptance of innovation. Other instruments might be directed towards reducing the cost, and therefore the risk, of an investment in the real economy: for example, innovative financial instruments and incentives to increase the access to finance for enterprises and industry producing goods and service. What would best be done at EU level to ensure that the strategy delivers results? What would best be done at Member State level? 8 EU should have the responsibility for the planning, the coordination and the monitoring of the EU2020 Strategy while Member States should have to implement and deliver results at national level for the benefit of the society and the real economy. How can the strategy encourage Member States to put a stronger policy focus on growth? Member states could be encouraged to put a stronger policy focus on growth by systematically mainstreaming competitiveness concerns across all national policy areas and through the entire legislation procedure, especially throughout the impact assessment stage. Are targets useful? Please explain. Targets are no substitute for policies that deliver results. If a target is intended to define the desired outcome then it should reflect the purpose (ie growth) and the policies should be directed towards that end. Economic growth in general and competitiveness in particular, will not result from measures that increase rather than reduce costs. Any targets should therefore include a stipulation that they should be achieved through measures that enhance competitiveness and reduce cost. Would you recommend adding or removing certain targets, or the targets in general? Please explain. As stated above the current targets, notably the targets for the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, renewable energy and energy efficiency are not directed towards securing economic growth and achieving them will not deliver economic growth. Indeed, the current measures to achieve these climate targets are inhibiting growth. To include these targets in the “EU’s growth strategy” is a misnomer: and they should be removed. Actually, as they encourage the shift from direct to indirect emissions, they at least have a negative impact on industrial growth. Instead there should be one single target of at least 4% real EU GDP growth should be inserted. In order this target to be achieved, a new set of 20-20-20 “growth” oriented indicators, namely: 1) 20% reduction of EU regulation costs, 2) 20% increase of industrial investments and 3) 20% contribution of industry to EU GDP should be also adopted. What are the most fruitful areas for joint EU-Member State action? What would be the added value? Joint EU-Member State action should be taken especially at regional level for the development of smart specialization strategies, the deployment of key enabling technologies, the support of extroversion and the promotion of sustainable growth. A combination of voluntary initiatives and policy frameworks should be explored further. 9 3) Do you have any other comment or suggestion on the Europe 2020 strategy that you would like to share? Thank you for completing the questionnaire. Please send your contribution, along with any other documents, to [email protected]. 10