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Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach 7th Edition Chapter 3 Describing Data Using Numerical Measures Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-1 Review A frequency histogram is an effective way of converting quantitative data into useful and meaningful information. Visual indication of where data are centered How much spread there is in the data around the center Relative Frequency: when number of total observations of more than two surveys are differ. Simply change frequency to relative frequency (%) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 2-2 Review Grouped Data Frequency Distributions Continuous or discrete data: large number of possible values are spread over a large rage 1. Determine the number of classes or groups 2. Establish class width 3. Determine boundaries Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 2-3 Chapter Goals After completing this chapter, you should be able to: Compute and interpret the mean, median, and mode for a set of data Compute the range, variance, and standard deviation and know what these values mean Construct and interpret a box and whisker graph Compute and explain the coefficient of variation and z scores Use numerical measures along with graphs, charts, and tables to describe data Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-4 Chapter Topics Measures of Center and Location Other measures of Location Weighted mean, percentiles, quartiles Measures of Variation Mean, median, mode Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation Using the mean and standard deviation together Coefficient of variation, z-scores Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-5 Summary Measures Describing Data Numerically Center and Location Other Measures of Location Mean Median Mode Variation Range Percentiles Interquartile Range Quartiles Weighted Mean Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-6 Measures of Center and Location Overview Center and Location Mean Median Mode Weighted Mean n x x i1 i XW n i1 i i i N x wx w wx w i N Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. W i i i Chap 3-7 Mean (Arithmetic Average) The Mean is the arithmetic average of data values Population mean N = Population Size N x x1 x 2 xN N N i1 i Sample mean n = Sample Size n x x i1 i n Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. x1 x 2 x n n Chap 3-8 Mean (Arithmetic Average) (continued) The most common measure of central tendency Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values Affected by extreme values (outliers) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 3 1 2 3 4 5 15 3 5 5 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 4 1 2 3 4 10 20 4 5 5 Chap 3-9 Median In an ordered array, the median is the “middle” number, i.e., the number that splits the distribution in half The median is not affected by extreme values Useful when data are highly skewed 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median = 3 Median = 3 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-10 Median Example (continued) Data array: 4, 4, 5, 5, 9, 11, 12, 14, 16, 19, 22, 23, 24 Sort the data (array data), note that n = 13 Find the i = (1/2)n position: i = (1/2)(13) = 6.5 Since 6.5 is not an integer, round up to 7 The median is the value in the 7th position: Md = 12 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-11 Shape of a Distribution Describes how data is distributed Symmetric or skewed Left-Skewed Symmetric Right-Skewed Mean < Median Mean = Median Median < Mean (Longer tail extends to left) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. (Longer tail extends to right) Chap 3-12 Mode The value that is repeated most often Another measure of central location Not affected by extreme values Used for either numerical or categorical data There may be no mode There may be several modes 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mode = 5 No Mode Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-13 Weighted Mean Used when values are grouped by frequency or relative importance (GPA) Example: Sample of 26 Repair Projects Days to Complete Frequency 5 4 6 12 7 8 8 2 Weighted Mean Days to Complete: XW w x w Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. i i (4 5) (12 6) (8 7) (2 8) 4 12 8 2 164 6.31 days 26 i Chap 3-14 Review Example Five houses on a hill by the beach $2,000 K House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 $500 K $300 K $100 K $100 K Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-15 Summary Statistics House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Mean: Median: middle value of ranked data = $300,000 Mode: most frequent value = $100,000 Sum 3,000,000 ($3,000,000/5) = $600,000 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-16 Which measure of location is the “best”? Mean is generally used, unless extreme values (outliers) exist Then Median is often used, since the median is not sensitive to extreme values. Example: Realtors say “Median Home Prices”….not average – less sensitive to outliers Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-17 Other Location Measures Other Measures of Location Percentiles The pth percentile in a data array: p% are less than or equal to this value (100 – p)% are greater than or equal to this value (where 0 ≤ p ≤ 100) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Quartiles 1st quartile = 25th percentile 2nd quartile = 50th percentile = median 3rd quartile = 75th percentile Chap 3-18 Percentiles The pth percentile in an ordered array of n values is the value in ith position, where p i (n) 100 If i is not an integer, round up to the next higher integer value Example: Find the 60th percentile in an ordered array of 19 values. p 60 i (n) (19) 11.4 100 100 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. So use value in the i = 12th position Chap 3-19 Quartiles Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 equal groups: 25% 25% Q1 Q2 25% 25% Q3 Note that the second quartile (the 50th percentile) is the median Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-20 Quartiles Example: Find the first quartile Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22 (n = 9) Q1 = 25th percentile, so find i : 25 i = 100 (9) = 2.25 so round up and use the value in the 3rd position: Q1 = 13 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-21 Box and Whisker Plot A box-and-whisker plot (often simply called a box plot) is a graphical way of showing data. It is useful for quickly finding outliers - data points out of line with the rest of the data set. Example: 25% 25% 25% 25% * * Outliers Lower Limit 1st Quartile Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Median 3rd Quartile Upper Limit Chap 3-22 Shape of Box and Whisker Plots The Box and central line are centered between the endpoints if data is symmetric around the median (A Box and Whisker plot can be shown in either vertical or horizontal format) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-23 Distribution Shape and Box and Whisker Plot Left-Skewed Q1 Q2 Q3 Symmetric Q1 Q2 Q3 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Right-Skewed Q1 Q2 Q3 Chap 3-24 Constructing the Box and Whisker Plot See the additional note for quartiles on the class website * * Outliers Lower Limit 1st Quartile The lower limit is Q1 – 1.5 (Q3 – Q1) Median 3rd Quartile Upper Limit The upper limit is Q3 + 1.5 (Q3 – Q1) The center box extends from Q1 to Q3 The line within the box is the median The whiskers extend to the smallest and largest values within the calculated limits Outliers are plotted outside the calculated limits Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-25 Box-and-Whisker Plot Example Try this using the online tool on the class website Below is a Box-and-Whisker plot for the following data: Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Max 0 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 11 27 * 0 2 3 6 12 Upper limit = Q3 + 1.5 (Q3 – Q1) = 6 + 1.5 (6 – 2) = 12 27 27 is above the upper limit so is shown as an outlier This data is right skewed, as the plot depicts Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-26 Measures of Variation Variation Range Interquartile Range Variance Standard Deviation Population Variance Population Standard Deviation Sample Variance Sample Standard Deviation Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Coefficient of Variation Chap 3-27 Variation Measures of variation give information on the spread or variability of the data values. Same center, different variation Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-28 Range Simplest measure of variation Difference between the largest and the smallest observations: Range = xmaximum – xminimum Example: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Range = 14 - 1 = 13 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-29 Disadvantages of the Range Ignores the way in which data are distributed 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 Sensitive to outliers 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5 Range = 5 - 1 = 4 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120 Range = 120 - 1 = 119 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-30 Interquartile Range Can eliminate some outlier problems by using the interquartile range Eliminate some high-and low-valued observations and calculate the range from the remaining values. Interquartile range = 3rd quartile – 1st quartile Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-31 Interquartile Range Example Example: X minimum Q1 25% 12 Median (Q2) 25% 30 25% 45 X Q3 maximum 25% 57 70 Interquartile range = 57 – 30 = 27 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-32 Variance Average of squared deviations of values from the mean Population variance: N σ 2 i1 N n Sample variance: s 2 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. 2 (x μ) i 2 (x x ) i i1 n -1 Chap 3-33 Standard Deviation Most commonly used measure of variation Shows variation about the mean Has the same units as the original data N Population standard deviation: σ Sample standard deviation: i1 N n s Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. 2 (x μ) i 2 (x x ) i i1 n -1 Chap 3-34 Calculation Example: Sample Standard Deviation Sample Data (Xi) : 10 12 n=8 s 14 15 17 18 18 24 Mean = x = 16 (10 x ) 2 (12 x ) 2 (14 x ) 2 (24 x ) 2 n 1 (10 16) 2 (12 16) 2 (14 16) 2 (24 16) 2 8 1 130 7 4.3095 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-35 Comparing Standard Deviations Same mean, but different standard deviations: Data A 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Mean = 15.5 s = 3.338 20 21 Mean = 15.5 s = .9258 20 21 Mean = 15.5 s = 4.57 Data B 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Data C 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. 19 Chap 3-36 Coefficient of Variation Measures relative variation Always in percentage (%) Shows variation relative to mean Is used to compare two or more sets of data measured in different units Population σ CV μ 100% Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Sample s 100% CV x Chap 3-37 Comparing Coefficients of Variation Stock A: Average price last year = $50 Standard deviation = $5 s CVA x Stock B: $5 100% 100% 10% $50 Average price last year = $100 Standard deviation = $5 s CVB x $5 100% 100% 5% $100 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Both stocks have the same standard deviation, but stock B is less variable relative to its price Chap 3-38 The Empirical Rule If the data distribution is bell-shaped, then the interval: μ 1σ contains about 68% of the values in the population or the sample 68% μ μ 1σ Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-39 The Empirical Rule μ 2σ contains about 95% of the values in the population or the sample μ 3σ contains about 99.7% of the values in the population or the sample 95% 99.7% μ 2σ μ 3σ Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-40 Tchebysheff’s Theorem Regardless of how the data are distributed, at least (1 - 1/k2) of the values will fall within k standard deviations of the mean Examples: At least within (1 - 1/12) = 0% ……..... k=1 (μ ± 1σ) (1 - 1/22) = 75% …........ k=2 (μ ± 2σ) (1 - 1/32) = 89% ………. k=3 (μ ± 3σ) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-41 Standardized Data Values A standardized data value refers to the number of standard deviations a value is from the mean Standardized data values are sometimes referred to as z-scores Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-42 Standardized Population Values x μ z σ where: x = original data value μ = population mean σ = population standard deviation z = standard score (number of standard deviations x is from μ) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-43 Standardized Sample Values xx z s where: x = original data value x = sample mean s = sample standard deviation z = standard score (number of standard deviations x is from μ) Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-44 Standardized Value Example IQ scores in a large population have a bellshaped distribution with mean μ = 100 and standard deviation σ = 15 Find the standardized score (z-score) for a person with an IQ of 121. Answer: x μ 121 100 z 1.4 σ 15 Someone with an IQ of 121 is 1.4 standard deviations above the mean Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-45 Using Microsoft Excel Descriptive Statistics are easy to obtain from Microsoft Excel Use menu choice: Data / data analysis / descriptive statistics Enter details in dialog box Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-46 Using Excel Select: Data / data analysis / descriptive statistics Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-47 Using Excel (continued) Enter dialog box details Check box for summary statistics Click OK Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-48 Excel output Microsoft Excel descriptive statistics output, using the house price data: House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-49 Chapter Summary Described measures of center and location Mean, median, mode, weighted mean Discussed percentiles and quartiles Created Box and Whisker Plots Illustrated distribution shapes Symmetric, skewed Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-50 Chapter Summary (continued) Described measure of variation Range, interquartile range, variance, standard deviation, coefficient of variation Discussed Tchebysheff’s Theorem Calculated standardized data values Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-51 Measures of Variation Variation Range Interquartile Range Variance Standard Deviation Population Variance Population Standard Deviation Sample Variance Sample Standard Deviation Business Statistics: A Decision-Making Approach, 7e © 2008 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Coefficient of Variation Chap 3-52