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Lecture #21 10 Things I Hope You Will Take from this Course (And Use in Your Life in Politics) I. Organize! Bitching about politics with your friends, and even voting, won't change much. The American political system is heavily pluralist, so to get anything done in American politics you must be part of a group. And to make that group really effective, it must engage people. If you can get people to actively participate you can do amazing things in American politics. II. Lead by Persuasion, not Command Separation of powers, bicameralism and federalism mean that persuasion is particularly important in American government. American politicians have to be incredibly skilled at bargaining and persuasion to be effective, as we saw in the case of Lyndon Baynes Johnson, the master persuader. (Even judges have to worry about persuading others.) But to lead in any position, in government or out, it is usually preferable to persuade rather than command. III. Don't Give Up Hope, Politics Can Change Fast Who would have thought, in 1950, half a decade after Reconstruction had fizzled, that by 1968 African-Americans would have won full legal equality in the United States? Who would have thought twenty years ago that Americans would be seriously considering gay marriage? Who would have thought in 1992 that Republicans would control all three branches by 2001? (Or that Arnold Schwarzenneger would be governor of California?) Politics is much more fluid than it sometimes appears. IV. But Don't "Spit Into the Wind"--Pay Attention to Institutions Politics is fluid but the institutions--the rules--aren't. I've spent a lot of time in the course talking about the basic institutions of American government (separation of powers, federalism, bicameralism, for example) because are very likely to shape American politics for many years to come. The institutions of any political system make some strategies effective and others stupid. (Institutions create incentives, remember?) In the United States spending a lot of energy creating a third party in the hopes of winning a lot of elections is a long-shot, or just plain dumb, because of Duverger's Law. (First-past-the-post elections lead to two party systems.) Trying to improve primary and secondary education at the national level is also likely a dumb move because American federalism puts most of the power over this area in states and localities. Before you "make a move" think about the incentives created by American institutions. V. Think About Ways to Combat Excessive Individualism Some of my fellow social scientists, like Everett Ladd, are skeptical of claims of declining social capital and growing individualism in American life. They argue that new forms of association and social capital are replacing older forms, like the PTA (parent-teacher association). Perhaps they're right, but I'm inclined to believe that social capital is not simply changing forms but is diminishing, and that Tocqueville's worries about the dangers of excessive individualism ring true today. Whether I'm right or not, you should always aim to be a social capital builder. Indeed, because of your education, skills, and consequent privileged position in society, one might argue that you have an obligation to be a social capital builder. Look particularly for ways to bring diverse people together, to create "bridging" social capital. It need not be through an avowedly political group; Tocqueville argued that even non-political associations have important political effects. VI. Be Skeptical, But Not Scornful, of "Public Opinion" I've tried to suggest some major problems with polls and "public policy by public opinion" in this course. That's because I think American political culture unthinkingly accepts the plebiscitary vision of democracy as the only true vision--indeed I'll bet most of you still think the true test of democracy is whether public policies are approved by a majority of the citizenry. When we see that many Americans can't name the vice-president, or locate Iraq on a map, we're tempted to scorn all expressions of public opinion. Sometimes among political scientists skepticism about public opinion degenerates into a kind of contempt for the people--their ignorance about politics, their seemingly blind support for leaders (or alternatively, simple-minded cynicism) and their lack of sophistication about public policy. I hope you do not leave the course with that attitude. Rather, I hope you see that American political institutions, especially our intermediary institutions, together with the scale and complexity of American politics, make it hard to see what role individual Americans should have in public policy formation. It's not that Americans are dumb, it's just, as Lippman said, they are hard-pressed to play the role that classical or plebiscitary democracy suggests for them. Polling, focus groups and other techniques of gathering public opinion should not be ignored, or scorned, but their findings should be critically analyzed and weighed against other considerations. VII. Be a Critical Consumer of the News Media Patterson's book provides a good primer on how to consume the news. The media do now simply reflect the reality of American politics; they filter that reality in fairly predictable ways. Politics is not simply about winning, and politicians aren't constantly fighting, but when they do fight and when they worry most visibly about winning the media will be sure to cover them. Fortunately there are an array of methods by which you can get a fuller, more meaningful understanding of politics and public policy. The internet, elite public policy magazines, even C-Span fills in some of the gaps. Of course the best way to understand politics is through direct participation. VIII. Pick a Party--And Don't Give Up on Parties It's tempting to dismiss the two-party system as a hopeless muddle. How can two parties possibly reflect the range of views of a very diverse nation? As I think I've shown you, there are very legitimate concerns about the weaknesses of the two-party system, but unless we enact fundamental and wide-ranging election reforms we are likely stuck with two parties. I agree with McWilliams that parties are just about the only mechanism capable of connecting (or reconnecting) the "two tiers." Remember also that American parties are highly permeable. They are no longer controlled by longstanding "party bosses." If you organize and get others to follow you can gain power in state parties, so I would argue that for most purposes it makes much more sense in the United States to work within the party system than to work outside it, or (worse yet) to spend energy on a third party. IX. Scale is Important--and Small-Scale Politics May be Most Rewarding If democracy is rule by the people, than democracy seems much harder as scale increases. Classical democracy becomes impossible, and the other three visions--pluralism, plebescite and trusteeship--become very difficult as scale increases. In our course this point was first noted by Centinel, but it's been a consistent theme ever since. We rely on the news media to tell us what is going on in our democracy, but arguably the media aren't up to the task (Patterson). We "should" be keeping up on all the details of the legislation but there's just not enough time (Lippman on the Phantom Public). Polling seems to be a way to aggregate public opinion economically in a large nation--until you realize all the problems with polls, especially "nonattitudes." We grow distrustful of public officials because we simply can't follow what they're doing (McWilliams), and though we all belong to interest groups, we hate "special interests." If politics was organized at the face-to-face level, most of these problems would disappear. As politics becomes "global" and ever more complex, these problems are exacerbated. I see no easy solution. But I would exhort you to consider spending the bulk of your energy in politics at the local and state levels, where arguably you can do the most good. Students often choose the glamor of national and international politics over the workaday world of the local. But the local and state levels do a lot of governing in the United States, and you can rise very quickly to prominence and influence at these levels. If you're most worried about education, crime, welfare, health--all the core functions of governance except security--try working at the small scale. X. Politics is Good!