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The Great Recession vs. the Great Depression
The Great Recession vs. the Great Depression

... of a larger number of crises in different countries on GDP, the stock market, unemployment etc. (e.g., Reinhart and Rogoff 2009) or analyze how the length and depth of the crises depend on certain structural characteristics, inter alia whether there had been a housing or financial crisis at the star ...
Greece: Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis
Greece: Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis

... The much deeper-than-expected recession necessitated significant debt relief in 2011-12 to maintain the prospect of restoring sustainability. Private creditors accepted large haircuts (concerns about contagion had largely subsided by then with the creation of a firewall); European partners provided ...
Chapter 6 Long-run aspects of fiscal policy and
Chapter 6 Long-run aspects of fiscal policy and

... We immediately see that this accounting deviates from “normal” principles. Business companies typically have sharply separated capital and operating budgets. In contrast, the budget de…cit de…ned above treats that part of G which represents government net investment as parallel to government consump ...
ePub Institutional Repository
ePub Institutional Repository

... of a larger number of crises in different countries on GDP, the stock market, unemployment etc. (e.g., Reinhart and Rogoff 2009) or analyze how the length and depth of the crises depend on certain structural characteristics, inter alia whether there had been a housing or financial crisis at the star ...
Document
Document

... addition, revisions to the legislative framework further reinforced the corporate restructuring capacity of the Bank Asset Management Company. Thus, overall, some progress was made on this recommendation. Some progress was made on modernising public administration, reducing administrative burden and ...
Sovereign GDP-Linked Bonds: Design, Investor Response and
Sovereign GDP-Linked Bonds: Design, Investor Response and

... currency to satisfy the preferences of those investors involved. Even when GDP warrants have been issued in exchanges they have typically promised to pay out in foreign currency even though they have been indexed to GDP in local currency. Design choice. The GDP-linked bond in The London Term Sheet i ...
Economic Survey Spring 2015
Economic Survey Spring 2015

... unemployment rate will edge up to 8.8% this year. The number of employed persons will rise somewhat, but that is mostly explained by the increased availability of work for older age groups. The development of labour productivity will remain subdued. Inflation will come in at just 0.3%, and much of t ...
Long-term Government Bond Yields
Long-term Government Bond Yields

... primary deficit-to-GDP rises. In other words, an unhealthy fiscal deficit and a growing public debt are both accelerating faster in relation to the corresponding amounts. However, going back to Gruber W & Kamin B (2010), who found that such acceleration effect should be more present during turbulent ...
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... The UK economy has performed well in recent years, but it faces important challenges and risks. Economic growth has consistently been near the top among major advanced economies, the employment rate has risen to a record high, the fiscal deficit has been reduced, and major financial sector reforms h ...
Fiscal Balance Program 2020
Fiscal Balance Program 2020

... As one of the Executive Programs announced in the Vision, the Fiscal Balance Program will be a key component in developing a more effective government, by providing intense scrutiny of government finances and acting as a spur to increased efficiency. Beyond fiscal balance and government performance, ...
The Puzzle of Persistently Negative Interest Rate
The Puzzle of Persistently Negative Interest Rate

... domestic financial markets, the real interest rate would reflect the domestic marginal product of capital—which should be higher than in advanced economies. Higher marginal product of investment is indeed what makes these economies grow faster.8 Open economies may have lower real interest rates than ...
France: 2016 Article IV Consultation
France: 2016 Article IV Consultation

... subdued medium term growth outlook, Directors encouraged the authorities to pursue reforms to rebuild fiscal buffers, revive job creation, and strengthen competitiveness and productivity growth. Directors supported the government’s expenditure based fiscal consolidation strategy, which aims to secur ...
Chapter 6 Long-run aspects of fiscal policy and
Chapter 6 Long-run aspects of fiscal policy and

... We immediately see that this budget accounting deviates from “regular”budgeting principles. Private companies, for instance, typically have separate capital and operating budgets. In contrast, the budget de…cit de…ned above treats that part of G which represents government net investment parallel to ...
1 The effect of illicit financial flows on time to reach the fourth
1 The effect of illicit financial flows on time to reach the fourth

... government revenue available to provide social goods such as healthcare, education, water and sanitation. This latter pathway may be modified either positively or negatively by factors such control of corruption and the effectiveness of a government. The degree of corruption in a government also inf ...
Options for China in a Dollar Standard World
Options for China in a Dollar Standard World

... nonmarket approaches including credit constraints) while focusing policy on inflation targets would be consistent with such reform. Finally, some commentators have recently raised the issue of fragile finances within China. Growth of the shadow banking system as well as relatively rapid growth of in ...
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT IN POST YUGOSLAV
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT IN POST YUGOSLAV

... countries with unsustainable economic and social differences among its federal units. In last twenty years, after proclamation of independence the economic and social differences among Post Yugoslav countries increased even further, partly due to different impact of military activities and partly du ...
Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government
Fiscal Vulnerabilities and Risks from Local Government

... financial entities, such as state-owned banks, asset management companies, and the central bank. Deriving consolidated debt of the wider (financial and nonfinancial) public sector is tricky, as it involves netting out public debt held by other parts of the public sector. That is, state-owned bank cr ...
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NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES SOME ESTIMATES FOR OECD COUNTRIES

... We examine the effects of Þscal policy on interest rates in a broad panel of 16 OECD countries covering a maximum time span from 1960 to 2002. The results indicate statistically and economically signiÞcant effects of Þscal imbalances on long-term interest rates. In our preferred speciÞcation, a one pe ...
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, 18.3.2015 SWD(2015) 36 final
EUROPEAN COMMISSION Brussels, 18.3.2015 SWD(2015) 36 final

... their unwinding. The main findings of the InDepth Review contained in this Country Report are:  Despite the rapid improvements in recent years, external indebtedness continues to be at unsafe levels. Rebalancing of the economy has been on-going since the crisis, driven by sustained current and capi ...
Germany
Germany

... A recovery is under way, led by domestic demand. Real GDP has been rising since the second quarter of 2013, and for the year as a whole growth was 0.5 percent (Figure 1), versus a 0.8 percent contraction in the rest of the euro area. Growth in the first quarter of 2014 was particularly strong (0.8 p ...
Austerity is not the solution! - Foundation for European Progressive
Austerity is not the solution! - Foundation for European Progressive

... saving, G is public expenditure, T is taxes, X is exports and M imports. If Greece must refund its private debt, that means that S must be higher than I. This implies that (S - I) = (X - M) - (T - G) is positive, which is already problematic given the low level of savings in some countries, which in ...
Executive summary
Executive summary

... of cash registers for doctors and other free professions. Savings on the expenditure side are envisaged to stem from the ongoing reform of the state administration – ESO. The constitutional debt brake which was triggered by the public debt ratio exceeding 55% of GDP in 2013 is expected to yield addi ...
http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/pdf/csr2014/swd2014_slovakia_en.pdf
http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/pdf/csr2014/swd2014_slovakia_en.pdf

... of cash registers for doctors and other free professions. Savings on the expenditure side are envisaged to stem from the ongoing reform of the state administration – ESO. The constitutional debt brake which was triggered by the public debt ratio exceeding 55% of GDP in 2013 is expected to yield addi ...
Barbados Executive Briefing - Global Banking and Markets
Barbados Executive Briefing - Global Banking and Markets

... “B” (“negative” outlook) and “Caa1” (“stable” outlook), respectively. S&P assesses that there is the potential for a rating downgrade if fiscal slippage prevents planned deficit reduction, tourism investment fails to materialize and boost growth, or there is a renewed deterioration in the sizeable c ...
Financing US Debt: Is There Enough Money in the World and at
Financing US Debt: Is There Enough Money in the World and at

... Questions about the sustainability of the US current account and the outlook for US international debt have received growing interest in recent years; the recent experience with and outlook for higher US budget deficits and debt have raised further questions regarding the international implications. ...
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Austerity

In economics, austerity is a set of policies with the aim of reducing government budget deficits. Austerity policies may include spending cuts, tax increases, or a mixture of both. Austerity may be undertaken to demonstrate the government's fiscal discipline to their creditors and credit rating agencies by bringing revenues closer to expenditures.In most macroeconomic models, austerity policies generally increase unemployment in the short run, as government spending falls reducing jobs in the public or private sector or both, while tax increases reduce household disposable income and thus consumption. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office illustrated this when comparing unemployment under alternative fiscal scenarios.Unemployment increases safety net spending and further reduces tax revenues, partially offsetting the austerity measures. Government spending contributes to gross domestic product (GDP), so reducing spending may result in a higher debt-to-GDP ratio, a key measure of the debt burden carried by a country and its citizens. Higher short-term deficit spending (stimulus) contributes to GDP growth particularly when consumers and businesses are unwilling or unable to spend. This is because crowding out (i.e., rising interest rates as government bids against business for a finite amount of savings, slowing the economy) is less of a factor in a downturn, as there may be a surplus of savings.In the aftermath of the Great Recession, austerity results in Europe have been as predicted by macroeconomics, with unemployment rising to record levels and debt-to-GDP ratios rising, despite reductions in budget deficits relative to GDP. Eurostat reported that unemployment in the 17 Euro area countries (EA17) reached record levels in March 2013, at 12.1%, up from 11.0% in March 2012 and 10.3% in March 2011; and that the overall debt-to-GDP ratio for the EA17 was 70.1% in 2008, 80.0% in 2009, 85.4% in 2010, 87.3% in 2011, and 90.6% in 2012. Further, real GDP in the EA17 declined for six straight quarters from Q4 2011 to Q1 2013. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office estimated in August 2012 that if the U.S. implemented moderate austerity measures, the unemployment rate would rise by over 1% and economic growth would be significantly reduced in 2013. The U.S. partially avoided the ""fiscal cliff"" through the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. U.S. unemployment has fallen steadily from a peak of 10% in early 2010 to 5.3% by July 2015.
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