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Regional markets outperform on expectations for further ECB easing
Regional markets outperform on expectations for further ECB easing

... to a new 7 ½ year low of 5.0% in the unemployment rate. The FOMC October 27/28 meeting minutes did little to alter expectations for an FOMC rate hike at the next policy meeting on December 15-16, with the majority of policy members assessing that downside risks from the world economy and global fina ...
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... Over the past few years, the nature of the policy challenge posed by East Asia’s external surplus has changed. The region’s surpluses are no longer maintained primarily through intervention in the foreign exchange market, with the result that moving toward floating currencies is no longer a sufficie ...
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adjusted growth strategy: japan - Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan

... central government amounted to 96.3 trillion yen. This budget aimed at achieving both economic revitalization and fiscal consolidation. Specifically, it put special emphasis on vitalizing local economies, where the benefits of Abenomics were not necessarily spread out. The budget also focuses on the ...
The future of the euro
The future of the euro

... overall increase in intra-EMU trade volume of €600 billion since 1999. The rest is likely to have come from the further development of the EU’s single market, more intense globalisation, and strong growth in the wake of the EU’s enlargement to Eastern Europe. Intra-EMU trade increased in particular ...
FRBSF E L CONOMIC ETTER
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... When domestic firms increase their investment, they seek to borrow to finance it. If the increase in desired borrowing could be supplied from domestic saving, then the current account would be unchanged. However, domestic saving itself is likely to be depressed by the labor productivity acceleration ...
DISCUSSION PAPER NO 1 TEXTO PARA DISCUSSÃO NO 1
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... (Minsky 1986, 1989). One can add to this analysis Godley’s three balances approach, which explores the interlinkages between the government sector, the private sector, and the external sector. This means that a surplus must be matched by an equal deficit and flows accumulate to stocks. In this regar ...
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... – until 2007 - rising deficit of the rest of the world (vis-à-vis Germany) facilitated fiscal consolidation in Germany (figure 2). The opposite was the case in most other euro countries due to their current account deficit rising significantly between 2003 and 2008.Figure 2 also shows that the non-f ...
Defying Gravity: Can Japanese sovereign debt continue to increase
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... of Japan. Many international financial institutions, credit rating agencies, and private-sector analysts agree over this assessment. Yet, the JGB interest rate has been low and stable. The 10-year JGB rate has been below 2% since 1999, and between 0.8% and 1.5% in the last few years. The rate is muc ...
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... share of GDP. Because the U.S. federal budget was close to balance before the crisis, (the federal deficit was only 1.3 percent of gdp in 2007) this strategy would mitigate the size of any tax rate increase. Hence, relative to the current policy baseline, long-run tax rates would be lower under this ...
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... outlays (mainly on Medicare and Medicaid) are projected to rise from 5.6% today to as much as 10.3% of GDP in 2035. These increases in spending are not expected to subside after the baby boomers have passed away. Without any corresponding rise in revenues, this spending path would maintain unsustain ...
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... It is only in countries with solid public finances (essentially Germany and some of its neighbours) that public debt remains public debt in the sense in which the term is usually used. What is thus happening in the euro area is the age-old process whereby creditors put pressure upon governments to s ...
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The Kingdom of Spain`s Funding Programme for 2016

...  Balanced economic growth underpinned by far-reaching structural reforms; joint private and public deleveraging compatible with investment & consumption growth: • More than 42% of employment generated in the Euro Area since 2014 created in Spain; reduction of structural unemployment supports consum ...
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Austerity

In economics, austerity is a set of policies with the aim of reducing government budget deficits. Austerity policies may include spending cuts, tax increases, or a mixture of both. Austerity may be undertaken to demonstrate the government's fiscal discipline to their creditors and credit rating agencies by bringing revenues closer to expenditures.In most macroeconomic models, austerity policies generally increase unemployment in the short run, as government spending falls reducing jobs in the public or private sector or both, while tax increases reduce household disposable income and thus consumption. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office illustrated this when comparing unemployment under alternative fiscal scenarios.Unemployment increases safety net spending and further reduces tax revenues, partially offsetting the austerity measures. Government spending contributes to gross domestic product (GDP), so reducing spending may result in a higher debt-to-GDP ratio, a key measure of the debt burden carried by a country and its citizens. Higher short-term deficit spending (stimulus) contributes to GDP growth particularly when consumers and businesses are unwilling or unable to spend. This is because crowding out (i.e., rising interest rates as government bids against business for a finite amount of savings, slowing the economy) is less of a factor in a downturn, as there may be a surplus of savings.In the aftermath of the Great Recession, austerity results in Europe have been as predicted by macroeconomics, with unemployment rising to record levels and debt-to-GDP ratios rising, despite reductions in budget deficits relative to GDP. Eurostat reported that unemployment in the 17 Euro area countries (EA17) reached record levels in March 2013, at 12.1%, up from 11.0% in March 2012 and 10.3% in March 2011; and that the overall debt-to-GDP ratio for the EA17 was 70.1% in 2008, 80.0% in 2009, 85.4% in 2010, 87.3% in 2011, and 90.6% in 2012. Further, real GDP in the EA17 declined for six straight quarters from Q4 2011 to Q1 2013. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office estimated in August 2012 that if the U.S. implemented moderate austerity measures, the unemployment rate would rise by over 1% and economic growth would be significantly reduced in 2013. The U.S. partially avoided the ""fiscal cliff"" through the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012. U.S. unemployment has fallen steadily from a peak of 10% in early 2010 to 5.3% by July 2015.
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