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Chapter 4: Using Futures Markets
Chapter 4: Using Futures Markets

... fall. Therefore, the trader sells a futures contract on U.S. Treasury bonds. If long-term interest rates rise as the trader expected, the trader will earn a profit. The risk is that the long-term interest rate will decline rather than increase. In which case the position trader will lose money. ...
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... buys $100 in assets cannot finance the purchase with more than $95 in debt, so that at least $5 in equity is held by investors. Real capital requirements are much more complex, allowing firms to take on more debt when assets are safe and less when they are risky, and to treat certain safe types of d ...
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... transfer risks, allowing for substantially improved risk sharing. They have also created connections among markets and market participants that are only just starting to be understood. Counterparty risk, an example of one such connection, is the risk that a party to an OTC derivatives contract may f ...
Using Cash Flow Dynamics to Price Thinly Traded Assets
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... approach, focusing on cash flow dynamics to account for risk. This is not a new concept, although, as far as we are aware, so far this approach has not been used to explicitly infer cash flow yields of untraded investment assets. In the literature so far, for example, Da and Warachka (2009) show tha ...
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... • John Moody began the modern bond rating business by publishing Moody’s Analyses of Railroad Investments in 1909. • By the 1920s, the work of rating agencies expanded to cover an increasing number of industries. • In the post-World War II period, prosperity diminished the role of rating agencies, b ...
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... grade municipals they estimate implied default probabilities are between 1.5 and 3%. Furthermore, there are theoretical reasons to believe that default risk will cause the term structure to have a steeper slope. For example, Kim, Ramaswamy, and Sundaresan (1993) argue that credit spreads for high-qu ...
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... formula implies arbitrage opportunities only if thsir assumptions hold with certainty. ‘In this paper, the term ‘option’ refers to a call option although a corresponding analysis would apply to put options. For a list of the assumptions used to derive their formula, see Black and Scholes (1973,p. 64 ...
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... higher price. A few sellers may initiate the price change and may even see their sales slow for a short time, while those who are slow to raise prices sell out. Some sellers will raise prices in a more passive way, simply by holding back inventories of goods, then selling them when the price has gon ...
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Arbitrage

In economics and finance, arbitrage (US /ˈɑrbɨtrɑːʒ/, UK /ˈɑrbɨtrɪdʒ/, UK /ˌɑrbɨtrˈɑːʒ/) is the practice of taking advantage of a price difference between two or more markets: striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance, the profit being the difference between the market prices. When used by academics, an arbitrage is a transaction that involves no negative cash flow at any probabilistic or temporal state and a positive cash flow in at least one state; in simple terms, it is the possibility of a risk-free profit after transaction costs. For instance, an arbitrage is present when there is the opportunity to instantaneously buy low and sell high.In principle and in academic use, an arbitrage is risk-free; in common use, as in statistical arbitrage, it may refer to expected profit, though losses may occur, and in practice, there are always risks in arbitrage, some minor (such as fluctuation of prices decreasing profit margins), some major (such as devaluation of a currency or derivative). In academic use, an arbitrage involves taking advantage of differences in price of a single asset or identical cash-flows; in common use, it is also used to refer to differences between similar assets (relative value or convergence trades), as in merger arbitrage.People who engage in arbitrage are called arbitrageurs /ˌɑrbɨtrɑːˈʒɜr/—such as a bank or brokerage firm. The term is mainly applied to trading in financial instruments, such as bonds, stocks, derivatives, commodities and currencies.
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