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Statistical modeling and business expertise
Statistical modeling and business expertise

Estimating the Same Quantities from Dierent Levels of Data:
Estimating the Same Quantities from Di erent Levels of Data:

... of aggregation. The statistical literatures bearing on events data have their own unique notation and specialized mathematical concepts|both of which do not exist in other areas of statistics that may be more familiar to political scientists. Thus, in the sections below, we begin by introducing a no ...
ECML/PKDD 2004 - Computing and Information Studies
ECML/PKDD 2004 - Computing and Information Studies

... Problem Definition • The pattern recognition task is to construct a model that captures an unknown input-output mapping on the basis of limited evidence about its nature. The evidence is called the training sample. We wish to construct the “best” model that is as close as possible to the true but u ...
CS 561: Artificial Intelligence
CS 561: Artificial Intelligence

... A CPT for Boolean Xi with k Boolean parents has 2k rows for the combinations of parent values Each row requires one number p for Xi =true (the number for Xi =false is just 1 - p) If each variable has no more than k parents, the complete network requires O(n ¢ 2k) numbers I.e., grows linearly with n, ...
Faithfulness in Chain Graphs: The Gaussian Case
Faithfulness in Chain Graphs: The Gaussian Case

... If a graph G contains an undirected (resp. directed) edge between two nodes v1 and v2 , then we write that v1 − v2 (resp. v1 → v2 ) is in G. If v1 → v2 is in G then v1 is called a parent of v2 . Let P aG (I) denote the set of parents in G of the nodes in I ⊆ V . When G is evident from the context, w ...
Bat Call Identification with Gaussian Process Multinomial Probit
Bat Call Identification with Gaussian Process Multinomial Probit

... Classification with GP models however is not amendable to analytical solutions and usually approximate inference methods are used. For binary classification, the Expectation Propagation (EP) algorithm has been shown to provide better approximation to the necessary integrals required for inference (K ...
A statistical perspective on data mining
A statistical perspective on data mining

Handout - Casualty Actuarial Society
Handout - Casualty Actuarial Society

The Randomized Causation Coefficient
The Randomized Causation Coefficient

... decides that X → Y if ρ(P (X), | log(f 0 (X))|) < ρ(P (Y ), | log(g 0 (Y ))|), where ρ denotes Pearson’s correlation coefficient. IGCI decides Y → X if the opposite inequality holds, and abstains otherwise. The assumption here is that the cause random variable is independently generated from the map ...
Learning Belief Networks in the Presence of Missing - CS
Learning Belief Networks in the Presence of Missing - CS

SELECTION OF SIGNIFICANT VISUAL FEATURES FOR
SELECTION OF SIGNIFICANT VISUAL FEATURES FOR

virtual mining model for classifying text using
virtual mining model for classifying text using

Estimation of Parameters and Fitting of Probability
Estimation of Parameters and Fitting of Probability

... In this chapter, we discuss fitting probability laws to data. Many families of probability laws depend on a small number of parameters; for example, the Poisson family depends on the parameter λ (the mean number of counts), and the Gaussian family depends on two parameters, µ and σ . Unless the valu ...
Think-Aloud Protocols
Think-Aloud Protocols

... • Though other types of models (in particular knowledge engineering models) are amenable to this as well! ...
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)

DOTSE Report 169 NR 1345 ISSN 1174
DOTSE Report 169 NR 1345 ISSN 1174

... Consequently, traditional attrition-based models of combat described by Lanchester equations are becoming less relevant as a tool for analysing or predicting likely combat outcomes. Emphasis must instead be placed on analysing how manoeuvre affects combat. As increasingly lethal long-range weapon sy ...
T R ECHNICAL ESEARCH
T R ECHNICAL ESEARCH

Review of feature selection techniques in bioinformatics by Yvan
Review of feature selection techniques in bioinformatics by Yvan

... Sequence analysis is one of the most traditional areas of bioinformatics. The problems that the programmer meets in this area can be divided in two types differing in the scope we are interested in. If we want to focus on general characteristics, to reason basing on statistical features of the whole ...
Miscellaneous Topics - McMaster Computing and Software
Miscellaneous Topics - McMaster Computing and Software

... to produce the most promising set • Assessment based on general characteristics of the data How about finding a subset of attributes that is enough to separate all the instances? • Expensive and overfitting Alternative: use one learning scheme(i.e. 1R) to select attributes and use the resulting attr ...
Multiple Linear Regression in Data Mining
Multiple Linear Regression in Data Mining

Towards Real-time Probabilistic Risk Assessment by
Towards Real-time Probabilistic Risk Assessment by

... previous data collection runs. For each news story we save the title, description, Globally Unique IDentifier (GUID) and last publication date information into a database. We collected data in this way for seven consecutive days. 2) Term Weighting: Terms that appear in each news title are considered ...
The Bootstrap - CMU Statistics
The Bootstrap - CMU Statistics

chapter7
chapter7

chapter7
chapter7

Kolker-Week1
Kolker-Week1

... 1. (Question #2, page 30) For each of the following problem scenarios, decide if a solution would best be addressed with supervised learning, unsupervised clustering, or database query. As appropriate, state any initial hypothesis you would like to test. If you decide that supervised learning or uns ...
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Mixture model

In statistics, a mixture model is a probabilistic model for representing the presence of subpopulations within an overall population, without requiring that an observed data set should identify the sub-population to which an individual observation belongs. Formally a mixture model corresponds to the mixture distribution that represents the probability distribution of observations in the overall population. However, while problems associated with ""mixture distributions"" relate to deriving the properties of the overall population from those of the sub-populations, ""mixture models"" are used to make statistical inferences about the properties of the sub-populations given only observations on the pooled population, without sub-population identity information.Some ways of implementing mixture models involve steps that attribute postulated sub-population-identities to individual observations (or weights towards such sub-populations), in which case these can be regarded as types of unsupervised learning or clustering procedures. However not all inference procedures involve such steps.Mixture models should not be confused with models for compositional data, i.e., data whose components are constrained to sum to a constant value (1, 100%, etc.). However, compositional models can be thought of as mixture models, where members of the population are sampled at random. Conversely, mixture models can be thought of as compositional models, where the total size of the population has been normalized to 1.
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