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Markov Chains and Queues in Discrete Time
Markov Chains and Queues in Discrete Time

Lecture notes on Spatial Random Permutations
Lecture notes on Spatial Random Permutations

... for it to be any of the remaining n − k numbers, or, with probability θ+n−k we close θ+n−k the current cycle and open a new one by appending )(j to the cycle notation, with j being the first number which has not already been put down. After the n’th step we finish the notation by appending ). It is ...
Introduction to Probability Theory 1
Introduction to Probability Theory 1

... likely to occur and hence has probability 36 . Suppose that we observe that the first die is a four. Then, given this information, what is the probability that the sum of the two dice equals six? To calculate this probability we reason as follows: Given that the initial die is a four, it follows tha ...
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... The theory of stochastic process deals with system, developing in time or space in accordance with probabilistic laws. Its concept is based on expanding the random variable concept to include time. The ...
Five Useful Properties of Probabilistic Knowledge Representations
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Chapter 2: Discrete Random Variables
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Conditional probability in the light of qualitative belief change
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... by Gärdenfors in a pioneering paper of 1986 (integrated into his book of 1988). The other approach is to define a family of two-place probability functions. That is the direction followed in varying manners by Hosiasson-Lindenbaum 1940, Rényi 1955, 1970, 1970a, Popper 1959 and others in their wake. ...
Research on Financial Early Warning
Research on Financial Early Warning

... countable set T call the parameter space. The possible values of X(t) form a countable set S call the state space. The process of random can be divided into four kinds according to whether S and T are discrete aggregate or not. Markov is only refer part of it in the process of random. We often call ...
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and “Random” to Meager, Shy, etc.
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... Instead of properties, it is reasonable to talk about sets. Every property P (x) defines a set, namely, the set {x : P (x)} of all the objects that satisfy this property. However, not all sets correspond to what we intuitively mean by properties. Indeed, in statistics, properties must be well defined ...
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... such that A = {x ∈ E T | xti ∈ Ai , i = 1 . . . , n} . Note that a random variable Xt can be obtained from X by projection or co-ordinate maps: let S ⊂ T , and let x ∈ E T . For any S ⊆ T : E S = {x = (xt )t∈S : xt ∈ E}. The precise indices belonging to S do not disappear in this notation. For insta ...
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... Loosely speaking, this condition states that the probabilities to observe a subset y giving the outcomes x ∈ y and x0 ∈ y respectively must be equal. The CAR condition is a property of the selection procedure. In many situations, however, this condition cannot hold, as proved by Grünwald and Halpe ...
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... conditional distribution function of R given 0 = 0, we define the maximum value of the sample as the observation X* which maximizes Fg(R). This définition is attractive because it is not based only on a classical distance in R k , but, which seems more relevant, on the probability to be at a certain ...
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... It has long been known that probability distributions form a monad (Lawvere 1962; Giry 1981; Jones and Plotkin 1989). In this section, we recapitulate some previous work, discussing the relationship of the monad operations to probability. The monadic bind operation, in particular, provides much of t ...
pdf
pdf

聻 Information theory in property testing and monotonicity testing in higher dimension
聻 Information theory in property testing and monotonicity testing in higher dimension

1 Conditional Probability in the Light of Qualitative Belief Change
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Bayesian Learning, Meager Sets and Countably Additive Probabilities
Bayesian Learning, Meager Sets and Countably Additive Probabilities

< 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 ... 31 >

Conditioning (probability)

Beliefs depend on the available information. This idea is formalized in probability theory by conditioning. Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations and conditional distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of conditioning is also random.This article concentrates on interrelations between various kinds of conditioning, shown mostly by examples. For systematic treatment (and corresponding literature) see more specialized articles mentioned below.
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