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On the Bias of Traceroute Sampling
On the Bias of Traceroute Sampling

... the level at which the Internet Protocol (IP) operates, and the connections between autonomous systems, the level at which the Border Gateway Protocol (BGP) operates. Similar results were obtained in [17, 3], among others. Based on these and other topological studies, it is widely believed that the ...
Condorcet Jury Theorem: The dependent case Bezalel Peleg and Shmuel Zamir
Condorcet Jury Theorem: The dependent case Bezalel Peleg and Shmuel Zamir

(pdf)
(pdf)

Existence of Equilibrium in Large Double Auctions
Existence of Equilibrium in Large Double Auctions

Lecture 9: Indistinguishability and Pseudorandomness (Sep 27, Anthony Chang)
Lecture 9: Indistinguishability and Pseudorandomness (Sep 27, Anthony Chang)

Argmax over Continuous Indices of Random Variables An Approach
Argmax over Continuous Indices of Random Variables An Approach

Bayesian Networks
Bayesian Networks

The probability of nontrivial common knowledge
The probability of nontrivial common knowledge

... Pa (n) when the size n of the state space Sn grows large. That is, if two (or more) agents face a large state space and their partition profile is drawn according to the uniform model, what is the asymptotic probability that they can attain common knowledge of a nontrivial event? Perhaps surprisingl ...
Ola`s notes
Ola`s notes

Conditionals predictions
Conditionals predictions

The Average-Case Complexity of Counting Distinct Elements
The Average-Case Complexity of Counting Distinct Elements

BROWNIAN MOTION AND THE STRONG MARKOV PROPERTY
BROWNIAN MOTION AND THE STRONG MARKOV PROPERTY

... Definition 1.7. Let (S, Σ, µ) be a measure space. When µ(Σ) equals 1, this map is termed a probability measure and the associated measure space is called a probability space. We are now able to use this machinery to re-introduce some familiar concepts within probability theory. First, let us introdu ...
Learning Sums of Independent Integer Random Variables
Learning Sums of Independent Integer Random Variables

... straightforward to show that S must have almost all its probability mass on values in a small interval, and (1) follows easily from this. The more challenging case is when Var(S) is “large.” Intuitively, in order for Var(S) to be large it must be the case that at least one of the k − 1 values 1, 2, ...
Full Text - Harvard University
Full Text - Harvard University

Binomial, Negative Binomial and Geometric Distributions
Binomial, Negative Binomial and Geometric Distributions

Artificial Intelligence, Lecture 6.1, Page 1
Artificial Intelligence, Lecture 6.1, Page 1

... ω |= α ∧ β if ω |= α and ω |= β ω |= α ∨ β if ω |= α or ω |= β ω |= ¬α if ω 6|= α Let Ω be the set of all possible worlds. ...
Unimodality, Independence Lead to NP
Unimodality, Independence Lead to NP

Baum`s Algorithm Learns Intersections of Halfspaces
Baum`s Algorithm Learns Intersections of Halfspaces

Rates of convergence for nearest neighbor classification
Rates of convergence for nearest neighbor classification

Approximations of upper and lower probabilities by measurable
Approximations of upper and lower probabilities by measurable

... shall show, when these two sets are not equal the use of the upper and the lower probability could carry some serious loss of information. The study of the equality P(Γ)(A) = [P∗ (A), P ∗ (A)] can be split into two different subproblems: on the one hand, we need to study the convexity of the set P(Γ ...
http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v15n1/shanks.pdf
http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v15n1/shanks.pdf

2011 - Verimag
2011 - Verimag

Random projections, marginals, and moments
Random projections, marginals, and moments

... the sequel some aspects of a more general approach based on quasi-analytic functions. In the sequel, and unless explicitly mentioned, we consider uniqueness on R, not on R+ . Theorem 2.2 (Hausdorff, [Hau23]). A probability distribution P on [0, 1] is characterized by its moments. Proof. The density ...
Bayesian Belief Network
Bayesian Belief Network

... • In general, we write P(A|B) to represent a belief in A under the assumption that B is known. • Strictly speaking, P(A|B) is a shorthand for the expression P(A|B,K) where K represents all other relevant information. • Only when all other information is irrelevant can we really write P(A|B). • The t ...
uniform central limit theorems - Assets
uniform central limit theorems - Assets

... continuous for almost all ω. So the empirical process αn converges in distribution to the Brownian bridge composed with F, namely t 7→ yF (t) , at least when restricted to finite sets. It was then natural to ask whether this convergence extends to infinite sets or the whole interval or line. Kolmogo ...
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Conditioning (probability)

Beliefs depend on the available information. This idea is formalized in probability theory by conditioning. Conditional probabilities, conditional expectations and conditional distributions are treated on three levels: discrete probabilities, probability density functions, and measure theory. Conditioning leads to a non-random result if the condition is completely specified; otherwise, if the condition is left random, the result of conditioning is also random.This article concentrates on interrelations between various kinds of conditioning, shown mostly by examples. For systematic treatment (and corresponding literature) see more specialized articles mentioned below.
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