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The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Movements on
The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Movements on

... Services have long been considered by economists and other observers of international commerce to be the proverbial non-traded good. Indeed, by conventional measures of openness services remain the most closed sector of the world economy. However, in part due to the technological changes that have m ...
A Long-Term Strategy and a Short
A Long-Term Strategy and a Short

... trinity, which decrees that a country must give up one of three goals—exchange-rate stability, monetary independence, or financial-market integration. simple schematic illustration of the impossible trinity. ...
This David Longworth Working Paper No. 535 1050 Massachusetts Avenue
This David Longworth Working Paper No. 535 1050 Massachusetts Avenue

... very sharp growth of external borrowing by Canadians in the 1974—76 period. Our attempt to explain this growth relies in part upon the existence of irrationality in the formation of long—run expectations in the bond market or exchange market or both. Finally, in Section 4 we turn to an analysis of t ...
On the long-run determinants of real exchange rates for
On the long-run determinants of real exchange rates for

... an estimation of its equilibrium value for a panel of developing countries using conventional cointegration tests on time series data (cf. Johansen, 1988). According to this estimation, only real variables affect real the exchange rate in the long-run, but in the short-run both real and nominal vari ...
Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises
Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises

... Non-structural models of currency crises fall into two broad categories: those based on non-parametric tests and those based on probit regressions. The nonparametric approach was popularised by Eichengreen, Rose and Wyplosz (1995). Using quarterly data for members of the exchange rate mechanism (ERM ...
Policies to Curb Stock Market Volatility
Policies to Curb Stock Market Volatility

... Curbs on portfolio insurance and program trading None of the studies of the stock market crash recommends direct curbs on program trading, portfolio insurance, or index arbitrage. Further, all of them conclude " . . . that derivative index markets provide valuable hedging and market timing benefits ...
Global Pricing
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The Interactions of Strength of Governments and Alternative

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Long memory and nonlinear mean reversion in Japanese yen

... The apparent revival of the empirical relevance of PPP has been typically attributed to the improved statistical power attained through using efficient testing procedures and/or longer sample series available for the current float (Lothian and Taylor, 1997). This generic explanation in terms of pure ...
mmi05 razin  225761 en
mmi05 razin 225761 en

... The choice of macroeconomic policies is traditionally cast in terms of the well-known trilemma. This is a way of describing succinctly a choice among three policy goals: pegging the exchange rate, keeping the capital markets open, or conducting a business-cycle stabilizing monetary policy. The tri-l ...
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from... of Economic Research
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from... of Economic Research

... advanced industrializing economies. Although the model is quite general, it is motivated by recent events in the Southern Cone of Latin America, where wide-ranging economic reforms initiated in the 1970s produced dramatic-and ultimately unsustainable-movements in external accounts and real exchange ...
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The Japanese yen as an international currency*
The Japanese yen as an international currency*

... Following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the major developed countries have adopted a floating exchange rate system since 1973. Even while it has continued to lose its value relative to other major currencies, the US dollar remained a key currency throughout this period. This has been hi ...
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Exchange rate movements and export market dynamics: evidence

... Received March 16, 2017 Accepted as Economics Discussion Paper March 21, 2017 Published March 24, 2017 © Author(s) 2017. Licensed under the Creative Commons License - Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) ...
The Treasury Bill Futures Market and Market Expectations of Interest
The Treasury Bill Futures Market and Market Expectations of Interest

... In the case of the futures market in Treasury bills, the yields on futures contracts indicate the pattern of interest rates expected by market participants to prevail in certain months in the future, given currently available information. Any expectation of future interest rates, however arrived at, ...
The Portfolio Balance Model∗
The Portfolio Balance Model∗

... Assets Liabilities Assets Liabilities Foreign bonds +1 monetary base +1 Reserves +1 deposits of foreign banks +1 Foreign commercial banks Assets Liabilities Foreign bonds -1 deposits at domestic banks +1 An alternative strategy is to buy domestic bonds from the domestic commercial banks, i.e., an op ...
Chapter 15: Options on stock indices and currencies
Chapter 15: Options on stock indices and currencies

... Min portfolio value = V1+n($m)(K- I1) This is the lowest level that the portfolio value can attain. If the index falls below the exercise price and the portfolio value declines too, the protective puts will be exercised and the money gained may be invested in the portfolio and bring it to the value ...
Factors that help to predict INR to USD exchange rate
Factors that help to predict INR to USD exchange rate

... (Exhibit 18). Much of the currency trading activity in India occurs between 9:00 to 9:35 am IST, and also between 4:30 to 5:00 pm IST (Exhibit 18). Furthermore, 9:00 to 9:35 am IST is the time when foreign exchange markets open in India and 4:30 to 5:00 pm IST marks the opening of the RBI fixing & E ...
Consumption and real exchange rates with incomplete
Consumption and real exchange rates with incomplete

... marginal utilities of consumption in di¤erent countries. In his study, he rules out non-separabilities in the utility function as possible candidates in testing for risk-sharing. In another related study, Kollmann (1995) also rejects the complete market assumption. Starting from these premises, rece ...
A Survey of Singapore`s Monetary Policy
A Survey of Singapore`s Monetary Policy

... integrity of the financial system. The MAS adopted a number of key guiding principles over the years, which included: (i) adopting a medium to long term perspective when making policies; (ii) ensuring an ethos of fiscal prudence within the government, which helped the MAS in its task of preserving t ...
Extending the Reserve Bank’s macroeconomic balance model of the exchange rate
Extending the Reserve Bank’s macroeconomic balance model of the exchange rate

... Short-run notions of equilibrium tend to relate the exchange rate to the current values of the factors that influence it over that horizon (see, for example, McDonald (2012)). Over the medium term, equilibrium values tend to be based on the value of the exchange rate that would be consistent with an ...
Inflation, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates
Inflation, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates

... economies and as at the time one of the first low income countries to do so. A 5 percent inflation rate was set as the medium target by the Bank of Ghana. This objective was however affected by negative shocks which made it difficult to achieve the target. Problems of this nature are common in the inflati ...
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Foreign exchange market

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. This includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies at current or determined prices. In terms of volume of trading, it is by far the largest market in the world. The main participants in this market are the larger international banks. Financial centres around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of multiple types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies.The foreign exchange market works through financial institutions, and it operates on several levels. Behind the scenes banks turn to a smaller number of financial firms known as “dealers,” who are actively involved in large quantities of foreign exchange trading. Most foreign exchange dealers are banks, so this behind-the-scenes market is sometimes called the “interbank market”, although a few insurance companies and other kinds of financial firms are involved. Trades between foreign exchange dealers can be very large, involving hundreds of millions of dollars. Because of the sovereignty issue when involving two currencies, forex has little (if any) supervisory entity regulating its actions.The foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. For example, it permits a business in the United States to import goods from European Union member states, especially Eurozone members, and pay Euros, even though its income is in United States dollars. It also supports direct speculation and evaluation relative to the value of currencies, and the carry trade, speculation based on the interest rate differential between two currencies.In a typical foreign exchange transaction, a party purchases some quantity of one currency by paying with some quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market began forming during the 1970s after three decades of government restrictions on foreign exchange transactions (the Bretton Woods system of monetary management established the rules for commercial and financial relations among the world's major industrial states after World War II), when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.The foreign exchange market is unique because of the following characteristics: its huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the world leading to high liquidity; its geographical dispersion; its continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e., trading from 22:00 GMT on Sunday (Sydney) until 22:00 GMT Friday (New York); the variety of factors that affect exchange rates; the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income; and the use of leverage to enhance profit and loss margins and with respect to account size.As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect competition, notwithstanding currency intervention by central banks.According to the Bank for International Settlements,the preliminary global results from the 2013 Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and OTC Derivatives Markets Activity show that trading in foreign exchange markets averaged $5.3 trillion per day in April 2013. This is up from $4.0 trillion in April 2010 and $3.3 trillion in April 2007. Foreign exchange swaps were the most actively traded instruments in April 2013, at $2.2 trillion per day, followed by spot trading at $2.0 trillion.According to the Bank for International Settlements, as of April 2010, average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, a growth of approximately 20% over the $3.21 trillion daily volume as of April 2007. Some firms specializing on foreign exchange market had put the average daily turnover in excess of US$4 trillion.The $3.98 trillion break-down is as follows: $1.490 trillion in spot transactions $475 billion in outright forwards $1.765 trillion in foreign exchange swaps $43 billion currency swaps $207 billion in options and other products↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
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