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Model selection and uncertainty in climate change mitigation research
Model selection and uncertainty in climate change mitigation research

... • How much do we care about the future? • If we wish to perform a cost-benefit analysis on a future public sector project, such as climate change mitigation, we must choose a discount rate that reflects society’s preference for present benefits over future benefits. • The discount rate used in the S ...
This PDF is a selection from a published volume from... of Economic Research
This PDF is a selection from a published volume from... of Economic Research

... a price of anywhere from $13 to $263 per tonne is necessary by 2020. This distribution suffers from sample selection bias because it excludes the results of studies that imply that it is infeasible to keep below the ceiling. Working back to the present using a real social discount rate of, say, 3 per ...
Week 8 Climate Change Prof Stern
Week 8 Climate Change Prof Stern

... • Work to understand the empirical issues of the problem at hand, Here, that is the basic science of climate change and its complexities: first part of lecture. • Ensure the analytical framework does justice to the underlying empirical matters (don’t try to shoehorn problems into frameworks just bec ...
Climate change: evidence from natural sciences and
Climate change: evidence from natural sciences and

... 2. Lowering the carbon-emissions intensity of energy supply through additions of renewable and nuclear energy supply and through modifications to fossil fuel technologies that enable the capture and sequestration of CO2 3. Reducing the carbon emissions from land-use change by means of reforestation, ...
V00d*_ppt
V00d*_ppt

... Costs of reducing emissions to stabilize between 450 and 550 ppm CO2equiv • Costs of doing nothing (BAU): Stern calculates, damages from BAU would be equivalent to at least 5 and up to 20% of consumption a year, depending on the types of risks and effects included. • Costs ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... Decrease in cereal output in most tropical countries Increased water shortages Adverse economic impacts Risk of flooding in small and low lying islands Increase threats to human health  increase inequities between poor and rich countries Risk of irreversible climate changes ...
PROGRAMME 4 : CLIMATE CHANGE Strategic Plan for 2011
PROGRAMME 4 : CLIMATE CHANGE Strategic Plan for 2011

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The Economics of Climate Change. Chris Taylor
The Economics of Climate Change. Chris Taylor

... •New markets will be created. Investment in low-carbon electricity sources could be worth over $500bn a year by 2050. Strong mitigation is fully consistent with the aspirations for growth and development in poor and rich countries. ...
Prof. Wescott (Part I) ( )
Prof. Wescott (Part I) ( )

... •Stern Review (Sir Nicholas Stern, U.K. modeling team with 23 analysts, 2006) ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... •Stern Review (Sir Nicholas Stern, U.K. modeling team with 23 analysts, 2006) ...
HKIE Climate Change Corner Iss - The Hong Kong Institution of
HKIE Climate Change Corner Iss - The Hong Kong Institution of

... Mediterranean and the Black Sea, and also in NW Europe in the second half of the 21st century. More frequent drought events and increased number of months affected by drought are anticipated in these regions. However, significant impacts still occur except for the most stringent scenarios with stabi ...
Costs and Benefits of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Costs and Benefits of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions

... levels 95% confidence interval = 2.5°C – 5.4°C ...
Read Elina's ISES report
Read Elina's ISES report

... •  70%
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Utility as the informational basis of climate change strategies, and
Utility as the informational basis of climate change strategies, and

... Utility as the informational basis of climate change strategies, and some alternatives Simon Dietz, LSE ...
Discounting and the Environment
Discounting and the Environment

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Impacts of climate change - Climate Change Authority
Impacts of climate change - Climate Change Authority

... Climate change is projected to exacerbate Australia’s extreme weather. Impacts will differ across Australia, some of these with 4 degrees of warming include:  Adelaide: The number of days above 35 degrees is projected to increase from 17 to 47 by 2070  South-west WA: Average annual rainfall is pro ...
Climate Change Strategy for Dublin City
Climate Change Strategy for Dublin City

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Terms of Reference - Department of Environment, Land, Water and
Terms of Reference - Department of Environment, Land, Water and

... reviewing climate change legislation, policies and programs. The independent review of the Climate Change Act 2010 (‘Act’) is one of the first steps in this process. Legislation can provide a strong framework for climate change action. It is important that the Act is robust and effective, and contai ...
Terms of Reference - Department of Environment, Land, Water and
Terms of Reference - Department of Environment, Land, Water and

... reviewing climate change legislation, policies and programs. The independent review of the Climate Change Act 2010 (‘Act’) is one of the first steps in this process. Legislation can provide a strong framework for climate change action. It is important that the Act is robust and effective, and contai ...
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Abstract

... We investigated a classical model of the optimal use of exhaustible resource with the availability of backstop technology. The new ingredient added to our model here is endogenous time preference that is determined by the history of resource consumption. The dependence of time preference on consumpt ...
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Understanding The Economics of Global Climate Change
Understanding The Economics of Global Climate Change

... – Some GHG’s (e.g. CO2, methane) are integral to the earth’s carbon cycle; others (e.g. CFC) are human products ...
P58.14 How to achieve global scale climate change
P58.14 How to achieve global scale climate change

... Design approach for the world economy. In essence, the above offers an opportunity to make business profits in the climate change mitigation process within the short term so that there be no reason to further delay a responsibility that is of all nations as well as all citizens. To start with this n ...
Sara Goldstein
Sara Goldstein

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Climate Change As
Climate Change As

... stabilise temperature at 2 degrees is going to be a huge challenge - we need to peak soon and STRONG decline thereafter ...
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Stern Review

The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report released for the British government on 30 October 2006 by economist Nicholas Stern, chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and also chair of the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy (CCCEP) at Leeds University and LSE. The report discusses the effect of global warming on the world economy. Although not the first economic report on climate change, it is significant as the largest and most widely known and discussed report of its kind.The Review states that climate change is the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen, presenting a unique challenge for economics. The Review provides prescriptions including environmental taxes to minimise the economic and social disruptions. The Stern Review's main conclusion is that the benefits of strong, early action on climate change far outweigh the costs of not acting. The Review points to the potential impacts of climate change on water resources, food production, health, and the environment. According to the Review, without action, the overall costs of climate change will be equivalent to losing at least 5% of global gross domestic product (GDP) each year, now and forever. Including a wider range of risks and impacts could increase this to 20% of GDP or more, also indefinitely. Stern believes that 5–6 degrees of temperature increase is ""a real possibility.""The Review proposes that one percent of global GDP per annum is required to be invested to avoid the worst effects of climate change. In June 2008, Stern increased the estimate for the annual cost of achieving stabilisation between 500 and 550 ppm CO2e to 2% of GDP to account for faster than expected climate change.There has been a mixed reaction to the Stern Review from economists. Several economists have been critical of the Review, for example, a paper by Byatt et al. (2006) describes the Review as ""deeply flawed"". Some economists (such as Brad DeLong and John Quiggin) have supported the Review. Others have criticised aspects of Review's analysis, but argued that some of its conclusions might still be justified based on other grounds, e.g., see papers by Martin Weitzman (2007) and Dieter Helm (2008).
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