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A Conceptual Tool for Climate Change Risk Assessment
A Conceptual Tool for Climate Change Risk Assessment

... fishing, hunting, or manufacturing food). Thus, the societal consequence of climate change as mediated by agricultural impacts will depend on how climate changes, the sensitivity of agricultural systems to climate change, and human dependence on agriculture. Similarly, the three broad contributing f ...
Draft Risk Assessment Framework Outline
Draft Risk Assessment Framework Outline

... Risk is the potential for an unwanted outcome resulting from an event—in this case, a climate stressor. It is determined by the product of: (a) the likelihood of the impact; and (b) the consequence of the impact.3 The likelihood of an impact is, in part, a function of the likelihood of the climate s ...
ICT research for Climate Change
ICT research for Climate Change

... Simpson et al. (2010) examine the consequences of 1 and 2 m sea level rise in the Caribbean, which they consider to not be unreasonable estimates by the end of the century. ...
Climate Change - Pacific Science Center
Climate Change - Pacific Science Center

... P: Last, I want to know if our climate is changing.  Is our climate changing? P: Great! Here’s our investigation: we’ll find out what climate is and how climate changes, then determine whether our climate is changing. Science on a Sphere P: Does anyone have any ideas about the first part of this i ...
Wetlands and global climate change
Wetlands and global climate change

... temperature will affect coastal biota directly and lead to changes in precipitation and an acceleration of sea level rise. It is predicted that as the tropics gain more heat, there will be a greater transport of water vapor towards higher latitudes. Thus, it is likely that, in general, lower latitud ...
The Climate Benefits of Organic Agriculture
The Climate Benefits of Organic Agriculture

... to the elimination of fossil fuel-based synthetic pesticides and fertilizers. A review of literature by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization found that organic agriculture production uses 30 to 50 percent less energy than comparable conventional systems18. Results from a 22-year stud ...
Understanding the Earth as a Complex System – recent advances in
Understanding the Earth as a Complex System – recent advances in

... As a common problem in different disciplines of Earth scienes, which is probably most pronounced in the field of palaeoclimatology (see Sec. 4.1), the appropriate statistical treatment of unevenly spaced time series has attracted increasing interest in the last decades. In particular, techniques for s ...
CLIMATE CHANGE A Natural Hazard
CLIMATE CHANGE A Natural Hazard

... But support for the proposal that increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases is causing global warming has not gone away, especially as observational evidence of warming during the twentieth century has accumulated. In 1985, scientists meeting in Villach, Austria issued a statement cl ...
air module - Minnesota Department of Health
air module - Minnesota Department of Health

... Seeley M. 2012. Climate Trends and Climate Change in Minnesota: A Review. Minnesota State Climatology Office. Available online: http://climate.umn.edu/seeley/ Shea K et al. 2008. Climate change and allergic disease. American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology. Doi:10.1016/j.jaci.2008.06.032 Sta ...
The Mid-Atlantic Region and its climate: past, present
The Mid-Atlantic Region and its climate: past, present

... substantially, depending on the projection methodology employed. One set of projections for 3 key measures of regional socio-economic structure (population, employment, income) to the year 2050 is presented in Fig. 2. These projections reflect a ‘baseline’ scenario (i.e. where current trends are ass ...
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Cop 21
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Cop 21

... share of finance for energy transformation and adaptation for developing countries. There are almost no hard numbers or goals within the text to ensure ambitious action on climate change. The part of the text that may have offered redress for vulnerable communities who have suffered irreparable impa ...
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is not causing global warming
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is not causing global warming

... "The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is a temperature pattern in the Pacific Ocean that spends roughly 20-30 years in the cool phase or the warm phase. In 1905, PDO switched to a warm phase. In 1946, PDO switched to a cool phase. In 1977, PDO switched to a warm phase. In 1998, PDO showed a few coo ...
Climate Change - Cloudfront.net
Climate Change - Cloudfront.net

... Future Climate Projections: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) For its Fourth Assessment Report released in 2007, the IPCC considered several possible futures based on factors including population growth, economic development, and technological change. Each scenario was linked to esti ...
The Anthropocene epoch: scientists declare dawn
The Anthropocene epoch: scientists declare dawn

... writers argue that our extinction is the ultimate danger. [5] Elizabeth Kolbert's book Field Notes from a Catastrophe ends with the line, "It may seem impossible to imagine that a technologically advanced society could choose, in essence, to destroy itself, but that is what we are now in the process ...
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal

... impacts of climate risks are likely to magnify the uneven social and spatial distribution of risk in Ghana, and possibly amplify poverty in the north. In response, the Government of Ghana has initiated actions to develop strategies and strengthen institutional capacity in disaster risk management wi ...
Averchenkova, Stern and Zenghelis policy paper December 2014 (opens in new window)
Averchenkova, Stern and Zenghelis policy paper December 2014 (opens in new window)

... effort that other countries propose to undertake. This paper seeks to contribute to a re-framing of the debate on the equitability and ambition of actions to address climate change. It examines a sample of seven ‘burdensharing’ approaches to setting mitigation targets which have been proposed during ...
Lecture 1.1 - The Natural Edge Project
Lecture 1.1 - The Natural Edge Project

... the Earth’s climate long term. The main anthropogenic greenhouse gases being added to the atmosphere are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6). 4. Greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere now ...
Download country chapter
Download country chapter

... enforcement of land and deforestation related legislation. Energy Supply According to 2013 figures from the state-owned Tanzania Electric Supply Company (TANESCO), the country’s energy mix is made up of 90% biomass, 8% petroleum products, 1.5% electricity, and 0.5% coal and renewables. According to ...
Endangered, Neglected, Indigenous Resilient Crops: A Potential
Endangered, Neglected, Indigenous Resilient Crops: A Potential

... is projected under a range of climate-change scenarios. Climate change will affect livestock by changing the yield and nutritional quality of fodder, increasing disease and disease-spreading pests, reducing water availability, and making it difficult to survive in extreme environments – without a do ...
Appendix 2_Methodology for the assessment of policy simplification (opens in new window)
Appendix 2_Methodology for the assessment of policy simplification (opens in new window)

... Step 3. Assumptions on policy applicability In order to estimate the fiscal revenues that are likely to result from the current policy regime (step 4 below), it is necessary to identify which policies apply to which sector. Sector analysis in the paper is based on DECC’s (2013a) two-digit Standard ...
Download paper (PDF)
Download paper (PDF)

... Uncertainty can of course be reduced through learning. This consideration leads to a second-order, or meta- form of uncertainty: what new information will be revealed to resolve the present uncertainties? To what extent can and will research accelerate the pace of learning? Given the possibility of ...
Running rings around climate change
Running rings around climate change

... instrumental climate data only go back to about 1850. In many cases, the ring width patterns correspond to a climate variable so closely they can be substituted for it back past the instrumental coverage. In this case, the rings become a proxy – or stand in – for instrumental climate data. A dendroc ...
06-05
06-05

... the Mauna Loa Observatory–ed.] range from 312 parts per million at the beginning of the record to about 340 parts per million at present.” 2006 Update: Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration in early 2006 was nearly 380 parts per million (http://www.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccgg/iadv/). A half-century ago, w ...
PDF
PDF

... social development goals. Assuming limited constraints on use, it is expected that fossil fuels will continue to supply much of the associated additional energy demands, leading to a rapid increase in global greenhouse gas emissions. Although considerable uncertainty exists about projected future le ...
Will we leave the Great Barrier Reef for our children?
Will we leave the Great Barrier Reef for our children?

... 433–477 ppm CO2-eq) in 2005.27 However, the cooling effects of aerosols and landuse changes reduce radiative forcing so that the net forcing of human activities was in the range of 311 to 435 ppm CO2-eq, with a central estimate of about 375 ppm CO2-eq for 2005.28 The current growth in CO2 emissions ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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