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Climate System Observations and Prediction Experiment (COPE)
Climate System Observations and Prediction Experiment (COPE)

... Developing a Coordinated Plan for Pan-WCRP Seasonal Prediction ...
Climate Change and the Law
Climate Change and the Law

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Lead time = 3
Lead time = 3

... (Top) Near-surface temperature multi-model ensemble-mean correlation from CMIP5 decadal initialised predictions (1960-2005); (bottom) correlation difference with the uninitialised predictions of 2-5 year (left) and 6-9 year (right) wrt ERSST and GHCN. ...
The growing role of methane in anthropogenic climate change
The growing role of methane in anthropogenic climate change

... most other recent studies. Sinks may also be playing a role in the rapid rise in atmospheric methane over the last decade (figure 1). Using a chemistry-transport model run over 40 years, Dalsøren et al (2016) infer a stabilization of OH concentrations after 2006, in contrast to a total 3% increase si ...
Introduction Long-Term Environmental Policy: Definition, Knowledge
Introduction Long-Term Environmental Policy: Definition, Knowledge

... the generation of long-term policy challenges as well as ways to respond to them. Quite often, long-term policy challenges are generated by externalizing some cost to the public, both contemporaneously as well as intertemporally. For example, if historical carbon emissions already lead to uncompensa ...
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- Covenant University

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Estimating intensive and extensive margin adaptation to climate

... Anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases are projected to significantly alter the global climate over the current century and beyond. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projects that the average global surface temperature will rise by between 1 and 3.7 ◦ Celsius by the end of th ...
Kocornick Mina and Fankhauser 2015 (opens in new window)
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... droughts or floods, and will make some ecosystems and many human systems more vulnerable, as indicated by the latest IPCC report, “Climate Change 2014: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability – Summary for Policymakers” . In this regard, the Global Commission on the Economy and Climate has concluded i ...
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... Phenotypic plasticity is the ability of a genotype to produce different phenotypes in response to different environmental conditions (Pigliucci 2001; Nussey et al. 2007; Reale et al. 2003; Bradshaw 1965). Underlying plasticity is a physiological (endocrine and neurological) mechanism (Wingfield et a ...
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... and nations – especially but not only the poorest – to achieve the overall level of welfare or resources needed to secure and protect other essential human rights. Most directly, the increase in energy costs due to the foreclosing of fossil-fuel driven industrialisation may adversely affect poor cou ...
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... income, physical assets, production, social relationships, anxiety about personal loss and happiness) as well as the severity of these impacts (from “not severe at all” to “extremely severe”). They found that farmers perceive a larger effect of climate change on agricultural production, than on phys ...
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... several studies (Parry et al., 2004). Results show that some regions may improve production, while others suffer yield losses. This could lead to shifts of agricultural production zones around the world. Furthermore, different crops will be affected differently, leading to the need for adaptation of ...
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... Human-induced warming and associated sea level rises are expected to continue through the 21st century. Secondary effects are suggested by computer model simulations and basic physical reasoning. These include increases in rainfall rates and increased susceptibility of semi-arid regions to drought. ...
Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing
Philosophy of Climate Science Part I: Observing

... certain set A by a finite distribution over time, assuming, say, that time is measured in days, is given by the number of days where the values are in A divided by the total number of days in the time period). Climate change then amounts to different distributions over two successive time periods. H ...
2015 Issue  - Northwest Climate Science Center
2015 Issue - Northwest Climate Science Center

... the preservation of montane landscapes, which play an integral role in the functioning of environments throughout the Pacific Northwest. “This project was such a clear example of one where we might see something proactive, on public lands, and in collaboration with agencies,” says Ryan. “It has been ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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