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Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental
Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental

... the atmospheric circulation response to the warm SSTs in Fig. 1a. The areas of simulated anomalous ascent and descent in the mid-troposphere (Fig. 2c) clearly reflect the wavy structures expected as part of the circulation response. Over the tropical Indian and western Pacific oceans, the pattern of ...
An independent and combined effect analysis of land use and
An independent and combined effect analysis of land use and

... analyzed using a Regional Climate Model from the IPCC A1B scenario. Land use maps were created using Idrisi TAIGA land change modeler, based on historical changes over two time periods and transformed for future forecasting. Logistic regression was used to generate these maps containing the probabil ...
30 million tonnes in 2030 alone
30 million tonnes in 2030 alone

... • The policies we modelled would cut pollution from Canadians’ homes by more than half by 2050, relative to the policies that apply today. • The direct financial costs of this policy package are modest, with an overall net cost increase of 0.3% a year across the economy, relative to current polici ...
Sustainability Insight
Sustainability Insight

... • In February 2009 there were 38 signatories of the UCCCfS, constituting 60% of universities and colleges in Scotland • Each has committed to preparing and publishing a 5 year Climate Change Action Plan with targets and timescales to achieve significant reduction in emissions from all business activ ...
C
C

... a rather narrow range of models. Several important issues complicate the model validation process. First, identifying model errors is difficult because of the complex and sometimes poorly understood nature of climate itself, making it difficult to decide which of the many aspects of climate are impo ...
Scenario Planning for Solar Radiation Management
Scenario Planning for Solar Radiation Management

... kind of insurance policy in case mitigation efforts prove inadequate or the climate system starts exhibiting signs of severe instability. However, SRM is often seen—both by those who support research and those who oppose it—as laden with physical and political risks and uncertainties. While SRM is e ...
13_02 Unstable Climates
13_02 Unstable Climates

... or 25 years (short enough to enable large numbers of stations to calculate their normals), to 35 years (Brückner’s cycle) or even 50 years (to capture more of the inter-decadal variability of climate). In the end, the Climatology Commission of the IMO recommended, ‘… a period of 30 years as appropri ...
Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change
Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change

... geographical positioning of the monsoon and associated rainfall is unrealistic, projected changes in that system will be manifest as changes in an unrealistic position or time of year. The common practice of applying futureminus-baseline anomalies from model projections to observations to generate c ...
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Document

... The fundamental problem in many countries such as Ethiopia is that a complete EWS, which generates knowledge of the risks (vulnerability & hazard), has capacity to monitor, analyze and forecast hazards, provides communication and dissemination of alerts and warnings, either does not exist or does no ...
The shape of things to come: why is climate change so predictable?
The shape of things to come: why is climate change so predictable?

... the greater the uncertainty is about when that change will be realized. Another consequence of this slow growth is that further efforts to constrain climate sensitivity will be of very limited value for climate projections on societally-relevant time scales. Finally, it is demonstrated that the effe ...
Spain - Met Office
Spain - Met Office

... available to the researchers in the project was used, unless there were good scientific reasons for not doing so. For example, some impacts areas were omitted, such as many of those associated with human health. In this case, these impacts are strongly dependant on local factors and do not easily le ...
- UNM Digital Repository
- UNM Digital Repository

... Cloud and ocean interaction feedbacks from C0 2-induced warming have not yet been successfully incorporated into climate simulation models. Increasing cloudiness at low and middle altitudes could produce a negative, or cooling feedback, while an increase in high-altitude cloudiness could result in a ...
Full-Text
Full-Text

... temporally, socially, or geographically close to a person are more tangible and this experience results in greater likelihood to adapt to or mitigate the problem. This theory suggests that a firsthand encounter with Global-GAP’s integrated farm management skills trainings aimed at mainstreaming envi ...
Ruddell et al. 2006
Ruddell et al. 2006

... avoided deforestation. It appears that forestry emission reduction projects will continue to be restricted from participating in offsetting GHG emissions associated with Kyoto Protocol compliance targets through 2012 - the first commitment period, within member countries. This is reflected in the Wo ...
Climate change adaptation plan for the
Climate change adaptation plan for the

... This first adaptation plan highlights our territory’s vulnerabilities to climate change. The impacts observed and anticipated on the population, infrastructures, the natural environment and all of the activities that take place on the island are undeniable. The sum of the data consolidated in this p ...
Cosmic Rays, Carbon Dioxide, and Climate
Cosmic Rays, Carbon Dioxide, and Climate

... doubling of atmospheric CO concentration on tropical sea surface temperatures (SST) is likely to be 0.5°C (up to 1.9°C at 99% confidence),with global mean temperature changes about 1.5 times as large.Thus, they claim that the climate sensitivity to 2xCO is ~ 0.75°C, outside the Intergovernmental Pan ...
Likelihood of rapidly increasing surface temperatures unaccompanied by strong warming
Likelihood of rapidly increasing surface temperatures unaccompanied by strong warming

... of an unforced climate system. Control simulations allow no changes in atmospheric or other forcings over time and give some indication of natural climate variability in the absence of other influences. Control simulations were available for CGCM1, GISS and GFDL, and we examined these for signs that ...
Rechtspraak.nl - Print uitspraak
Rechtspraak.nl - Print uitspraak

... emissions to peak within 10 years. Similarly, limiting temperature increases to 2°C above preindustrial levels can only be reached at the lowest end of the concentration interval found in the scenarios of category I (i.e. about 450 ppmv CO2-eq using ‘best estimate’ assumptions). By comparison, using ...
adaptation to climate change: key terms
adaptation to climate change: key terms

... In the last several years, the issue of adaptation to climate change has moved high on the UNFCCC negotiating agenda. Since COP 7, when three specific funds were created to support implementation of various measures that facilitate vulnerability assessment and adaptation, adaptation has become an in ...
An Economic Analysis of Climate Adaptations to Hurricane Risk in St
An Economic Analysis of Climate Adaptations to Hurricane Risk in St

... the expected benefits of these measures over the next few years.12 It might also be the case that individuals do not know what measures are cost-effective over a given period of time. This paper also evaluates the relative attractiveness of four alternative adaptation measures through benefit-cost a ...
PDF
PDF

... Those arguing to allow the economy ’flexibility’ to take advantage of future information are effectively making an option-value argument: there is a sunk cost associated with acting today, and we will know more tomorrow, so there is a value to waiting. However, there is also a potential cost to waiti ...
For Peer Review - Climate Access
For Peer Review - Climate Access

... In this paper however we will concentrate on recent analyses of communications about climate change and highlight some key findings. We provide an overview of a selection of government, citizen, and science-led approaches to climate change communication, identify trends in media portrayals of climat ...
Increase of carbon cycle feedback with climate sensitivity
Increase of carbon cycle feedback with climate sensitivity

... of the conventionally accepted range (1.5 to 4.5 K per CO 2 doubling; IPCC, 2001). The land surface is more likely to damp the effects of CO 2 emissions if climate sensitivity is low, with carbon uptake by the biosphere dominated by CO 2 fertilization. Higher climate sensitivity is more likely to am ...
Positive feedback between future climate change
Positive feedback between future climate change

... significantly reduced as the Earth warms up, leaving larger CO2 fraction in the atmosphere and therefore enhancing the climate change. In order to further explore these effects, it should be given high priority to develop comprehensive models where physical climate system and carbon cycle are explicit ...
Global Warming—Hot Topic Getting Hotter
Global Warming—Hot Topic Getting Hotter

... passage of time, many will no longer be accessible, and in others, the content may change. ChemMatters cannot guarantee that all content will remain appropriate and/or relevant. The number of online resources related to the topics in this special issue of ChemMatters is nearly as vast as the subject ...
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Economics of global warming

There are a number of policies that governments might consider in response to global warming. The assessment of such policies involves the economics of global warming.Global warming is a long-term problem. One of the most important greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide. Around 20% of carbon dioxide which is emitted due to human activities can remain in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. The long time scales and uncertainty associated with global warming have led analysts to develop ""scenarios"" of future environmental, social and economic changes. These scenarios can help governments understand the potential consequences of their decisions.The impacts of climate change include the loss of biodiversity, sea level rise, increased frequency and severity of some extreme weather events, and acidification of the oceans. Economists have attempted to quantify these impacts in monetary terms, but these assessments can be controversial.The two main policy responses to global warming are to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and to adapt to the impacts of global warming (e.g., by building levees in response to sea level rise). Another policy response which has recently received greater attention is geoengineering of the climate system (e.g. injecting aerosols into the atmosphere to reflect sunlight away from the Earth's surface).One of the responses to the uncertainties of global warming is to adopt a strategy of sequential decision making. This strategy recognizes that decisions on global warming need to be made with incomplete information, and that decisions in the near term will have potentially long-term impacts. Governments might choose to use risk management as part of their policy response to global warming. For instance, a risk-based approach can be applied to climate impacts which are difficult to quantify in economic terms, e.g., the impacts of global warming on indigenous peoples.Analysts have assessed global warming in relation to sustainable development. Sustainable development considers how future generations might be affected by the actions of the current generation. In some areas, policies designed to address global warming may contribute positively towards other development objectives. In other areas, the cost of global warming policies may divert resources away from other socially and environmentally beneficial investments (the opportunity costs of climate change policy).
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