Slide 1
... • Numerical models of atmosphere (and ocean) show sensitivity to initial conditions • For atmosphere practical limit of deterministic forecasts is 10 days. • Small uncertainties amplify and affect evolution of large-scale state • For climate purposes this means that future forecasts are probabilisti ...
... • Numerical models of atmosphere (and ocean) show sensitivity to initial conditions • For atmosphere practical limit of deterministic forecasts is 10 days. • Small uncertainties amplify and affect evolution of large-scale state • For climate purposes this means that future forecasts are probabilisti ...
Climate Change Risk Analysis: Assessment of Future Natural
... the risk of such events will only continue to rise (Melillo et al. 2014). Not surprisingly, regional reports echo this warning and urge residents and governmental agencies in the Northeastern United States to prepare for increased flooding and extreme heat and weather events in the coming decades (M ...
... the risk of such events will only continue to rise (Melillo et al. 2014). Not surprisingly, regional reports echo this warning and urge residents and governmental agencies in the Northeastern United States to prepare for increased flooding and extreme heat and weather events in the coming decades (M ...
New England Climate Adaptation PROJECT - NECAP
... May 2013, established baseline opinions about climate change risk and adaptation among residents in Wells. Between June and December 2013, NECAP staff ran eight workshops in the Wells area and engaged 115 participants in the role-play simulations and follow-up debriefings. At the workshops, all part ...
... May 2013, established baseline opinions about climate change risk and adaptation among residents in Wells. Between June and December 2013, NECAP staff ran eight workshops in the Wells area and engaged 115 participants in the role-play simulations and follow-up debriefings. At the workshops, all part ...
Local Climate Change Governance
... governance. In the last decade, however, an increasing number of scholars have paid attention to how climate change is perceived and addressed at the local level. The growing interest on the local impacts of, and reaction to, climate change was engendered by the insight that in spite of internationa ...
... governance. In the last decade, however, an increasing number of scholars have paid attention to how climate change is perceived and addressed at the local level. The growing interest on the local impacts of, and reaction to, climate change was engendered by the insight that in spite of internationa ...
STRIVE An Assessment of Uncertainties Report Series No.48
... of projected temperature changes between GCMs; for ...
... of projected temperature changes between GCMs; for ...
Aalborg Universitet Avoiding climate change uncertainties in Strategic Environmental Assessment
... the climate system to these emissions” and both of these factors as well as impact assessments of climate changes are influenced by uncertainty (Jenkins and Lowe, 2003). For example, in the report Impacts of Europe's Changing Climate from the European Environment Agency, it is pointed out that there ...
... the climate system to these emissions” and both of these factors as well as impact assessments of climate changes are influenced by uncertainty (Jenkins and Lowe, 2003). For example, in the report Impacts of Europe's Changing Climate from the European Environment Agency, it is pointed out that there ...
Connecting Changing Ocean Circulation with Changing Climate
... without circulation changes resembles carbon storage (either with or without circulation changes) more than it resembles the heat storage when currents are allowed to respond. This is shown to be due to the larger magnitude of the redistribution transport—the change in transport due to circulation a ...
... without circulation changes resembles carbon storage (either with or without circulation changes) more than it resembles the heat storage when currents are allowed to respond. This is shown to be due to the larger magnitude of the redistribution transport—the change in transport due to circulation a ...
www.ivt.ethz.ch
... • Understand the behavior of the whole carsharing system under different (carsharing) pricing scenarios • Get hints on the interactions between traditional station based carsharing and free-floating carsharing under such scenarios ...
... • Understand the behavior of the whole carsharing system under different (carsharing) pricing scenarios • Get hints on the interactions between traditional station based carsharing and free-floating carsharing under such scenarios ...
Julie Wilk hydrology Scenario paper LAST
... changes than it has seen in the past, and what remains to be determined is how these changes will affect downstream water supplies. There is now considerable evidence of a discernible anthropogenic influence on global climate (IPCC, 2001) associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Furthermore, ...
... changes than it has seen in the past, and what remains to be determined is how these changes will affect downstream water supplies. There is now considerable evidence of a discernible anthropogenic influence on global climate (IPCC, 2001) associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Furthermore, ...
TSRA Climate Change Strategy-2014-2018
... over the years and decades ahead. The unique cultures and environments of the Torres Strait that have weathered change over many millennia, now face a very uncertain future. Our island communities, ecosystems, infrastructure, livelihoods, wellbeing, culture and identity are all threatened by the man ...
... over the years and decades ahead. The unique cultures and environments of the Torres Strait that have weathered change over many millennia, now face a very uncertain future. Our island communities, ecosystems, infrastructure, livelihoods, wellbeing, culture and identity are all threatened by the man ...
Curriculum Vitae - Center for Research on Environmental
... Benjamin Orlove and David Guillet. Theoretical and methodological considerations on the study of mountain peoples: reflections on the idea of subsistence type and the role of history in human ecology. Mountain Research and Development 5(1):3-18. Benjamin Orlove and David Guillet, eds. Convergences a ...
... Benjamin Orlove and David Guillet. Theoretical and methodological considerations on the study of mountain peoples: reflections on the idea of subsistence type and the role of history in human ecology. Mountain Research and Development 5(1):3-18. Benjamin Orlove and David Guillet, eds. Convergences a ...
Climate change impacts on groundwater hydrology
... key sources of uncertainty related to hydrological models originate from data, parameter values, and model structure (Refsgaard et al. 2007). The model structural uncertainty includes aspects related to process equations, conceptualisation of the local hydrological system being studied, spatial and ...
... key sources of uncertainty related to hydrological models originate from data, parameter values, and model structure (Refsgaard et al. 2007). The model structural uncertainty includes aspects related to process equations, conceptualisation of the local hydrological system being studied, spatial and ...
a Climate of Conflict
... the climate change debate along in several ways. First, it reflects a major increase in the degree of scientific consensus about the reality of climate change and, second, growing consensus that it is caused by human activity. Third, the AR4 emphasises that the consequences of climate change are alr ...
... the climate change debate along in several ways. First, it reflects a major increase in the degree of scientific consensus about the reality of climate change and, second, growing consensus that it is caused by human activity. Third, the AR4 emphasises that the consequences of climate change are alr ...
Climate Systems Regional Report: Southern Africa
... Southern Africa's continental climate is generally hot and rainy in summer with cold and dry winters. This largely results from the atmospheric systems that dominate the regional climate; namely an anticyclonic high pressure system over the continent during winter and an intermittent thermal trough ...
... Southern Africa's continental climate is generally hot and rainy in summer with cold and dry winters. This largely results from the atmospheric systems that dominate the regional climate; namely an anticyclonic high pressure system over the continent during winter and an intermittent thermal trough ...
Future Change of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone
... (JMA) atmospheric general circulation model. The present-day simulation reproduces many essential features of observed climatology and interannual variability in TC frequency of occurrence and tracks over the NA. For the future projection, the model is driven by the sea surface temperature (SST) tha ...
... (JMA) atmospheric general circulation model. The present-day simulation reproduces many essential features of observed climatology and interannual variability in TC frequency of occurrence and tracks over the NA. For the future projection, the model is driven by the sea surface temperature (SST) tha ...
Extreme Weather Report 2012
... up the environment & increase personal freedom & energy security' Washington Post endorses carbon tax 'to fight global warming', Predicts it 'could bring in serious money' -- 'would raise $125 billion a year': 'A carbon tax would make sense regardless of revenue it would raise. But the policy could ...
... up the environment & increase personal freedom & energy security' Washington Post endorses carbon tax 'to fight global warming', Predicts it 'could bring in serious money' -- 'would raise $125 billion a year': 'A carbon tax would make sense regardless of revenue it would raise. But the policy could ...
Aviation`s Contribution to Climate Change
... Aircraft engines produce emissions that are similar to other emissions produced by fossil fuel combustion ( for technology advances in aircraft and aircraft engines, refer to Chapter 2 of this report ). However, most of these emissions are released directly into the upper troposphere and lower strat ...
... Aircraft engines produce emissions that are similar to other emissions produced by fossil fuel combustion ( for technology advances in aircraft and aircraft engines, refer to Chapter 2 of this report ). However, most of these emissions are released directly into the upper troposphere and lower strat ...
Guiding Principles for City Climate Action Planning
... national governments to address the pressing needs of their citizens. To expand their capacity to take on the challenge of climate change, cities are joining forums that encourage collaboration between multiple levels of government, business, and civil society. Hundreds of cities worldwide have join ...
... national governments to address the pressing needs of their citizens. To expand their capacity to take on the challenge of climate change, cities are joining forums that encourage collaboration between multiple levels of government, business, and civil society. Hundreds of cities worldwide have join ...
Arctic Biodiversity - Harvard Life Sciences Outreach Program
... Harvard University Life Sciences - HHMI Outreach Summer 2010 Workshop for Biology Teachers ...
... Harvard University Life Sciences - HHMI Outreach Summer 2010 Workshop for Biology Teachers ...
Black Carbon Mitigation and the Role of the
... atmosphere. This list includes short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) such as black carbon (BC), methane (CH4 ) and other precursors of tropospheric ozone (O3 ). Reducing the emissions of SLCPs can help slow the rate of global warming – particularly over the next two to four decades. In so doing, it ...
... atmosphere. This list includes short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) such as black carbon (BC), methane (CH4 ) and other precursors of tropospheric ozone (O3 ). Reducing the emissions of SLCPs can help slow the rate of global warming – particularly over the next two to four decades. In so doing, it ...
Western Europe is warming much faster than expected
... and Weddell Seas, and along the equator the meridional resolution is about 0.5◦ . There are 40 vertical layers with thickness ranging from 10 m at the surface to 600 m at the bottom. The experimental period is 1950–2100. For the historical part of this period (1950–2000) the concentrations of greenh ...
... and Weddell Seas, and along the equator the meridional resolution is about 0.5◦ . There are 40 vertical layers with thickness ranging from 10 m at the surface to 600 m at the bottom. The experimental period is 1950–2100. For the historical part of this period (1950–2000) the concentrations of greenh ...
Future Directions - WCRP Strategic Framework
... to predict its evolution. In addition, assessments by the WMO/UNEP IPCC would not be possible without significant contributions by many WCRP scientists and groups. WCRP modelling experiments were the basis for many of those assessments, and some of the relevant outputs were the climate projections b ...
... to predict its evolution. In addition, assessments by the WMO/UNEP IPCC would not be possible without significant contributions by many WCRP scientists and groups. WCRP modelling experiments were the basis for many of those assessments, and some of the relevant outputs were the climate projections b ...
E1AH_Sample_Answers_Quiz_2
... would surely concur that climate change is an urgent issue to address. In fact, I am certain that they would agree that the only solution to our current predicament is youth empowerment. Although Mr. Martinez and Mr. Gates have different approaches in tackling the issue and may not see eye to eye on ...
... would surely concur that climate change is an urgent issue to address. In fact, I am certain that they would agree that the only solution to our current predicament is youth empowerment. Although Mr. Martinez and Mr. Gates have different approaches in tackling the issue and may not see eye to eye on ...
1. Climate Change and Insect Pest Distribution Range, Andrea
... on insect individuals, or populations in isolation, to real insect populations in complex food webs must be viewed with caution. Here, we present the state-of-the-art when it comes to understanding climate change-induced range expansion; intensified dispersal to novel geographic areas is an expected ...
... on insect individuals, or populations in isolation, to real insect populations in complex food webs must be viewed with caution. Here, we present the state-of-the-art when it comes to understanding climate change-induced range expansion; intensified dispersal to novel geographic areas is an expected ...
Hurricane flood risk to buildings in New York City – future
... Various types of building-level measures to reduce flood risk were implemented in the model by changing the damage curves (Supplementary Table 1). The measures considered are elevation of the buildings, dryproofing (sealing the building so no water can come in), wetproofing (adjusting the interior a ...
... Various types of building-level measures to reduce flood risk were implemented in the model by changing the damage curves (Supplementary Table 1). The measures considered are elevation of the buildings, dryproofing (sealing the building so no water can come in), wetproofing (adjusting the interior a ...