Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes
... Second, also in today’s practice of digesting hydrometeorological information into a decision support system, many improvements can still be realised. These improvements, for instance, concern a better climatology of current risk, a better observational record of extreme events and their impacts, a ...
... Second, also in today’s practice of digesting hydrometeorological information into a decision support system, many improvements can still be realised. These improvements, for instance, concern a better climatology of current risk, a better observational record of extreme events and their impacts, a ...
PDF
... outside the scope of the reparative obligation”.4 In other words, since specific impacts of climate change cannot (yet) be attributed to specific emissions of greenhouse gases by polluters, there is no basis for liability claims (yet). Another complexity is the question of which actor should be held ...
... outside the scope of the reparative obligation”.4 In other words, since specific impacts of climate change cannot (yet) be attributed to specific emissions of greenhouse gases by polluters, there is no basis for liability claims (yet). Another complexity is the question of which actor should be held ...
Beyond long-term averages: making biological sense of a rapidly
... accurately capture limits under future, novel climatic conditions [24,25]. An explicit focus on the weather patterns likely to occur under future climate scenarios [26] coupled with knowledge of which factors most affect organisms [14] will provide insights into this dilemma. For example, many studi ...
... accurately capture limits under future, novel climatic conditions [24,25]. An explicit focus on the weather patterns likely to occur under future climate scenarios [26] coupled with knowledge of which factors most affect organisms [14] will provide insights into this dilemma. For example, many studi ...
Rapid Climate Change Science Plan
... probability and magnitude of future rapid change in climate. The programme aims to investigate and understand the causes of rapid climate change, with a main (but not exclusive) focus on the role of the Atlantic Ocean’s thermohaline circulation (THC). Using a combination of observations (present day ...
... probability and magnitude of future rapid change in climate. The programme aims to investigate and understand the causes of rapid climate change, with a main (but not exclusive) focus on the role of the Atlantic Ocean’s thermohaline circulation (THC). Using a combination of observations (present day ...
Climate variability and change: a perspective from the oceania region
... may have “masked” greenhouse gas-induced changes in rainfall over the northern part of Western Australia and in the circulation over the wider Indo-Pacific region. Due to the opposing effects of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols, future trends may be very different from trends observed ove ...
... may have “masked” greenhouse gas-induced changes in rainfall over the northern part of Western Australia and in the circulation over the wider Indo-Pacific region. Due to the opposing effects of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols, future trends may be very different from trends observed ove ...
Science, Scientists, and Local Weather: Understanding Mass
... cycles that are beyond the control of humankind, and in any event there is little that society can do to affect major changes in the world’s climate. Still other Americans deny that climate change exists at all. For these Americans, concerns about global warming are not only unwarranted but rather r ...
... cycles that are beyond the control of humankind, and in any event there is little that society can do to affect major changes in the world’s climate. Still other Americans deny that climate change exists at all. For these Americans, concerns about global warming are not only unwarranted but rather r ...
Do international factors influence the passage of climate change
... Section 4 describes the methodology and main results. Section 5 discusses narrower results focused on particular country contexts (viz. Annex 1 vs non-Annex 1 countries, left-wing vs right-wing administrations, strong vs weak democracies). Section 6 concludes. The main paper is complemented by a tec ...
... Section 4 describes the methodology and main results. Section 5 discusses narrower results focused on particular country contexts (viz. Annex 1 vs non-Annex 1 countries, left-wing vs right-wing administrations, strong vs weak democracies). Section 6 concludes. The main paper is complemented by a tec ...
The CCAM multi-scale variable-resolution modelling system
... in tropical cyclone and tropical low frequencies over the southwestern IO and southern Africa, for 2071-2100 relative to ...
... in tropical cyclone and tropical low frequencies over the southwestern IO and southern Africa, for 2071-2100 relative to ...
This article was originally published in a journal published by
... This paper discusses the diverse climate forcings that impact agricultural systems, and contrasts the current paradigm of using global models downscaled to agricultural areas (a top-down approach) with a new paradigm that first assesses the vulnerability of agricultural activities to the spectrum of ...
... This paper discusses the diverse climate forcings that impact agricultural systems, and contrasts the current paradigm of using global models downscaled to agricultural areas (a top-down approach) with a new paradigm that first assesses the vulnerability of agricultural activities to the spectrum of ...
ALEC Quote - Union of Concerned Scientists
... ALEC works to influence policy on behalf of powerful corporate interests, including the fossil fuel industry. Internal documents show that ALEC has for several decades engaged in disinformation campaigns to sow doubt about climate science among state legislators, while peddling various forms of “mod ...
... ALEC works to influence policy on behalf of powerful corporate interests, including the fossil fuel industry. Internal documents show that ALEC has for several decades engaged in disinformation campaigns to sow doubt about climate science among state legislators, while peddling various forms of “mod ...
ACTSA Briefing paper_Climate change in southern
... further aggravated by climate variability and climate change. With a temperature rise of four degrees, some projections show that an increase in droughts across Africa may cause a fall in harvests of roughly 15 - 35 percent, in stark contrast to an average global decline of 10 percent, according to ...
... further aggravated by climate variability and climate change. With a temperature rise of four degrees, some projections show that an increase in droughts across Africa may cause a fall in harvests of roughly 15 - 35 percent, in stark contrast to an average global decline of 10 percent, according to ...
Changes in the potential distribution of humid tropical forests on a
... on annual rainfall, temperature and the perhumidity index (PI [17]) that attempts to summarize both the dry- and wet-season precipitation characteristics into a single index value. In this scheme, a low-temperature boundary is used to separate a group of tropical climates associated with biologicall ...
... on annual rainfall, temperature and the perhumidity index (PI [17]) that attempts to summarize both the dry- and wet-season precipitation characteristics into a single index value. In this scheme, a low-temperature boundary is used to separate a group of tropical climates associated with biologicall ...
The Effects of Climate Change on Public Health and the Healthcare
... reported that even if humankind manages to curb excess greenhouse gas emissions within the next half-century, the world’s oceans will continue to rise for up to 1000 years, reflecting the great inertial processes as heat is transferred from surface to deep water” (McMichael, p. 859, 2006). This is o ...
... reported that even if humankind manages to curb excess greenhouse gas emissions within the next half-century, the world’s oceans will continue to rise for up to 1000 years, reflecting the great inertial processes as heat is transferred from surface to deep water” (McMichael, p. 859, 2006). This is o ...
study of future climatic variations of a teleconnection pattern
... The term "teleconnection pattern" refers to the statistically significant negative correlation of recurring and persistent circulation anomalies between two or more geographical areas that could be adjacent or at greater distances. Teleconnection patterns appear as preferred modes of low-frequency ( ...
... The term "teleconnection pattern" refers to the statistically significant negative correlation of recurring and persistent circulation anomalies between two or more geographical areas that could be adjacent or at greater distances. Teleconnection patterns appear as preferred modes of low-frequency ( ...
COP 17 and accountants: where next? AccountAncy futures
... We can solve the world’s financial problems, but without solving the challenges to the sustainability of our natural world, these other achievements will be in vain. ACCA has long recognised the importance of the climate change challenge. Moreover, it has long made the case that the accountancy prof ...
... We can solve the world’s financial problems, but without solving the challenges to the sustainability of our natural world, these other achievements will be in vain. ACCA has long recognised the importance of the climate change challenge. Moreover, it has long made the case that the accountancy prof ...
Impacts of Climate Change on London`s Transport Systems
... its transport system with 26 million trips made each day for work, education or leisure. Extreme weather in recent years has brought challenges to keeping London moving – flooding, heat waves and storms have all brought about delays and increased costs that have affected London’s economy and the wel ...
... its transport system with 26 million trips made each day for work, education or leisure. Extreme weather in recent years has brought challenges to keeping London moving – flooding, heat waves and storms have all brought about delays and increased costs that have affected London’s economy and the wel ...
Aalborg Universitet Heiselberg, Per Kvols
... including increased airing and solar shading besides mechanical cooling. We investigate the implications of different renewable based electricity supply options for space cooling and ventilation of the building. The results show that the space heating demand is significantly reduced and cooling dema ...
... including increased airing and solar shading besides mechanical cooling. We investigate the implications of different renewable based electricity supply options for space cooling and ventilation of the building. The results show that the space heating demand is significantly reduced and cooling dema ...
PDF - BC3 Basque Centre for Climate Change
... - Discounting in an asymmetric world L2.Climate and energy policies in Spain: side effects and industry-level impacts - Portfolios for a low carbon growth - A fourth dividend for renewable energy? L3.Investment under uncertainty: power utilities and climate policy - The appeal of energy efficiency: ...
... - Discounting in an asymmetric world L2.Climate and energy policies in Spain: side effects and industry-level impacts - Portfolios for a low carbon growth - A fourth dividend for renewable energy? L3.Investment under uncertainty: power utilities and climate policy - The appeal of energy efficiency: ...
Biodiversity and climate change
... To raise awareness, particularly among decision makers in relevant sectors and at different levels of government, about ecosystem-based approaches to climate change adaptation, mitigation and disaster risk reduction; (f) To recognize the role of protected areas and other effective area-based conserv ...
... To raise awareness, particularly among decision makers in relevant sectors and at different levels of government, about ecosystem-based approaches to climate change adaptation, mitigation and disaster risk reduction; (f) To recognize the role of protected areas and other effective area-based conserv ...
Detection and Attribution of External Influences on the Climate System
... Third Assessment Report (TAR; IPCC 2001). The weight of evidence that humans have influenced the course of climate during the past century has accumulated rapidly since the inception of the IADG. While little evidence was reported on a detectable anthropogenic influence on climate in IPCC (1990), a ...
... Third Assessment Report (TAR; IPCC 2001). The weight of evidence that humans have influenced the course of climate during the past century has accumulated rapidly since the inception of the IADG. While little evidence was reported on a detectable anthropogenic influence on climate in IPCC (1990), a ...
Modelling the impact of future changes in climate, CO2
... The future emissions of greenhouse gases will depend on future trends in the global economy, population growth, and technological change. The recognition that these factors are linked led the IPCC to develop a set of scenarios, in which change in each factor is consistent with a particular ‘storylin ...
... The future emissions of greenhouse gases will depend on future trends in the global economy, population growth, and technological change. The recognition that these factors are linked led the IPCC to develop a set of scenarios, in which change in each factor is consistent with a particular ‘storylin ...
Ethics, equity and the economics of climate change. Paper 1: science and philosophy: Working Paper 84a (568 kB) (opens in new window)
... an immense scale; business-as-usual implies risks of temperatures not seen on the planet for tens of millions of years, with consequences that could lead to the movement of hundreds of millions of people and thus possibly severe and prolonged conflict. Risks on this scale take us far outside the fam ...
... an immense scale; business-as-usual implies risks of temperatures not seen on the planet for tens of millions of years, with consequences that could lead to the movement of hundreds of millions of people and thus possibly severe and prolonged conflict. Risks on this scale take us far outside the fam ...
Global warming controversy
The global warming controversy concerns the public debate over whether global warming is occurring, how much has occurred in modern times, what has caused it, what its effects will be, whether any action should be taken to curb it, and if so what that action should be. In the scientific literature, there is a strong consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused primarily by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases. No scientific body of national or international standing disagrees with this view, though a few organizations with members in extractive industries hold non-committal positions. Disputes over the key scientific facts of global warming are now more prevalent in the popular media than in the scientific literature, where such issues are treated as resolved, and more in the United States than globally.Political and popular debate concerning the existence and cause of climate change includes the reasons for the increase seen in the instrumental temperature record, whether the warming trend exceeds normal climatic variations, and whether human activities have contributed significantly to it. Scientists have resolved many of these questions decisively in favour of the view that the current warming trend exists and is ongoing, that human activity is the primary cause, and that it is without precedent in at least 2000 years. Disputes that also reflect scientific debate include estimates of how responsive the climate system might be to any given level of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), and what the consequences of global warming will be.Global warming remains an issue of widespread political debate, often split along party political lines, especially in the United States. Many of the largely settled scientific issues, such as the human responsibility for global warming, remain the subject of politically or economically motivated attempts to downplay, dismiss or deny them – an ideological phenomenon categorised by academics and scientists as climate change denial. The sources of funding for those involved with climate science – both supporting and opposing mainstream scientific positions – have been questioned by both sides. There are debates about the best policy responses to the science, their cost-effectiveness and their urgency. Climate scientists, especially in the United States, have reported official and oil-industry pressure to censor or suppress their work and hide scientific data, with directives not to discuss the subject in public communications. Legal cases regarding global warming, its effects, and measures to reduce it have reached American courts. The fossil fuels lobby and free market think tanks have often been identified as overtly or covertly supporting efforts to undermine or discredit the scientific consensus on global warming.