Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions
... A number of methods have been employed to provide detailed information about future climate. Sometimes, the output of one or more climate models, simulating one or more scenarios of future greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, is simply taken as indicative and therefore suitable for purpose (e.g. UKCIP02 ...
... A number of methods have been employed to provide detailed information about future climate. Sometimes, the output of one or more climate models, simulating one or more scenarios of future greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, is simply taken as indicative and therefore suitable for purpose (e.g. UKCIP02 ...
Beyond collapse - Climate change and causality
... livelihoods and migration undertaken within the context of development studies, since the 1950s (e.g. Jónsson, 2010). The extent to which such recent historical evidence can be used as a basis for understanding how human populations might respond to climate change over the coming decades, and even c ...
... livelihoods and migration undertaken within the context of development studies, since the 1950s (e.g. Jónsson, 2010). The extent to which such recent historical evidence can be used as a basis for understanding how human populations might respond to climate change over the coming decades, and even c ...
Climate Change in Turkmenistan - Grand Valley State University
... increasing pressures caused by the global climate change on livelihoods deteriorate the human vulnerability to the on-going desertification processes and natural climatic variability. The impacts of climate change in desert countries, such as Turkmenistan, are likely to lead to still larger populati ...
... increasing pressures caused by the global climate change on livelihoods deteriorate the human vulnerability to the on-going desertification processes and natural climatic variability. The impacts of climate change in desert countries, such as Turkmenistan, are likely to lead to still larger populati ...
Success factors for communicating climate change
... The foremost important step is to identify, determine and comprehend the recipients of the message, namely the dialogue groups. Communication can only be successful, if it is adequately adapted to the recipient(s). This is of high significance, as not only the awareness on climate change within the ...
... The foremost important step is to identify, determine and comprehend the recipients of the message, namely the dialogue groups. Communication can only be successful, if it is adequately adapted to the recipient(s). This is of high significance, as not only the awareness on climate change within the ...
Global Change in Local Places: How Scale Matters
... but the actions themselves are mostly local (Kasperson et al., 1985: 43–66; see also Palm, 1990; Hewitt, 1997). Other literatures reinforce this impression, considering evidence about the scale of human-ecological self-determination (e.g., Wilbanks, 1994: 547–548) and scale and consensual decisionma ...
... but the actions themselves are mostly local (Kasperson et al., 1985: 43–66; see also Palm, 1990; Hewitt, 1997). Other literatures reinforce this impression, considering evidence about the scale of human-ecological self-determination (e.g., Wilbanks, 1994: 547–548) and scale and consensual decisionma ...
Carbon footprinting on farms
... factors such as woodland, landuse change and nitrogen content of fertilisers. In addition the user can choose between using standard national emissions for the sheep, dairy and beef cattle on the farm or a more complex model which allows the user to input herd/flock specific information regarding di ...
... factors such as woodland, landuse change and nitrogen content of fertilisers. In addition the user can choose between using standard national emissions for the sheep, dairy and beef cattle on the farm or a more complex model which allows the user to input herd/flock specific information regarding di ...
2nd Joint International Workshop – June 21st 2004
... should be done in, for example, the river area. The physical side of this issue involves identifying water retention areas and the next step is getting the stakeholders to realise the need for the space. RIZA also has an indirect role in advising our Minister on implementation of policies at the reg ...
... should be done in, for example, the river area. The physical side of this issue involves identifying water retention areas and the next step is getting the stakeholders to realise the need for the space. RIZA also has an indirect role in advising our Minister on implementation of policies at the reg ...
Queries for ecol-90-04-15 1. AU: Should Dieckmann be changed to
... Shukla 1981). In contrast, short-term (less than one week) forecasts are much less predictable for the tropics than they are for the temperate zones where the movement of weather fronts across the continents is now well characterized. Ironically, it is much harder to make mid-term predictions for th ...
... Shukla 1981). In contrast, short-term (less than one week) forecasts are much less predictable for the tropics than they are for the temperate zones where the movement of weather fronts across the continents is now well characterized. Ironically, it is much harder to make mid-term predictions for th ...
Word - Oceanclimate.de
... act to ensure that the climate convention serves a purpose. "Our first goal is a follow-up conference to the Climate Convention where we can get down to serious business," he declared at the end of the Earth Summit in Rio.19 As other voices have also commented that while the results were not optimal ...
... act to ensure that the climate convention serves a purpose. "Our first goal is a follow-up conference to the Climate Convention where we can get down to serious business," he declared at the end of the Earth Summit in Rio.19 As other voices have also commented that while the results were not optimal ...
changes in high flows in Sweden in the past and the future (1911
... from observation networks of rivers with near-natural conditions (e.g., Lindström and Bergström, 2004; Hannah et al., 2010), and time series of more than 50–60 years are recommended to account for natural variability (Yue et al., 2012; Chen and Grasby, 2009). Accordingly, we used time series spannin ...
... from observation networks of rivers with near-natural conditions (e.g., Lindström and Bergström, 2004; Hannah et al., 2010), and time series of more than 50–60 years are recommended to account for natural variability (Yue et al., 2012; Chen and Grasby, 2009). Accordingly, we used time series spannin ...
... http://www.epa.gov/oms/climate/regulations/scc-tsd.pdf * Gernot Wagner & Richard Zeckhauser, “Climate Policy: Hard Problem, Soft Thinking” (March 24, 2011), at http://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/11678_climate-policy-hard-problemsoft-thinking.pdf Some questions to consider: Does law lag science – ...
Warsaw: On the Road to Paris
... Warsaw: On the Road to Paris Through a series of decisions adopted at COP 17 in Durban, South Africa, countries reaffirmed their resolve to tackle climate change. They further built on those decisions at COP 18 in Doha, Qatar. This resolve is yet to be put into action as global emissions continue to ...
... Warsaw: On the Road to Paris Through a series of decisions adopted at COP 17 in Durban, South Africa, countries reaffirmed their resolve to tackle climate change. They further built on those decisions at COP 18 in Doha, Qatar. This resolve is yet to be put into action as global emissions continue to ...
How much disease could climate change cause?
... climate variations, it is inevitable that long-term climate change will have some effect on global population health. Climate change is likely to affect not only health but also many aspects of ecological and social systems, and will be slow and difficult (perhaps impossible) to reverse. Many theref ...
... climate variations, it is inevitable that long-term climate change will have some effect on global population health. Climate change is likely to affect not only health but also many aspects of ecological and social systems, and will be slow and difficult (perhaps impossible) to reverse. Many theref ...
climate change studies in mongolia
... well as one of the grazing criteria for winter pasture, it takes a lot of time to collect data and process the data into electronic form. We analyzed the snow cover in last year study and in the fist half of these year we studied the snow depth. As a result of increased winter precipitation snow dep ...
... well as one of the grazing criteria for winter pasture, it takes a lot of time to collect data and process the data into electronic form. We analyzed the snow cover in last year study and in the fist half of these year we studied the snow depth. As a result of increased winter precipitation snow dep ...
PDF
... hypothesized to affect adaptation measures in this study. Multinomial logit model was used to analyze the determinants of farmers’ choice of technologies. An attempt was made to explore how farmers would make technology choices to adapt to changes in the exogenous factors such as climate along with ...
... hypothesized to affect adaptation measures in this study. Multinomial logit model was used to analyze the determinants of farmers’ choice of technologies. An attempt was made to explore how farmers would make technology choices to adapt to changes in the exogenous factors such as climate along with ...
here - Climate Realists
... fuel is the main cause for the earth’s current (the last ~150 years) GW. 2. IPCC considers the following GH gases – carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, CFC, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride. 3. IPCC does not consider water vapor to be a GH gas, but the NIPCC report d ...
... fuel is the main cause for the earth’s current (the last ~150 years) GW. 2. IPCC considers the following GH gases – carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, CFC, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride. 3. IPCC does not consider water vapor to be a GH gas, but the NIPCC report d ...
English
... As in the original report, climate-related geoengineering is defined as a deliberate intervention in the planetary environment of a nature and scale intended to counteract anthropogenic climate change and its impacts. This definition is used for the purposes of the 2015 Update without prejudice to a ...
... As in the original report, climate-related geoengineering is defined as a deliberate intervention in the planetary environment of a nature and scale intended to counteract anthropogenic climate change and its impacts. This definition is used for the purposes of the 2015 Update without prejudice to a ...
The Second Annual Report
... The second annual report of the Climate Change Commission for Wales is published in the interim period of the Government's annual progress reports. 7 Going forward, the Commission will respond directly to the Welsh Government's Climate Change Strategy Progress Report, due in Autumn 2013. It will be ...
... The second annual report of the Climate Change Commission for Wales is published in the interim period of the Government's annual progress reports. 7 Going forward, the Commission will respond directly to the Welsh Government's Climate Change Strategy Progress Report, due in Autumn 2013. It will be ...
The equilibrium sensitivity of Earth`s temperature to radiation changes.
... impossible to use observed global temperature changes during that period to constrain S more tightly than the range explored by climate models (1.5–4.5 °C at the time), and that the upper end of the range was particularly difficult to estimate, although qualitatively similar conclusions appear in ea ...
... impossible to use observed global temperature changes during that period to constrain S more tightly than the range explored by climate models (1.5–4.5 °C at the time), and that the upper end of the range was particularly difficult to estimate, although qualitatively similar conclusions appear in ea ...
Influence of parallel computational uncertainty on simulations of the
... We designed the parallel computational uncertainly experiments to mimic the round-off error due to using different CPU configuration based on the state-of-art climate model of CCSM3. For the monthly time series of Global-SST and Nino-SST, the results show that the influence of the parallel computati ...
... We designed the parallel computational uncertainly experiments to mimic the round-off error due to using different CPU configuration based on the state-of-art climate model of CCSM3. For the monthly time series of Global-SST and Nino-SST, the results show that the influence of the parallel computati ...
Presenters
... Antarctic ice sheet melting provides negative feedbacks on future climate warming Forcing and feedback in the climate-carbon system Contributions to AR5 from IGBP: an Earth Systems Approach Evaluation of the radiative forcing of climate change factors and its effects to the climate system Long-term ...
... Antarctic ice sheet melting provides negative feedbacks on future climate warming Forcing and feedback in the climate-carbon system Contributions to AR5 from IGBP: an Earth Systems Approach Evaluation of the radiative forcing of climate change factors and its effects to the climate system Long-term ...
What is climate change - Committees
... change. It recommends that early actions on climate change are required as ignoring climate change will damage economic growth. The benefits of strong and early action would considerably outweigh the costs. Additionally, given that climate change is happening, the provision of measures to help peopl ...
... change. It recommends that early actions on climate change are required as ignoring climate change will damage economic growth. The benefits of strong and early action would considerably outweigh the costs. Additionally, given that climate change is happening, the provision of measures to help peopl ...
The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth`s temperature to radiation
... impossible to use observed global temperature changes during that period to constrain S more tightly than the range explored by climate models (1.5–4.5 °C at the time), and that the upper end of the range was particularly difficult to estimate, although qualitatively similar conclusions appear in ea ...
... impossible to use observed global temperature changes during that period to constrain S more tightly than the range explored by climate models (1.5–4.5 °C at the time), and that the upper end of the range was particularly difficult to estimate, although qualitatively similar conclusions appear in ea ...
Case Study - Sorsogon City
... to the highly technical discourse of what lies ahead which seemed vague and “far off” in some sense especially to local communities. The initial exposure analysis therefore solicited inputs from the communities themselves. Their observations, as evidenced by the changes they experience in their dail ...
... to the highly technical discourse of what lies ahead which seemed vague and “far off” in some sense especially to local communities. The initial exposure analysis therefore solicited inputs from the communities themselves. Their observations, as evidenced by the changes they experience in their dail ...
Climate engineering
Climate engineering, also referred to as geoengineering or climate intervention, is the deliberate and large-scale intervention in the Earth’s climatic system with the aim of limiting adverse climate change. Climate engineering is an umbrella term for two types of measures: carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management. Carbon dioxide removal addresses the cause of climate change by removing one of the greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide) from the atmosphere. Solar radiation management attempts to offset effects of greenhouse gases by causing the Earth to absorb less solar radiation.Climate engineering approaches are sometimes viewed as additional potential options for limiting climate change, alongside mitigation and adaptation. There is substantial agreement among scientists that climate engineering cannot substitute climate change mitigation. Some approaches might be used as accompanying measures to sharp cuts in greenhouse gas emissions. Given that all types of measures addressing climate change have economic, political or physical limitations a some climate engineering approaches might eventually be used as part of an ensemble of measures. Research on costs, benefits, and various types of risks of most climate engineering approaches is at an early stage and their understanding needs to improve to judge their adequacy and feasibility.No known large-scale climate engineering projects have taken place to date. Almost all research into solar geoengineering has consisted of computer modelling or laboratory tests, and attempts to move to real-world experimentation have proved controversial for many types of climate engineering. Some practices, such as planting of trees and whitening of surfaces as well as bio-energy with carbon capture and storage projects are underway, their scalability to effectively affect global climate is however debated. Ocean iron fertilization has been given small-scale research trials, sparking substantial controversy.Most experts and major reports advise against relying on geoengineering techniques as a simple solution to climate change, in part due to the large uncertainties over effectiveness and side effects. However, most experts also argue that the risks of such interventions must be seen in the context of risks of dangerous climate change. Interventions at large scale may run a greater risk disrupting natural systems resulting in a dilemma that those approaches that could prove highly (cost-) effective in addressing extreme climate risk, might themselves cause substantial risk. Some have suggested that the concept of geoengineering the climate presents a moral hazard because it could reduce political and public pressure for emissions reduction, which could exacerbate overall climate risks.Groups such as ETC Group and some climate researchers (such as Raymond Pierrehumbert) are in favour of a moratorium on out-of-doors testing and deployment of SRM.