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Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios
Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios

Warming Power of CO2 and H2O: Correlations with Temperature
Warming Power of CO2 and H2O: Correlations with Temperature

Climate Change and the World Council of Churches
Climate Change and the World Council of Churches

... The most direct lineage for the WCC Climate Change work comes from the work of the former WCC Church in Society which convened a pivotal consultation in Budapest in 1974 to launch a study on science and technology which culminated in a major conference at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ...
Stabilization of atmospheric carbon dioxide via zero emissions—An
Stabilization of atmospheric carbon dioxide via zero emissions—An

climate variability - NCAR Research Applications Laboratory
climate variability - NCAR Research Applications Laboratory

... flows for the Colorado River at Lee's Ferry and for the Four Rivers index, northern California . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Darwin Southern Oscillation Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Change (from 1955-74 to 1975-94) of annual land ...
Reporting team bios, Exxon documents, related stories and more
Reporting team bios, Exxon documents, related stories and more

... TEXT: One Exxon research project outfitted an oil tanker with equipment to measure CO2 levels in the atmosphere and the ocean. ED GARVEY: We were collecting data: the Southern Atlantic, the Gulf of Mexico, and the western Indian Ocean. Basically every hour we would get several measurements. I called ...
Outline of implementation plan of Semi
Outline of implementation plan of Semi

... is occurring and will occur most significantly in the semi-arid regions under the global warming (Fu et al, 2000, Dai, 2003, Ma and Fu, 2005) On the other hand, the semi-arid region is also the one with most significant change of land cover under the development by humans. The human-induced land cov ...
PDF
PDF

... significantly constrain future opportunities to lower stabilisation levels and increase the risks of severe climatic shifts. Short term mitigation actions would avoid carbon intensity technology and development lock-ins. Yet, the IPCC Assessment Report and the studies cited do not quantify the costs ...
Dorrepall et al. 2006
Dorrepall et al. 2006

Attributing mortality from extreme temperatures to climate change in
Attributing mortality from extreme temperatures to climate change in

... cold and hot extremes on a decadal basis from 1901 until 2009, with a levelling off during the past three decades. This decline was probably due to, among other factors, improvements in health care and dwellings and behavioural changes during temperature extremes29 . The RRs of mortality during the ...
Long-Term Climate Change - Ontario Power Generation
Long-Term Climate Change - Ontario Power Generation

The Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change
The Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change

... trap heat in the near surface layers of the atmosphere and thus cause the earth’s surface to be considerably warmer than if there were no greenhouse effect. The mechanism of the natural greenhouse effect and its impact on the earth’s surface and atmospheric temperatures is shown schematically in Fig ...
Expert Opinion on Climate Change and Threats
Expert Opinion on Climate Change and Threats

... in progress, dialogue with informed colleagues, and other up-to-the-minute information. We show that scientists with differing degrees of knowledge about climate change predict differing amounts and different biological consequences of climate change, and we argue that the opinions of the most knowl ...
Supraoptimal temperatures influence the range dynamics of a
Supraoptimal temperatures influence the range dynamics of a

Future Change of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone
Future Change of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone

... b. Simulation setting and boundary conditions The multiyear climate simulations performed in this study were based on the so-called time slice experiments (Bengtsson et al. 1996), in which SST, sea ice concentration (SIC), and greenhouse gases are given as external forcings. To evaluate the future c ...
impacts of climate change on date palm in oman
impacts of climate change on date palm in oman

... simulated by models using natural and anthropogenic climatic change forcings (Meehl et al., 2007). The black line represents the decadal averages of observations for the period 1906–2005, plotted against the center of the decade and relative to the corresponding average for 1901–1950. Dashed lines d ...
Climate change
Climate change

... Climate change is a serious issue and will have severe and at the same time heterogeneous effects on the countries in the world. While some countries (as e.g. Russia, the Nordic countries) might benefit, provided that temperature increases are not too high, many countries, amongst them the poorest c ...
Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short
Evaluating the climate and air quality impacts of short

An Introduction to the Science of Climate Change
An Introduction to the Science of Climate Change

... natural resource dependent communities in different regions of the world, especially in third world or developing countries. Despite this, researchers have seldom extended this thinking to First Nations in Canada. While researchers and policy-makers may be of the view that Canada as a whole is econo ...
Motivated Recall in the Service of the Economic System
Motivated Recall in the Service of the Economic System

... possibility of satisfying system justification motivation by affirming the strength of the system (cf. Liviatan & Jost, 2014), emphasizing the success of the economic recovery rather than the recession. Much as self-affirmation interventions reduce self-serving biases in information processing (Cohe ...
14.2.2 Predictability in a Chaotic System
14.2.2 Predictability in a Chaotic System

... studies. A serious concern is the decline of observational networks. Further work is needed in eight broad areas: • Reverse the decline of observational networks in many parts of the world. Unless networks are significantly improved, it may be difficult or impossible to detect climate change over la ...
Adaptation to climate change in the developing world
Adaptation to climate change in the developing world

... How will the underlying vulnerability change in the future as climate changes? Or does the vulnerability ‘map’ of today’s world simply project forward in time? Just as there is differential vulnerability to today’s climate, is there differential vulnerability to future climate change? Answering thes ...
Opportunities and risks of climate change
Opportunities and risks of climate change

... subject to change. The global warming hypothesis is based not on statistical climatic observations, but on scientifically based assumptions concerning the causeand-effect relations between greenhouse gases and the earth’s thermal balance. Nevertheless, it is not known exactly how climate changes. In ...
Mathematics of Climate Change - Library
Mathematics of Climate Change - Library

... What actions is Washington taking to reduce global warming? At present, the U.S. government is trailing both public opinion in the U.S. and many other world governments in addressing the climate-change problem. Nevertheless, there are some grounds for optimism. At the United Nations Climate Change C ...
Antarctic climate change and the environment
Antarctic climate change and the environment

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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