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... planations of the uncertainty inherent in all forms of forecasting. ...
Climate Change Mitigation Strategies Findings from
Climate Change Mitigation Strategies Findings from

Hot Air in the Orient - Max-Planck
Hot Air in the Orient - Max-Planck

... Middle East and North Africa can expect an extremely hot future. Accordingly, from Morocco to Iran and from Turkey to Saudi Arabia, as well as in southern Europe, climate change will have the strongest impact in the months June, July and August, when it is already very hot anyway. In that respect, t ...
This article appeared in a journal published by - CREAF
This article appeared in a journal published by - CREAF

Is the Sky A Review of Recent Global Warming Scare Stories
Is the Sky A Review of Recent Global Warming Scare Stories

3.1.3 Intensification of the hydrological cycle – An important signal of
3.1.3 Intensification of the hydrological cycle – An important signal of

... regard to flood risks, water availability and water quality. Although climate observations do not show consistent global trends in the hydrological cycle despite of the global warming in the past century, strong regional changes are possible. These changes may not only vary regionally but also seaso ...
drive-thru-presentation-climate-change-ppm
drive-thru-presentation-climate-change-ppm

... should be no debate. At this point – we should all be working together in absolute unity toward a common goal. A common goal of survival. A common goal of protecting our children at all costs. If we are to survive as a species – we must reduce our emissions by 80% by 2050. The bottom line is that th ...
Homo Sapiens And The Sixth Mass Extinction Of Species
Homo Sapiens And The Sixth Mass Extinction Of Species

... Sea level rise constitutes a critical parameter which reflects all other components of th climate change. Since the early 20 century the rate of sea level rise increased from about 1 mm/year to about 3.5 mm/year (1993–2009 mean rate 3.2+/-0.4 mm/year), representing a nearly 4 fold increase in the ra ...
Climate Change and Health Vulnerability Assessment
Climate Change and Health Vulnerability Assessment

... among young children, are due to diarrhea, directly caused by unsafe water. •WHO estimates that today 2.4% of diarrheal deaths are due to climate change. (WHO uses very conservative methods to reach these estimates.) ...
ppt - WMO
ppt - WMO

... Includes a map of stations, which helps Members in negotiations for the national observations support ...
Climate change
Climate change

... climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean or variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. Climate variability refers to variations beyond individual weather events in the mean state and other stat ...
Workshop-2-Impacts-FINAL
Workshop-2-Impacts-FINAL

... acknowledged that the INDCs in aggregate fall short of what is necessary to put the world on a 1.5°C pathway and specifies that much greater emission reduction efforts will be necessary • Mobilizing political support among Parties for updated NDCs consistent with a 1.5°C pathway – the Paris Agreemen ...
Climate Change: Responses
Climate Change: Responses

... Stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such level should be achieved within a timeframe sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food produ ...
How do we know more CO2 is causing warming?
How do we know more CO2 is causing warming?

... Predicting the Future Good scientific theories are said to have ‘predictive power’. In other words, armed only with a theory, we should be able to make predictions about a subject. If the theory’s any good, the predictions will come true. Here’s an example: when the Table of Elements was proposed, ma ...
Climate Change - Currituck County Schools
Climate Change - Currituck County Schools

... http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/pluto/statistics.html ...
Madrid LSE lectures 20 Session I (opens in new window)
Madrid LSE lectures 20 Session I (opens in new window)

Are you Clear About Carbon? - Cornwall Development Company
Are you Clear About Carbon? - Cornwall Development Company

... Climate Change is based on the theories of Global Warming and the Greenhouse Effect. Due to advances in climatic modelling, scientists have found that an overall increase in global temperatures has an impact on weather systems, patterns and events which may not always manifest as heat waves or highe ...
Concept Note - the United Nations
Concept Note - the United Nations

... 1. Climate change is one of the major global challenges of the 21 st Century, and is one of the key priorities during the 69th Session of the General Assembly, having in mind that 2015 will be a critical year for the ongoing process under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Cl ...
Chapter 21: Global Climate Change (2013)
Chapter 21: Global Climate Change (2013)

... Both human and natural sources Tiny particles that remain in troposphere for weeks or months Often contain sulfur ...
carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming
carbon dioxide emission and maximum warming

... which differ widely across Earth System Models: the sensitivity of the marine and terrestrial carbon sinks to changes in atmospheric CO2 and climate, which determines the decline of atmospheric CO2; the rate of mixing of heat into the deep ocean, which determines the decrease of ocean heat uptake; a ...
If You See Something, Say Something By MICHAEL E. MANN New
If You See Something, Say Something By MICHAEL E. MANN New

... halls of Congress, the pages of leading newspapers and what we see on TV, leading to the appearance of a debate where none should exist. In fact, there is broad agreement among climate scientists not only that climate change is real (a survey and a review of the scientific literature published say a ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... Methane is “win-win” for climate and air quality – but only as part of a global strategy Effect on surface ozone air quality is through decrease in ozone background and does not depend on where methane emission is reduced ...
Chapter 3. Climate and climate change 1.1 Climate
Chapter 3. Climate and climate change 1.1 Climate

... (Tilia cordata) does not regenerate naturally north of the Lake District, apparently because the temperatures are too cool in spring for pollen tube growth (Piggott & Huntley, 1978, 1981), while the bird cherry (Prunus padus) is found almost exclusively in northern and upland Britain. Other examples ...
Global Warming
Global Warming

... Global warming is a significant increase in the Earth's climatic temperature over a relatively short period of time as a result of the activities of humans. ...
introduction the human influence on climate
introduction the human influence on climate

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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