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Toward a Mathematical Theory of Climate Sensitivity
Toward a Mathematical Theory of Climate Sensitivity

... The first attempt at a consensus estimate of the equilibrium sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations appeared in 1979, in the U.S. National Research Council report of J.G. Charney and associates. The result was the now famous range for an increase of 1.5–4.5 K ...
AOSS_NRE_480_L15_International_Policy_20150226
AOSS_NRE_480_L15_International_Policy_20150226

... • What do we look to policy to accomplish? – Some common, relevant purposes of policy • Stimulate technology: Provide incentives or disincentives for behavior. (Often through financial or market forces.) • Set regulations: Put bounds on some type of behavior, with penalties if the bounds are exceede ...
EPP hearing on "Key Issues in Post
EPP hearing on "Key Issues in Post

... for the documented increasing losses to date. • Because of issues related to data quality, the stochastic nature of extreme event impacts, length of time series, and various societal factors present in the disaster loss record, it is still not possible to determine the portion of the increase in dam ...
hamlet_coastal_coe_oct_2003
hamlet_coastal_coe_oct_2003

... Example of a flawed water planning study: The Colorado River Compact of 1922 The Colorado River Compact of 1922 divided the use of waters of the Colorado River System between the Upper and Lower Colorado River Basin. It apportioned **in perpetuity** to the Upper and Lower Basin, respectively, the b ...
Marine Climate Change in Australia
Marine Climate Change in Australia

... > Although there are no long-term data in Australia, species elsewhere are shifting ...
Climate Changes During the Past Millennium
Climate Changes During the Past Millennium

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Two ways to manage climate change
Two ways to manage climate change

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Effects of Climate Change on Human Health
Effects of Climate Change on Human Health

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The invisible dangers of the climate change
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The Great Global Warming Swindle
The Great Global Warming Swindle

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The Situations and Prospects on Climate Change in Taiwan
The Situations and Prospects on Climate Change in Taiwan

... than 26,000 extreme climate events documented around the world. It shows more and more extreme climate events occurred due to global warming and climate change. As for the CO2 concentration in ice cores and atmospheric CO2, the record shows a strong rising trend in the past century. Present growth o ...
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Geographical Variations in Climate Change and

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Teachers notes to accompany the WWW Assembly
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Atmosphere - ScienceGeek.net
Atmosphere - ScienceGeek.net

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seven theories of climate change - The Science and Public Policy
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... The first theory of climate change contends that human emissions of greenhouse gases, principally carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, and nitrous oxide, are causing a catastrophic rise in global temperatures. The mechanism whereby this happens is called the enhanced greenhouse effect. We call this theory ...
Climate Science is Not Settled
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... complex questions of how ecosystems and human activities will be affected, should inform our choices about energy and infrastructure. But—here's the catch—those questions are the hardest ones to answer. They challenge, in a fundamental way, what science can tell us about future climates. Even though ...
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Submission regarding Australia UNFCC

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GrEENHOUSE GAS BASICS - Michigan State University Extension
GrEENHOUSE GAS BASICS - Michigan State University Extension

... caused a large increase in their concentrations (Figure 1). This all matters because there is general scientific consensus among climatologists, atmospheric chemists, and other scientists who study Earth’s systems that the increase of greenhouse gas concentrations causes a rise in the average global ...
Key findings of the AVOIDing Dangerous Climate
Key findings of the AVOIDing Dangerous Climate

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Public Health Responses - World Health Organization
Public Health Responses - World Health Organization

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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