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Plant communities and global change: adaptation by changes in
Plant communities and global change: adaptation by changes in

A daily soil temperature model based on air temperature and
A daily soil temperature model based on air temperature and

... for maximum temperatures (Lee 1978). As these time lags are less than 24 h , the same day's data may be used for model predictions of mean soil temperature. Soil temperature for a given day is usually considered to be the result of air temperatures in the past several days. If snow is present, the r ...
Ocean Acidification: Scientific Surges, Lagging Law and Policy
Ocean Acidification: Scientific Surges, Lagging Law and Policy

CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR MACEDONIA
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS FOR MACEDONIA

... and  IS92d  emission  scenarios  used  in  previous  study  (UNDP  Macedonia,  2003).  The  direction  of  expected  changes  (e.g.,  strongest  increase  in  air  temperature  in  summer,  precipitation decrease in summer, etc.) is anyway the same, but the intensity is different.  The  difference  ...
PDF - World Agroforestry Centre
PDF - World Agroforestry Centre

... projected to increase by as much as 39 mm to 48 mm on average. The Indus River Basin, already fairly arid with 465 mm/yr on average under current conditions, is projected to slightly increase by between 8 mm and 23 mm, whereas the already very wet Meghna River Basin (2 897 mm/yr on average) increase ...
Kiribati
Kiribati

... generally within any heights from less than a meter to four meters above the mean sea level. Eleven of these atolls are uninhabitable because of their small size and lack of ground water lens. The atolls spread over a total Exclusive Economic Zone of 3.5 million sq. km. It became independent in 1979 ...
C i T Climate n Wash Technic e Chan hingto cal Sum ge Imp n State
C i T Climate n Wash Technic e Chan hingto cal Sum ge Imp n State

... Human influence on the climate past 800,000 years. The Earth’s climate system is system is clear…Warming of the warming, global sea level is rising, snow and ice are climate system is unequivocal, and declining, and ocean chemistry and climate extremes since the 1950s, many of the are changing. From ...
Extreme!Events!and!Climate!
Extreme!Events!and!Climate!

... have a better knowledge about extremes behavior in the past climate. The last millennium is well documented in terms of climate forcings. Modelling e↵orts have provided a wealth of climate simulations covering the last millennium. We want to exploit such data in order to assess how models simulate e ...
Assessing Current Climate Risks
Assessing Current Climate Risks

CO2 emissions from biomass combustion for bioenergy
CO2 emissions from biomass combustion for bioenergy

... atmosphere, and the removed fraction corresponds to the ocean/biosphere uptake. The amplitude A0 represents the asymptotic airborne fraction of CO2 which remains in the atmosphere because of the equilibrium response of the ocean–atmosphere system. The amplitudes Ai may be interpreted as the relative ...
Efficient Adaptation to Climate Change
Efficient Adaptation to Climate Change

... crop even in the warmer climate, many of them could suffer large losses. However, by switching to crops more suitable to the new environment, farmers could lessen these potential damages and in some cases make themselves better off than before. Of course, the situation with farming is even more comp ...
Climate Change Scenario Simulations over Area Climate Model:
Climate Change Scenario Simulations over Area Climate Model:

Module 1: Introduction to climate change in the context of
Module 1: Introduction to climate change in the context of

... beyond a few days and it is the reason why weather forecast does not extend beyond a week or so. In spite of the irregular behaviour on a daily basis, observations show that there is some long-time regularity in the behaviour of the atmosphere. We define, for example, a Mediterranean climate, with m ...
US Climate Change Policy Under President Clinton
US Climate Change Policy Under President Clinton

... world. It is a strategy that, if properly implemented, will create a wealth of new opportunities for entrepreneurs at home, uphold our leadership abroad, and harness the power of free markets to free our planet from an unacceptable risk; a strategy consistent with our commitment to reject false choi ...
Global Concern about Climate Change, Broad Support for Limiting
Global Concern about Climate Change, Broad Support for Limiting

... U.S. Democrats are much more concerned than Republicans about this issue, much more likely to believe the effects of global warming are already being felt, and significantly more likely to think they personally will be harmed by climate change. Additionally, American women are far more concerned tha ...
PARCC Project Training Manual Module 2. Climate data
PARCC Project Training Manual Module 2. Climate data

PARCC Project Training Manual 2014 Protected Areas Resilient to Climate Change,
PARCC Project Training Manual 2014 Protected Areas Resilient to Climate Change,

... The contents of this report do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of UNEP, contributory organisations or editors. The designations employed and the presentations of material in this report do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of UNEP or contributory organisati ...
Working Paper 9: Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier for Human
Working Paper 9: Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier for Human

... potential effects of global warming; now we know that the researchers had in fact underestimated both causes and effects. Although uncertainty and unpredictability remain, the scientific basis of climate change is now well established. It suggests that change is happening more quickly than previousl ...
PDF
PDF

... wars to current and lagged temperature (and time-varying controls, in some models). Their findings were staggering. A 1% increase in temperature leads to a 4.5% increase in civil war in the same year, and a 0.9% increase in the next year –– representing a 49% relative increase in the incidence of w ...
Reducing the Future to Climate: a Story of Climate Determinism and
Reducing the Future to Climate: a Story of Climate Determinism and

A Brewing Storm: The climate change risks to
A Brewing Storm: The climate change risks to

... For most, coffee is their main or only source of income. Whole regional communities are dependent upon their continued viability. In Mexico and Central America alone, the coffee supply chain employs about 8.5 million people, many of them indigenous, with the livelihoods of 4 million people wholly de ...
A Brewing Storm - The Climate Institute
A Brewing Storm - The Climate Institute

... For most, coffee is their main or only source of income. Whole regional communities are dependent upon their continued viability. In Mexico and Central America alone, the coffee supply chain employs about 8.5 million people, many of them indigenous, with the livelihoods of 4 million people wholly de ...
The Economic Climate: Establishing Expert Consensus on the
The Economic Climate: Establishing Expert Consensus on the

... energy sources. More than 57% of respondents felt that the U.S. government should commit to greenhouse gas reductions “regardless of the actions of other countries.” When asked to estimate the appropriate value for the domestic social cost of carbon, the sample provided a median estimate of $50. Jus ...
બાળ વિજ્ઞાન કોગ્રેસ ૨૦૧૫ વિષય: hvimin an[ aibi[hvi
બાળ વિજ્ઞાન કોગ્રેસ ૨૦૧૫ વિષય: hvimin an[ aibi[hvi

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Climate Change in Kiana, Alaska - Alaska Native Tribal Health
Climate Change in Kiana, Alaska - Alaska Native Tribal Health

... activity (IPCC, 2008). In Kiana, the rate of climate change can be measured in months, days, or even hours. Residents traveling the river encounter sections of collapsed riverbank that were intact only hours before. In every season of the year, the air temperature is warmer than it was in the past. ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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