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ProgressReport 2003-2004
ProgressReport 2003-2004

... agricultural ecosystems. In addition to improving predictions of the future land sink, this model will predict nutrient inputs into coastal waters. CICS is also performing a series of modeling experiments to investigate the causes of the current terrestrial sink (e.g., CO2 fertilization vs. land use ...
Terms of Reference for the Climate Support Facility under the GCCA
Terms of Reference for the Climate Support Facility under the GCCA

Review of relevant assessment processes and their theoretical
Review of relevant assessment processes and their theoretical

... are likely to be major conflicting paradigms. In the case of observed impacts of climate change and implications for cultural survival, there may well be a high degree of coincidence. For example, indicators of weather and climate – and thus of climate change over time – employed by indigenous and t ...
Primary impacts of climate change on the cryosphere
Primary impacts of climate change on the cryosphere

... cryosphere (glaciers, mountain permafrost, snow cover, Baltic Sea ice, lake and river ice), observed trends and future projections under the conditions of climate change, as well as selected ‘secondary’ impacts of climate change (e.g., avalanches and land slides) in the 7 most important regions with ...
Africa Talks Climate
Africa Talks Climate

... Africa. They reveal that many people are unfamiliar with “climate change”, “global warming” and related terms.16 This makes it difficult to interpret further opinion-poll results about climate change in Africa; most polls suggest that Africans view climate change less seriously than do non-Africans, ...
Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Changes in Egypt
Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Changes in Egypt

... Agriculture production has to increase by 70% within 2050 in order to keep pace with population growth and changing diets. However, this production increase will have to be achieved in a way that preserves the environment and reduces the vulnerability of agriculture to climate change. Agriculture wi ...
Climate Justice: Equity and Justice informing a new
Climate Justice: Equity and Justice informing a new

... It is a contribution to the work of the Climate Justice Dialogue,2 an initiative led by the Mary Robinson Foundation – Climate Justice and the World Resources Institute, which is developing creative thinking and mobilizing demand for a people-centered climate agreement in 2015. Through the Dialogue ...
DOC - Climate Change Authority
DOC - Climate Change Authority

... Emissions—Targets and Progress Review, which was provided to the Minister (and released publicly) on 27 February 2014. That report, which reflected extensive public consultation, presented the Authority’s comprehensive assessment of the evidence coming from climate scientists, the efforts being made ...
The Status of Climate Change Data: A Case Study for
The Status of Climate Change Data: A Case Study for

... of the most vulnerable sectors to climate change. In Trinidad and Tobago, the most vulnerable sectors were found to be agriculture, human health, human settlements, coastal zones, water resources and the energy sector. Owing to the various gaps noted in the climate data review for Trinidad and Tobag ...
Local understanding of hydro-climate changes in Mongolia
Local understanding of hydro-climate changes in Mongolia

... (Jones et al., 1999), central and southeast Asia (Klein Tank et al., 2006), Europe (Klein Tank and Konnen, 2003), South America (Vincent et al., 2005), and Central America and northern South America (Aguiler et al., 2003). In China there has been a decrease in the number of cold days over the 20th c ...
Understanding the Forecast Second Edition David Archer d
Understanding the Forecast Second Edition David Archer d

... as other planets such as Venus and Mars). For the threat of humaninduced climate change to go away, we’d have to toss out greenhouse theory, and come up with some other explanation for why the Earth has been warming over the past decades. But there is no existing model or theory of climate that can ...
Geographical Variation of Climate Change Impact on Rice Yield in
Geographical Variation of Climate Change Impact on Rice Yield in

... have negative effects on rice yield in tropical regions [14], but others have found that site data from tropical and subtropical regions show significant differences [15], leading to contradictory conclusions. Thus, geographical effects are important in investigating the spatial pattern of the clima ...
Analyses of the spring phenology of boreal trees and its - E
Analyses of the spring phenology of boreal trees and its - E

Hydrological Climate Change Impact Assessment at Small and
Hydrological Climate Change Impact Assessment at Small and

The CCPC grew out of the International Council of Local
The CCPC grew out of the International Council of Local

... such as the liberalisation of energy markets, lack of funding for research on renewable energy and the failure of national governments to prioritise climate politics, can hinder local work to reduce GHGs. Nevertheless, cities take the climate challenge seriously, and there are numerous examples worl ...
Climate Change and Hazard Mitigation Planning
Climate Change and Hazard Mitigation Planning

... increase community resilience, hazard mitigation planning is and will be less effective and less efficient in many locations if the hazard profile and mitigation action plans are based on historic climate data alone. For example, a community can prepare for seasonal flooding without acknowledging cl ...
Great Lakes Restoration and the Threat of Global Warming
Great Lakes Restoration and the Threat of Global Warming

... changes to the climate and to natural ecosystems. It is imperative that the federal government move swiftly to reduce emissions 80 percent by the middle of the century—a level of reduction that climate scientists have deemed necessary to avoid the worst impacts of global warming. The impacts of warm ...
Adaptation Planning – What U.S. States and Localities are Doing
Adaptation Planning – What U.S. States and Localities are Doing

... projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate the continental United States can expect temperature increases of between 5.4ºF and 12.6ºF by the year 2100.1 This warming will have significant consequences, causing a rise in sea-level and the gradual inundation of coasta ...
Executive Summary - Forest Watch
Executive Summary - Forest Watch

... key Sectors (Forestry, Water Resources, and Human Health) for detailed consideration, and three key concerns or issues likely to affect these Sectors if climate change continues (Air Quality, Seasonal Dynamics, and Extreme Weather Events). The Final Report of the NERA is offerred in two forms: A Fou ...
Chapter 10
Chapter 10

... with El-Niño were reported to be more frequent and intense in the past 20 years (Trenberth and Hoar, 1997; Aldhous, 2004). Significantly longer heatwave duration has been observed in many countries of Asia, as indicated by pronounced warming trends and several cases of severe heatwaves (De and Mukho ...
volcanic eruptions and climate - Alan Robock
volcanic eruptions and climate - Alan Robock

... important radiative and dynamical processes that respond in the climate system to both natural and anthropogenic forcings. Furthermore, modeling the effects of volcanic eruptions helps us to improve climate models that are needed to study anthropogenic effects. Large volcanic eruptions inject sulfur ...
8.1MB - Climate Change 2013
8.1MB - Climate Change 2013

... The final draft Report, dated 7 June 2013, of the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report "Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" was accepted but not approved in detail by the 12th Session of Working Group I and the 36th Session of the IPCC on 26 September 2013 in S ...
Guidelines for Responding to the Effects of Climate Change in
Guidelines for Responding to the Effects of Climate Change in

... society to extreme coastal events. Also, the quasi-steady ENSO (El Niño – Southern Oscillation) phenomenon, which has been the subject of intensive research and data gathering for many years, provides multi-seasonal variability that is of similar magnitude to some projected aspects of long term clim ...
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS AND CLIMATE
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS AND CLIMATE

... important radiative and dynamical processes that respond in the climate system to both natural and anthropogenic forcings. Furthermore, modeling the effects of volcanic eruptions helps us to improve climate models that are needed to study anthropogenic effects. Large volcanic eruptions inject sulfur ...
Download the full paper
Download the full paper

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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