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Contrasting effects of warming and increased snowfall on Arctic
Contrasting effects of warming and increased snowfall on Arctic

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PDF

... What is lost by doing this? The full model will give more disaggregated results on a larger number of variables, but for many policy purposes this is not necessary. The full model may also give an appearance of greater precision, by taking account of effects disregarded in the small model. However, ...
Understanding key positions of the Least Developed
Understanding key positions of the Least Developed

... Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, repeatedly confirm that LDCs will suffer first and worst from climate change. So although countries have agreed to a long-term global goal to hold the increase in average temperature below 2°C relative to pre-industrial levels,5 for LDCs and other vulnerabl ...
Appetite for Change - Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute
Appetite for Change - Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute

... This region across much of southern NSW, Victoria and Tasmania experiences a cold winter and warm to hot summer, with rainfall throughout the year but more in the cool seasons. It has pronounced year-­to-­year variability of rainfall ranging from droughts to very wet years. Temperatures have increas ...
Submission-5-A-Key-letter - Coal Action Network Aotearoa
Submission-5-A-Key-letter - Coal Action Network Aotearoa

... My second motivation is an abhorrence of “greenwashing”: i.e. political assurances that the Government takes climate change seriously and cares more about a sustainable future than business as usual. The evidence clearly indicates to me that the PM is a consummate greenwasher, perhaps unwittingly 5 ...
Future Climate: Projected extremes
Future Climate: Projected extremes

House science testimony apr 15 final - Climate Etc.
House science testimony apr 15 final - Climate Etc.

... Human-caused warming depends not only on increases in greenhouse gases but also on how ‘sensitive’ the climate is to these increases. Climate sensitivity is defined as the global surface warming that occurs when the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubles. If climate sensitivity is ...
GEOS 425 Global Climate Change
GEOS 425 Global Climate Change

... poorly understood by large segments of society—including many scientists. As recently as the late 1970’s many climate experts were publicly concerned that the Earth was on the brink of an Ice Age. Some twenty-five years later the general consensus is centered on global warming and the Greenhouse Ear ...
Eurasian Arctic greening reveals teleconnections and the potential
Eurasian Arctic greening reveals teleconnections and the potential

... ice area reflected a similar pattern, with a strong effect of sea ice on adjacent land in spring followed by no effect during the summer months (Fig. 2b). Tall shrub growth was highly correlated to July NDVI (p < 0.01, r 2 ranging regionally from 0.4 to 0.75; Fig. 3 and Supplementary Fig. S1). Shrub ...
Clexit members
Clexit members

... communities, plus bird and bat destruction by wind turbines. I was also appalled at the economic waste/vandalism of renewable energy and the mountains of public funds being wasted in so called research around climate change; the outright lies about the extent of claimed reductions in CO2 emissions; ...
Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries
Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries

The Ocean and Climate Change
The Ocean and Climate Change

... and the atmosphere: heat storage, transportation of heat around the globe, wind, evaporation and precipitation patterns, freezing and thawing in polar regions, and gas storage and exchange (including CO2). The ocean naturally buffers and equilibrates with the atmosphere. Changes in the ocean-atmosph ...
Forum Agenda - USAID Adapt Asia
Forum Agenda - USAID Adapt Asia

... Global Climate Change Adaptation Challenges Dr. Kit Batten USAID Global Climate Change Coordinator Regional Climate Change Adaptation Challenges in Asia and the Pacific Dr. Bindu N. Lohani Vice President Knowledge Management and Sustainable Development The Asian Development Bank (ADB) National Respo ...
Climate Change Detection: The Importance of Homogenized Time
Climate Change Detection: The Importance of Homogenized Time

... Maximum number of consecutive days with RR<1mm Consecutive wet days Maximum number of consecutive days with ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... •e.g., divide the atmosphere and ocean into discrete grid boxes •equation for balance of forces, energy inputs etc. for each box. •obtain the acceleration of the fluid in the box, its rate of change of temperature, etc. •from this compute the new velocity, temperature, etc. one time step later (e.g. ...
Scenari_Uncert_Impac.. - The Global Change Program at the
Scenari_Uncert_Impac.. - The Global Change Program at the

... These options show different temporal patterns; consequently, the choice of options and their potential effectiveness depend on the target time frame as well as on site productivity and disturbance history. The SAR estimated that ...
Syllabus - The Bodanyi Project
Syllabus - The Bodanyi Project

... problem for policy makers, the solutions available, and the policy instruments likely to lead to implementation of these technologies and change of behavior. Course Organization The course is organized in four units drawing on multiple academic disciplines. In the first unit, we will define global ...
File - Galena High School Library
File - Galena High School Library

... currently has. On average, 5-7 degrees higher than now. A shift from the north could result in rains that are common in Oregon. * ...
Academic paper : Effects of global climate change on marine
Academic paper : Effects of global climate change on marine

... The opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of WWF. The material and the geographical designations in this report do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WWF concerning the legal status of any country, terri ...
Climate Change and Its Causes - The Science and Public Policy
Climate Change and Its Causes - The Science and Public Policy

... Indeed, the existence of an anthropogenic bias appears evident in Figure 2 that shows the complete list of the radiative forcings, which, as the IPCC claims, have caused the global climate warming observed since 1750. This figure divides the climatic forcings into two groups: one group includes only ...
Abstracts - The PRUDENCE project
Abstracts - The PRUDENCE project

... Main focus is on the results from the standard 50km runs of eight regional models driven by the Hadley Centre global model results. From the given data sets the optimal parameter for determining future changes in extreme wind speeds and the change in number of storm events is the maximum daily wind ...
Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning

... 2011). Because such records are regional, and they at best increase in duration by 1 yr yr21, interpretation of the significance of inevitable temporal fluctuations can only be done with some understanding of ocean variability on longer time scales and on a global basis. Here, we take advantage of t ...
Impacts of global environmental change on future health and health
Impacts of global environmental change on future health and health

... cases of malaria are estimated to occur annually, including 2 million (mostly childhood) deaths. A malaria crisis is emerging in Africa, abetted by widespread chloroquine resistance. In India, resurgence of malaria has been linked to the combined problems of chloroquine resistance, reduced efficienc ...
1 Conflict and Accommodation in International Environmental
1 Conflict and Accommodation in International Environmental

Climate Change - Hans von Storch
Climate Change - Hans von Storch

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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