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Non-paper Guidelines for Project Managers: Making vulnerable
Non-paper Guidelines for Project Managers: Making vulnerable

... The Commission strongly encourages the use of the Guidelines, both in EU-funded projects and more widely. They sit within the evolving policy context on adaptation in the Commission, which is seeing climate resilience being incorporated into a number of policy areas and financing instruments of rele ...
The Climate-Environment-Society Nexus in the
The Climate-Environment-Society Nexus in the

... to the combined effects of the large rainfall catchment area (the Tassili Mountains.) and of the dune systems bordering the fluvial valley, which acted as water reservoirs. The climatic and associated environmental changes described above were not restricted to the Sahara. Abundant evidence indicate ...
Regulation of atmospheric CO2 by deep
Regulation of atmospheric CO2 by deep

... [Archer, 1996]. In contrast, CaCO3 and POC settling fluxes recorded in sediment traps appear to be relatively independent of depth below about 2000 m in the water column. Thus away from the continental shelves and slopes the difference in particulate rain rates measured at the respective depths defi ...
fellmann
fellmann

Plant ecophysiological responses to experimentally drier and  L
Plant ecophysiological responses to experimentally drier and L

El Niño and Health - World Health Organization
El Niño and Health - World Health Organization

... Peru, who frequently navigated along the coast in small craft, named this current 'El Niño' without doubt because it is most noticeable and felt after Christmas” (Carrillo 1892, quoted in Glantz 1996a). The term El Niño is now reserved for exceptionally strong and prolonged warm periods which have i ...
As Goes The Arctic, So Goes The Planet
As Goes The Arctic, So Goes The Planet

... of a vociferous debate about global climate change. Domestic arguments about the effects and causes of climate change prevented any meaningful action to address the problem at a national level. That part of the debate has ended; the climate is changing, and humans are causing it. Emissions of greenh ...
Climate Protection as a World Citizen Movement
Climate Protection as a World Citizen Movement

... – DIE, Bonn); Jennifer Morgan (World Resources Institute, Director Climate & Energy Program, Washington, DC); Hermann Ott (Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy); Pieter Pauw (German ...
Enhanced precipitation variability effects on water losses
Enhanced precipitation variability effects on water losses

... paths of ecosystem-water loss (transpiration, soil evaporation, deep percolation) affected by the magnitude of precipitation variability from natural to increased variability up to 75 %? (2) How are the paths of water loss affected by the scale of precipitation variability from intra- to inter annua ...
An Overview of the Causes and Effects of Sea Level Rise
An Overview of the Causes and Effects of Sea Level Rise

... layers of the ocean (Gornitz et al., 1982). The remainder may be due to a small amount of glacial melting and a delayed response of deep-ocean waters to longer-term warming trends. The Greenhouse Effect and the Prospect of Global Warming Although climate and sea level have been relatively stable in ...
sea level rise in the caribbean - M
sea level rise in the caribbean - M

... prone to natural disasters.” Small Island Developing States (SIDS) have characteristics which make them particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, sea level rise (SLR) and extreme events, including: relative isolation, small land masses, concentrations of population and infrastructure ...
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO: annual
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO: annual

... vision at how 2009 played out for the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission. The year was the last one for Patricio Bernal as Executive Secretary of the Commission. He was at the Commission’s helm for a decade during which period many opportunities arose; some were seized and some were too comp ...
snow and greenhouse report 2003 FINAL
snow and greenhouse report 2003 FINAL

... day also declines with greenhouse warming. For example, at Mt Hotham on 1 July, the probability drops from the present value of 65% to 15-60% by 2020. Under the low impact scenario for 2050, season durations are decreased by 15-20 days at most sites. Such reductions are relatively minor at high site ...
Geoengineering the climate: science, governance
Geoengineering the climate: science, governance

... image comes from the Daisyworld model developed by Dr. James Lovelock and Professor Andrew Watson, both Fellows of the Royal Society. This conceptual model illustrates the tight coupling between climate and the biosphere through the connection between surface reflectivity and temperature—white daisi ...
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO: annual
Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO: annual

... vision at how 2009 played out for the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission. The year was the last one for Patricio Bernal as Executive Secretary of the Commission. He was at the Commission’s helm for a decade during which period many opportunities arose; some were seized and some were too comp ...
Australian horticulture`s response to climate change and
Australian horticulture`s response to climate change and

... variability. A review was conducted of 27 projects previously funded by MCVP across a range of agricultural industries, of which 15 projects provided information or were capable of delivering an outcome which could have application in horticulture. This project has also sought to commence answering ...
SECOND-ORDER DRAFT IPCC WGII AR5 Chapter 3 Do Not Cite
SECOND-ORDER DRAFT IPCC WGII AR5 Chapter 3 Do Not Cite

... exposure and vulnerability of human beings against water related risks, and non-climatic drivers changing water management in terms of quantity and quality, as well as emissions and concentration of Green House Gases (GHGs) and Aerosol, that will lead to changes in precipitation, temperature, and se ...
Atmospheric CO2 fluctuations during the last millennium
Atmospheric CO2 fluctuations during the last millennium

... forecasting of the impact of anthropogenically produced CO2 on the coupled climate-carbon cycle system. At present, the notion of covarying atmospheric CO2 levels and climate is reinforced by the predictions in climate models of (1) a strong rise in global mean temperature as a result of excessive C ...
2007-2012 Hadley Centre Climate Programme
2007-2012 Hadley Centre Climate Programme

... face temperature product produced jointly between the Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit (CRU; University of East Anglia), HadCRUT4. This presents the range of certainty as 100 different possible realisations of the temperature record. A further highlight has been the growing consideration ...
Tropical Fruit Tree Species and Climate Change
Tropical Fruit Tree Species and Climate Change

Present Day Carbon Dioxide Fluxes in the Coastal Ocean and
Present Day Carbon Dioxide Fluxes in the Coastal Ocean and

National Landmarks at Risk - Union of Concerned Scientists
National Landmarks at Risk - Union of Concerned Scientists

... Are Increasingly Vulnerable to Floods Founded in 1630 by English Puritans seeking religious freedom, Boston is one of the oldest cities in the United States and the birthplace of the American Revolution.5 But in the city where the Sons of Liberty plotted independence from Great Britain, some cherish ...
Agriculture and Future Climate Dynamics in Africa: Impacts and Adaptation Options
Agriculture and Future Climate Dynamics in Africa: Impacts and Adaptation Options

Modelling the evolution of Vadret da Morteratsch, Switzerland, since
Modelling the evolution of Vadret da Morteratsch, Switzerland, since

The Global “Disappearing Act”: How Island States Can Maintain
The Global “Disappearing Act”: How Island States Can Maintain

... (IPCC) to “provide the world with a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and socio-economic impacts.” 31 The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (Report) outlines “new evidence of climate change based on many independent scientific anal ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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