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hewitson_regionalcl
hewitson_regionalcl

... For example (empirical downscaling): if local temperature is well determined by synoptic scale sea level pressure (SLP), which shows minimal change into the future. An effective empirical downscaling may be derived, but, what if atmospheric moisture content goes up? The downscaled DT from SLP may be ...
THE MIGHTY OPERATIONS OF NATURE
THE MIGHTY OPERATIONS OF NATURE

... is the overall aggregation of weather patterns and atmospheric and hydrological processes over an extended period of time and in a wider area than a single point source. We may have had a cold, wet winter in Eugene, Oregon, but that does not necessarily mean that the climate has gotten colder; a suc ...
Post-2012 Climate Change
Post-2012 Climate Change

... In Turkey, the decision to become party to a multilateral environmental agreement is deliberated by the Council of Ministers and if it is approved, it is forwarded to the agenda of the Turkish Grand National Assembly as a draft law. The draft law is debated and approved by the related primary and se ...
Options for Marine Turtles - Organization of American States
Options for Marine Turtles - Organization of American States

... From the retreat of glaciers to shifts in species ranges and timing of breeding, the outcomes of our changing climate are clear and pervasive. As our awareness of the potential impacts of climate change grows, there is heightened interest in climate change adaptation. Here, ‘adaptation’ refers to ma ...
Urban Areas and Climate Change: Review of Current Issues and
Urban Areas and Climate Change: Review of Current Issues and

... Urban areas will be faced with increases in the frequency and intensity of heavy rain, storms, droughts, heat-waves and other extreme weather events. The urban centers that will be more at risk are those where these events are already widespread. However, with the expected increase in frequency and ...
INDC technical report
INDC technical report

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Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate
Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate

... on climate change. We calibrated the model in order to represent global carbon cycle dynamics consistent with observational data and simulations from detailed high-resolution Earth system models (Sect. 2.2). In the following, we provide an overview of the fundamental model equations. A detailed moti ...
PNAS proof
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Non-paper Guidelines for Project Managers: Making vulnerable

... the success of investment projects and ensure their long-term sustainability. By using these Guidelines, project developers can also demonstrate to project funders/financiers that climate resilience has been considered. Finally, it is worth mentioning that experience on adaptation is still evolving. ...
First National Communication to UNFCCC
First National Communication to UNFCCC

... 1.1. Introduction One of emerging environmental problems is global climate change due to increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere that intensify greenhouse effect and lead to the rise of global temperature. As a result, polar and mountain glaciers retreat, sea level raise, prec ...
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... a review of recent studies, model projections and expert opinions of more than 20 leading climate scientists from different countries around the North Sea, Australia and the USA. Although building on the previous IPCC AR4 (2007) and KNMI (2006) assessments, this report deliberately explores low prob ...
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... sponsored by IGBP, SCOR and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), was developed as a response to the need to understand global change effects on the abundance, diversity and productivity of marine populations (from zooplankton to fish) and hence marine ecosystems. GLOBEC made importan ...
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... by a range of climate models for a range of climate scenarios to examine the impacts of future climate on global soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks. The results suggest an overall global increase in SOC stocks by 2100 under all scenarios, but with a different extent of increase among the climate model ...
CLIMATE CHANGE 2014 Mitigation of Climate Change USTH scientific seminar 30/03/2015
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An Integrated Assessment of Changes in the Thermohaline Circulation

... reveals widely differing views about the probability of a shutdown being triggered this century, with some estimates even exceeding the 50% level for scenarios with high global temperature rise. Narrowing down this uncertainty will first of all require a better physical understanding of what determi ...
Studies of the aerosol indirect effect from sulfate Jo´n Egill Kristja´nsson
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... weighting factor [Rasch and Kristjánsson, 1998]. Very little is currently known about the sensitivity of ice cloud microphysics to aerosol burden. We feel that more knowledge is needed about these processes before meaningful parameterizations for them can be developed for GCMs. However, that does n ...
climate change under nepa: avoiding cursory consideration of
climate change under nepa: avoiding cursory consideration of

... agencies can and are taking action that is increasing the amount of GHG emissions by millions of tons each year.26 This Article argues that federal intervention is needed to produce a meaningful consideration of climate change. The Article concludes that external pressures will render consideration ...
task force on climate remediation research
task force on climate remediation research

... research into many climate remediation techniques will require new governance structures to engage the public and to set parameters for the research. Those parameters must change over time as understanding of the risks of climate remediation evolves. This task force has not recommended deployment of ...
Climate Change Adaptation Discussion Paper MS Word
Climate Change Adaptation Discussion Paper MS Word

... City of Melbourne’s response to climate change ........................................................................................... 15 The climate is already changing and the rate is increasing .......................................................................... 15 We’ve already made ad ...
Impact of Climate Change on North Cascade Alpine Glaciers, and
Impact of Climate Change on North Cascade Alpine Glaciers, and

... 20N for the 1900-93 period) (Mantua et al. 1997). During the positive PDO phase warm weather is The North Cascade region has a temperate marifavored in the Pacific along the northwest coast and time climate. Approximately 80% of the region’s over the Pacific Northwest. During the negative precipitat ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... Working together for sustainable economies We thank all 5,000+ companies that disclose through CDP. Our climate change, forests, supply chain and water programs draw on our unique global system, to drive transparency and accountability for business impacts across the earth’s natural capital. www.cd ...
On the uncertainty of phenological responses to climate change
On the uncertainty of phenological responses to climate change

GCC Institutional Capacity Assessment Tool v1.0
GCC Institutional Capacity Assessment Tool v1.0

... ascribe scores. The facilitators guide the process, helping the participants understand the characteristics of different levels of capacity so they can assess their strengths and weaknesses related to addressing climate change. Then, with the facilitator, they reach a consensus on scores on a scale ...
Rainfall in Australia`s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in
Rainfall in Australia`s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in

... individual methods, as well as provide an indication of confidence in projections based on the degree of variation between methods. The number of different modelling methods used is often limited by the available resources (e.g. computing time), and whilst GCMs have a global coverage, downscaling me ...
Geographical Variation of Climate Change Impact on Rice Yield in
Geographical Variation of Climate Change Impact on Rice Yield in

... Previous researchers have found that increased nighttime temperatures due to climate warming have negative effects on rice yield in tropical regions [14], but others have found that site data from tropical and subtropical regions show significant differences [15], leading to contradictory conclusion ...
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Global warming



Global warming and climate change are terms for the observed century-scale rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system and its related effects.Multiple lines of scientific evidence show that the climate system is warming. Although the increase of near-surface atmospheric temperature is the measure of global warming often reported in the popular press, most of the additional energy stored in the climate system since 1970 has gone into ocean warming. The remainder has melted ice, and warmed the continents and atmosphere. Many of the observed changes since the 1950s are unprecedented over decades to millennia.Scientific understanding of global warming is increasing. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported in 2014 that scientists were more than 95% certain that most of global warming is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and other human (anthropogenic) activities. Climate model projections summarized in the report indicated that during the 21st century the global surface temperature is likely to rise a further 0.3 to 1.7 °C (0.5 to 3.1 °F) for their lowest emissions scenario using stringent mitigation and 2.6 to 4.8 °C (4.7 to 8.6 °F) for their highest. These findings have been recognized by the national science academies of the major industrialized nations.Future climate change and associated impacts will differ from region to region around the globe. Anticipated effects include warming global temperature, rising sea levels, changing precipitation, and expansion of deserts in the subtropics. Warming is expected to be greatest in the Arctic, with the continuing retreat of glaciers, permafrost and sea ice. Other likely changes include more frequent extreme weather events including heat waves, droughts, heavy rainfall, and heavy snowfall; ocean acidification; and species extinctions due to shifting temperature regimes. Effects significant to humans include the threat to food security from decreasing crop yields and the abandonment of populated areas due to flooding.Possible societal responses to global warming include mitigation by emissions reduction, adaptation to its effects, building systems resilient to its effects, and possible future climate engineering. Most countries are parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),whose ultimate objective is to prevent dangerous anthropogenic climate change. The UNFCCC have adopted a range of policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to assist in adaptation to global warming. Parties to the UNFCCC have agreed that deep cuts in emissions are required, and that future global warming should be limited to below 2.0 °C (3.6 °F) relative to the pre-industrial level.
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