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... teleconnection pattern that is also the opposite to that forced by an increase in TSI in the 11 year ...
responding to changes in nature
responding to changes in nature

... World Stabilization scenarios --- Emissions peak in 2016 followed by an annual decrease of 4% ...
The likelihood and potential impact of future change in
The likelihood and potential impact of future change in

... as inland fresh marshes from about 225.67 km2 in February 2009 to about 168.04 km2 by the end of the century in north-eastern NSW, Australia. In a larger-scale modelling experiment, Dasgupta et al. (2009) found that 1.86% of coastal wetlands across 84 developing countries could be lost under a presc ...
Central African Republic
Central African Republic

... western ends joined by a central spine that separates the two principal drainages, the Chari-Longue basin in the north and the Congo basin in the south. The climate is hot and humid equatorial, characterised by two seasons: a dry season and a rainy season. The rainfall varies between 800 mm in the n ...
How to Integrate Climate and Conflict Risks in Development
How to Integrate Climate and Conflict Risks in Development

IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE)
IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE)

... growth in the atmosphere. In the projection of climate, the emission levels are taken into account in the physical of atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and land surfaces known as GCM. The Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) produced by IPCC (2013) classified the emission scenarios into four gro ...
PDF
PDF

... countries have been forced to enact actual emissions limits in Europe, their National Allocation Plans have focused on levels at, or slightly above, current levels (Forrester 2004). The proposal by the National Commission on Energy Policy similarly suggests a gradual deflection from an otherwise bus ...
2006 IPCC Guidelines on National Greenhouse Gas - ipcc
2006 IPCC Guidelines on National Greenhouse Gas - ipcc

...  This approach is consistent with the IPCC Special Report on CCS  No “Tier 1” Methods available for storage – this must be based on site specific evaluation  There are demonstration projects but no wide scale use of CCS. Some technologies are well known  Use of CO2 pipelines and associated equip ...
Water and Climate in the Pacific Northwest
Water and Climate in the Pacific Northwest

... general circulation models (GCM) suggest a temperature-induced shift from snow to rain and earlier snowmelt5. Similarly, in the Colorado River Basin, future projections in changes in runoff using a more topographically-complex regional climate model (RCM) are dominated by a combination of winter sno ...
full text pdf
full text pdf

... Climate change is one of the greatest contemporary threats to our planet's environmental, social and economic well-being, accompanied by major changes in life support systems on Earth, where the far-reaching effects will be felt in the coming decades. The Earth's climate is warming rapidly due to em ...
Food, livestock production, energy, climate change, and health
Food, livestock production, energy, climate change, and health

... • Methane and nitrous oxide (which are both potent greenhouse gases and closely associated with livestock production) contribute much more to this sector’s warming effect than does carbon dioxide • Halting the increase of greenhouse-gas emissions from agriculture, especially livestock production, sho ...
How Climate Change Will Affect People Around the World
How Climate Change Will Affect People Around the World

... The consequences of climate change will depend on how the physical impacts interact with socioeconomic factors. Population movement and growth will often exacerbate the impacts by increasing society’s exposure to environmental stresses (for example, more people living by the coast) and reducing the ...
Contributions to the management of Chancay
Contributions to the management of Chancay

... The environment has always been influenced by anthropogenic activities; however, since the industrial revolution, human activities have, been taking some affectation at a global level in the environment. Today, environmental problems are a major concern of humankind, as result of evidence in the eff ...
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series

... wellbeing. According to the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) due to human activity, largely combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, are "very likely" altering the earth's climate, most notably by increasing temperature, changi ...
Atmospheric Circulations do not Explain the
Atmospheric Circulations do not Explain the

... behind a “pure” record of climatic change. But several studies have shown a correlation between the spatial pattern of warming trends in climatic data products and the spatial pattern of industrialization, indicating that local non-climatic effects may still be present. This, in turn, could bias mea ...
WMO The Global Climate in 2011–2015
WMO The Global Climate in 2011–2015

... governments in pursuing efforts to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, this report confirms that the average temperature in 2015 had already risen by more than one degree (with 2016 on track to be even warmer) since the preindustrial period. The report also c ...
The millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO2
The millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO2

... pCO2 of about 490 ppm to keep the global warming below the 2°C danger limit. This corresponds to about 400 Gton C of anthropogenic carbon in the atmosphere. If we divide 400 Gton C by a maximum airborne fraction of 55%, we calculate a maximum allowable total emission of about 700 Gton C, of which 30 ...
Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science
Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science

... years of geological time.9 In their now-famous Tellus article, published in 1957, Suess and Revelle argued primarily for the importance of monitoring — a project commenced during the International Geophysical Year and pursued for the next four and half decades by Charles David Keeling. Political sci ...
The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries
The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries

... are captured by the model, which measures basin water prices using water supply and demand changes (Hurd et al., 1999). Two response functions to sea level rise are used in the model (Neumann and Livesay, 2001). In the cross-section model, we assume that landowners have foresight and so they depreci ...
for International Climate Action? - Penn Law
for International Climate Action? - Penn Law

... it relies solely on individual nation-states to implement and enforce measures to reduce emissions, necessitating participation by a large number of countries and the political will of member countries to make the necessary policy choices. As has been made clear by the U.S. Administration's hostilit ...
Global Climate Change and the Risks to Coastal Areas from
Global Climate Change and the Risks to Coastal Areas from

... causes of global climate change. The Climate Change Science Program, which coordinates and integrates scientific research on climate change supported by thirteen U.S. federal departments and agencies, issued a report in 2004 in which it found that although temperature changes in North America from 1 ...
The Local Coastal Program Update Workshop #2: Adapting to a
The Local Coastal Program Update Workshop #2: Adapting to a

... future land use and development. The two plans overlap in their consideration of sea level rise vulnerability and adaptation and resiliency strategies for new construction. The Land Use Plan portion of the LCP, which contains the goals and policies, is estimated to be completed and adopted by Summer ...
Theoretical mechanism for natural radiative forcing of El Nino
Theoretical mechanism for natural radiative forcing of El Nino

... Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Miller, R., Mann, M.E., Volcanic and Solar forcing of Climate Change During the Pre-Industrial era, Journal of Climate, 16, 4094-4107, 2003. ...
The Kyoto Protocol - Berkeley Law Scholarship Repository
The Kyoto Protocol - Berkeley Law Scholarship Repository

... The greenhouse effect is a natural part of the Earth's global climate system. It is caused by so-called "greenhouse gases"' that absorb a high fraction of the Earth's radiative heat emissions, thus acting as an insulation layer between the Earth Naturally occurring water vapor in the and space. atmo ...
UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol - Training for the State Negotiators on
UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol - Training for the State Negotiators on

... COP, COP/MOP, SBSTA, SBI, AWG-lCA, and AWG-KP are led by an elected bureau of officers with representatives from the five UN regional groups + AOSIS ...
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Global warming



Global warming and climate change are terms for the observed century-scale rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system and its related effects.Multiple lines of scientific evidence show that the climate system is warming. Although the increase of near-surface atmospheric temperature is the measure of global warming often reported in the popular press, most of the additional energy stored in the climate system since 1970 has gone into ocean warming. The remainder has melted ice, and warmed the continents and atmosphere. Many of the observed changes since the 1950s are unprecedented over decades to millennia.Scientific understanding of global warming is increasing. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported in 2014 that scientists were more than 95% certain that most of global warming is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and other human (anthropogenic) activities. Climate model projections summarized in the report indicated that during the 21st century the global surface temperature is likely to rise a further 0.3 to 1.7 °C (0.5 to 3.1 °F) for their lowest emissions scenario using stringent mitigation and 2.6 to 4.8 °C (4.7 to 8.6 °F) for their highest. These findings have been recognized by the national science academies of the major industrialized nations.Future climate change and associated impacts will differ from region to region around the globe. Anticipated effects include warming global temperature, rising sea levels, changing precipitation, and expansion of deserts in the subtropics. Warming is expected to be greatest in the Arctic, with the continuing retreat of glaciers, permafrost and sea ice. Other likely changes include more frequent extreme weather events including heat waves, droughts, heavy rainfall, and heavy snowfall; ocean acidification; and species extinctions due to shifting temperature regimes. Effects significant to humans include the threat to food security from decreasing crop yields and the abandonment of populated areas due to flooding.Possible societal responses to global warming include mitigation by emissions reduction, adaptation to its effects, building systems resilient to its effects, and possible future climate engineering. Most countries are parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),whose ultimate objective is to prevent dangerous anthropogenic climate change. The UNFCCC have adopted a range of policies designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to assist in adaptation to global warming. Parties to the UNFCCC have agreed that deep cuts in emissions are required, and that future global warming should be limited to below 2.0 °C (3.6 °F) relative to the pre-industrial level.
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