Phenology as a management tool to forecast climate
... Keywords: climate change; invasive species; phylogenetics; phenology; population declines Abstract: A major focus of current ecological research and natural resource management is to understand how climate change is affecting ecosystems and to improve predictions of how ecosystems might respond to f ...
... Keywords: climate change; invasive species; phylogenetics; phenology; population declines Abstract: A major focus of current ecological research and natural resource management is to understand how climate change is affecting ecosystems and to improve predictions of how ecosystems might respond to f ...
No Regrets Charter
... Large metropolises will be especially affected by climate change. Major cities, in particular, are heat islands. The overall effect of global warming and heat-island effects does not merely form the sum of those parts. As a result of coupling and mutual build-up effects, temperature increases in cit ...
... Large metropolises will be especially affected by climate change. Major cities, in particular, are heat islands. The overall effect of global warming and heat-island effects does not merely form the sum of those parts. As a result of coupling and mutual build-up effects, temperature increases in cit ...
Climate Change - University of Technology Sydney
... disadvantaged and disenfranchised Australians in particular? devastation brought ...
... disadvantaged and disenfranchised Australians in particular? devastation brought ...
Climate change scenarios in Europe and their potential
... Projection of future climate: Europe and Mediterranean Changes in Temperature Annual mean temperatures in Europe are likely to increase more than the global mean. Seasonally, the largest warming is likely to be in northern Europe in winter and in the Mediterranean area in summer. Minimum winter temp ...
... Projection of future climate: Europe and Mediterranean Changes in Temperature Annual mean temperatures in Europe are likely to increase more than the global mean. Seasonally, the largest warming is likely to be in northern Europe in winter and in the Mediterranean area in summer. Minimum winter temp ...
CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the
... trustworthiness of the ESMs within the peer-reviewed literature. Gregor Betz, for example, remarks that ‘‘it’s not even clear that discrete simulations yield individually plausible or relevant projections.’’5 In this article, we delve into the history of climate science, notably the early ‘‘pen-and- ...
... trustworthiness of the ESMs within the peer-reviewed literature. Gregor Betz, for example, remarks that ‘‘it’s not even clear that discrete simulations yield individually plausible or relevant projections.’’5 In this article, we delve into the history of climate science, notably the early ‘‘pen-and- ...
paper
... climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, policy preferences, and behavior). The model estimates and survey results were strongly correlated within each geographic area. Across the 11 variables and accounting for mode differences, the mean absolute difference between model estimates and validation ...
... climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, policy preferences, and behavior). The model estimates and survey results were strongly correlated within each geographic area. Across the 11 variables and accounting for mode differences, the mean absolute difference between model estimates and validation ...
Generating characteristic daily weather data using
... There are considerable differences between SRES emission scenarios, in terms of projected changes in temperatures and rainfall for different regions. Figure 1, taken from the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), shows global multi-model means of surface warming (relative to 1980–1999) for the scen ...
... There are considerable differences between SRES emission scenarios, in terms of projected changes in temperatures and rainfall for different regions. Figure 1, taken from the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), shows global multi-model means of surface warming (relative to 1980–1999) for the scen ...
k9477e
... temperature and decrease of precipitation, a reduction of runoff by over 40 percent is thought likely toward the end of the century in Mediterranean coastal areas4 and severe drought, already a major concern in the Region, could increase in frequency, leading to further land degradation and desertif ...
... temperature and decrease of precipitation, a reduction of runoff by over 40 percent is thought likely toward the end of the century in Mediterranean coastal areas4 and severe drought, already a major concern in the Region, could increase in frequency, leading to further land degradation and desertif ...
Climate Change - Inside SOU - Southern Oregon University
... experienced a decline in frost frequency, shifts in the timing of frosts, and warmer growing seasons with greater heat accumulation. In North America research has shown significant changes in growing season climates, especially in the western U.S. For example, during 19482002 in the main grape growi ...
... experienced a decline in frost frequency, shifts in the timing of frosts, and warmer growing seasons with greater heat accumulation. In North America research has shown significant changes in growing season climates, especially in the western U.S. For example, during 19482002 in the main grape growi ...
Smith-SDC-Edinburgh-October-2008-final
... costs, but these are not fully understood. • Many impacts can be avoided, reduced or delayed by mitigation. • A portfolio of adaptation and mitigation measures can diminish the ...
... costs, but these are not fully understood. • Many impacts can be avoided, reduced or delayed by mitigation. • A portfolio of adaptation and mitigation measures can diminish the ...
using big data, scenarios development, and game theory to monitor
... demand increases due to economic growth, but power is more widely distributed. Governments take longer to make important energy decisions to address climate change. Market forces shape the energy system more than government. Oil and coal remain but the share of renewable energy grows. The Shell scen ...
... demand increases due to economic growth, but power is more widely distributed. Governments take longer to make important energy decisions to address climate change. Market forces shape the energy system more than government. Oil and coal remain but the share of renewable energy grows. The Shell scen ...
Name - HannibalPhysics
... Scientists have proposed a number of different models of how the climate may change in the future. Each model is based in part on how people choose to use energy resources, pursue economic development, and how population changes across the world. Each of the models is referred to as a scenario and e ...
... Scientists have proposed a number of different models of how the climate may change in the future. Each model is based in part on how people choose to use energy resources, pursue economic development, and how population changes across the world. Each of the models is referred to as a scenario and e ...
PDF
... reservoir systems (USCCSP, 2008). Intensity increases are likely to become more pronounced as climate change proceeds. Drought Incidence: Observations show increased summer drought stress in the last 30 years (USCCSP, 2008; IPCC, 2007a). This trend can be expected to continue as ...
... reservoir systems (USCCSP, 2008). Intensity increases are likely to become more pronounced as climate change proceeds. Drought Incidence: Observations show increased summer drought stress in the last 30 years (USCCSP, 2008; IPCC, 2007a). This trend can be expected to continue as ...
pdf version - Geophysical Institute
... near the glacier of interest, so to model the Bering and Hubbard glaciers we used observations from Yakutat, Cordova, and Juneau. We interpolated the MM5-downscaled temperatures and precipitation at the 18-km fine-scale model resolution to these stations while taking the land type and elevation info ...
... near the glacier of interest, so to model the Bering and Hubbard glaciers we used observations from Yakutat, Cordova, and Juneau. We interpolated the MM5-downscaled temperatures and precipitation at the 18-km fine-scale model resolution to these stations while taking the land type and elevation info ...
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
... whether warming has ceased, stopped or paused. We do not believe that warming has ceased, but we consider the slowdown to be a recent and visible example of a basic science question that has been studied for at least twenty years: what are the signatures of (and the interactions between) internal de ...
... whether warming has ceased, stopped or paused. We do not believe that warming has ceased, but we consider the slowdown to be a recent and visible example of a basic science question that has been studied for at least twenty years: what are the signatures of (and the interactions between) internal de ...
Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Glacier Melt and
... which is projected to increase flooding and rock avalanches, will affect water resources in the next two to three decades. As glaciers recede, river flows will decrease. Coastal areas, especially heavily populated mega-delta regions, will be at greatest risk due to increased flooding from the sea an ...
... which is projected to increase flooding and rock avalanches, will affect water resources in the next two to three decades. As glaciers recede, river flows will decrease. Coastal areas, especially heavily populated mega-delta regions, will be at greatest risk due to increased flooding from the sea an ...
Recent Trends in Temperature and Precipitation in Al Jabal Al
... Available gridded datasets for Saudi Arabia also accurately represent the very dry (40-80 mm) area over the Rub Al Khali, and the dry (80150 mm) area over the middle to north of Saudi Arabia, and the wettest (>150 mm) region in the southwest of the AP [20]. For the Sultanate of Oman in the south-eas ...
... Available gridded datasets for Saudi Arabia also accurately represent the very dry (40-80 mm) area over the Rub Al Khali, and the dry (80150 mm) area over the middle to north of Saudi Arabia, and the wettest (>150 mm) region in the southwest of the AP [20]. For the Sultanate of Oman in the south-eas ...
Stop Global Warming 2015 - Approach to Mitigation and Adaptation
... 7 Japan National Institute of Infectious Diseases website (http://www0.nih.go.jp/niid/entomology/research/research.html). 8 JMA website, “Long-term trend of global average surface temperature (1891–2014)” (http://www.data.jma.go.jp/cpdinfo/temp/an_wld.html). 9 Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute ...
... 7 Japan National Institute of Infectious Diseases website (http://www0.nih.go.jp/niid/entomology/research/research.html). 8 JMA website, “Long-term trend of global average surface temperature (1891–2014)” (http://www.data.jma.go.jp/cpdinfo/temp/an_wld.html). 9 Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute ...
Climate Change and the Arctic
... The most distinguishing characteristic of the Arctic is its climate – fiercely cold in the winter and surprisingly temperate during summer. On occasion the Subarctic is subject to even colder temperatures as it lacks the warming effect of the Arctic Ocean. Contrary to what one might expect, snowfall ...
... The most distinguishing characteristic of the Arctic is its climate – fiercely cold in the winter and surprisingly temperate during summer. On occasion the Subarctic is subject to even colder temperatures as it lacks the warming effect of the Arctic Ocean. Contrary to what one might expect, snowfall ...
A Call to Truth, Prudence, and Protection of the
... will occur mostly in winter, mostly in polar regions, and mostly at night. But in polar regions, where winter night temperatures range far below freezing, an increase of 5.4E F is hardly likely to cause significant melting of polar ice caps or other problems. Even if the recent strong warming trend ...
... will occur mostly in winter, mostly in polar regions, and mostly at night. But in polar regions, where winter night temperatures range far below freezing, an increase of 5.4E F is hardly likely to cause significant melting of polar ice caps or other problems. Even if the recent strong warming trend ...
DCNR and Climate Change – Planning for the Future
... The incidence of heavy precipitation events has also increased significantly. According to the 2014 National Climate Assessment,3 the heaviest downpours, which are the number of days where the total precipitation exceeded the top 1 percent of all rain and snow days, have increased by 71% in the Nort ...
... The incidence of heavy precipitation events has also increased significantly. According to the 2014 National Climate Assessment,3 the heaviest downpours, which are the number of days where the total precipitation exceeded the top 1 percent of all rain and snow days, have increased by 71% in the Nort ...
climate change and indigenous people
... Extinctions are also likely to increase considering that many species would not be able to adapt to the rapid rate of warming (Pounds et al. 1999; Thomas et al. 2005; Harley 2011). Many studies have shown that climate change causes advances in spring phases of many plant species (Primack et al. 2004 ...
... Extinctions are also likely to increase considering that many species would not be able to adapt to the rapid rate of warming (Pounds et al. 1999; Thomas et al. 2005; Harley 2011). Many studies have shown that climate change causes advances in spring phases of many plant species (Primack et al. 2004 ...
CLIMATE CHANGE TRENDS IN SOME ROMANIAN VITICULTURAL
... trend, mainly during the growing season, especially during the ripening of the grapes. There have been highlighted relatively large differences between the values of the main bioclimatic indicators of the country's wine regions, as well as a stronger growth trend of these ones in the northern areas ...
... trend, mainly during the growing season, especially during the ripening of the grapes. There have been highlighted relatively large differences between the values of the main bioclimatic indicators of the country's wine regions, as well as a stronger growth trend of these ones in the northern areas ...
Chapter 4 – Climate and Climate Change
... Generally, projections for 2030 show little variation between greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, as these changes in climate are mostly affected by greenhouse gases that have already been emitted. Due to this, the projections below for 2030 are shown for the mid-range Special Report on Emissions Sc ...
... Generally, projections for 2030 show little variation between greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, as these changes in climate are mostly affected by greenhouse gases that have already been emitted. Due to this, the projections below for 2030 are shown for the mid-range Special Report on Emissions Sc ...
Climate Threats: A More Inclusive Assessment Is Needed
... “Human-caused increases in greenhouse gases are responsible for most of the observed global average surface warming of roughly 0.8°C (1.5°F) over the past 140 years” ...
... “Human-caused increases in greenhouse gases are responsible for most of the observed global average surface warming of roughly 0.8°C (1.5°F) over the past 140 years” ...
Effects of global warming
The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.