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1  Guidance Manual RAPID CLIMATE CHANGE
1 Guidance Manual RAPID CLIMATE CHANGE

... downscaling and hydrological modelling led to the assessment of climate change effects on each site. The project has established a solid scientific evidence base for wetlands adaptation and a rapid spatial assessment methodology for climate change vulnerability assessments of natural systems. The as ...
Central Mekong Delta Region Connectivity Project
Central Mekong Delta Region Connectivity Project

... Climate  change  is  a  maturing  science.  Efforts  over  the  last  two  decades  have  built  understanding  and  confidence of how climate is changing and more importantly the science behind it. We now have evidence that  temperatures  are  becoming  hotter  and  more  variable,  rainfall  in  t ...
Endangered Quino checkerspot butterfly and climate change: Short
Endangered Quino checkerspot butterfly and climate change: Short

... Species that are already under stress from other human activities are likely more vulnerable to global warming due to decreased resistance and resilience (Parmesan and Galbraith 2004; Parmesan et al. 2013). In these circumstances, the conservation community is increasingly concerned with how to mana ...
PDF
PDF

... The goal of this paper is to improve the meta-analysis technique as applied to estimating a climate damage function in DICE. This is important for two reasons. First, given the leadership status placed on DICE by other economists and the prominence of Nordhaus in the field, it is important to scrut ...
City of Long Beach Climate Resiliency Assessment Report
City of Long Beach Climate Resiliency Assessment Report

... climate change presents to Long Beach. This report lays out these major threats in the context of California and Los Angeles County, to give perspective. This report delves into the more rigorous subject of describing and defining the threats of climate change most relevant to Long Beach. By highlig ...
Tree Species Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change
Tree Species Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change

... is based on potential for genetic adaptation, physiological adjustment, migration, etc. For human systems, adaptive capacity is determined by such factors as access to technology, availability of resources, social and human capital and management of information (Moser et al. 2008). Vulnerability can ...
Possible impacts on climate change on biocontrol systems in New
Possible impacts on climate change on biocontrol systems in New

... Climate change will have a direct effect on the location, nature and productivity of the pastures, crops, orchards and forests grown in the future in New Zealand. It is also changing the composition, distribution and phenology of the weeds and pests that compromise productivity and threaten the sust ...
S Moser Final Report 11 11 08
S Moser Final Report 11 11 08

... Between adrenalin-rushing science fiction movies like Roland Emmerich’s The Day After Tomorrow (2004) on the one hand and the sober, yet increasingly somber, scientific reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the other (e.g., IPCC 2007a,b), a shelf of academic books has been fill ...
Decadal climate variability and potential predictability in the nordic
Decadal climate variability and potential predictability in the nordic

... According to Hurrel (1995), NAO exhibits quite strong inter-annual variability, but also some considerable decadal to multi-decadal variability. It has been shown that decadal to multidecadal variations coherent with those in NAO can be also observed in the ocean (Curry et al. 1998), which indicates ...
Coastal Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerabilities
Coastal Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerabilities

... Global Change Research Act of 1990, which requires a report to the President and Congress every four years on the status of climate change science and impacts. The NCA informs the nation about already observed changes, the current status of the climate, and anticipated trends for the future. The NCA ...
CLIMATE CHANGE, MIGRATION, AND THE PUGET SOUND REGION
CLIMATE CHANGE, MIGRATION, AND THE PUGET SOUND REGION

... blog post by University of Washington atmospheric scientist Cliff Mass interpreted the National Climate Assessment to illustrate how the Pacific Northwest, particularly the area west of the Cascades, could become a relatively safe and pleasant place with respect to climate, compared to other regions ...
Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Carpathian region
Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Carpathian region

... north-western part to 4.5ºC in the south by the end of this century. The change in winter maximum is less pronounced than the change in summer maximum. Precipitation Change - Most studies indicate an increase in winter precipitation and changes in snow cover. Although the mean annual values of preci ...
The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources,
The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources,

... now being observed, and examines whether these changes can be attributed in whole or part to climate change. The general time horizon for this report is from the recent past through the period 2030-2050, although longer-term results out to 2100 are also considered. ...
SADC Policy paper on Climate Change
SADC Policy paper on Climate Change

... (about 1750), have contributed to changes in Earth’s atmosphere in the amounts of greenhouse gases, dust and aerosols (small particles). The increase in concentrations of atmospheric gases (carbon dioxide, and other gases) lead to a change in the energy balance of the atmosphere as the gases and aer ...
Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century
Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century

... a global RF for aviation cirrus with a mean value of 30 mW m2 and an uncertainty range of 10–80 mW m2, assuming similar optical properties to very thin cirrus. IPCC AR4 WGI adopted these values with the caveat that 30 mW m2 does not constitute a ‘best estimate’ in the same qualitative sense as ot ...
Extreme flood events in changing climate for a long-term
Extreme flood events in changing climate for a long-term

... mean value, the coefficient of variation and coefficient of skewness calculated from the observed time series with an assumption that these values do not change during the planning horizon (Thomas, 1985). However, the frequency and magnitude of extreme flood events based on historical data do not pr ...
Climate Change and Tourism - Sustainable Development of Tourism
Climate Change and Tourism - Sustainable Development of Tourism

... sector itself takes a more proactive position. This could arise in a number of ways. First, there is an opportunity to pursue the interests of the sector through further studies undertaken by the World Tourism Organization, in collaboration with key United Nations agencies, such as the World Meteoro ...
3. Ranking Criteria and Examples
3. Ranking Criteria and Examples

... posed a significant risk to them personally, and most said that they would be able to cope with hot weather. Bonding networks could perpetuate rather than challenge these narratives and therefore contribute to vulnerability rather than ameliorating it. These results suggest a complex rather than uni ...
IPCC WGII AR5 Chapter 4 SECOND
IPCC WGII AR5 Chapter 4 SECOND

... evolutionary response species are going to undertake, and by simply falling into the trap of writing more about species dispersal (as there are more papers on it) misses something. The authors may wish to consider including a section about what is missing around understanding these other adaptive st ...
The International Tundra Experiment
The International Tundra Experiment

... slight wind, as they allow the air in the OTC to warm without being removed by wind turbulence (Marion et al. 1997; Bokhorst et al. 2013). They are not as effective on calm, overcast days, and the average warming effect has been found to be 1-3º C during the growing season, which is at the low end o ...
Climate Change in the American Christian Mind: March 2015
Climate Change in the American Christian Mind: March 2015

... Catholics are the most likely to say global warming is caused mostly by human activities (57%; 33% say it is caused mostly by natural changes in the environment). Non-evangelical Protestants are also more likely to say global warming is caused by human activity rather than natural changes in the env ...
Climate Change and Regulatory Takings in
Climate Change and Regulatory Takings in

... II. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN HAWAI‘I ...
Committee on America's Climate Choices; National Research Council
Committee on America's Climate Choices; National Research Council

... on key issues, and hear about relevant work carried out by others. Additional outside viewpoints and perspectives were obtained via public events and workshops, invited presentations at meetings, and comments and questions received through the study website http://americasclimatechoices.org. The Pan ...
CLIMATE CHANGE: IMPACTS, VULNERABILITIES AND
CLIMATE CHANGE: IMPACTS, VULNERABILITIES AND

... lead to inundation of coasts worldwide with some small island States possibly facing complete inundation and people living with the constant threat of tropical cyclones now face increased severity and possibly increased frequency of these events with all associated risks to life and livelihoods. The ...
Global assessment of coral bleaching and required rates
Global assessment of coral bleaching and required rates

... across all the IPCC models). The less energy-intensive SRES B2 scenario features a lower emission path, projecting a 2.2 1C temperature increase on average across all models. These two scenarios played a central role in the 3rd IPCC assessment (Cubasch et al., 2001) and are commonly used in climate ...
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Effects of global warming



The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.
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