- EERA Network 3
... 2.1. Climate Change a vital and environmental problem: Climate Change (Solomon et al., 2007) observable changes such as an increase in the average global air and ocean temperature, melting of ice, increase in the average sea-level (IPCC, 2007) Global warming is inevitable and that human activi ...
... 2.1. Climate Change a vital and environmental problem: Climate Change (Solomon et al., 2007) observable changes such as an increase in the average global air and ocean temperature, melting of ice, increase in the average sea-level (IPCC, 2007) Global warming is inevitable and that human activi ...
Link between land-ocean warming contrast and surface relative
... captures the tropical amplification factors in individual models (Figure 3a), with a correlation coefficient across models between the simulated and theoretical values of 0.67. The ability of the theory to capture a considerable amount of the intermodel scatter provides further support for its validit ...
... captures the tropical amplification factors in individual models (Figure 3a), with a correlation coefficient across models between the simulated and theoretical values of 0.67. The ability of the theory to capture a considerable amount of the intermodel scatter provides further support for its validit ...
Link between landocean warming contrast and surface relative
... captures the tropical amplification factors in individual models (Figure 3a), with a correlation coefficient across models between the simulated and theoretical values of 0.67. The ability of the theory to capture a considerable amount of the intermodel scatter provides further support for its validit ...
... captures the tropical amplification factors in individual models (Figure 3a), with a correlation coefficient across models between the simulated and theoretical values of 0.67. The ability of the theory to capture a considerable amount of the intermodel scatter provides further support for its validit ...
The impacts of climate change on nuclear power stations sites
... by UKCIP reflect the range of global scenarios published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the Third Assessment Report on climate change. These were derived from emissions scenarios approved by the IPCC and contained in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) report ...
... by UKCIP reflect the range of global scenarios published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the Third Assessment Report on climate change. These were derived from emissions scenarios approved by the IPCC and contained in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) report ...
Projected changes in mean and extreme precipitation in Africa
... Probable changes in mean and extreme precipitation in East Africa are estimated from global climate models (GCMs) prepared for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Bayesian statistics are used to derive the relative weights assigned to each member in the multi-model ensemble. There is substantia ...
... Probable changes in mean and extreme precipitation in East Africa are estimated from global climate models (GCMs) prepared for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Bayesian statistics are used to derive the relative weights assigned to each member in the multi-model ensemble. There is substantia ...
Climate Change Adaptation Action Plan
... Reduced or less reliable water availability from local water supplies. Council has already identified that existing urban water supplies for Stanthorpe and Wallangarra are insufficient to meet future demand. Decreasing rainfall will lead to reduced runoff and increased evaporation which will impact ...
... Reduced or less reliable water availability from local water supplies. Council has already identified that existing urban water supplies for Stanthorpe and Wallangarra are insufficient to meet future demand. Decreasing rainfall will lead to reduced runoff and increased evaporation which will impact ...
Science integration into US climate and ocean policy
... enhance ecosystem resilience, and working with natural resourcedependent communities to raise awareness and address current and future climate impacts, among other approaches16. Relatively few climate adaptation actions have been developed for marine systems, when compared with terrestrial systems17 ...
... enhance ecosystem resilience, and working with natural resourcedependent communities to raise awareness and address current and future climate impacts, among other approaches16. Relatively few climate adaptation actions have been developed for marine systems, when compared with terrestrial systems17 ...
FINAL TEXT PAGES - Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies
... The third IPCC assessment was published in 2001, and went one step further than its predecessor. The third assessment reported on the magnitude of the human effect on climate. It found that “there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable ...
... The third IPCC assessment was published in 2001, and went one step further than its predecessor. The third assessment reported on the magnitude of the human effect on climate. It found that “there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable ...
Climate Change and the Cryosphere
... its demise, for the world’s billions of bulbs — only five per cent efficient at converting power into light — cause massive emissions of carbon dioxide. Of course, dealing with climate change requires governments to regulate on emission reduction targets and promote more sustainable forms of energy ...
... its demise, for the world’s billions of bulbs — only five per cent efficient at converting power into light — cause massive emissions of carbon dioxide. Of course, dealing with climate change requires governments to regulate on emission reduction targets and promote more sustainable forms of energy ...
Climate Warming and Calling Phenology of Frogs near Ithaca, New
... motivation to act against finding earlier dates within the atlas data. Thus, we conclude that the shifts we observed in first-calling dates could be underestimated. It is difficult to predict the long-term effects that gradually warmer temperatures might exert on local populations of anurans. Frogs ...
... motivation to act against finding earlier dates within the atlas data. Thus, we conclude that the shifts we observed in first-calling dates could be underestimated. It is difficult to predict the long-term effects that gradually warmer temperatures might exert on local populations of anurans. Frogs ...
Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up,
... that, under widely assumed climate change scenarios, expected trends in U.K. summer river flows are seldom detectable within typical planning horizons (i.e., by the 2020s). Again, depending on the climate model and underlying uncertainty of the regional projections, emergence time scales for U.S. tro ...
... that, under widely assumed climate change scenarios, expected trends in U.K. summer river flows are seldom detectable within typical planning horizons (i.e., by the 2020s). Again, depending on the climate model and underlying uncertainty of the regional projections, emergence time scales for U.S. tro ...
Life history and spatial traits predict extinction risk due to climate
... need for complex forecasting models. Most of the variables we found to be important for predicting extinction risk, including occupied area and population size, are already used in species conservation assessments, indicating that present systems may be better able to identify species vulnerable to ...
... need for complex forecasting models. Most of the variables we found to be important for predicting extinction risk, including occupied area and population size, are already used in species conservation assessments, indicating that present systems may be better able to identify species vulnerable to ...
3.47 MB - Asian Development Bank
... more of the negative impacts of climate change. The increasing population may also lead to non-resilient development of social structure of a society (IPCC, 2012). Climate change requires adaptation to the future conditions. This need to adaptation has been recognized almost with one accord by the v ...
... more of the negative impacts of climate change. The increasing population may also lead to non-resilient development of social structure of a society (IPCC, 2012). Climate change requires adaptation to the future conditions. This need to adaptation has been recognized almost with one accord by the v ...
Probabilistic regional and seasonal predictions of twenty-first century temperature and precipitation: Working Paper 23 (440 kB) (opens in new window)
... multi-year mean near-surface temperature (Tg) because (i) observational and physical constraints on Tg minimise the impact of spatial and temporal variability, (ii) temperature is the best observed climatic variable, and (iii) it can be studied with a variety of different types of models from compli ...
... multi-year mean near-surface temperature (Tg) because (i) observational and physical constraints on Tg minimise the impact of spatial and temporal variability, (ii) temperature is the best observed climatic variable, and (iii) it can be studied with a variety of different types of models from compli ...
The Critical Decade: Tasmanian impacts and
... crayfish (Figure 7) are sensitive to changes in habitats and may be threatened by changes in the climate. It is projected that the distribution of the broad-toothed mouse will contract into the mountains near Cradle MountainLake St Clair (DPIPWE, 2010). As a consequence of increased temperature and ...
... crayfish (Figure 7) are sensitive to changes in habitats and may be threatened by changes in the climate. It is projected that the distribution of the broad-toothed mouse will contract into the mountains near Cradle MountainLake St Clair (DPIPWE, 2010). As a consequence of increased temperature and ...
Global Warming — Scientific Facts, Problems and
... effect theory, started to develop intensively and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was founded by the United Nations Environment Programme and the World Meteorological Organization. This organization aims at assessing the scientific information of the risk of human-induced climat ...
... effect theory, started to develop intensively and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was founded by the United Nations Environment Programme and the World Meteorological Organization. This organization aims at assessing the scientific information of the risk of human-induced climat ...
Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the
... we note that the 56-year penguin observation period includes 10 warm events, for a frequency of w! o " 10/56 " 0.18 (dotted line of Fig. 2B). Thus, for each climate model, we calculated the SIE threshold that produced a frequency of w! o " 0.18 over the observation period; these thresholds range fro ...
... we note that the 56-year penguin observation period includes 10 warm events, for a frequency of w! o " 10/56 " 0.18 (dotted line of Fig. 2B). Thus, for each climate model, we calculated the SIE threshold that produced a frequency of w! o " 0.18 over the observation period; these thresholds range fro ...
Past and Future Trends in Frequency of Heavy Rainfall Events over
... positive trend in annual mean temperature of 3°C to 3.5°C for the period 2011-2100 along with a decreasing trend in annual precipitation. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the increase in annual mean temperature is 8.3°C with an increasing trend in precipitation as well (fig 1a and b). The summer mean temp ...
... positive trend in annual mean temperature of 3°C to 3.5°C for the period 2011-2100 along with a decreasing trend in annual precipitation. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the increase in annual mean temperature is 8.3°C with an increasing trend in precipitation as well (fig 1a and b). The summer mean temp ...
climate risks: impact on natural hazards insurance between now and
... projections of extreme events and those of more common events, referred to as “background noise”, separately. For extreme events we considered changes in the return period2, while for more common events we considered frequency of occurrence. This factor is strictly linked to climate change. Natura ...
... projections of extreme events and those of more common events, referred to as “background noise”, separately. For extreme events we considered changes in the return period2, while for more common events we considered frequency of occurrence. This factor is strictly linked to climate change. Natura ...
A Micro-econometric Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change
... 2. Background and hypotheses The tourism industry is highly sensitive to the impacts of climate change (e.g. Aguiló et al. 2005; IPCC AR4 WGII 2007; Scott et al. 2012). For example, Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton et al. (2005) predict changes in patterns of tourist flows and tourism demand due to ...
... 2. Background and hypotheses The tourism industry is highly sensitive to the impacts of climate change (e.g. Aguiló et al. 2005; IPCC AR4 WGII 2007; Scott et al. 2012). For example, Lise and Tol (2002) and Hamilton et al. (2005) predict changes in patterns of tourist flows and tourism demand due to ...
Simulation of regional climate change under the IPCC A2 scenario
... As for the daily total precipitation amounts, we use a daily gridded dataset provided by Chen et al. (2010), with a resolution of 0.5° by 0.5°, comparable to LMDZ. This dataset is also deduced from 753 operational surface stations of the China Meteorological Administration by an ordinary kriging int ...
... As for the daily total precipitation amounts, we use a daily gridded dataset provided by Chen et al. (2010), with a resolution of 0.5° by 0.5°, comparable to LMDZ. This dataset is also deduced from 753 operational surface stations of the China Meteorological Administration by an ordinary kriging int ...
chapter eight climate change, northern subsistence and land based
... ‘thaw lakes’ and subsidence on the land, disrupting natural drainage patterns, damaging forests and making travel much more difficult (Harris, 1987). In sum, such degradation of the permafrost will have serious ramifications for existing ecosystems and wildlife habitat (Canadian Climate Program Boar ...
... ‘thaw lakes’ and subsidence on the land, disrupting natural drainage patterns, damaging forests and making travel much more difficult (Harris, 1987). In sum, such degradation of the permafrost will have serious ramifications for existing ecosystems and wildlife habitat (Canadian Climate Program Boar ...
Guest Speakers and Presentations
... and precipitation will play out locally, how expected changes may vary throughout the seasons, and about new climate extremes. A recent study by Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) helps to understand the details of how the region’s climate may change by end of century. Models project warme ...
... and precipitation will play out locally, how expected changes may vary throughout the seasons, and about new climate extremes. A recent study by Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) helps to understand the details of how the region’s climate may change by end of century. Models project warme ...
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal
... Riesgos (Manizales, Colombia, 2004), Annex (2009). Values are normalized on scale of 0 – 100 and presented against the average for 16 LAC countries found in IADB-IDEA (2007). Values are normalized on scale of 0 – 100 and presented against the average for 16 LAC countries found in IADB-IDEA (2007). M ...
... Riesgos (Manizales, Colombia, 2004), Annex (2009). Values are normalized on scale of 0 – 100 and presented against the average for 16 LAC countries found in IADB-IDEA (2007). Values are normalized on scale of 0 – 100 and presented against the average for 16 LAC countries found in IADB-IDEA (2007). M ...
Effects of global warming
The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.