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Sea-Level Rise Estimates for New Brunswick Municipalities
Sea-Level Rise Estimates for New Brunswick Municipalities

... level and the anticipated tides) reveals that a significant number of recorded extreme storm surge events fall within range of the upper 95% confidence limit. This is particularly the case with the Escuminac and Shediac residual graphs. In the case of Shediac, the surveyed record level of 3.62 m (CD ...
Mainstreaming Adaptation to Climate Change in Indian Policy Planning
Mainstreaming Adaptation to Climate Change in Indian Policy Planning

... Climate change is now recognised as one of the most pressing global issues of our planet (El Sioufi (2010). A review of climate science by the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS, 2010) concludes that “the Earth system is warming and that much of this warming is very likely due to human activities” ...
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling
Uncertainties of Climate Observation Data and Simulation Modelling

... “There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last fifty years is attributable to human activities”. The Earth’s climate system has markedly changed during the time period from the industrial revolution, with some changes having been of anthropogenic origin. The clim ...
Perceptions of Obvious and Disruptive Climate Change: Community
Perceptions of Obvious and Disruptive Climate Change: Community

... changes, but assessment of the disruptive capacity those changes pose to an individual in their particular cultural setting [15] and, more broadly, informed by a people’s cultural-political history of “shared experiences, identity, values, and way of life” [43] (p. 56). The perception of climatic ch ...
Public!Intellectuals
Public!Intellectuals

... economist  Jeffrey  Sachs,  and  U.S.  energy  analyst  Amory  Lovins.   The  third  group,  Ecomodernists,  argue  for  embracing  the  power  of  human  ingenuity  and   creativity  to  manage  the  risks  of  climate  change,  and  for ...
Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments: Working Paper 51 (556 kB) (opens in new window)
Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments: Working Paper 51 (556 kB) (opens in new window)

... Scenarios of future states have long been used in the management of natural hazards, as well as decision-making more broadly. Van der Heijden (2005) suggests that such scenarios can serve as a “test-bed for policies and plans” as well as guiding future research to refine projections. Section 6 will ...
Impact of Climate Changes on Economic and Agricultural Value
Impact of Climate Changes on Economic and Agricultural Value

... The hypothesis, no doubt, plays very significant role for designing and comparing different research techniques empirically as well as theoretically. For this particular study, hypothesis developed and tested empirically to discuss the relationship between climate changes and GDP and Agriculture sha ...
22. Predictions and Projections of Pine Productivity and Hydrology
22. Predictions and Projections of Pine Productivity and Hydrology

... that was modified by plant-water demand (a function of gross photosynthesis and water use efficiency). In the model, water interception loss was a function of leaf area and total precipitation, and ET was equal to transpiration plus interception loss. Drainage was calculated as water in excess of ET ...
Climate Change & Resource Development Scenarios for the
Climate Change & Resource Development Scenarios for the

... white sturgeon. It supports a large chinook salmon run, and two major runs of sockeye salmon in the Stuart river system (Benke & Cushing, 2005). The Nechako sturgeon population is classified as ‘critically imperiled’ (Benke & Cushing, 2005), which means that the species is facing a very high risk of ...
Observed Climate Variability and Trends
Observed Climate Variability and Trends

... observation networks in the region. Detection and attribution of climate changes in the Pacific is further complicated by large changes in ENSO activity over the past century (Power and Smith, 2007). Consequently, it can be difficult to distinguish between natural interdecadal changes and those due ...
(SPARC) (Thomas Peter, ETH Zurich)
(SPARC) (Thomas Peter, ETH Zurich)

... – Recognized need for coupled chemistry, initiated links to IGAC – Recognized importance of data assimilation for climate studies and brought in the academic community – Recognized potential of cloud-resolving models to exploit high-resolution measurements in the ...
Simulations show decreasing carbon stocks and potential for carbon
Simulations show decreasing carbon stocks and potential for carbon

... For each AOGCM, average monthly changes in values of precipitation and temperature from a base period (years 1980–1999) to 2030 (2020–2039), and from the base period to 2080 (2070–2089), were provided by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) (Table 1) for an area ;5.68 in latitude and ...
Selecting and Using Climate Change Scenarios for British Columbia
Selecting and Using Climate Change Scenarios for British Columbia

... availability of a wide range of climate projections for the future. This report presents the rationale for selecting and using these scenarios for various purposes. In this report we address projections produced for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4; ...
study of future climatic variations of a teleconnection pattern
study of future climatic variations of a teleconnection pattern

... The term "teleconnection pattern" refers to the statistically significant negative correlation of recurring and persistent circulation anomalies between two or more geographical areas that could be adjacent or at greater distances. Teleconnection patterns appear as preferred modes of low-frequency ( ...
Inuit women and environmental change: examining experiences
Inuit women and environmental change: examining experiences

... countries that, like the Arctic, are already experiencing the effects of climate change. Work in these regions tends to focus on gender beyond describing it as a factor that influences vulnerability. These studies have a greater tendency to describe a more holistic picture of the impact climate chan ...
Conceptual framework: Definitions for key concepts
Conceptual framework: Definitions for key concepts

... Effective risk-management strategies can results from a participatory approach in which experts explain risks and uncertainties and stakeholders explain their decision-making criteria (e.g., Jacobs, 2002). Visual tools can aid the communication of impacts, vulnerability, adaptation and, uncertaintie ...
Direct and Indirect Effects of Climate Change on Amphibian
Direct and Indirect Effects of Climate Change on Amphibian

... greenhouse-gas emissions. Average annual global temperatures have risen 0.7 °C over the last century [16]. The rate of increase has been greatest in the latter part of the century. For example, the rate at which annual average global temperatures increased from 1980 to 2005 was roughly double the ra ...
Unit Roots in the Climate: Is the Recent Warming Due to Persistent
Unit Roots in the Climate: Is the Recent Warming Due to Persistent

... phenomena such as ice cores. Such data is often available for a longer time span, however, climate sensitive data is often location specific and possibly subject to more error. Data sets on rainfall, sea level, and ocean temperatures are less complete than the global temperature data. Global mean te ...
Engaging Science and Managing Scientific Uncertainty in Urban
Engaging Science and Managing Scientific Uncertainty in Urban

... initiatives from the local to the global. In adaptation, assessments contribute to success since they provide information to decision-makers about future conditions with the goal of reducing risk and vulnerability. From a practical standpoint, assessments facilitate the selection of adaptation optio ...
4B.4 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND WEATHER ON
4B.4 IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND WEATHER ON

... well as most types of buses. The study period for which CMV data are available is 1975 to the present. Exposure to adverse weather may occur at any point in distribution supply chain and cause ripple effects in the intermodal transportation system. This paper looks at a specific problem area from th ...
Article The uncertainties of climate change in Spanish
Article The uncertainties of climate change in Spanish

... coastline. These papers cover most of the political spectrum and the sum of their circulation figures fluctuate at around one million copies per day [46]. The choice of these media was based on the fact that most of the papers which had previously analysed media portrayal of climate change and its s ...
Article The uncertainties of climate change in Spanish daily
Article The uncertainties of climate change in Spanish daily

... coastline. These papers cover most of the political spectrum and the sum of their circulation figures fluctuate at around one million copies per day [46]. The choice of these media was based on the fact that most of the papers which had previously analysed media portrayal of climate change and its s ...
Link to full document - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of
Link to full document - Joint Program on the Science and Policy of

... uptake and release model—for the contiguous USA (CONUS), with about 19,000 segments total. With this system in place, we then validate the standalone water temperature model within the system for 16 river stations throughout the CONUS, where we have measured daily temperature data. The model perform ...
What Role Do Property Rights Play In Climate Change?
What Role Do Property Rights Play In Climate Change?

... Positive contributions that can be made by planning law policy Having established these limitations of developing UK and EU Planning Law in relation to the protection of property rights from climate change impacts, Professor Willmore began to look at opportunities. To begin with, all Member States ...
A Focus on Climate During the Past 100 Years
A Focus on Climate During the Past 100 Years

... trends, this period marks the changeover of a climate system driven by natural forcings to a climate system in which anthropogenic forcings play a major role. Second, with respect to climate variability, the past 100 years are the closest precedent to the present and future. Understanding the proces ...
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Effects of global warming



The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.
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