The polar amplification asymmetry: role of Antarctic surface height
... on the surface albedo (ALB) feedback and lack of vertical mixing (e.g., Manabe and Wetherald, 1975; Manabe and Stouffer, 1980; Serreze and Francis, 2006). However, several studies have found that Arctic amplification was simulated even in models in which the ice albedo feedback is suppressed (Hall, ...
... on the surface albedo (ALB) feedback and lack of vertical mixing (e.g., Manabe and Wetherald, 1975; Manabe and Stouffer, 1980; Serreze and Francis, 2006). However, several studies have found that Arctic amplification was simulated even in models in which the ice albedo feedback is suppressed (Hall, ...
Resource Guide to NGO Climate Adaptation Resources and Tools
... Natural Resource Conservation Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs) and universities are leading the way on climate adaptation planning and data management. Many NGOs have climate change and climate adaptation as the leading issue that they are addressing. This has led to a vast and growing system o ...
... Natural Resource Conservation Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs) and universities are leading the way on climate adaptation planning and data management. Many NGOs have climate change and climate adaptation as the leading issue that they are addressing. This has led to a vast and growing system o ...
An Assessment of the Foundational Assumptions in High-Resolution Climate Projections: The Case of UKCP09
... question whether decision-relevant high-resolution projections could be constructed with today’s models. The aim of this paper is to describe and analyse the methodology used by UKCP09 and then urge some caution. While this methodology is the only complex modelerror-exploring methodology currently d ...
... question whether decision-relevant high-resolution projections could be constructed with today’s models. The aim of this paper is to describe and analyse the methodology used by UKCP09 and then urge some caution. While this methodology is the only complex modelerror-exploring methodology currently d ...
Climate change and mammals: evolutionary
... possible changes could involve changes in body size (Bergmann’s Rule predicts smaller body size with increased temperature whereas increased ecosystem productivity could lead to larger body size (Yom-Tov and Yom-Tov 2004; Teplitsky and Millien 2014) and possibly even metabolic ...
... possible changes could involve changes in body size (Bergmann’s Rule predicts smaller body size with increased temperature whereas increased ecosystem productivity could lead to larger body size (Yom-Tov and Yom-Tov 2004; Teplitsky and Millien 2014) and possibly even metabolic ...
Regional Security Implications of Climate Change A
... likely decrease agricultural output due to heat stress and reduced available water. Agriculture is highly water-inefficient in the region, resulting in preventable scarcities (Carius et al. 2008). At the same time, MENA’s average population is young and will continue that trend for the next few deca ...
... likely decrease agricultural output due to heat stress and reduced available water. Agriculture is highly water-inefficient in the region, resulting in preventable scarcities (Carius et al. 2008). At the same time, MENA’s average population is young and will continue that trend for the next few deca ...
Alberto Montanari - University of Bologna
... Direct surface warming from 2xCO2 is only 0.6 deg C (about 1 deg. F) Thus, climate models have net POSITIVE feedbacks (they respond to a warming tendency with changes that amplify the 1 deg. F CO2-only warming). There is a WIDE range of warming estimates, illustrating substantial uncertainty (mainly ...
... Direct surface warming from 2xCO2 is only 0.6 deg C (about 1 deg. F) Thus, climate models have net POSITIVE feedbacks (they respond to a warming tendency with changes that amplify the 1 deg. F CO2-only warming). There is a WIDE range of warming estimates, illustrating substantial uncertainty (mainly ...
1 CV KAREN L. O`BRIEN Department of Sociology and Human
... impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 717-743. Leichenko, R. and K. O’Brien. 2006. Climate Change Adaptation: Is a Winners and Losers Fra ...
... impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 717-743. Leichenko, R. and K. O’Brien. 2006. Climate Change Adaptation: Is a Winners and Losers Fra ...
Earth Negotiations Bulletin ADP 2-6
... provide when they communicate their intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) and how these contributions will be considered. This draft decision will be submitted for consideration in Lima. Under workstream 2 (pre-2020 ambition), Technical Expert Meetings (TEMs) will focus on opportuniti ...
... provide when they communicate their intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) and how these contributions will be considered. This draft decision will be submitted for consideration in Lima. Under workstream 2 (pre-2020 ambition), Technical Expert Meetings (TEMs) will focus on opportuniti ...
Pacific Islands Framework for Action on Climate Change
... In 2007 the Pacific Islands Leaders called on the international community to reach agreement urgently on an effective global response to deliver on the ultimate objective of the UNFCCC to avoid dangerous levels of interference with the climate system, including further commitments in the future by a ...
... In 2007 the Pacific Islands Leaders called on the international community to reach agreement urgently on an effective global response to deliver on the ultimate objective of the UNFCCC to avoid dangerous levels of interference with the climate system, including further commitments in the future by a ...
Based on CFS - Dr. R. Krishnan - Indian Institute of Tropical
... Questions : On Projections of Monsoon What will happen to the monsoon hydrological cycle 50-100 years from now under different scenarios? In particular, will the quantum of seasonal mean rainfall increase or decrease and if so by how much? What is the uncertainty in these projections? Can we qua ...
... Questions : On Projections of Monsoon What will happen to the monsoon hydrological cycle 50-100 years from now under different scenarios? In particular, will the quantum of seasonal mean rainfall increase or decrease and if so by how much? What is the uncertainty in these projections? Can we qua ...
The Positive Feedback Loop between the Impacts of Climate
... (GAEZ) [14]. An overview of the main studies that have considered impacts of climate change on global crop yields is presented in Table 1 [9,10,12,13,15–17]. Although some crops and regions will apparently benefit from climate change, the studies reviewed converge on agreement that the overall globa ...
... (GAEZ) [14]. An overview of the main studies that have considered impacts of climate change on global crop yields is presented in Table 1 [9,10,12,13,15–17]. Although some crops and regions will apparently benefit from climate change, the studies reviewed converge on agreement that the overall globa ...
Deep uncertainty in long-term hurricane risk: scenario generation and implications for future climate experiments: Working Paper 51 (556 kB) (opens in new window)
... are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed coastal communities. We present a framework to support the interpretation of current long-term tropical cyclone projections, which accommodates the nature of the uncertainty and aims to facil ...
... are deeply uncertain, both in magnitude and sign. This creates challenges for adaptation planning in exposed coastal communities. We present a framework to support the interpretation of current long-term tropical cyclone projections, which accommodates the nature of the uncertainty and aims to facil ...
D3.3 Annex 1 review pest risk mapping best practice
... favour the establishment and spread of the pest to define the endangered area. Note: The PRA area may be the whole EPPO region or part of it. The endangered area may be the whole of the PRA area, or part or parts of the area (i.e. the whole EPPO region or whole or part of several countries of the EP ...
... favour the establishment and spread of the pest to define the endangered area. Note: The PRA area may be the whole EPPO region or part of it. The endangered area may be the whole of the PRA area, or part or parts of the area (i.e. the whole EPPO region or whole or part of several countries of the EP ...
PPAI Goals - US CLIVAR
... - Role of ENSO in US prediction skill - Role of ENSO in hurricane development * Tasks would include studies of predictability & experimental predictions for tropical Pacific variability ...
... - Role of ENSO in US prediction skill - Role of ENSO in hurricane development * Tasks would include studies of predictability & experimental predictions for tropical Pacific variability ...
MRV of developing country actions in the context of UNFCCC
... Progress of implementation of the mitigation actions and the underlying steps taken or envisaged, and the results achieved, such as estimated outcomes (metrics depending on type of action) and estimated emission reductions, to the extent possible ...
... Progress of implementation of the mitigation actions and the underlying steps taken or envisaged, and the results achieved, such as estimated outcomes (metrics depending on type of action) and estimated emission reductions, to the extent possible ...
Paper - System Dynamics Society
... atmosphere, soils, biomass and ocean response to anthropogenic emissions. The more developed models include CO2, methane, nitrous oxides and other GHG emissions, and they keep track of their changing concentrations in the atmosphere. Models of the Climate System A wide variety of models are used to ...
... atmosphere, soils, biomass and ocean response to anthropogenic emissions. The more developed models include CO2, methane, nitrous oxides and other GHG emissions, and they keep track of their changing concentrations in the atmosphere. Models of the Climate System A wide variety of models are used to ...
How warm was the last interglacial? New model–data comparisons
... We use simulations from a fully coupled, global atmosphere–land surface–ocean–sea ice general circulation model: the Community Climate System Model, v. 3 (CCSM3). Future climate predictions from this model are presented in the IPCC AR4 report [1]. The model has also been used in the Palaeoclimate Mo ...
... We use simulations from a fully coupled, global atmosphere–land surface–ocean–sea ice general circulation model: the Community Climate System Model, v. 3 (CCSM3). Future climate predictions from this model are presented in the IPCC AR4 report [1]. The model has also been used in the Palaeoclimate Mo ...
2011 Duffy
... funding, such as through the Global Environment Facility (Chasek 2010) or the Pacific Islands Climate Change Assistance Program, International Climate Change Adaptation Initiative, and Global Climate Change Alliance (Table 1). They also effectively distribute ...
... funding, such as through the Global Environment Facility (Chasek 2010) or the Pacific Islands Climate Change Assistance Program, International Climate Change Adaptation Initiative, and Global Climate Change Alliance (Table 1). They also effectively distribute ...
International consultation and analysis
... Progress of implementation of the mitigation actions and the underlying steps taken or envisaged, and the results achieved, such as estimated outcomes (metrics depending on type of action) and estimated emission reductions, to the extent possible ...
... Progress of implementation of the mitigation actions and the underlying steps taken or envisaged, and the results achieved, such as estimated outcomes (metrics depending on type of action) and estimated emission reductions, to the extent possible ...
Climate Change Politics and Policy
... To do well in this course, it is essential that you write well and use the literature we’ve read as a foundation for your arguments. The guidelines below spell out the main evaluation criteria for writing, posting and participating in this class. Writing assignments, class participation and Blackboa ...
... To do well in this course, it is essential that you write well and use the literature we’ve read as a foundation for your arguments. The guidelines below spell out the main evaluation criteria for writing, posting and participating in this class. Writing assignments, class participation and Blackboa ...
National Activities with Respect to the Global Climate Observing
... 1. COMMON ISSUES Introduction The recently published Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change summarizes the current state of knowledge on climate change and its global impacts. From a global perspective, Finland is relatively seriously affected by climate change be ...
... 1. COMMON ISSUES Introduction The recently published Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change summarizes the current state of knowledge on climate change and its global impacts. From a global perspective, Finland is relatively seriously affected by climate change be ...
On the tropical origin of uncertainties in the global land precipitation
... over the oceanic regions given the lack of direct measurements of precipitation. Satellite estimates do exist, but the length of the record is still too short to be useful for trend analysis. Global atmospheric reanalyses are also available, but are not sufficiently reliable and homogeneous (changes i ...
... over the oceanic regions given the lack of direct measurements of precipitation. Satellite estimates do exist, but the length of the record is still too short to be useful for trend analysis. Global atmospheric reanalyses are also available, but are not sufficiently reliable and homogeneous (changes i ...