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A broader view of the role of Roger A. Pielke Sr
A broader view of the role of Roger A. Pielke Sr

... human-caused climate changes. However, my collaborators and I have shown that global average surfacetemperature changes are not particularly useful for assessing the broad range of human influences on climate.3 Global warming (or global cooling) can be more accurately quantified in terms of the accu ...
fluid dynamics - University of Guelph
fluid dynamics - University of Guelph

... few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period over the preceding millennium. The substantial uncertainties currently present in the quantitative assessment of large-scale surface temperature changes prior to about A.D. 1600 lower our confidence in this conclusion compared to the ...
Massachusetts - UMass Amherst
Massachusetts - UMass Amherst

... Tidal Flooding Source: UCSUSA ...
Manmade Greenhouse Gases and Global Warming
Manmade Greenhouse Gases and Global Warming

... circulation  too much inflow of freshwater capped the ocean with a low density surface layer  insufficient evaporation to make water sink • Led to drastic climate changes (termperature swings in Europe – 6 oC)  large scale changes in species • Global warming may alter or reduce strength of the Gu ...
A Neighbourhood Framework for Climate Change Adaptation
A Neighbourhood Framework for Climate Change Adaptation

... “The report admits that accurately foretelling the UK's future weather is impossible, but it stresses the need to be resilient to extremes of all kinds.” “It maintains that the threat from heatwaves has been too little discussed. It says homes and public buildings are still being constructed for the ...
Direct and indirect impacts
Direct and indirect impacts

... Annex BR 03: Direct and indirect aspect of Climate Change Objective The annex is supposed to give an idea of the direct and indirect aspects of Climate Change. The table below presents the interaction of ‘climate’ and ‘non-climate problems’ that – jointly - pose significant challenges to urban decis ...
cfuw-perth-district.com
cfuw-perth-district.com

... Adapting to a Changing Climate: A Watershed Perspective ...
Climate Change `Quagmire`
Climate Change `Quagmire`

... levels of legally binding commitments." Randomly chosen emission targets become "a game of competitive one-upmanship." "Ten percent we will cut?" he asks, his voice rising. "Fifteen percent? It's not a lottery, you know." What seems to rankle Mr. Ramesh the most about these kinds of demands is the i ...
Climate change and trajectories of blame in Northern
Climate change and trajectories of blame in Northern

... while other risk seems unattended. This social and ´supernatural´ risk is often neglected officially (such as betrayal by friends and relatives, loss of respect, sorcery, punishment by ancestral spirits or God) These risk factors are usually explained with moral transgression (bad behaviour) and imp ...
Document
Document

... in Australia as ways to The Australian publics’ policy priorities differed from the Federal Government in energy address climate change. What is the relative importance of these issues? strategy, markets and technology, education, equity and social justice issues For which initiative(s) is it import ...
module 11: how do we predict the future
module 11: how do we predict the future

... Using full climate models to calculate the effects of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations on global climate. There are uncertainties in the models themselves, mainly due to the fact that very small scale processes have to represented in a fairly coarse sort of way, as well as uncertainties in o ...
Weather EXTREMES - Department of Meteorology and Climate
Weather EXTREMES - Department of Meteorology and Climate

... 20-Year Trends in Arctic Sea Ice Coverage Yearly and Seasonal Ice Coverage Trends ...
Slide 1 - climateknowledge.org
Slide 1 - climateknowledge.org

... greenhouse gas produced by human activities Atmospheric CO2 has increased from a preindustrial value of about 280 parts per million (ppm) to 379 390 400 ppm in 2005 2010 2014 The atmospheric concentration of CO2 in 2005 2010 2014 exceeds by far the natural range (180 to 300 ppm) over the last 650,00 ...
Climate Change and Development
Climate Change and Development

... climate change on the environment? What do you mean by Green House Gases? What are their sources? How do they cause global warming? What do you mean by mitigation measures? What mitigation measures are needed to be adopted in Agriculture sector of Bangladesh? Is “development” destructive? How to con ...
Project title Indian Himalayas Climate Adaptation Programme (IHCAP)
Project title Indian Himalayas Climate Adaptation Programme (IHCAP)

... Himalayas is gaining importance at national, regional and international policy level. ...
Are Humans Responsible for Global Warming?
Are Humans Responsible for Global Warming?

The Science of Climate Change – Facing the facts
The Science of Climate Change – Facing the facts

... Medium (A1B) scenario (2090-2099): Global mean warming 2.8oC; Much of land area warms by ~3.5oC Arctic warms by ~6oC. A 550 ppm CO2-eq world would more likely than not be warmer. ...
Climate change
Climate change

... caused major climatic changes because all the factors that affect climate variables were themselves greatly affected by the movement of the continents. ...
Back to TOC Next - Cherokee County Schools
Back to TOC Next - Cherokee County Schools

... What is Global Warming? • Global warming or climate change is the gradual increase of the average temperature of the Earth • The average temperature of the Earth's surface is ...
Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century
Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century

... parameter, temperature above surface, defined as the air temperature 2 m above the Earth’s surface. This corresponds to the familiar air temperature reported in the daily weather report in newspapers and on TV. The data you will examine is the mean temperature (°K) for each month over the 100 years ...
Computer maps and weather (climate) data
Computer maps and weather (climate) data

... average temperatures would result in more extreme weather condition and less predictability: stronger hurricanes with bigger storm surges on coasts (hurricane Sandy), melting glaciers and rising sea levels (already happening on Pacific coral islands), disease vectors’ territories would expand (Tsets ...
38611
38611

...  “Economists have estimated these ‘social costs’ at anywhere from $8 per ton to as high as $100 per ton of CO2.”4 ...
Climate Change - Cleveland Museum of Natural History
Climate Change - Cleveland Museum of Natural History

... • Thermal-energy transfers in the ocean and the atmosphere contribute to the formation of currents, which influence global climate patterns. • The atmosphere has different properties at different elevations and contains a mixture of gases that cycle through the lithosphere, biosphere, hydrospher ...
Climate Change
Climate Change

... Climate change is any long-term significant change in the “average weather” that a given region experiences. Average weather may include average temperature, precipitation and wind patterns. It involves changes in the variability or average state of the atmosphere over durations ranging from decades ...
ppt - Department of Statistics | Rajshahi University
ppt - Department of Statistics | Rajshahi University

... (2001) focused attention on the problems of the impacts of climate change and the need for adaptation 4. The Fourth Assessment Report (2007) is creating a strong basis for a post Kyoto Protocol agreement ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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